Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 267, NWS Des Moines, IA

June 15, 2008Black Hawk County, Iowa

NWS Des Moines, IA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 15, 2008, 1:49 AM CDT for Black Hawk County, Iowa. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 15, 2008, 1:49 AM CDT (06:49 UTC)
Expired: Jun 15, 2008, 2:30 AM CDT
In force: 41 min
Issued by: NWS Des Moines, IA
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Black Hawk County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 149 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 8 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -73 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1554 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 196 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 376 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KDMX 150649
SVRDMX
IAC013-150730-
/O.NEW.KDMX.SV.W.0267.080615T0649Z-080615T0730Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
149 AM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  BLACK HAWK COUNTY IN NORTHEAST IOWA...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF WATERLOO...

* UNTIL 230 AM CDT.

* AT 144 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  WATERLOO AIRPORT...OR 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF WATERLOO...AND MOVING
  SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WATERLOO AND 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF HUDSON BY 155 AM CDT...
  EVANSDALE AND 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DUNKERTON BY 200 AM CDT...
  ELK RUN HEIGHTS AND RAYMOND BY 205 AM CDT...
  GILBERTVILLE BY 210 AM CDT...
  LA PORTE CITY BY 220 AM CDT...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 380 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 56 AND 73.

MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF YOU LIVE IN A
MOBILE HOME...SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 4231 9243 4262 9256 4264 9231 4264 9213
      4258 9207 4248 9208 4247 9206 4243 9206
      4230 9206
TIME...MOT...LOC 0649Z 313DEG 30KT 4254 9237

$$

DONAVON

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS53 KDMX 150701
SVSDMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
201 AM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

IAC013-150730-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0267.000000T0000Z-080615T0730Z/
BLACK HAWK IA-
201 AM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 AM CDT
FOR EASTERN BLACK HAWK COUNTY...

AT 158 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR DUNKERTON...OR 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF WATERLOO...MOVING
EAST AT 45 MPH.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 380 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 56 AND 73.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT SUNDAY
MORNING FOR NORTHERN IOWA.

LAT...LON 4230 9206 4244 9235 4262 9241 4264 9231
      4264 9213 4258 9207 4249 9208 4248 9208
      4247 9206
TIME...MOT...LOC 0701Z 288DEG 39KT 4255 9221

$$
DONAVON

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Des Moines, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 15, 12:08 AM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 12:08 AM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1208 AM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM (TONIGHT)...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED SW-NE THROUGH IA WITH MLCAPES UP TO
1500 J/KG AND NIL CIN.  CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT COULD VERY WELL
BE SUFFICIENT FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT EARLY THIS
EVENING.  WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES...HIGH DCAPES AND LCLS...AND
MARGINAL 0-1KM SHEAR/SRH... FEEL LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.  COULD SEE A LULL TOWARD
MIDNIGHT...THEN ATTENTION TURNS BACK TO THE IA/MN BORDER.  MOST
MODELS SHOW 300K ISENT SFCS WITH UVM AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IN
THESE AREAS LATER TONIGHT SO HAVE CHANCES GOING FOR THAT POSSIBILITY.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
EXCELLENT AGREEMENT AMONG FORECAST MODELS WITH REASONABLE SCENARIO
OF STORM CLUSTERS/MCSS DEVELOPING OVER UPPER MIDWEST LATER TONIGHT
WITH LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE RACING THROUGH WSWERLY FLOW. ONE SUCH
COMPLEX EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHEASTERN SD/SOUTHWESTERN
MN...AND ANOTHER TO FORM LATER OVER EEASTERN NE. THE FORMER SHOULD
TRACK ACROSS OUR FAR N/NE COUNTIES AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE...WHILE THE LATTER WILL CROSS OUR SOUTHWESTERN COUNTIES
LATER IN THE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. ENVIRONMENT FOR THE
SOUTHWESTERN COMPLEX MUCH MORE CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL...AND HYDRO EFFECTS WILL PROBABLY BE PRIMARY CONCERN. HAVE
INCREASED POPS IN THAT AREA SUBSTANTIALLY...BUT STILL HAVE ONLY
ABOUT HALF OF WHAT THE MODELS ARE SPITTING OUT. IN OTHER
WORDS...GOOD CONFIDENCE IN LOCATION OF RAIN BUT POOR CONFIDENCE IN
RAINFALL AMOUNTS. EITHERWAY...THE RAIN WILL CLEAR OUR AREA BY SUNDAY
EVENING.

THEREAFTER...NWERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW PERSISTS THROUGH THE WEEK WITH
SMALL SHORTWAVE IMPULSES BRINGING SLIGHT CHANCES FOR PRECIP AT
TIMES...MAINLY AFTER WEDNESDAY. OVERALL IT SHOULD BE A VERY WELCOME
QUIET AND PLEASANT WEEK (AFTER SUNDAY) WITH LOW POPS AND BELOW
NORMAL TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION...15/06Z
VFR CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED THROUGH PERIOD FOR THE MOST PART...EXCEPT
WHERE AND WHEN THUNDERSTORMS MOVE THROUGH. CURRENT AREA OF SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NRN IA WILL MOVE ESE...WITH SOME
POSSIBLE REDEVELOPMENT SOUTHWARD OVERNIGHT. BEST CHANCES OF
CONVECTION WILL BE AFT 15Z SOUTH OF A LINE FROM DSM TO ALO. CLEARING
AND DRYING WILL WORK SOUTH BEHIND THIS LINE FOR THE BALANCE OF THE
TAF PERIOD.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

LONG TERM...LEE
SHORT TERM...SMALL
AVIATION...MOYER

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 14, 5:15 AM CDT, 20 hours 34 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
515 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-151000-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-
POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-SAC-CALHOUN-
WEBSTER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-
BOONE-STORY-MARSHALL-TAMA-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-POLK-JASPER-
POWESHIEK-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-WARREN-MARION-MAHASKA-ADAMS-UNION-
CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-DECATUR-WAYNE-
APPANOOSE-DAVIS-
515 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER
WITH THIS ACTIVITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT..WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN SEVERE THREATS. WIDESPREAD HEAVY
RAIN IS NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

NUMEROUS RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS CENTRAL IOWA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA INTO SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT. OVERALL THE SEVERE WEATHER IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE
SCATTERED...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE MAIN THREATS.
AGAIN WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED WITH THIS
SYSTEM...HOWEVER BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF A HALF AN INCH
TO THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE CWA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY
NIGHT.

