Flash Flood Warning 23, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
921 PM CDT THU APR 17 2008

.UPDATE...
ANOTHER UPDATE WAS DONE TO INCLUDE WW206...REMOVE THE COUNTIES THAT
WERE IN WW205 THAT WERE NOT INCLUDED IN WW206. ANOTHER UPDATE WILL
BE SENT SHORTLY TO REMOVE A COUPLE OF COUNTIES FROM WW205.  #58

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 830 PM CDT THU APR 17 2008/

UPDATE...
HAVE CLEARED FIVE NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES FROM WW204...EASTLAND...
JACK...MONTAGUE...STEPHENS AND YOUNG. #58

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 632 PM CDT THU APR 17 2008/

AVIATION...
632 PM CDT

THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING METRO TAF SITES. CHOSE TO INTRODUCE VCTS
AT 0030Z TO AVOID INITIAL PREVAILING CONDITION. LINE WILL AFFECT
SITES FOR AROUND 2 HOURS. WIND REPORTS FROM STORMS HAVE BEEN RATHER
PALTRY...EXPECT BULK OF WIND GUSTS AT METRO TAF SITES TO BE 35KTS OR
LESS FROM NW AS OUTFLOW PRECEDES STORMS AND EFFECTIVE COLD FRONT
TRAILS CONVECTION. DRYLINE CONVECTION HAS BEGUN EAST OF SAN ANGELO...
AND WILL IMPACT WACO LATE IN THE EVENING.

COLD-AIR STRATUS BANK IS CURRENTLY WELL BEHIND THE FRONT ACROSS
PANHANDLE. MVFR CIGS LIKELY LATE TONIGHT...AND WILL GRADUALLY LIFT
AFTER DAYBREAK AS FRONTAL LAYER DEEPENS...SCATTERING BY LATE MORNING.
25

UPDATE...
545 PM CDT

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 6 PM. #58

PREV DISCUSSION..
231 PM CDT

RATHER WEAK THUNDERSTORM SET-UP (FOR APRIL) IS IN PLACE ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS AND EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
IS SLOWLY DIGGING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE NATIONS MID SECTION WHILE THE
FRONT IS CURRENTLY NEAR A LINE FROM LAWTON TO GRAHAM TO SWEETWATER.
DEW POINTS ACROSS THE AREA ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S WITH A FEW
SITES IN THE LOWER 60S. PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER HAS INHIBITED MUCH
SURFACE HEATING TODAY...ALTHOUGH SOME BREAKS ARE NOTED IN VISIBLE
SATELLITE. THESE TWO FACTORS WILL RESULT IN WEAK SBCAPE VALUES.

THE STRONG CAP EVIDENT ON THE 12Z FWD SOUNDING WILL CONTINUE TO
ERODE AS THE COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVE CLOSER AND
LIFT INCREASES. UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR SUGGESTS THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ORGANIZE INTO A LINEAR SYSTEM AS THE FRONT MOVES EAST. EXPECT THE
LINE OF CONVECTION TO REACH THE METROPLEX IN THE 5 PM TO 7 PM TIME
FRAME. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL...ALTHOUGH DAMAGING
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SUFFICIENT DRY AIR AVAILABLE IN THE
MID LEVELS. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME ELEVATED THIS
EVENING ONCE THE FRONT CATCHES UP TO THEM. MOST OF NORTH TEXAS HAS
A VERY GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THIS
SYSTEM SWEEPS THROUGH. BY TOMORROW MORNING...PRECIP SHOULD ONLY BE
AFFECTING THE EASTERN COUNTIES AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE
AREA.

THIS WEEKEND LOOKS NICE WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE LOWER 80S
BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. BY THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK A
LARGE BOWLING BALL LOW WILL ROTATE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
ATTEMPT TO PUSH A COLD FRONT SOUTH AS IT DOES SO. MODELS STALL THE
FRONT OUT OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES AS THIS SYSTEM PIVOTS
INTO CANADA. LOW RAIN CHANCES REMAIN IN THE FORECAST NEXT WEEK AS
THIS FRONT WAVERS IN THE VICINITY OF THE RED RIVER.  SH/13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  50  68  50  81  59 /  70  10   0   0   0
WACO, TX              52  72  49  81  60 / 100  10   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             51  64  47  78  56 /  80  20   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            49  68  47  81  60 /  60   5   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          52  69  47  79  57 / 100  10   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            50  71  52  81  61 / 100  10   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           55  67  49  79  57 /  90  20   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         55  68  49  79  58 /  90  20   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            55  71  48  80  57 / 100  10   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

58/58

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
600 PM CDT THU APR 17 2008

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-181100-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
600 PM CDT THU APR 17 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT...IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY MORNING...ENDING BY MIDDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...
WITH A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS EVENING ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A
LINE FROM GOLDTHWAITE...TO DALLAS/FORT WORTH...TO SHERMAN/DENISON.
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NORTH
TEXAS FROM LATE EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

26/25

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>