Wind Advisory 8, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 191148
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
648 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008

...WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA...

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-192000-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080219T2300Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
648 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

SURFACE WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE NORTH CAROLINA NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND THE BLUE RIDGE AREA OF
THE NORTHERN FOOTHILLS. A DRY AND COLD AIR MASS WILL MOVE ACROSS
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND ALLOW STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT TO
REACH THE SURFACE. SUSTAINED WINDS ON THE ORDER OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.


$$

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-048-051>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-502-504-506>510-SCZ001>014-019-192000-
/O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-080219T2300Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-
DAVIE-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...
HARTWELL...ELBERTON...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...HICKORY...SALISBURY...SYLVA...
FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...
GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...LENOIR...MORGANTON...
MARION...LAKE LURE...RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS...GREENVILLE...
SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...
LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
648 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

$$

KRENTZ

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 191457
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
957 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008

...WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...

GAZ010-NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-507-509-192300-
/O.CAN.KGSP.LW.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-080219T2300Z/
/O.EXA.KGSP.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080219T2300Z/
RABUN-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-
MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...
ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...
LAKE LURE
957 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY FOR MOST OF THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...AS
WELL AS RABUN COUNTY IN THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WHICH
IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY
HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS
AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...ESPECIALLY AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-192300-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080219T2300Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
957 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT BLUE RIDGE OF NORTH CAROLINA UNTIL 6 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON.

SURFACE WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND THE ADJACENT BLUE
RIDGE AREA OF THE NORTHERN FOOTHILLS. A DRY AND COLD AIR MASS WILL
MOVE ACROSS WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND ALLOW STRONGER WINDS FROM
ALOFT TO REACH THE SURFACE. SUSTAINED WINDS ON THE ORDER OF 25 TO
35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-
508-510-SCZ001>014-019-192300-
/O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-080219T2300Z/
HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-
CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...
ELBERTON...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...SALISBURY...
SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...
LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS...
GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...
ABBEVILLE...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
957 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS
AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA...AS WELL AS THE SOUTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS
...AND HABERSHAM COUNTY IN THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

$$
07

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 192046
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
346 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2008

GAZ010-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-200500-
/O.EXT.KGSP.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080220T0500Z/
RABUN-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...
CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...
HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE
346 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. SUSTAINED WINDS ON THE ORDER OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED BEFORE WINDS DIMINISH LATER
THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-
508-510-SCZ001>014-019-192300-
/O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-080219T2300Z/
HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-
CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...
ELBERTON...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...SALISBURY...
SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...
LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS...
GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...
ABBEVILLE...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
346 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2008

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WESTERLY WIND SPEEDS ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA WILL RANGE FROM 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH EARLY THIS EVENING.

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

$$

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 200116
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
816 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2008

GAZ010-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-200230-
/O.CAN.KGSP.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080220T0500Z/
RABUN-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...
CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...
HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE
816 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS
CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. 

LINGERING GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH LATE EVENING
AND BECOME INCREASINGLY CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. GUSTY
WESTERLY WINDS WILL REDEVELOP LATER WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
328 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY BUILD OVER THE
SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY AND STALL OUT. A MORE
INTENSE LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEEPEN OVER THE SOUTHEAST REGION ON
SATURDAY AND MOVE NORTHEAST AND OUT OVER BERMUDA ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE IS THEN FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE CAROLINAS FOR THE
EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CENTER BUILDS SOUTH ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH
TODAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL S/W CROSSES THE CWFA. AN OFFSHORE TROF WILL
KEEP WINDS WESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON AND THE P/GRAD FAIRLY TIGHT.
MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE A VERY DEEP MIXING HEIGHT TODAY...AROUND 10
KFT...AND A H7 JET CORE OF 60-70 KTS TRAVERSING THE NORTHERN CWFA
AFTER 18Z. THIS SITUATION SHOULD BE MORE THAN ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SFC
WIND GUSTS ON THE ORDER OF 40 KTS ACROSS THE NRN MTNS AND NRN
FOOTHILL MTN ZONES. A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE ZONES
AND A LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE REMAINING FORECAST AREA. WIND GUSTS
WILL DIMINISH SOMEWHAT AFTER SUNSET TODAY...BUT GUSTY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE LATE EVENING.

