Severe Thunderstorm Warning 169, NWS Grand Forks, ND

000 
WWUS53 KFGF 290428
SVSFGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1128 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2008

NDC035-039-063-091-290500-
/O.CON.KFGF.SV.W.0169.000000T0000Z-080729T0500Z/
GRAND FORKS ND-GRIGGS ND-STEELE ND-NELSON ND-
1128 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN GRAND FORKS...NORTHEASTERN GRIGGS...SOUTHEASTERN
NELSON AND NORTHERN STEELE COUNTIES...

AT 1124 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THE STORM
WAS LOCATED 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ANETA...OR 44 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
GRAND FORKS...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE ABOUT...
  7 MILES NORTH OF GOLDEN LAKE BY 1155 PM CDT...

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT
TUESDAY MORNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA AND EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4778 9797 4774 9770 4756 9758 4757 9791
      4760 9830 4778 9831
TIME...MOT...LOC 0428Z 265DEG 21KT 4766 9791

$$

DK/JK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1047 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2008

.SHORT TERM...03Z OBSERVATIONS AND REGIONAL RADAR TRENDS ARE
SHOWING THE SURFACE FRONT HAS REACHED CENTRAL ND. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY IS SHOWING A STRONG VORTICITY CENTER HAS ENTERED
SOUTHWESTERN MANITOBA AND CONTRIBUTED TO DYNAMIC DESTABILIZATION
ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN FA. SOUTHERN MANITOBA CONVECTION APPEARS
TO HAVE CRESTED THE RIDGE AND SHOULD FOLLOW THE 1000-500 MB
THICKNESS SOUTHEASTWARD INTO NORTHEASTERN ND AND NORTHWESTERN MN.
ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX HAS FORMED IN THE DEVILS LAKE BASIN.
IT IS EXPECTED THAT THESE THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS WILL MERGE INTO
ONE MCS BY 06Z.

AFTER COORDINATION WITH SPC...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL ND COUNTIES AND MN COUNTIES ALONG AND EAST OF THE
HIGHWAY 59 CORRIDOR UNTIL 4 AM TUESDAY.

.AVIATION...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND
PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS
ARE CURRENTLY OVER DVL AND SHOULD REACH GFK BY 05Z. TVF SHOULD BE
IMPACTED BY THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 06Z AND 07Z.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 4 AM TUESDAY FOR ALL COUNTIES.
MN...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 4 AM TUESDAY FOR COUNTIES
ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 59.

&&

BRAMER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1141 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2008

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-291200-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
1141 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2008

...MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH
DAKOTA INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF MINNESOTA...

...SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON...MAINLY
NORTH OF A LINE FROM COOPERSTOWN TO BEMIDJI.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM MID-
AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDNIGHT FOR AREAS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
COOPERSTOWN TO FARGO TO FERGUS FALLS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THIS AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. LARGE
HAIL...STRONG WINDS...AND TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS NORTH OF THE MODERATE
RISK AREA. LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS
ACROSS THIS AREA. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

TG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
906 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0857 PM     HAIL             3 WSW BAKER             48.14N 99.71W
07/28/2008  E0.75 INCH       BENSON             ND   PUBLIC

&&

BBRAMER