Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2008

River Flood Warning 77, NWS Kansas City, MO

April 10, 2008Carroll County, Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at Apr 10, 2008, 8:06 AM CDT for Carroll County, Missouri. It took effect at Apr 10, 2008, 1:32 PM CDT. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 10, 2008, 8:06 AM CDT (13:06 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 10, 2008, 1:32 PM CDT
Expired
Apr 10, 2008, 9:12 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Kansas City, MO
Flood severity
Minor

County Carroll County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Wakenda Creek at Carrollton (CAXM7). The gauge peaked at 15.64 ft at Apr 11, 2008, 6:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate510152004/1004/1104/12
Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
16 ft
Moderate stage
19 ft
Major stage
21 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06896000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KEAX 101306
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED          
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
806 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008
  

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A 
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON

AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

MOC033-111306-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0077.080410T1832Z-080412T1831Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.080410T1832Z.080411T0600Z.080411T1831Z.NO/
806 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:35 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 20.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      20   12.9   THU 08 AM   22.5 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$
3 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS83 KEAX 101500
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
1000 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN 
  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY 
  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK 
  LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE 
  MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE 
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE 
  SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BATES...CARROLL...
CASS...CHARITON...COOPER...HENRY...HOWARD...JOHNSON...LINN...
LIVINGSTON...MACON...PETTIS

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK 
  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...COOPER...
SALINE

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

MOC037-083-101-111500-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-080413T1250Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.080410T1332Z.080411T0600Z.080412T1250Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS AT THE WEST APPROACH TO THE N 
  HIGHWAY BRIDGE LOCATED 0.2 MILES WEST OF BLAIRSTOWN. FLOODING ALSO 
  OCCURS ACROSS B HIGHWAY NEAR BIG CREEK WHICH IS SEVERAL MILES 
  NORTHWEST OF BLAIRSTOWN.
* AT 20.0 FEET...THE WEST BANK OF THE CREEK BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BIG CREEK
  BLAIRSTOWN      20   20.6   THU 09 AM   24.5 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC101-159-111459-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-080412T2155Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.080410T1029Z.080411T0000Z.080411T2155Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:44 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.8 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 25.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY E NEAR VALLEY CITY AND HIGHWAY 23 
  NEAR THE PERRY STATE WILDLIFE AREA ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   25.8   THU 10 AM   28.0 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC053-195-111459-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-080415T1134Z/
/BLVM7.2.ER.080409T0855Z.080412T1200Z.080414T1134Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 30.0 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 29.0 FEET...LIVESTOCK IN PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER MAY BE 
  ENDANGERED. IN ADDITION...EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO CROPLAND AND PASTURE 
  OCCURS.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   27.3   THU 09 AM   30.0 SATURDAY MORNING

$$

MOC041-121-111459-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0072.080410T2207Z-080413T0648Z/
/PRIM7.1.ER.080410T2207Z.080411T1200Z.080412T0648Z.UU/
1000 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.3 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   12.0   THU 09 AM   18.3 FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC115-117-111459-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-080413T0200Z/
/CHZM7.1.ER.080409T0656Z.080411T1200Z.080412T0200Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 27.8 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* AT 24.0 FEET...LOW-LYING CROPLAND FLOODS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  CHILLICOTHE     24   22.7   THU 09 AM   27.8 FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-111459-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-080414T1522Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.080409T0754Z.080412T1200Z.080413T1522Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 34.0 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE SUNDAY
  MORNING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   32.0   THU 09 AM   34.0 SATURDAY MORNING

$$

MOC033-041-111459-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0073.080411T0359Z-080415T0000Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.080411T0359Z.080412T0600Z.080414T0000Z.UU/
1000 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 19.8 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS OCCURS ALONG THE WEST 
  BANK OF THE GRAND RIVER NEAR THE U.S. HIGHWAY 24 BRIDGE...1 MILE 
  WEST OF BRUNSWICK.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  BRUNSWICK       19   17.3   THU 07 AM   19.8 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-111459-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0076.080410T1453Z-080412T1452Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.080410T1406Z.080411T0000Z.080411T1452Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 18.0 FEET...SOME GRAVEL ROADS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM 
  OTTERVILLE ARE UNDER WATER. IN ADDITION...STATE HIGHWAY 135...2 
  MILES NORTH OF CLIFTON CITY...MAY BE OVERTOPPED BY FLOOD WATERS.
* AT 15.0 FEET...LOW-LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

