Flash Flood Warning 65, NWS Quad Cities, IA

000 
WGUS73 KDVN 131107
FFSDVN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
607 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

IAC057-087-101-111-115-177-ILC011-071-073-131-155-161-187-195-MOC045-
199-131545-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.W.0065.000000T0000Z-080913T1545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LEE IA-VAN BUREN IA-DES MOINES IA-JEFFERSON IA-HENRY IA-LOUISA IA-
PUTNAM IL-WHITESIDE IL-ROCK ISLAND IL-WARREN IL-HENDERSON IL-
MERCER IL-HENRY IL-BUREAU IL-CLARK MO-SCOTLAND MO-
607 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM CDT FOR
SCOTLAND...NORTHERN CLARK...BUREAU...HENRY...MERCER...NORTHERN
HENDERSON...NORTHWESTERN WARREN...SOUTHWESTERN ROCK ISLAND...SOUTHERN
WHITESIDE...NORTH CENTRAL PUTNAM...LOUISA...HENRY...SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON...DES MOINES...VAN BUREN AND LEE COUNTIES...

AT 559 AM CDT...REPORTS FROM TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS INDICATE 2 TO 
4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER PARTS OF THE WARNED AREA. MODERATE 
TO HEAVY RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE 
SAME AREAS.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WAPELLO... 
COLUMBUS JUNCTION...WALNUT...SHERRARD...PRINCETON...KEITHSBURG... 
CAMBRIDGE...AND ALEDO.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 IS EXPECTED DURING THE MORNING.

DO NOT DRIVE ON FLOODED ROADS. MOST FATALITIES OCCUR IN VEHICLES
SWEPT AWAY IN FLOOD WATERS AS SHALLOW AS 1 FOOT.

LAT...LON 4121 8965 4123 8966 4123 8986 4116 8988
      4116 9044 4072 9115 4030 9195 4030 9235
      4059 9236 4060 9219 4091 9219 4112 9168
      4116 9149 4133 9133 4133 9104 4174 8963
      4157 8963 4159 8917 4132 8917

$$

08

000 
WGUS73 KDVN 131221
FFSDVN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
721 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

IAC057-087-101-111-115-177-ILC011-071-073-131-155-161-187-195-MOC045-
199-131545-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.W.0065.000000T0000Z-080913T1545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LEE IA-VAN BUREN IA-DES MOINES IA-JEFFERSON IA-HENRY IA-LOUISA IA-
PUTNAM IL-WHITESIDE IL-ROCK ISLAND IL-WARREN IL-HENDERSON IL-
MERCER IL-HENRY IL-BUREAU IL-CLARK MO-SCOTLAND MO-
721 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM CDT FOR
SCOTLAND...NORTHERN CLARK...BUREAU...HENRY...MERCER...NORTHERN
HENDERSON...NORTHWESTERN WARREN...SOUTHWESTERN ROCK ISLAND...SOUTHERN
WHITESIDE...NORTH CENTRAL PUTNAM...LOUISA...HENRY...SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON...DES MOINES...VAN BUREN AND LEE COUNTIES...

AT 712 AM CDT...REPORTS COMING IN FROM TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS 
INDICATE 2 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS PARTS OF THE WARNED 
AREA. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO 
MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WAPELLO... 
TOOLESBORO...OLDS...COLUMBUS JUNCTION...WALNUT...MOLINE... 
KEITHSBURG...CAMBRIDGE...AND ALEDO.

AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING BEFORE 
ENDING.

DO NOT DRIVE ON FLOODED ROADS. MOST FATALITIES OCCUR IN VEHICLES
SWEPT AWAY IN FLOOD WATERS AS SHALLOW AS 1 FOOT.