ALBRECHT

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 14, 9:10 PM CDT, 4 hours 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
910 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     HAIL             3 SSE HUBBARD           42.26N 93.28W
06/14/2008  E0.75 INCH       HARDIN             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            60 MPH WINDS AS WELL. HAIL TAKING LEAVES OFF TREES.

0145 PM     HAIL             3 SW NEW PROVIDENCE     42.25N 93.21W
06/14/2008  E0.88 INCH       HARDIN             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL. DELAYED REPORT.

0148 PM     HAIL             3 S ELDORA              42.32N 93.10W
06/14/2008  E0.75 INCH       HARDIN             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0203 PM     HAIL             SSW UNION               42.24N 93.06W
06/14/2008  M0.88 INCH       HARDIN             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0216 PM     HAIL             CONRAD                  42.22N 92.87W
06/14/2008  E1.00 INCH       GRUNDY             IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0223 PM     HAIL             BEAMAN                  42.22N 92.82W
06/14/2008  E0.75 INCH       GRUNDY             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0225 PM     HAIL             1 WNW MARSHALLTOWN AIRP 42.12N 92.94W
06/14/2008  E0.75 INCH       MARSHALL           IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0230 PM     TSTM WND GST     N MARSHALLTOWN AIRPORT  42.11N 92.92W
06/14/2008  M59.00 MPH       MARSHALL           IA   ASOS

0231 PM     TSTM WND GST     MARSHALLTOWN            42.04N 92.91W
06/14/2008  M59.00 MPH       MARSHALL           IA   ASOS

0237 PM     HAIL             2 NW HUDSON             42.44N 92.48W
06/14/2008  M1.00 INCH       BLACK HAWK         IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0238 PM     HAIL             7 E MARSHALLTOWN AIRPOR 42.12N 92.79W
06/14/2008  E0.88 INCH       MARSHALL           IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL STRIPPING LEAVES OFF TREES. VERY HEAVY RAIN AS WELL.

0240 PM     HAIL             SSE GARWIN              42.09N 92.68W
06/14/2008  E1.00 INCH       TAMA               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS COVERED GROUND

0245 PM     HAIL             1 SW WATERLOO           42.48N 92.36W
06/14/2008  M1.00 INCH       BLACK HAWK         IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0247 PM     HAIL             WATERLOO                42.49N 92.35W
06/14/2008  M1.00 INCH       BLACK HAWK         IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0250 PM     HAIL             2 E WATERLOO            42.49N 92.30W
06/14/2008  E1.00 INCH       BLACK HAWK         IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LAFAYETTE AND ZUMA STREETS

0251 PM     HAIL             GARWIN                  42.09N 92.68W
06/14/2008  M1.00 INCH       TAMA               IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

0300 PM     HAIL             2 N TOLEDO              42.02N 92.58W
06/14/2008  E1.00 INCH       TAMA               IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ALSO ESTIMATED 60 TO 70 MPH WINDS.

0316 PM     HAIL             NNE VINING              41.99N 92.39W
06/14/2008  E0.88 INCH       TAMA               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0334 PM     HAIL             5 S EVANSDALE           42.39N 92.27W
06/14/2008  E0.88 INCH       BLACK HAWK         IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BMOYER

Local storm report, Jun 15, 1:22 AM CDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
122 AM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1248 AM     HAIL             RUTHVEN                 43.13N 94.90W
06/15/2008  E0.88 INCH       PALO ALTO          IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

RDONAVON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Des Moines, IA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 15, 12:36 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Butler, Cerro Gordo, Franklin	39 min
Jun 15, 12:38 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Humboldt, Kossuth, Palo Alto, Pocahontas	52 min
Jun 15, 1:32 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Hancock, Humboldt, Kossuth, Pocahontas, Webster, Wright	43 min
Jun 15, 1:43 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	DMX	Humboldt, Webster, Wright	32 min
Jun 15, 2:02 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Black Hawk	25 min
Jun 15, 2:06 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Franklin, Hamilton, Hardin, Webster, Wright	39 min
Jun 15, 2:12 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	DMX	Hamilton, Hardin, Wright	33 min
Jun 15, 2:17 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Humboldt, Wright	43 min
Jun 15, 2:32 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Butler, Franklin, Grundy, Hamilton, Hardin	43 min
Jun 15, 3:07 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Black Hawk, Grundy, Tama	53 min
Jun 15, 3:08 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	DMX	Black Hawk, Grundy, Tama	52 min
Jun 15, 3:50 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Tama	19 min
Jun 15, 7:38 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	DMX	Lucas	21 hr
Jun 15, 9:23 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Adams	37 min
Jun 15, 9:46 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Taylor	44 min
Jun 15, 9:56 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Adair, Ringgold, Union	49 min
Jun 15, 10:28 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Decatur	47 min
Jun 15, 10:49 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Wayne	56 min
Jun 15, 11:41 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Appanoose	49 min
Jun 15, 12:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Davis	41 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Iowa, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.