LAMINE RIVER
  OTTERVILLE      15   15.3   THU 09 AM   21.0 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC089-111459-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-080412T0720Z/
/FYTM7.1.ER.080410T1339Z.080410T1800Z.080411T0720Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY FRIDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW-LYING FIELDS ALONG MONITEAU CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MONITEAU CREEK
  FAYETTE         16   16.3   THU 09 AM   20.0 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC053-111459-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-080412T1710Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.080410T1029Z.080411T0600Z.080411T1710Z.NR/
1000 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:31 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 19.5 FEET...THE CREEK FLOODS U HIGHWAY ABOUT 4 MILES SOUTHEAST 
  OF BOONVILLE.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW-LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   18.2   THU 10 AM   22.0 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC013-037-083-111459-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-080413T1607Z/
/URHM7.2.ER.080408T2253Z.080411T0000Z.080412T1607Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:38 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ACROSS LOCATIONS WITHIN 0.5 TO 1.5 
  MILES OF THE RIVER. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE LOW-LYING PASTURES ALONG
  WITH CROPLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

SOUTH GRAND RIVER
  URICH           24   25.5   THU 08 AM   28.0 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC033-111459-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0077.080410T1832Z-080412T1831Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.080410T1832Z.080411T0600Z.080411T1831Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:35 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 20.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      20   12.9   THU 08 AM   22.5 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

SAW
000 
WGUS83 KEAX 102051
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
351 PM CDT THU APR 10 2008
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON...
LINN...LIVINGSTON...MACON

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN 
  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY 
  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER 
  LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE 
  MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE 
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE 
  SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH 
  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BATES...CARROLL...
CASS...CHARITON...COOPER...HENRY...HOWARD...JOHNSON...LINN...
LIVINGSTON...PETTIS...SALINE

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

MOC037-083-101-112051-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-080413T1250Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.080410T1332Z.080411T0600Z.080412T1250Z.NO/
351 PM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.4 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS AT THE WEST APPROACH TO THE N 
  HIGHWAY BRIDGE LOCATED 0.2 MILES WEST OF BLAIRSTOWN. FLOODING ALSO 
  OCCURS ACROSS B HIGHWAY NEAR BIG CREEK WHICH IS SEVERAL MILES 
  NORTHWEST OF BLAIRSTOWN.
* AT 20.0 FEET...THE WEST BANK OF THE CREEK BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BIG CREEK
  BLAIRSTOWN      20   23.4   THU 03 PM   24.5 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC101-159-112050-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-080412T2155Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.080410T1029Z.080411T0000Z.080411T2155Z.NO/
351 PM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:29 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.9 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 25.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY E NEAR VALLEY CITY AND HIGHWAY 23 
  NEAR THE PERRY STATE WILDLIFE AREA ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   26.9   THU 03 PM   28.0 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC053-195-112050-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-080415T1134Z/
/BLVM7.2.ER.080409T0855Z.080412T1200Z.080414T1134Z.NO/
351 PM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 30.0 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 29.0 FEET...LIVESTOCK IN PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER MAY BE 
  ENDANGERED. IN ADDITION...EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO CROPLAND AND PASTURE 
  OCCURS.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   28.7   THU 03 PM   30.0 SATURDAY MORNING

$$

MOC041-121-112050-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0072.080410T2215Z-080413T0648Z/
/PRIM7.1.ER.080410T2215Z.080411T1200Z.080412T0648Z.UU/
351 PM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.3 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   13.6   THU 03 PM   18.3 FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC115-117-112050-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-080412T1942Z/
/CHZM7.1.ER.080409T0656Z.080411T1200Z.080411T1942Z.NO/
351 PM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 25.1 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...LOW-LYING CROPLAND FLOODS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  CHILLICOTHE     24   21.9   THU 03 PM   25.1 FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-112050-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-080414T1522Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.080409T0754Z.080412T0000Z.080413T1522Z.NO/
351 PM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 33.6 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE SUNDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   32.0   THU 03 PM   33.6 FRIDAY EVENING

