Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 87, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

September 9, 2008Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 9, 2008, 7:18 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 9, 2008, 7:18 PM MST (02:18 UTC)
Expired
Sep 9, 2008, 7:45 PM MST
In force
27 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon

County Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 00:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 141 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2008-09-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 369 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2008-09-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -22 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
369 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-60 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2519 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 9, 3:25 PM MST, 3 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 9, 3:25 PM MST, 3 hours 53 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 9, 10:00 AM MST, 9 hours 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1000 AM MST TUE SEP 9 2008

AZZ004>018-037>040-100700-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-KAIBAB PLATEAU-COCONINO PLATEAU-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
CHINLE VALLEY-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
BLACK MESA AREA-LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-
1000 AM MST TUE SEP 9 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN
GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALREADY IN PROGRESS THIS
MORNING ACROSS EASTERN ARIZONA. ELSEWHERE...INCREASING MOISTURE AND
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER NEVADA WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED STORM
DEVELOPMENT BY 11 AM MST OVER THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

STORMS TODAY WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. MOST STORMS
WILL CONTAIN BRIEF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL. ISOLATED
STRONGER STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR THESE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN
YAVAPAI COUNTY...SOUTHERN COCONINO COUNTY...NORTHERN GILA COUNTY AND
PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHERN NAVAJO AND APACHE COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH ISOLATED SEVERE ACTIVITY STILL POSSIBLE. A DRYING TREND
WILL DEVELOP BY FRIDAY...INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 9, 6:42 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai33 min
Sep 10, 11:54 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai36 min
Sep 10, 12:11 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZNavajo34 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2008Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.