Severe Thunderstorm Warning 360, NWS Des Moines, IA

000 
WWUS53 KDMX 280013
SVSDMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
713 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

IAC001-280023-
/O.CAN.KDMX.SV.W.0360.000000T0000Z-080628T0030Z/
ADAIR IA-
713 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ADAIR COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

AT 709 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING  MOVED OUT OF THE 
AREA...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. 
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT
SATURDAY MORNING FOR IOWA.

LAT...LON 4100 9434 4116 9426 4116 9425 4131 9425
      4128 9380 4116 9380 4116 9375 4097 9369
      4091 9374 4091 9401
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 280DEG 39KT 4120 9398 4100 9393
          4092 9398

$$

IAC039-121-175-280030-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0360.000000T0000Z-080628T0030Z/
UNION IA-CLARKE IA-MADISON IA-
713 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN MADISON...WESTERN CLARKE AND EASTERN UNION COUNTIES...

AT 709 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS REPORTED CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LORIMOR
TO MURRAY TO 7 MILES SOUTH OF THAYER...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
34 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DES MOINES TO 44 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DES MOINES
TO 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DES MOINES...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  TRURO BY 720 PM CDT...
  OSCEOLA BY 725 PM CDT...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 26 AND 43.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE
HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE
TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4100 9434 4116 9426 4116 9425 4131 9425
      4128 9380 4116 9380 4116 9375 4097 9369
      4091 9374 4091 9401
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 280DEG 39KT 4120 9398 4100 9393
          4092 9398

$$

ALBRECHT

000 
WWUS53 KDMX 280028
SVSDMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
728 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

IAC039-121-175-280038-
/O.EXP.KDMX.SV.W.0360.000000T0000Z-080628T0030Z/
UNION IA-CLARKE IA-MADISON IA-
728 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN MADISON...WESTERN
CLARKE AND EASTERN UNION COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 730 PM CDT...

AT 726 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED...AND NO
LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 4100 9434 4116 9426 4116 9425 4131 9425
      4128 9380 4116 9380 4116 9375 4097 9369
      4091 9374 4091 9401
TIME...MOT...LOC 0028Z 280DEG 39KT 4117 9377 4097 9372
          4089 9377

$$

ALBRECHT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
337 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT

ANOTHER INTERESTING FORECAST SCENARIO.  WE HAD AN MCV MOVE ACROSS
SRN IA WHICH PRODUCED CLEARING SKIES IN ITS WAKE.  THIS IS NOW
ALLOWING THE ATMOSPHERE TO DESTABILIZE AND WITH MID 60 DEWPOINTS AND
CAPES OF 2000-3000...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DEVELOPING OVER THE NEXT
HOUR OR SO.  TO OUR WEST...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS PUSHING THROUGH
THE DAKOTAS AND INTO NW IA.  A COUPLE OF VORT CENTERS ARE RIDING
THROUGH THE FLOW AND ENHANCING THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT.  MEANWHILE
AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE OVER MN HAS AN ATTENDANT COLD FRONT
OVER OVER SE SDKTA INTO NCEN NEB.  THIS FEATURE SHOULD BE THE MAIN
SHOW AS THUNDERSTORMS ERUPT AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE IN SOME VERY
MOISTURE RICH AND UNSTABLE AIR.  ONCE THE STORMS GET GOING THEY
SHOULD BE PROGRESSIVE AND PUSH SOUTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL IOWA THIS
EVENING.  THE ONE CAVEAT TO THIS SCENARIO IS THE GFS SOLUTION...
WHICH DEVELOPS AN MCS ALONG THE IA/MO BORDER AND TRUCKS THAT EAST
OVERNIGHT.  THE QPF THAT THE GFS PUTS OUT IS IN EXCESS OF 3
INCHES...WHICH WOULD NOT BE FAVORABLE.  IT IS HOWEVER THE OUTLIER SO
WHILE IT DESERVES MENTION GIVEN OUR PAST HEAVY RAINFALL...IT IS THE
LEAST FAVORED GIVEN THE CURRENT POSITION OF DEVELOPMENT.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
LARGE UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW OVER SOUTHERN MANITOBA WILL DIVE
SOUTHEAST IN TO SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BY SATURDAY MORNING THEN CLIP
ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA THROUGH THE DAY. THE 500 MB -20C COLD CORE
WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA BETWEEN
15Z-21Z. IF ANY SURFACE HEATING AT ALL CAN OCCUR AHEAD OF THE UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM AND ARRIVAL OF THE COLD CORE...WILL BECOME A CLASSIC
COLD CORE PULSE SEVERE CASE. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP IN THESE CASES
TEND TO BE PROFICIENT SMALL HAIL PRODUCERS WITH A FEW REACHING UP TO
SEVERE LIMITS. IN ADDITION WITH THE PULSE NATURE OF THE STORMS AND
UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW...MICROBURSTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE. WITH THE UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION PASSING OVERHEAD...CAN
NOT RULE OUT A FEW FUNNEL CLOUDS OVER THE NORTH DURING THE TIME
PERIOD SPECIFIED ABOVE. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL BE FAIRLY COOL WITH
HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 70S THOUGH CANNOT DISCOUNT POTENTIAL FOR
READINGS TO HOLD IN THE UPPER 60S NEAR THE MASON CITY AREA.