$$

MOC033-041-112050-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0073.080412T0000Z-080413T0600Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.080412T0000Z.080412T0000Z.080412T0600Z.UU/
351 PM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK.
* FROM FRIDAY EVENING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:36 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY
  EVENING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS OCCURS ALONG THE WEST 
  BANK OF THE GRAND RIVER NEAR THE U.S. HIGHWAY 24 BRIDGE...1 MILE 
  WEST OF BRUNSWICK.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  BRUNSWICK       19   17.5   THU 12 PM   19.0 FRIDAY EVENING

$$

MOC053-112050-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-080412T1452Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.080410T1406Z.080411T0000Z.080411T1452Z.NO/
351 PM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 18.0 FEET...SOME GRAVEL ROADS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM 
  OTTERVILLE ARE UNDER WATER. IN ADDITION...STATE HIGHWAY 135...2 
  MILES NORTH OF CLIFTON CITY...MAY BE OVERTOPPED BY FLOOD WATERS.
* AT 15.0 FEET...LOW-LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

LAMINE RIVER
  OTTERVILLE      15   19.6   THU 03 PM   21.0 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC089-112050-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-080412T0720Z/
/FYTM7.1.ER.080410T1339Z.080411T0000Z.080411T0720Z.NO/
351 PM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.6 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY FRIDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW-LYING FIELDS ALONG MONITEAU CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MONITEAU CREEK
  FAYETTE         16   18.8   THU 02 PM   19.6 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC053-112050-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-080412T1710Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.080410T1029Z.080411T0600Z.080411T1710Z.NR/
351 PM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:28 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 19.5 FEET...THE CREEK FLOODS U HIGHWAY ABOUT 4 MILES SOUTHEAST 
  OF BOONVILLE.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW-LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   19.6   THU 03 PM   22.0 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC013-037-083-112050-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-080413T1607Z/
/URHM7.2.ER.080408T2253Z.080411T0000Z.080412T1607Z.NO/
351 PM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:07 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.9 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...K HIGHWAY IS UNDER WATER APPROXIMATELY 1 MILE SOUTH 
  OF URICH. MANY OTHER ROADS ALONG THE RIVER ARE FLOODED AS WELL.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ACROSS LOCATIONS WITHIN 0.5 TO 1.5 
  MILES OF THE RIVER. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE LOW-LYING PASTURES ALONG
  WITH CROPLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

SOUTH GRAND RIVER
  URICH           24   26.9   THU 11 AM   28.0 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC033-112050-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-080412T1831Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.080410T2045Z.080411T0600Z.080411T1831Z.NO/
351 PM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 20.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      20   18.1   THU 01 PM   22.5 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

SAW
000 
WGUS83 KEAX 110212
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
912 PM CDT THU APR 10 2008
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL

MOC033-110242-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-080412T1831Z/
/CAXM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* AT  7:10 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 19.3 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 14.0 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      20   19.3   THU 07 PM   19.3 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 10, 6:30 AM CDT, 1 hour 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 10, 6:30 AM CDT, 1 hour 36 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
630 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008

...UPDATED AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 520 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008/

INTERESTING DAY IN STORE TO SAY THE LEAST. THE CURRENT TREND BASED
ON OBS AND RADAR IS FOR THE SURFACE LOW TO BASICALLY FOLLOW THE
STRONG CONVECTION OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA-ARKANSAS EASTWARD. THEREFORE
THE WARM FRONT HAS NOT STARTED ITS STRONG PUSH NORTHWARD...AND
SURFACE PROGS HAVE NOT YET CAUGHT ON. LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS IN REGION OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE HAS SO FAR NOT
PRODUCED SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF RAIN...HOWEVER THINK COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY WILL INCREASE AS IT GETS MORE HELP FROM BETTER JET
INTERACTION. DO THINK THAT PRECIP SHIELD TO THE SOUTHWEST WILL
EVENTUALLY TURN NORTHEAST AND MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA...AS THE
WHOLE SYSTEM STARTS TO TURN NORTHEAST. BUT BY THE TIME IT
DOES...NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE FLOOD WATCH AREA MAY BE OUT OF LUCK
FOR HEAVY RAIN. WILL LEAVE WATCH AS IS WITH THE SYSTEM YET TO MOVE
IN.