THE GFS IS SHOWING MORE H85-H7 MOISTURE THAN THE NAM ACROSS THE TN
VALLEY FOR POSSIBLE UPSLOPING RA/SN SHOWERS...HOWEVER THE NAM HAS A
MUCH BETTER HANDLE ON THE RELATIVE RH MIN ACROSS THE TN VALLEY ATTM
AND MORE WEIGHT WAS GIVEN TO A DRIER NAM SOLN FOR MTN PRECIP THIS
AFTERNOON. WESTERLY FLOW WONT ENHANCE PRECIP INTENSITY MUCH...BUT AN
H85 THERMAL TROF KEEPS LLVL TEMPS AROUND -5 C...SO SOME SLIGHT MIX
OF SN/RA ACROSS THE MTN VALLEYS IS POSSIBLE ALONG WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF ALL SN AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FT. NO SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED IF ANY AT ALL. TEMPS WILL BE ENHANCED A BIT
OUTSIDE OF THE MTNS IN DOWNSLOPE FLOW...BUT CAA IN THE BL WILL
OFFSET SOME OF THIS MECHANICAL WARMING...HOWEVER WITH VERY DRY
AIR...WILL EXPECT TEMPS RIGHT AROUND GUIDANCE VALUES IN THE M-U50S
NON/MTNS AND AROUND 50 ACROSS THE MTN VALLEYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 315 AM TUESDAY...THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IS SHAPING UP TO BE
THE ONSET OF PRECIP ON THURSDAY...WITH THE NAM AND GFS SOMEWHAT AT
ODDS. BUT...IN THE MEAN TIME...FOR TONIGHT ANY REMAINING MOISTURE ON
THE W SIDE OF THE MTNS DRIES UP QUICKLY SO THE FORECAST WAS KEPT
DRY. THE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE CLIPPER LOW
EXPECTED TO MOVE BY TO THE NORTH ON WEDNESDAY...AND THE TIMING IS
CENTERED ON THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE TREND HAS BEEN FOR
THIS SYSTEM TO BRING A BIT MORE MOISTURE ALONG WITH IT...SO EVEN
THOUGH MOISTURE RETURN IS PALTRY...THE ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT LATE IN
THE DAY HAS ENOUGH GOING FOR IT TO MAINTAIN THE CHANCE POP OVER THE
MTNS AND NRN TIER. THE MAIN IDEA IS THAT IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT ANY
PRECIP WILL ARRIVE BEFORE NOON...SO THE P-TYPE SHOULD BE ALL LIQUID
DURING THE WEDNESDAY PERIOD. IN THE EVENING...THE ARRIVAL OF COOLER
AIR BEHIND THE FRONT SHOULD ALLOW FOR A CHANGEOVER ON THE TN BORDER.
THE FRONT SINKS DOWN THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA WED NITE WITH ONLY
SOME LINGERING SLIGHT CHANCE STUFF OVER THE FAR W AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THE BIG ISSUE WITH THURSDAY IS THE TIMING OF HIGH PRESSURE BRIDGING
OVER THE MTNS AND DEVELOPMENT OF MOISTURE RETURN AND PRECIP. THE NAM
IS SLOWER AND ESSENTIALLY KEEPS THE FORECAST AREA DRY BY DAYS END.
THE GFS IS MUCH FASTER AND DEVELOPS LIGHT PRECIP ACROSS THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA IN THE AFTERNOON. THE GFS IS OFTEN A BIT TOO FAST WITH
DEVELOPING LIGHT PRECIP OVER THE TOP OF AN INCIPIENT WEDGE IT
SEEMS...SO I AM SUSPICIOUS OF THE LIKELY POP SEEN IN THE MAV/GMOS.
WITH THAT IN MIND...HAVE PUSHED BACK THE ONSET OF THE MENTIONABLE
PRECIP UNTIL AFTERNOON ALTHO THE GRIDS CARRY A SLIGHT CHC EXPANDING
FROM THE SW IN THE MORNING. HAVE COMPROMISED ON A CHC POP IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND MAINLY IN
DEFERENCE TO THE SREF. PRECIP TYPE IS A POTENTIAL PROBLEM EVEN WITH
AN AFTERNOON ONSET...GIVEN THE COOL AND DRY AIR NEAR THE SURFACE.
HAVE ESSENTIALLY USED THE GFS AS A BASIS FOR THICKNESS/TEMPS...
WHICH SUGGESTS A RAIN/SLEET MIX TO BE THE MOST LIKELY FORM ACROSS
ALL BUT THE SRN ZONES.

