Severe Thunderstorm Warning 64, NWS Goodland, KS

000 
WWUS53 KGLD 230149
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
746 PM MDT THU MAY 22 2008

KSC063-230156-
/O.CAN.KGLD.SV.W.0064.000000T0000Z-080523T0215Z/
GOVE KS-
846 PM CDT THU MAY 22 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN GOVE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

SEVERE WEATHER HAS MOVED EAST OF GOVE COUNTY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR NORTHEASTERN COLORADO. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 1000 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN KANSAS AND
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 3955 9959 3913 9960 3913 10014 3954 10018
      3957 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 0146Z 219DEG 45KT 3953 9993

$$

KSC065-137-179-230215-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0064.000000T0000Z-080523T0215Z/
NORTON KS-SHERIDAN KS-GRAHAM KS-
846 PM CDT THU MAY 22 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR GRAHAM...EXTREME NORTHEASTERN SHERIDAN AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
NORTON COUNTIES...

AT 845 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HALF DOLLAR SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF HILL CITY...OR 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
LENORA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 52 MPH.

BE ADVISED...ANOTHER TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WILL MOVE NORTH OUT OF 
TREGO COUNTY ENTERING SOUTHEAST GRAHAM COUNTY AROUND 915 PM CDT.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT THURSDAY 
EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 3955 9959 3913 9960 3913 10014 3954 10018
      3957 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 0146Z 219DEG 45KT 3953 9993

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
123 PM MDT THU MAY 22 2008

.DISCUSSION...
123 PM MDT THU MAY 22 2008

FORECAST PROBLEMS INTO THE WEEKEND WILL CONTINUE TO REVOLVE AROUND
STRONG WINDS...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS...AND BOUTS OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. SATELLITE SHOWING THAT THE AMPLIFICATION PROCESS
CONTINUES. UPPER LOW NOW HAS NOT ONLY CUT OFF OVER THE GREAT BASIN...
BUT HAS ALSO BEGUN TO RETROGRESS. WITH VERY STRONG RIDGE IN THE
EASTERN PACIFIC AND STRONG CENTRAL NORTH AMERICA RIDGE/LARGE
EASTERN NORTH AMERICAN UPPER LOW...CONTINUE TO EXPECT VERY LITTLE
CHANGE IN THE UPPER FLOW.

ON THIS PACKAGE WILL NOT BE ISSUING ANY NEW HIGHLIGHTS. WILL BE TIED
UP WITH SEVERE WEATHER...AND DO NOT WANT TO BURDEN EVENING CREW
WITH UPDATES. WILL HIT THESE PARAMETERS HARD IN THE GRIDS AND
REGULARLY ISSUED PRODUCTS. WILL LET OVERNIGHT CREW DECIDE ON THE
NEED FOR ANY WIND AND FIRE HIGHLIGHTS.

TONIGHT/FRIDAY...DRY LINE HAS SET UP FURTHER SOUTH AND WEST THAN
DEPICTED 24 HOURS AGO. AHEAD OF THIS...LOW LEVEL AIR MASS IS VERY
MOIST WITH DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW ABOVE THIS BRINGING IN ADDITIONAL
MOISTURE. STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND JET SEGMENT TO OUR WEST AND
SOUTH WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. ALSO EXPECT DIFLUENT
FLOW ALOFT TO SPREAD OVER THE AREA. SO EXPECT WIDESPREAD
THUNDERSTORMS WITH SEVERE WEATHER ALMOST A DEFINITE. ANOTHER CONCERN
IS LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. STORMS THAT FORMED YESTERDAY IN COLORADO
TRAINED OVER THE SAME AREA. EVEN THOUGH STORMS WILL BE MOVING
QUICKLY WOULD EXPECT THE SAME TRAINING AFFECT TODAY WITH A MUCH
MORE MOIST AIR MASS. EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION HAS MENTIONED OUR
AREA. SO IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MENTION HEAVY
RAINFALL AS WELL.

SIMILAR SETUP FOR FRIDAY...AND ALL THE WEATHER DEPENDS ON THE
POSITION OF THE DRY LINE. OBVIOUSLY GREATER POPS WILL BE TO NORTH
AND EAST OF THIS FEATURE. WILL BE CLOSE TO ABOVE WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA FOR MOST OF THE AREA. SOME PLACES AGAIN MAY GET CLOSE TO
HIGH WIND WARNING. WEST OF THE DRY LINE MAY NEED A FIRE HIGHLIGHT AS
WELL. WILL BE GOING NEAR TO BELOW GUIDANCE.

FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY...POPS WILL BE ORIENTED FOR THE NIGHT
ACCORDING TO THE BOUNDARY POSITION. WILL PROBABLY BE HIGHER OVER THE
NORTHEAST HALF AGAIN. ON SATURDAY...WHEREVER THE DRY LINE IS WILL BE
DETERMINER FOR POPS...AND WILL PUT IN THE APPROPRIATEPOPS.

SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY...AGAIN NOT A LOT TIME TO LOOK AT THIS. POPS
CHANCE AND COVERAGE WILL BE DETERMINED BY BOUNDARY POSITION.

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...DID NOT SPEND A LOT OF TIME ON THIS
DUE TO CURRENT AND EXPECTED HAZARDOUS WEATHER. SOME KIND OF
BOUNDARY WILL BE IN...NEAR OR MOVING THROUGH DURING THIS TIME. ALSO
PERIODIC PIECES OF THE JET AND SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVING THROUGH IN
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT MAKE FOR SOME KIND OF CHANCE THROUGH THE WHOLE
PERIOD. USED HPC GRIDS AND TWEEKED THEM AT MOST.

THANKS TO ALL FOR COLLABORATION.

BULLER
&&

.AVIATION...
1130 AM MDT THU MAY 22 2008

FOR THE 18Z TAFS...STRONG SOUTH/SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE
AND CONDITIONS WILL FLUCTUATE BETWEEN VFR AND MVFR THROUGH THE FIRST
12 HOURS OF THE TAF PERIOD. AS THE STRATUS BEGINS TO LIFT
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ENTER THE REGION.

KJ
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
123 PM MDT THU MAY 22 2008

AS STATED ABOVE DUE TO TIME CONSTRAINTS DUE TO EXPECTED SEVERE
WEATHER...WILL NOT BE ISSUING ANY FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS AT THIS
TIME. HOWEVER...GRIDS AND APPROPRIATE PRODUCTS WILL BE ADJUSTED TO
FIT EXPECTED CONDITIONS. IT WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON
SATURDAY...TO REACH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

BULLER
&&

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM MDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042.

     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR KSZ027-041.

NE...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM MDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NEZ079>081.

CO...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR COZ090.

     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ253-254.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR COZ091-092.

&&

WFO GOODLAND

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
137 PM MDT THU MAY 22 2008

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-231600-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
137 PM MDT THU MAY 22 2008 /237 PM CDT THU MAY 22 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

...DANGEROUS SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON...

SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY WITH LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES.
STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE INSTABILITY WILL CREATE THE
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW LONG TRACKED TORNADOES. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY
DANGEROUS SITUATION AND PEOPLE ACROSS THE TRI STATE AREA SHOULD BE
PREPARED FOR POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF
A JOES TO SELKIRK LINE. STORMS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY TO THE NORTH...HOWEVER
IF TRAINING OF STORMS OCCURS...AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 70.

IN ADDITION...STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE...
WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED AT 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS OF UP TO 50 MPH. AREAS OF BLOWING DIRT MAY ALSO
DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN COUNTRY.

EXTREME FIRE WEATHER WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON IN THE SOUTHWEST
PORTION OF THE AREA...GENERALLY SOUTH OF A FLAGLER COLORADO TO
RUSSEL SPRINGS KANSAS LINE. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COMBINED WITH
VERY STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS BURNING
CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A SURFACE TROUGH REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE TRI-STATE REGION
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS MAINLY
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS MAINLY THE EASTERN SECTIONS. ADDITIONAL CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS A RESULT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE REQUIRED.

JRM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
618 PM MDT THU MAY 22 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0534 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST KIRK                    39.62N 102.60W
05/22/2008  M60 MPH          YUMA               CO   MESONET

0532 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S BURLINGTON          39.25N 102.27W
05/22/2008  M62 MPH          KIT CARSON         CO   ASOS

&&

MBULLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
629 PM MDT THU MAY 22 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0618 PM     HAIL             3 S PARK                39.07N 100.36W
05/22/2008  E0.75 INCH       GOVE               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SJOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
637 PM MDT THU MAY 22 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0637 PM     HAIL             8 N QUINTER             39.18N 100.23W
05/22/2008  E1.00 INCH       SHERIDAN           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MENTZER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
641 PM MDT THU MAY 22 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0639 PM     HAIL             15 S NORTON             39.62N 99.89W
05/22/2008  E1.75 INCH       NORTON             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWER OUTAGES ALSO REPORTED.

&&

MENTZER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
654 PM MDT THU MAY 22 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0648 PM     HAIL             12 S NORTON             39.66N 99.89W
05/22/2008  E0.88 INCH       NORTON             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ALSO REPORTED.

&&

MENTZER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
718 PM MDT THU MAY 22 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0627 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N LEBANON             40.09N 100.28W
05/22/2008                   RED WILLOW         NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LIGHT POLES SNAPED AND GARAGE DESTROYED. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

SJOHNSON