CYCLONIC FLOW WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY THOUGH BEST UPPER LEVEL ENERGY
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL BE TO THE EAST...A FEW
SHOWERS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE EAST ESPECIALLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. THE STATE WILL REMAIN UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH MID
NEXT WEEK. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW FROM THIS WEEKEND WILL LEAVE THE AREA
WASHED OUT SO TO SPEAK FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH ANY MOISTURE
SUPPRESSED WELL TO THE SOUTH. FOR WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND...HAVE
FOLLOWED THE MORE CONSISTENT AND PROGRESSIVE ECMWF WITH CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH THE BOUNDARY THEN SETTLING
JUST TO THE SOUTH IN MISSOURI TO END THE WEEK. PLACEMENT OF WHERE
THE BOUNDARY STALLS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDANT ON THE STRENGTH OF THE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA WHICH WILL IN
TURN BUILD A RIDGE THROUGH THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN WEST. THE STRONGER THE
RIDGE BECOMES TO THE WEST...THE FARTHER SOUTH THE SFC BOUNDARY WILL
LIKELY SETTLE THEN STALL.

&&

.AVIATION....27/18Z
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM A LOW OVER MN
WILL BE THE MAIN PLAYERS IN THE FORECAST.  THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP OVER SDKTA AND NEB AND ROLL ACROSS CENTRAL IOWA DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH MID EVENING HOURS.  MVFR/IFR COND WL LIFT TO
VFR COND THROUGH 22Z THEN THERE WILL BE LCL MVFR/IFR COND IN TSRA.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HIGHWAY 3
SOUTH TO MISSOURI BORDER UNTIL 00Z.

&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...FAB
LONG TERM...DONAVON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
425 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

IAZ026>028-036>039-046>050-057>062-070>075-081>086-092>097-282130-
FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-GREENE-
BOONE-STORY-MARSHALL-TAMA-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-POLK-JASPER-
POWESHIEK-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-WARREN-MARION-MAHASKA-ADAMS-UNION-
CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-DECATUR-WAYNE-
APPANOOSE-DAVIS-
425 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHEAST TWO THIRDS OF
CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS
EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND PUSH ACROSS THE
AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDNIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL IS
LIKELY WITH ANY STORM AND THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS WILL BE
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED
OUT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.
PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA...MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 20 ON SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TONIGHT...AND POSSIBLY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>025-033>035-044-045-282130-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-
POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-SAC-CALHOUN-WEBSTER-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-
425 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NORTHWEST THIRD OF CENTRAL
IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS
EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND PUSH ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH EARLY EVENING. HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY WITH ANY
STORM AND THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA NORTH OF HIGHWAY 20 ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
INTO THE EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND
POSSIBLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

FAB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
553 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0547 PM     HAIL             STUART                  41.50N 94.32W
06/27/2008  E1.00 INCH       ADAIR              IA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            REPORTED FROM KCCI

&&

MALBRECH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
605 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0557 PM     HAIL             4 SW EARLHAM            41.46N 94.19W
06/27/2008  E2.75 INCH       MADISON            IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            GOLF BALL TO BASEBALL SIZED HAIL AND 30 TO 40 MPH WINDS.

&&

CCOGIL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
640 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0638 PM     TSTM WND GST     SHELDAHL                41.86N 93.70W
06/27/2008  M67 MPH          STORY              IA   AMATEUR RADIO

            MEASURED GUST REPORTED BY AMATEUR RADIO

&&

MALBRECH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
642 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W CARBON              41.05N 94.84W
06/27/2008                   ADAMS              IA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            MACHINE SHED DESTROYED.

&&

STEACHOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
645 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0557 PM     HAIL             5 SW CARLISLE           41.45N 93.56W
06/27/2008  M0.88 INCH       WARREN             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

FBOKSA