LAT...LON 4121 8965 4123 8966 4123 8986 4116 8988
      4116 9044 4072 9115 4030 9195 4030 9235
      4059 9236 4060 9219 4091 9219 4112 9168
      4116 9149 4133 9133 4133 9104 4174 8963
      4157 8963 4159 8917 4132 8917

$$

08

000 
WGUS73 KDVN 131336
FFSDVN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
836 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

IAC057-087-101-111-115-177-ILC011-071-073-131-155-161-187-195-MOC045-
199-131545-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.W.0065.000000T0000Z-080913T1545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LEE IA-VAN BUREN IA-DES MOINES IA-JEFFERSON IA-HENRY IA-LOUISA IA-
PUTNAM IL-WHITESIDE IL-ROCK ISLAND IL-WARREN IL-HENDERSON IL-
MERCER IL-HENRY IL-BUREAU IL-CLARK MO-SCOTLAND MO-
836 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM CDT FOR
SCOTLAND...NORTHERN CLARK...BUREAU...HENRY...MERCER...NORTHERN
HENDERSON...NORTHWESTERN WARREN...SOUTHWESTERN ROCK ISLAND...SOUTHERN
WHITESIDE...NORTH CENTRAL PUTNAM...LOUISA...HENRY...SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON...DES MOINES...VAN BUREN AND LEE COUNTIES...

AT 825 AM CDT...SPOTTERS REPORT THAT 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAS 
FALLEN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER 
RADAR INDICATES THAT ANOTHER ROUND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL 
MOVE ACROSS THE WARNED AREA DURING THE NEXT TWO HOURS.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WINFIELD... 
WAPELLO...COLUMBUS JUNCTION...WALNUT...PRINCETON...MOLINE... 
KEWANEE... AND KEITHSBURG.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES IS EXPECTED.

DO NOT DRIVE ON FLOODED ROADS. MOST FATALITIES OCCUR IN VEHICLES
SWEPT AWAY IN FLOOD WATERS AS SHALLOW AS 1 FOOT.

LAT...LON 4121 8965 4123 8966 4123 8986 4116 8988
      4116 9044 4072 9115 4030 9195 4030 9235
      4059 9236 4060 9219 4091 9219 4112 9168
      4116 9149 4133 9133 4133 9104 4174 8963
      4157 8963 4159 8917 4132 8917

$$

08

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
256 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
EARLY THIS MORNING A WARM FRONT ORIGINATING AT LOW PRESSURE OVER
SW IOWA....EXTENDED ACROSS SOUTHERN IOWA INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS. A
COLD FRONT STRETCHED SW FROM THE LOW THROUGH SERN NE AND EASTERN
KS. A VERY MOIST WARM SECTOR WAS IN PLACE WITH A LARGE AREA OF LOW
70 DEW POINTS. WARM SECTOR H8 DEW POINTS WERE AROUND 15C. A LARGE
AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WAS LOCATED NEAR THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NRN IL AND SRN WI...SOUTHWEST INTO EASTERN
KS. SCATTERED TSRA WAS OCCURRING ALONG THE SOUTHERN FLANK OF THE
PCPN SHIELD.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN CONCERN WILL CONTINUE TO BE PCPN TRENDS THROUGH SUNDAY. NO
CHANGES ARE PLANNED FOR THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CURRENTLY IN PLACE
OVER THE ENTIRE CWFA UNTIL 18Z TODAY. AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN IS
CURRENTLY FROM NEAR MEMPHIS MO NORTHEAST THROUGH PROPHETSTOWN
ILLINOIS. EXPECT THIS AXIS SET UP OVER THE NORTHERN CWFA THIS
MORNING AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES THROUGH WESTERN AND CENTRAL IOWA.
PCPN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WILL DIMINISH OVER THE AREA BY 18Z AS
SURFACE WAVE MOVES INTO WISCONSIN BY THIS EVENING. TEMPS SHOULD
ONLY RISE ABOUT 5 DEGREES TODAY WITH ALL OF THE CLOUDS AND PCPN
OVER THE AREA. REMNANTS OF IKE ARE STILL FORECAST TO LIFT
NORTHEAST THROUGH OHIO VALLEY LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THIS WILL
PLACE THE WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS COUNTIES UNDER THE NORTHWEST EDGE
OF THE PCPN SHIELD. AT THIS POINT...WITH QPF AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE AROUND AND INCH OVER THE WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
COUNTIES...WILL HOLD OFF ON EXTENDING THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR
THE ILLINOIS SIDE OF THE RIVER. IF IKE TRACKS A LITTLE FURTHER TO
THE NW...THEN ANOTHER FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED. BASED ON
CURRENT EXPECTED MOVEMENT OF IKE...PCPN SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE
CWFA BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD BE THE END OF OUR
RECENT STRETCH OF WET WEATHER. HIGH PRESSURE IS PROGGED TO SETTLE
IN OVER THE AREA BY MONDAY AND REMAIN OVER OR NEARBY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE AREA FOR THE
BEGINNING OF THE WEEK. TEMPS WILL BE ON THE COOL SIDE MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WITH LOWS TUESDAY DIPPING INTO THE 40S. DAYTIME HIGHS FOR
MONDAY AND TUESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID AND UPPER 60S TO
LOW 70S. WARMER TEMPS WILL RETURN TO THE REGION MID TO LATE WEEK
AS THE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE EAST...ALLOWING RETURN FLOW TO BECOME
ESTABLISHED.

