Severe Thunderstorm Warning 337, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
251 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA TONIGHT. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. THE FRONT WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY AND
BECOME STATIONARY AS A SERIES OF UPPER LOWS MOVE ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
A CLOSED H5 LOW WILL SLIGHTLY DEEPEN THIS EVE THRU TONIGHT...AS A
POTENT S/W ROTATES AROUND FROM THE NW OVR ERN KY/TN. SEVERAL SHWRS
AND TSTMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP WITH THIS FEATURE ACROSS TN AND THE
SRN APPLNS. LAPS CAPES AT 18Z WERE GENERALLY 1500-2500 J/KG ACROSS
THE AREA. SO NUMEROUS STORMS FOR LATE AFTN AND INTO THE EVE CAN BE
EXPECTED. THERE IS ENOUGH SHEAR AND INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT MULTICELL
CLUSTERS/LINES WITH POTENTIAL BOWING SEGMENTS AND LARGE HAIL. A COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH THRU THE AREA FROM THE N LATE THIS EVE AND
OVERNIGHT. GUIDANCE HAS PRECIP ENDING AND SKIES CLEARING WITH THE
FROPA. OVERALL...GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FRONT
ADVANCING S OF THE CWFA...WITH PLENTY OF DRY AND STABLE AIR OVR THE
AREA. HENCE...NO POPS ARE CARRIED FOR THURSDAY...AND TEMPS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 215 PM WEDNESDAY...LOOKING AT BUKFIT SOUNDINGS FROM THE NAM
AND GFS...THE AIRMASS OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NE GA SHOULD
REMAIN STABLE THU NIGHT AND FRI. I DID KEEP SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
IN THE NC MTNS LATE FRI AND FRI NIGHT...AS A LITTLE INSTABILITY IS
SHOWN BY THE MODELS STARTING IN THE EARLY EVENING HOURS OVER THE
HIGH TERRAIN. THE AIRMASS WILL GRADUALLY MOISTEN OVER THE MOUNTAINS
ON SATURDAY. THE OLD ECMWF BROUGHT AN MCS...OR PERHAPS THE REMNANTS
OF ONE...ACROSS THE NRN PART OF THE FA SAT MORNING. THE GFS ALSO
BRINGS THE REMNANTS OF A NW FLOW MCS OVER THE FA ON SAT...BUT
FARTHER TO THE SOUTH AND A LITTLE EARLIER IN THE DAY. HAVING BOTH
MODELS BRING SOMETHING THROUGH THE AREA IS A GOOD SIGN...AS ARE THE
HIGH POPS ON THE SREF...BUT CONFIDENCE ON THE TIMING OR EXACT NATURE
OF THE PCPN IS STILL NOT VERY HIGH. FOR NOW WILL CARRY 30 POPS
OUTSIDE THE MTNS AND 40 TO 50 POPS OVER THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE
DAY ON SAT. WITH THE ERN CONUS LONG WAVE BEGINNING TO AMPLIFY
AGAIN...THE NW FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN A LITTLE SAT NIGHT.
THEREFORE...I/VE KEPT CHANCE POPS IN THE FORECAST WELL INTO THE
NIGHTTIME HOURS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 115 PM WEDNESDAY...THE THINKING REGARDING THE MEDIUM RANGE
REMAINS CONSISTENT WITH A TROUGH CONTINUING ALONG THE EASTERN
SEABOARD THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. AT THE SURFACE...A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO DROP SOUTHWARD AND APPROACH THE FA DURING
THE DAY ON SUN...BECOMING QUASI-STATIONARY THEREAFTER AND REMAINING
IN THE AREA THROUGH MID WEEK. THEREFORE...WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY
SOLID CHC POPS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH WED...TAPERING OFF A LITTLE
BIT TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE TRIES TO BUILD IN
FROM THE NORTH AND PUSH THE OLD BOUNDARY FURTHER SOUTH. AS FAR AS
TEMPS GO...WARMEST DAY WILL BE SUN WITH TEMPS A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL...THEN RETURNING TO VALUES CLOSE TO CLIMO FOR EARLY AND MID
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
MAIN CONCERN FOR THE NEXT 6-8 HOURS WILL BE NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD
SHWRS/TSTMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA. SINCE EXACT TIMING OF ANY
ONE CELL AFFECTING A TAF SITE CANNOT BE MADE...VCTS AND CB WORDING
WILL BE CARRIED WITH THE 18Z TAF ISSUANCE. AS TRENDS IN SAT/RADAR
UNFOLD...AMENDMENTS WILL BE MADE TO BETTER TIME ANY RESTRICTIONS.
OTRW...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS...WITH WINDS VEERING TO NWLY THEN NELY
OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SAGS S THRU THE AREA. IF CLOUDS CLEAR
SOON ENOUGH...SOME VALLEY FOG IS POSSIBLE...HENCE A BRIEF MVFR VSBY
RESTRICTION AT KAVL WAS RETAINED. HI PRES WILL BLD INTO THE REGION
BY THURSDAY AFTN...RESULTING IN SKC AND LIGHT WINDS.

