Severe Thunderstorm Warning 270, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
253 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
THE BERMUDA HIGH WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION INTO WEDNESDAY. A
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY AND WILL
MOVE THROUGH ON THURSDAY. THE FRONT SHOULD SETTLE SOUTH OF THE AREA
THURSDAY NIGHT WHERE IT WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH SATURDAY.
ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE DOWN FROM THE GREAT LAKES LATE IN
THE WEEKEND AND STALL OUT OVER OR REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WILL BANK ON NMRS SHOWERS/TSTMS DEVELOPING OUT OF THE MTNS AND INTO
THE FTHLS/PIEDMONT INTO THIS EVENING AS THE 12 UTC NAM REMAINS
RATHER BULLISH WITH THE ACCOMPANYING INCREASE IN LLVL CONVERGENCE.
JUST LIKE WHAT WAS FIGURED AFTER THIS MORNING/S ANALYSIS...ISOLATED
PULSE SVR STORMS ARE PROBABLE...WITH LOCALLY HVY RAIN THREAT WITH
THE ABOVE NORMAL VALUES OF PWAT. CANNOT GUARANTEE THAT DEEP
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL BE COMPLETELY DISSIPATED OVERNIGHT...SO
WILL HANG ONTO THE INHERITED SLIGHT CHANCE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
AN INCREASE IN LAYER RH AHEAD OF SUBTLE FRONTAL ZONE SHOULD BE ABLE
TO PROMOTE NUMEROUS TO SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS ONCE AGAIN WEDNESDAY.
FCST SNDGS LOOKING PRETTY SIMILAR TO TODAY...MOIST THROUGHOUT THE
COLUMN WITH ONLY ABOUT 10-15 KTS OF STEERING FLOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 245 PM TUESDAY...A BROAD AND FLAT UPPER TROUGH WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE SHORT RANGE. SLIGHT BACKING OF
THE LOW LEVEL FLOW IS INDICATED AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE AREA WILL ALSO INCREASINGLY COME UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER JET THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE OHIO
VALLEY EARLY IN THE PERIOD BEFORE STALLING NEAR THE NRN TIER OF THE
FORECAST AREA THU. THIS WILL ALLOW DEEPER MOISTURE TO POOL ACROSS
THE NRN HALF OF THE REGION THU AFTN...WHILE INSTABILITY WILL BE
GREATEST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER...AS THE UPPER SUPPORT ARRIVES
LATE IN THE DAY. WILL THUS FEATURE POPS IN THE HEALTHY CHANCE RANGE.

THE SURFACE PATTERN BECOMES WEAK AS THE FRONT WASHES OUT THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT SOME DEGREE OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND MOISTURE WILL
PERSIST TO CREATE SCATTERED COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN ON
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM TUESDAY...THE EASTERN TROUGH WILL REINFORCE SLIGHTLY
OVER THE WEEKEND AS A STRONG UPPER LOW MOVES EAST FROM ONTARIO
THROUGH QUEBEC AND DIGS A TROUGH AXIS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES. DIURNAL SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL AFFECT MAINLY THE
MOUNTAINS IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE WEEKEND.

A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE
NORTHWEST MONDAY AND STALL ACROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY. SOME DEGREE
OF MODERATE RECOVERY OF HEIGHTS ALOFT IS EXPECTED...BUT WITH
CONTINUED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. THE LOCATION OF THE BEST CONVECTION
MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL DEPEND LARGELY ON WHERE THE COLD
FRONT STALLS...BUT SOLID CHANCE POPS WILL BE NEEDED THROUGHOUT.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
DEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACRS THE MTNS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL
BE EXPANDING IN CVRG ACRS THE FA THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND INTO
EARLY EVENING. EXPECTED SCATTERED NATURE OF STORMS WILL LIMIT
CONFIDENCE OF OCCURRENCE AT ANY SPECIFIC TERMINAL TO JUST A VCTS
FOR NOW. EXPECTED DIURNAL NATURE OF STORMS SHOULD ALLOW ACTIVITY TO
DIMINISH LATE IN THE EVENING. 12 UTC MOS GUIDANCE LIMITS ANY EARLY
MORNING MVFR RESTRICTIONS TO JUST KAVL AND BASED ON PERSISTENCE WILL
CONTINUE TO LEAVE OUT ANY MENTION FOR THE TIME BEING.

OUTLOOK...LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE THRU SATURDAY...AS SFC RIDGE REMAINS
OFFSHORE BRINGING MOISTURE UP OVER OUR REGION. EXPECT MAINLY DIURNAL
CONVECTION WITH ASSOC HAZARDS.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...CSH
SHORT TERM...HG
LONG TERM...HG
AVIATION...CSH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
332 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2008

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-091945-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
332 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING HOURS. LOCALLY STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL
CONTINUE...PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...HAIL TO
THE SIZE OF NICKELS...AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH. THE GREATEST RISK
OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WILL BE OVER PIEDMONT
SECTIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING PENNY SIZED HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO RELAY ANY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

HG

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
346 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2008

NCZ033-501-082045-
AVERY-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-
346 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL AVERY AND NORTHWESTERN
CALDWELL COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM EDT...

AT 344 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR NEWLAND...MOVING EAST AT 19 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  GLOBE BY 415 PM EDT.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

MCAVOY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
358 PM EDT TUE JUL 08 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0355 PM     HAIL             5 NNW ANDERSON          34.59N 82.68W
07/08/2008  E0.75 INCH       ANDERSON           SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PENNY HAIL REPORTED

&&

JPT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
407 PM EDT TUE JUL 08 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0352 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SHELBY                  35.29N 81.54W
07/08/2008                   CLEVELAND          NC   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREES DOWN ON ROYSTER AVENUE IN DOWNTOWN SHELBY

&&

AKIMBALL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
425 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2008

NCZ051-052-059-082130-
HAYWOOD-NORTHERN JACKSON-SWAIN-
425 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN SWAIN...NORTHWESTERN
JACKSON AND WESTERN HAYWOOD COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM EDT...

AT 418 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SMOKEMONT...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF BRYSON
CITY...MOVING EAST AT 9 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MAGGIE VALLEY BY 530 PM EDT.

SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

KRENTZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
428 PM EDT TUE JUL 08 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     HAIL             2 N ANDERSON            34.55N 82.65W
07/08/2008  E0.75 INCH       ANDERSON           SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PENNY HAIL REPORTED

&&

JPT