Severe Thunderstorm Warning 6, NWS Kansas City, MO

000 
WWUS53 KEAX 310921
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
420 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

KSC005-310930-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0006.000000T0000Z-080331T0945Z/
ATCHISON KS-
420 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN ATCHISON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

AT 418 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
AREA...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. 
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN PLEASANT HILL.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT MONDAY
MORNING FOR NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 4006 9522 3978 9493 3976 9494 3964 9529
      3965 9534 3969 9535 3970 9534 3991 9534
TIME...MOT...LOC 0920Z 226DEG 46KT 3973 9535

$$

KSC043-MOC087-310945-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0006.000000T0000Z-080331T0945Z/
DONIPHAN KS-HOLT MO-
420 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
HOLT AND DONIPHAN COUNTIES UNTIL 445 AM CDT...

AT 418 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR EVEREST...OR 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HIGHLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  DENTON BY 425 AM CDT.
  HIGHLAND BY 430 AM CDT.
  7 MILES NORTHWEST OF TROY BY 435 AM CDT.
  7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FOREST CITY BY 440 AM CDT.
  OREGON BY 445 AM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF SEVERANCE...BENDENA...FANNING AND IOWA POINT ARE ALSO IN
THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE
HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE
TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN PLEASANT HILL.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT MONDAY
MORNING FOR NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 4006 9522 3978 9493 3976 9494 3964 9529
      3965 9534 3969 9535 3970 9534 3991 9534
TIME...MOT...LOC 0920Z 226DEG 46KT 3973 9535

$$

21

000 
WWUS53 KEAX 310937
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
437 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

KSC043-MOC087-310945-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0006.000000T0000Z-080331T0945Z/
DONIPHAN KS-HOLT MO-
437 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
HOLT AND DONIPHAN COUNTIES UNTIL 445 AM CDT...

AT 432 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HIGHLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45
MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OREGON BY 440 AM CDT.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE
HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE
TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN PLEASANT HILL.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT MONDAY
MORNING FOR NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 4006 9522 3978 9493 3976 9494 3969 9515
      3967 9529 3968 9532 3970 9534 3991 9534
TIME...MOT...LOC 0937Z 231DEG 46KT 3986 9513

$$

21

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
400 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

.DISCUSSION...

INTERESTING SCENARIO WITH A COUPLE OF SHORT WAVES EMBEDDED IN
TROUGHING OVER THE WEST. ONE WAVE THIS MORNING IN NORTHWEST KANSAS
WILL BE MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA BY MID MORNING...WHILE A
SECOND WAVE IN NEW MEXICO AT 12Z WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE BY 18Z. A STRONG UPPER JET IN THE BASE OF THE
TROUGH WILL BE CUTTING ACROSS TEXAS TODAY...BUT AN OFFSHOOT OF THIS
JET WILL BE DEVELOPING WITH ACROSS KANSAS AND INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA
WITH THE FIRST SHORT WAVE. ALREADY SEEING THE EFFECTS OF THESE TWO
WAVES WITH A CLUSTER OF STORMS ACROSS NORTHEAST KANSAS AND A SECOND
CLUSTER ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

FOR THIS MORNING...EXPECT STORMS IN KANSAS TO CONTINUE TO TRACK TO
THE NORTHEAST ACROSS NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF FORECAST AREA. THESE
STORMS WILL BE ELEVATED TO THE NORTH OF A SURFACE LOW THAT WILL BE
MOVING TO NEAR TOPEKA BY 12Z. MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE
HAIL. MAY ALSO SEE SCATTERED STORMS DEVELOPING IN THE WARM
SECTOR...BUT MAIN SHOW FOR STORMS IN THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE WITH
THE COLD FRONT AS IT SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION MAINLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. ONE INHIBITING FACTOR FOR STORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE
THE PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER...SO DESPITE AREA COMING INTO THE WARM
SECTOR OF THE STORM...TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE A BIT. STILL MODELS
ADVERTISE SBCAPES CLIMBING INTO THE 1000 TO 1200 RANGE THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH RAPIDLY WEAKENING CAP.
UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR PROFILES WOULD SUPPORT HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
WITH BOWING SEGMENTS THAT DEVELOP WITH STORMS ON THE FRONT...WITH
THE TORNADIC THREAT LESS LIKELY THIS FAR NORTH.