A LIKELY POP STILL LOOKS GOOD FOR THURSDAY NIGHT FOR NOW. WARM
ADVECTION SHOULD OVERWHELM THE AREA WITH SURFACE TEMPS STAYING JUST
ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE NRN TIER...SO FOR NOW THE FORECAST WILL
REFLECT A COLD RAIN OVERNIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 300 AM TUESDAY MORNING...LATE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY PERIOD
IS LOOKING MORE FAVORABLE FOR LIQUID PRECIP ESPECIALLY DURING
FRIDAY AS BOTH 00Z GFS AND ECMWF ARE INCREASING THE AMPLITUDE OF THE
SOUTHERN STREAM FEATURES OVER THE REGION. STILL LEFT SOME CHANCE
POPS OF SNOW IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS FOR LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY
SUNDAY...ALTHOUGH SUNDAY IS LOOKING LESS FAVORABLE THAN BEFORE.
OVERALL...LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY STILL APPEARS TO BE OUR BEST
CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIP FOR THE MEDIUM RANGE...AS MOST OF THE
MODEL GUIDANCE STILL GIVES THE BEST DYNAMICAL FORCING DURING THIS
PERIOD. KEPT MIN TEMPS JUST ABOVE FREEZING OVER MOST OF THE CWA
THROUGH FRIDAY AND THEN BUMPED THEM DOWN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AS THE RIDGE KEEPS ANY PROJECTED LLVL SOUTHERLY FLOW TO A
MINIMUM. ALSO KEPT POPS LOW FROM SUNDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE
PERIOD AS MOST OF THE GUIDANCE KEEPS THE LOW LEVELS DRY AND THE
WINDS LIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD LOOKS GOOD AS FAR AS REDUCING WIND SPEEDS AT
ALL TAF SITES. GUSTS UP TO 18 KTS WILL CONTINUE AT KHKY FOR A COUPLE
HOURS...PREVAILING WINDS WILL REDUCE TO UNDER 10 KTS AFTER 08Z. A
STRATUS DECK AT FL060 HAS ENGULFED THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY AND BKN
CIGS WERE ADDED...BUT SCT CLOUD FIELD IS EXPECTED AROUND 15Z. THE
NEW 00Z-06Z TAF LINE CONSISTS OF DIMINISHING WINDS AND NO GUSTS WITH
LINGERING FEW STCU...EXCEPT KAVL WHERE SCT CLOUDS SHOULD PERSIST ALL
DAY.

OUTLOOK...DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE REGION FROM TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO RETURN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. A COMPLEX SYSTEM MAY BRING WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION AND CEILING AND VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. A FRONT WITH SEVERAL TRANSIENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL
KEEP MOISTURE IN THE VICINITY OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR GAZ010-
     017-018-026-028-029.
NC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
     NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ033-049-050-
     501-503-505.
     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NCZ035>037-048-051>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-502-
     504-506>510.
     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-502-504.
SC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     SCZ001>014-019.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JPT
NEAR TERM...SBK
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...JPT
AVIATION...SBK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
829 PM EST MON FEB 18 2008

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-SCZ001>014-019-200130-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
829 PM EST MON FEB 18 2008

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.

WINDS AND GUSTS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. A WIND
ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR THE MOUNTAINS...AND POSSIBLY
FOR THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE SOUTH
CAROLINA UPSTATE.

A COLD AND DRY AIR MASS BUILDS INTO THE AREA THURSDAY. MOISTURE
RETURNING ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT
COULD LEAD TO A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-082-506>510-200130-
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-UNION NC-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
829 PM EST MON FEB 18 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

WINDS AND GUSTS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. A WIND
ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND POSSIBLY
ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. THE WIND COMBINED WITH LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL LEAD TO INCREASED FIRE DANGER. A FIRE
DANGER STATEMENT MAY BE NEEDED FOR TUESDAY.

A COLD AND DRY AIR MASS BUILDS INTO THE AREA THURSDAY. MOISTURE
RETURNING ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT
COULD LEAD TO A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-200130-
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
829 PM EST MON FEB 18 2008

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

WINDS AND GUSTS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. A WIND
ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED. THE WIND COMBINED WITH LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL LEAD TO INCREASED FIRE DANGER. A FIRE
DANGER STATEMENT MAY BE NEEDED FOR TUESDAY.

A COLD AND DRY AIR MASS BUILDS INTO THE AREA THURSDAY. MOISTURE
RETURNING ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT
COULD LEAD TO A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-502-504-200130-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
829 PM EST MON FEB 18 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   RED FLAG WARNING.

WINDS AND GUSTS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. A WIND
ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE AREA. THE WIND COMBINED WITH LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL LEAD TO INCREASED FIRE DANGER.

A COLD AND DRY AIR MASS BUILDS INTO THE AREA THURSDAY. MOISTURE
RETURNING ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT
COULD LEAD TO A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.