&&

.AVIATION...
OVERALL...CONDITIONS GENERALLY 3-5SM WITH CIGS 1-3KFT WITH POCKETS
OF CIGS BLO 1KFT AND VSBYS 2SM. TSRA GENERALLY CONFINED TO THE WARM
FRONT IN THE ZONE OF BEST WAA WHICH IS MOVG INTO NORTHEAST IL.
CONDITIONS GENERALLY NOT EXPECTED TO IMPROVE UNTIL AFTER 18Z AS THE
NEXT SFC WAVE MOVES NORTHEAST OF THE AREA. ONCE THE SFC WAVE
PASSES...CIGS/VSBYS SHOULD RAPIDLY IMPROVE TO VFR. WET GROUND SHOULD
RESULT IN VSBYS OF 3-5SM AFTER SUNSET. PRECIP SHIELD FROM IKE SHOULD
BEGIN ARRIVING AROUND 14/12Z.        ...08...

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR BENTON-
     BUCHANAN-CEDAR-CLINTON-DELAWARE-DES MOINES-DUBUQUE-HENRY IA-
     IOWA-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-KEOKUK-LEE-LINN-LOUISA-
     MUSCATINE-SCOTT-VAN BUREN-WASHINGTON.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR BUREAU-
     CARROLL-HANCOCK-HENDERSON-HENRY IL-JO DAVIESS-MCDONOUGH-
     MERCER-PUTNAM-ROCK ISLAND-STEPHENSON-WARREN-WHITESIDE.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR CLARK-
     SCOTLAND.

&&

DLF/DLF/08

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
500 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-131000-
BENTON IA-BUCHANAN IA-BUREAU IL-CARROLL IL-CEDAR IA-CLARK MO-
CLINTON IA-DELAWARE IA-DES MOINES IA-DUBUQUE IA-HANCOCK IL-
HENDERSON IL-HENRY IA-HENRY IL-IOWA IA-JACKSON IA-JEFFERSON IA-
JO DAVIESS IL-JOHNSON IA-JONES IA-KEOKUK IA-LEE IA-LINN IA-LOUISA IA-
MCDONOUGH IL-MERCER IL-MUSCATINE IA-PUTNAM IL-ROCK ISLAND IL-
SCOTLAND MO-SCOTT IA-STEPHENSON IL-VAN BUREN IA-WARREN IL-
WASHINGTON IA-WHITESIDE IL-
500 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SLOWLY SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE
AREA DURING THE DAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH
OF AN OTTUMWA IOWA TO PRINCETON ILLINOIS LINE. ANY THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DO DEVELOP TODAY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

TONIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE
AREA. HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH THE GREATEST THREAT NORTHWEST
OF A LINE FROM KEOSAUQUA IOWA...TO STERLING ILLINOIS...WHERE A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA. AT THIS TIME...THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DEVELOP TONIGHT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE INTO
EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND A FEW NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE ONGOING OVER MUCH OF THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING NEAR A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH EAST CENTRAL IOWA AND NORTHWEST
ILLINOIS.  ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE OVER THE AREA WILL FUEL THE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND COULD RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS.
AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE GREATEST HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD
THREAT SATURDAY MORNING WILL BE OVER NORTHWEST ILLINOIS THE BORDERING
EAST CENTRAL IOWA COUNTIES.