SEVERE THREAT WILL END WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE...AND THE COLDER AND
DRIER AIR POURS IN BEHIND THE FRONT TONIGHT. NEXT CHANCE OF STORMS
WILL ARRIVE LATER ON WEDNESDAY AS NEXT IN THE SERIES OF SHORT WAVE
TROUGHS HEADS TO THE REGION MID WEEK.

PC

&&

.AVIATION...
/1239 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008/
FOR THE 06Z TAFS...WARM FRONT ABOUT 50-75 MILES SOUTH OF THE KC
METRO WILL LIFT VERY SLOWLY NWD THROUGH THE NIGHT...REACHING KCI AT
AROUND 13Z. IFR-VLIFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL WARM FRONTAL PASSAGE
WITH VSBYS POSSIBLY LOWERING TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY
AT STJ AND MCI. ISENTROPIC LIFT NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT WILL TRIGGER
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 08Z AND 11Z.

ONCE THE WARM FRONT MOVES THROUGH JUST AFT SUNRISE...CONDITIONS WILL
IMPROVE TO MVFR. A COLD FRONT WILL TRIGGER A LINE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTN HOURS WITH A WIND SHIFT TO
THE NW AFT 21Z. MVFR CIGS WILL LINGER BEHIND THE FRONT UNTIL AROUND
03Z.

DB

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
100 PM CDT SUN MAR 30 2008

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-311100-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
100 PM CDT SUN MAR 30 2008

...SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN
KANSAS THIS EVENING...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A WARM FRONT THAT
WILL BE STEADILY LIFTING THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE COOL CONDITIONS
AT THE SURFACE...A WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS ALOFT AND
INCREASING WIND SHEAR WILL ALLOW SOME OF THESE STORMS TO BECOME
SEVERE OVERNIGHT AS THEY PUSH INTO EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS AND
NORTHWEST MISSOURI. LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IS
POSSIBLE...WITH THE GREATEST THREAT NORTHWEST OF A KANSAS CITY TO
TRENTON LINE AFTER 9 PM. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THIS
ACTIVITY WITH AMOUNTS GREATER THAN ONE INCH EXPECTED LOCALLY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING IN NORTHERN MISSOURI AT THE START OF
THE DAY ON MONDAY...GENERALLY TO THE NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT. HEAVY
RAIN WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT FROM THIS ACTIVITY.

FURTHER SOUTH...A WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS WILL QUICKLY OVERSPREAD THE
AREA AS SOUTHERLY WINDS BECOME QUITE GUSTY. DEPENDING ON THE AMOUNT
OF SUNSHINE OBSERVED...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME QUITE
NUMEROUS ALONG AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT TOMORROW AFTERNOON...WITH THE
THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER INCREASING DURING THE MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE LIKELY TO ACCOMPANY
MANY OF THESE STORMS. THERE IS ALSO A SMALL CHANCE THAT DISCRETE
SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...
POSING AN ADDITIONAL THREAT FOR TORNADOES. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
SWEEP EAST OF THE REGION BEFORE 9 PM.

HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT OCCUR OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT INTO THE DAY MONDAY. ALSO WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING IS NOT
EXPECTED...PROLONGED OR REPEATED HEAVY RAINFALL COULD QUICKLY
PRODUCE ONE TO TWO INCH RAIN AMOUNTS IN A GIVEN LOCATION...RESULTING
IN LOCALIZED FLOODING.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT MAINLY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS
AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI...AND MAY BE NEEDED OVER MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK
AREA DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY..ESPECIALLY AFTER 2 PM. GIVEN THE VERY
STRONG WIND FIELDS ALOFT...THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE
QUICKLY...SO SPOTTERS ARE URGED TO BE PREPARED FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

BOOKBINDER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
343 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

MOZ002-011-012-310915-
ANDREW-HOLT-NODAWAY-
343 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR HOLT...NORTHWESTERN ANDREW AND
SOUTHERN NODAWAY COUNTIES UNTIL 415 AM CDT...

AT 338 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WHITE CLOUD...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF
HIGHLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOUND CITY BY 350 AM CDT.
  8 MILES NORTHWEST OF FILLMORE BY 355 AM CDT.
  MAITLAND BY 405 AM CDT.
  8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SKIDMORE BY 410 AM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF GRAHAM AND ARKOE ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

PENNY SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

21