Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 168, NWS Grand Forks, ND

July 28, 2008Grand Forks County, Nelson County, North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 28, 2008, 10:42 PM CDT for Grand Forks County, Nelson County, North Dakota. It was in force for 63 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 28, 2008, 10:42 PM CDT (03:42 UTC)
Expired
Jul 28, 2008, 11:45 PM CDT
In force
63 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Grand Forks County, ND, Nelson County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 28, 9:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 3.7 hours before the alert went out and 339 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2008-07-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4093 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2008-07-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 100 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4093 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
826 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
360 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
4.8
Supercell composite
26.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 28, 3:47 PM CDT, 6 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 28, 3:47 PM CDT, 6 hours 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
347 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2008

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS SHORT WAVE WITH PRECIPITATION IN NORTHERN MN.
PRECIPITATION SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING EAST OUT OF THE AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. CURRENT LIS ARE ABOUT -8 ALONG THE
ND/SD BORDER. BEST MOISTURE SURFACE FLUX CONVERGENCE WAS ALONG THE
ND/SD BORDER AND IN WESTERN ND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. MID LEVEL CAP
WAS LOCATED ACROSS SD. SURFACE LOW WAS LOCATED NEAR FAITH SD WITH A
TROUGH EXTENDING INTO WESTERN ND. EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
ACROSS SOUTHERN ND THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND MOVE
EAST/SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. WILL KEEP HIGHEST POPS SOUTH.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH/JET/COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT.
POCKET OF INSTABILITY REMAINS OVER EASTERN ND AT 06Z/29 WHICH SHIFTS
INTO THE EASTERN ZONES BY 12Z/29.  WILL INTRODUCE A LITTLE MORE QPF
IN WESTERN ZONES LATE TONIGHT AND EASTERN ZONES TUE MORNING. HOWEVER
CAPES WILL BE LOW AT THAT TIME OF THE MORNING. COLD CORE LOW ALOFT
COULD PRODUCE SHOWERS TUE AFTERNOON IN THE FAR NORTHEAST ZONES BUT
WILL LEAVE OUT FOR NOW AS MOST OF THE SHOWERS SHOULD FALL IN
SOUTHWEST ONTARIO.

NEXT INSTABILITY AND CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED WED NIGHT
AND THU.

&&
.LONG TERM (FRI-MON)...
MODELS ARE HAVING TIMING ISSUES FOR THIS PERIOD. RIDGING ALOFT WILL
TRY TO BUILD INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS...BUT THE TRUE RIDGE ALOFT
WILL STILL REMAIN JUST TO OUR WEST. THIS WILL MEAN TEMPS NEAR NORMAL
AND FAIRLY DRY WEATHER. FOR NOW WILL NOT MENTION ANY
STORMS...ALTHOUGH CAN/T RULE OUT THE POTENTIAL.

&&

.AVIATION...
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS BEFORE THE THREAT FOR THUNDER MOVES INTO THE
AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS SHOULD LOWER INTO THE MVFR RANGE
NEAR ANY STORMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...BEFORE DRIER AIR FILTERS
INTO THE REGION BY TUESDAY.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.

&&

HOPPES/KELLENBENZ
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 28, 11:41 AM CDT, 11 hours 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1141 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2008

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-291200-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
1141 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2008

...MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH
DAKOTA INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF MINNESOTA...

...SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON...MAINLY
NORTH OF A LINE FROM COOPERSTOWN TO BEMIDJI.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM MID-
AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDNIGHT FOR AREAS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
COOPERSTOWN TO FARGO TO FERGUS FALLS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THIS AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. LARGE
HAIL...STRONG WINDS...AND TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS NORTH OF THE MODERATE
RISK AREA. LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS
ACROSS THIS AREA. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

TG

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 28, 9:06 PM CDT, 1 hour 36 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
906 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0857 PM     HAIL             3 WSW BAKER             48.14N 99.71W
07/28/2008  E0.75 INCH       BENSON             ND   PUBLIC

&&

BBRAMER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 28, 11:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFPolk62 min
Jul 29, 12:38 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGFPolk3 hr
Jul 29, 12:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClay, Norman, Polk54 min
Jul 29, 1:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clay, Mahnomen, Norman, Polk64 min
Jul 29, 2:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clearwater, Hubbard53 min
Jul 28, 8:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBenson39 min
Jul 28, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBenson, Ramsey61 min
Jul 28, 10:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBenson, Nelson, Ramsey, Walsh59 min
Jul 28, 10:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBenson, Nelson, Ramsey60 min
Jul 28, 11:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrand Forks, Griggs, Nelson, Steele60 min
Jul 28, 11:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFCavalier, Ramsey, Towner59 min
Jul 29, 1:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrand Forks, Nelson, Walsh28 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2008Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.