SUNDAY...THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE ARE FORECAST TO MOVE FROM
ARKANSAS INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY.  THIS PATH WILL PLACE THE
NORTHWEST EDGE OF IKES RAIN SHIELD OVER NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST
CENTRAL ILLINOIS.  AT THIS TIME IS APPEARS RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
LESS THAN AN INCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT. ANY RAINFALL
REPORTS OF AN INCH OR MORE WILL BE APPRECIATED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1130 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1120 PM     HEAVY RAIN       W NORWAY                41.90N 91.93W
09/12/2008  M1.20 INCH       BENTON             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MOST OF THIS RAIN SINCE 5 PM THIS EVENING.

&&

LE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1144 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

IAZ067-077-078-087>089-098-099-ILZ024-130630-
LEE IA-VAN BUREN IA-DES MOINES IA-JEFFERSON IA-HENRY IA-MUSCATINE IA-
WASHINGTON IA-LOUISA IA-MERCER IL-
1144 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...HEAVY RAINS CAUSING PONDING OF WATER AND RISING WATER LEVELS...

AND AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL HAVE AFFECTED
AREAS FROM KEOSAUQUA...THROUGH MOUNT PLEASANT...TO WAPELLO AND
MEDIAPOLIS IN THE PAST FEW HOURS.  THE HEAVY RAIN WITH THESE STORMS
HAS CAUSED PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS AND IN FARMLANDS...AND ELEVATED
WATER LEVELS IN ROADSIDE DITCHES...CREEKS AND STREAMS. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS SO FAR OF UP TO 2 INCHES HAVE BEEN REPORTED.  SOME LOCATIONS
MAY HAVE RECEIVED UP TO 3 INCHES WHERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PASSED.

IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS
POSSIBLE...WHICH MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND
STREAMS...AND ADDITIONAL PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS AND FARMLANDS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1147 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

IAZ067-068-078-ILZ015-016-024-130645-
SCOTT IA-MUSCATINE IA-LOUISA IA-ROCK ISLAND IL-MERCER IL-HENRY IL-
1147 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO CAUSE PONDING OF WATER AND RISING WATER
LEVELS...

AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
SCOTT...ROCK ISLAND...MERCER...AND HENRY COUNTIES IN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.  THE HEAVY RAIN WITH THESE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS AND IN FARMLANDS...AND ELEVATED WATER
LEVELS IN ROADSIDE DITCHES...CREEKS AND STREAMS.  SOME LOCALIZED
FLOODING MAY OCCUR...ESPECIALLY IN THE URBAN AREAS OF THE QUAD
CITIES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SO FAR OF UP TO 2 INCHES HAVE BEEN
REPORTED.  SOME LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVED UP TO 3 INCHES WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS PASS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1236 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1235 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SSE CEDAR RAPIDS      41.95N 91.66W
09/13/2008  M2.20 INCH       LINN               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

&&

DLF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
445 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0438 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NNE KEOSAUQUA         40.77N 91.94W
09/13/2008  M2.80 INCH       VAN BUREN          IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAINFALL SINCE 8 AM FRIDAY

&&

DLF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
449 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0438 AM     FLASH FLOOD      W STOCKPORT             40.86N 91.83W
09/13/2008                   VAN BUREN          IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER RESCUE WAS IN PROGRESS TO RESCUE MOTORIST THAT
            DROVE INTO A FLOODED FARM ROAD. THE WATER WAS REPORTED TO
            BE OVER THE HOOD OF THE SUV.

&&

DLF