EXPECT PRESSURE GRADIENT TO TIGHTEN OVER NORTHERN MISSOURI THIS
MORNING AS THE SURFACE LOW STARTS TO TURN NORTH. HARD FOR FORECAST
AREA TO REACH WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA BASED ON PRESSURE GRADIENT
ALONE. PROGGED WINDS ARE BORDERLINE AND WITH SURFACE PROGS NOT IN
LINE WITH CURRENT OBS...HAVE DECIDED TO HOLD OFF. WILL ALSO HAVE TO
WATCH FOR STRONG WINDS MIXING DOWN UNDER DRY SLOT REGION THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THIS SCENARIO IS MORE LIKELY TO YIELD
WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. IF ENOUGH BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS OCCUR...MAY
HAVE TO ISSUE WIND ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL KANSAS AND WESTERN
MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. BUT FOR NOW...HAVE OPTED
TO HOLD OFF DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN AMOUNT OF CLEARING AND MIXING.

NEXT CONCERN IS POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS
PREVIOUS SHIFT ALLUDED TO...THIS WILL LIKELY BE DEPENDENT ON
INSTABILITY AND THE POSITION OF THE SURFACE LOW/WARM FRONT/DRY LINE.
DUE TO INTERACTIONS OF CURRENT CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH...SIGNIFICANT
UNCERTAINTY REMAINS AS TO WHERE THESE FEATURES WILL LINE UP BY THIS
AFTERNOON. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF RIGHT ALONG THE WARM
FRONT...DAMAGING WIND AND POSSIBLY HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.
LOW TOP SUPERCELLS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY BE POSSIBLE IF
FEATURES COME TOGETHER JUST RIGHT.

STILL LOOKS LIKE THE STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO IOWA TONIGHT.
EFFECTS OF LARGE UPPER LOW AND CYCLONIC FLOW WILL LINGER ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH SATURDAY. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW AIRMASS COLD ENOUGH
TO SUPPORT RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA.
SIGNIFICANT SNOW IS NOT EXPECTED.

NRR

EXPECT SOME SUNSHINE TO OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON...AFTER THE MORNING
ROUND OF CONVECTION...AS THE WARM FRONT PROGRESSES NORTHWARD THROUGH
THE CWA...AND THE DRY SLOT PUSHES INTO WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI.
TEMPERATURES WILL STEADILY CLIMB...AND HOW HIGH THESE TEMPERATURES
GET WILL PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE IN THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL
LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

LATER TONIGHT COLDER AIR WILL BE ADVECTED INTO THE NW CWA AROUND THE
SURFACE LOW AS IT CONTINUES ITS NORTHEASTWARD TRACK INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL IOWA.

THE WEEKEND WILL START OUT VERY CHILLY...WITH HIGHS IN THE KANSAS
CITY AREA ONLY REACHING THE MIDDLE 40S.  SUNDAY LOOKS TO USHER IN A
WARMING TREND AS A MID LEVEL RIDGE MOVES INTO THE REGION.  HOWEVER
NIGHTTIME TEMPERATURES FOR BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL DROP BELOW
NORMAL CAUSING CONCERN FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF FROST.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY LOOK TO BE VERY PROMISING WITH ABOVE NORMAL HIGH
TEMPS.

MJS

&&

.AVIATION...

MAIN BATCH OF WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION SURGING NORTHWARD ACROSS
EASTERN KANSAS/WESTERN MISSOURI EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS SHOULD REACH
THE KC TERMINALS INT HE NEXT HOURS OR SO. AREAS OF EMBEDDED THUNDER
ALSO NOTED SO KEPT MENTION IN THE TAFS. OTHERWISE...DRY SLOT EXPECTED
TO SWEEP IN BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON TO HELP BREAK CLOUDS A BIT.
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.