OUTLOOK...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THRU
FRIDAY...PROVIDING GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS. SCATTERED MAINLY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY. SOME MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY MAY OCCUR IN
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH MVFR VISIBILITY AT NIGHT IN FOG WHERE RAIN
FALLS. ANOTHER FRONT WILL BE IN THE AREA ON MONDAY...WHICH WILL
SUPPORT MORE THUNDERSTORMS AND ASSOCIATED RESTRICTIONS.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MCAVOY
NEAR TERM...ARK
SHORT TERM...MCAVOY
LONG TERM...BSH
AVIATION...ARK

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1006 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

NCZ071-072-231445-
CABARRUS-MECKLENBURG-
1006 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN MECKLENBURG AND SOUTHERN
CABARRUS COUNTIES THROUGH 1045 AM EDT...

AT 1006 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR UNC CHARLOTTE...MOVING EAST AT 9 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LOWES MOTOR SPEEDWAY BY 1015 AM EDT.
  HARRISBURG BY 1025 AM EDT.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS. WATER
LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE...THEREFORE SEEK
HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

INTENSE LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

BSH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1139 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E ENOCHVILLE          35.52N 80.65W
07/22/2008                   ROWAN              NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN ON ENOCHVILLE HWY EAST OF TOWN, LIMBS DOWN IN
            TOWN REPORTED BY FIRE DEPT. HAIL EAST OF TOWN.

0755 PM     HAIL             1 E ENOCHVILLE          35.52N 80.65W
07/22/2008  E0.75 INCH       ROWAN              NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL EAST OF TOWN, AND TREES DOWN.

&&

TBENTHALL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
224 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

GAZ018-SCZ001-004-231900-
GREATER OCONEE-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-STEPHENS-
224 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN STEPHENS AND
SOUTHERN OCONEE COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM EDT...

AT 224 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LONG CREEK...OR 10 MILES
WEST OF WALHALLA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 16 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WESTMINSTER BY 255 PM EDT.
  6 MILES NORTH OF LAKE HARTWELL BY 300 PM EDT.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

INTENSE LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

BSH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
237 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

NCZ065-509-510-231900-
EASTERN POLK-HENDERSON-POLK MOUNTAINS-
237 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT HENDERSON AND SOUTHWESTERN POLK
COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM EDT...

AT 237 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HENDERSONVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 13 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  FLAT ROCK BY 250 PM EDT.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

BSH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
255 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

NCZ064-SCZ003-006-232000-
GREATER GREENVILLE-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-TRANSYLVANIA-
255 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN TRANSYLVANIA AND
NORTHERN GREENVILLE COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM EDT...

AT 248 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CAESARS HEAD...OR 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BREVARD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 9 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MARIETTA BY 345 PM EDT.
  TRAVELERS REST BY 400 PM EDT.

SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

KRENTZ