DEROCHE

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 AM FRIDAY FOR MOZ003-MOZ004-MOZ005-MOZ006-
     MOZ007-MOZ008-MOZ012-MOZ013-MOZ014-MOZ015-MOZ016-MOZ017-
     MOZ020-MOZ021-MOZ022-MOZ023-MOZ024-MOZ025-MOZ028-MOZ029-
     MOZ030-MOZ031-MOZ032-MOZ033-MOZ037-MOZ038-MOZ039-MOZ040-
     MOZ043-MOZ044-MOZ045-MOZ046-MOZ053-MOZ054.

KS...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 AM FRIDAY FOR KSZ025-KSZ057-KSZ060-KSZ102-
     KSZ103-KSZ104-KSZ105.
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 10, 5:59 AM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
559 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-111100-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
559 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTH
ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS MORNING...BRINGING ADDITIONAL AREAL AND
RIVER FLOODING. BY EARLY AFTERNOON...SOME CLEARING MAY BEGIN TO TAKE
PLACE IN EASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI. IF IT DOES...THE
INSTABILITY WILL BE INCREASING...RESULTING IN STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND AND POSSIBLY
LARGE HAIL. A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON THE
LOCATION OF THE WARM FRONT AND AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

COLDER AIR WILL BE WRAPPING AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF THIS STORM SO
THAT ON FRIDAY...NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST KANSAS MAY SEE RAIN
CHANGING OVER TO SNOW. DURING THE FRIDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY
TIME FRAME...SNOW SHOWERS MAY OCCUR ACROSS NORTHEAST KANSAS AND THE
NORTHERN HALF OF MISSOURI. NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION FOR REPORTS OF FLOODING MAY BE NEEDED TODAY. SPOTTER
ACTIVATION FOR SEVERE WEATHER MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.

NRR

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 10, 7:24 AM CDT, 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
724 AM CDT THU APR 10 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0532 AM     FLOOD            N WINDSOR               38.53N 93.52W
04/10/2008                   HENRY              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            B HWY NORTH OF WINDOR CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0544 AM     FLOOD            11 S MARSHALL           38.96N 93.20W
04/10/2008                   SALINE             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            1 FOOT OF WATER FLOWING OVER ROAD 1 MILE EAST OF MARSHALL
            JUNCTION AT HWY65 AND I70

0700 AM     FLOOD            2 S WHITEMAN AFB        38.70N 93.55W
04/10/2008                   JOHNSON            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER ROADS AA HWY AT ELK CREEK WITH WATER OVER THE
            BRIDGE. 5-6 INCHES OF WATER OVER 23 HWY, 1/2 MILE SOUTH
            OF D HWY. SEVERAL COUNTY ROADS FLOODED ALONG BLACKWATER
            IN JOHNSON COUNTY, MO.

&&

DDEROCHE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 8:20 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXCass, Henry, Johnson43 hr
Apr 9, 8:20 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXJohnson, Pettis47 hr
Apr 9, 8:20 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXChariton, Macon47 hr
Apr 9, 8:20 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton5 days
Apr 9, 8:20 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXHoward32 hr
Apr 10, 3:27 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXCooper43 hr
Apr 10, 5:48 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningEAXBates, Carroll, Chariton, Cooper, Henry, Howard and 6 more6 hr
Apr 10, 7:10 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXCooper33 hr
Apr 10, 12:03 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton, Cooper, Howard, Johnson, Lafayette and 4 more4 days
Apr 10, 4:05 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXHarrison25 min
Apr 10, 4:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXClay, Jackson, Platte37 min
Apr 10, 4:22 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXMercer14 min
Apr 10, 4:27 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXPutnam, Sullivan33 min
Apr 10, 4:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCass, Clay, Jackson44 min
Apr 10, 5:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Clay, Jackson, Ray49 min
Apr 10, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCass, Jackson47 min
Apr 10, 5:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXPutnam, Sullivan29 min
Apr 10, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Putnam, Schuyler, Sullivan20 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2008Every river flood warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.