Severe Thunderstorm Warning 202, NWS Des Moines, IA

000 
WWUS53 KDMX 092158
SVSDMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
458 PM CDT MON JUN 9 2008

IAC157-092215-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0202.000000T0000Z-080609T2215Z/
POWESHIEK IA-
458 PM CDT MON JUN 9 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT
FOR POWESHIEK COUNTY...

AT 453 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. 
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MALCOM...OR 29 MILES WEST OF MARENGO...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 9 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MALCOM BY 510 PM CDT...
  7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BROOKLYN BY 515 PM CDT...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 185 AND 204.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE
HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE
TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4158 9230 4164 9270 4181 9266 4186 9231
      4177 9231
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 294DEG 8KT 4169 9260

$$

ALBRECHT

000 
WWUS53 KDMX 092214
SVSDMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
515 PM CDT MON JUN 9 2008

IAC157-092225-
/O.EXP.KDMX.SV.W.0202.000000T0000Z-080609T2215Z/
POWESHIEK IA-
515 PM CDT MON JUN 9 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR POWESHIEK COUNTY HAS
EXPIRED...

AT 511 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED...AND NO
LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 4158 9230 4164 9270 4181 9266 4186 9231
      4177 9231
TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 294DEG 8KT 4167 9255

$$

ALBRECHT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
235 PM CDT MON JUN 9 2008

.DISCUSSION...
12 TO 15Z MORNING SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAKENING BOUNDARY OVER
WI..IA..KS SOUTHWEST TO OK WITH MOISTURE POOLED SOUTH OF THE FRONT
AND DRIER AIR TO THE NORTH. ANOTHER COOL FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER LVL SYSTEM TRACKING ACROSS CANADA HAS SWUNG EAST ACROSS THE
DAKOTAS AND MN. MAIN FOCUS OF THUNDER WILL REMAIN JUST SOUTHEAST OF
THE STATE TODAY. MODELS IN AGREEMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 WITH
EVOLUTION OF NEXT LEE SIDE TROUGH EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA WED
THROUGH FRIDAY. A MUCH NEEDED BREAK IN RAIN EXPECTED THROUGH
TOMORROW EVENING FOR MOST OF THE REGION EXCEPT FOR THE FAR NORTH
WHERE SOME SCT THUNDER MAY DEVELOP LATE TUES AFTERNOON ALONG AXIS OF
THETAE ADVECTION. BY TUES NIGHT LLJET BEGINS TO INCREASE OVER THE
REGION WITH INCREASING SFC MOISTURE. LOOKS LIKE NOCTURNAL THUNDER
WILL BE ONGOING BY AM HOURS OVER WESTERN/CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE
STATE WITH POSSIBLE QUICK HIT AT QPF OF .25 TO .50 OR SO OVER THOSE
AREAS BEFORE THE OVERNIGHT CONVECTION WEAKENS WITH TIME. AS THE
FORECAST AREA BECOMES CAPPED WITH H700 10C LID...EXPECT MOST OF THE
THUNDER TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH
SIGNIFICANTLY MORE UNCOMFORTABLE DAY ON THE WAY FOR THE REGION. AS
THE FRONT APPROACHES FOR WED NIGHT AND THURS...THUNDER CHANCES WILL
INCREASE WITH BETTER CHANCES FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ONCE AGAIN. MODELS
AT ODDS ON TIMING OF FRONTAL EXIT...AND FAVOR THE SLOWER EURO/GEM
OVER THE MORE PROGRESSIVE GFS...ESPECIALLY WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE
EASTERN RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY ANCHORED OVER THE SOUTHEAST
US. TEMPS TO BE ON THE INCREASE OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...ESPECIALLY
WED AS THE WARM SECTOR OVERTAKES THE AREA. DEW POINTS WILL AGAIN
CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 70S AS WELL MAKING FOR UNCOMFORTABLE
CONDITIONS. CAPE TO RISE OVER 3000 J/KG BY WED PM WITH WEAK CAP OVER
THE AREA. SCT THUNDER STILL A GOOD BET FOR THE DAYTIME HOURS MOST
AREAS. BEST BULK SHEAR WED NIGHT AND THUR BEHIND THE FRONT WHICH
WILL SUPPORT HEAVY RAIN WITH STORMS ALONG THE BOUNDARY WITH SVR OUT
AHEAD OF IT. OVER THE WEEKEND THE FLOW TURNS MORE WEST
NORTHWESTERLY. NORMALLY A GOOD THING...BUT SOME INDICATION THAT A
FEW WAVES WILL TRANSITION SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA AND BRING SCT STORMS
TO THE AREA SAT NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. AT THIS TIME...THE DEEPEST
MOISTURE WOULD LIKELY REMAIN SOUTH OF THE REGION WHICH WOULD
DECREASE HEAVY RAINFALL CHANCES...BUT LEAVE THE DOOR OPEN FOR MORE
SCT SVR STORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD AS WEAK SYSTEMS WIGGLE SOUTHEAST
WITH TIME. 12Z GFS IS NOW SHOWING A SIMILAR SCENARIO FOR SCT STORMS
AFTER THE WED-FRI EVENT...THOUGH THE TIMING IS NOT IN CONCERT WITH
THE OTHER MODELS...THOUGH CONFIDENCE IN TIMING IS ALWAYS AN ISSUE
AFTER 5 DAYS. AT LEAST THE PATTERN CHANGING TO A SLIGHTLY MORE
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW BREAKS FROM TIME TO TIME
PROVIDED THE SOUTHWEST US RIDGE DOES NOT BULGE NORTH AND INTENSIFY
THE WESTERLIES. TEMPS FOR THE EXTENDED HAVE BEEN DECREASED WITH
EXPECTED DROP IN THICKNESS...AND LIKELIHOOD THAT EITHER MORE CLOUDS
OR SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL BE IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD.

&&

.AVIATION...09/18Z
VFR CONDITIONS WL REMAIN WIDESPREAD ACRS CNTRL IA THROUGH THE
PERIODS WITH WESTERLY SFC FLO.

&&

 .DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

REV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
536 AM CDT MON JUN 9 2008

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-101100-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-
POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-SAC-CALHOUN-
WEBSTER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-
BOONE-STORY-MARSHALL-TAMA-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-POLK-JASPER-
POWESHIEK-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-WARREN-MARION-MAHASKA-ADAMS-UNION-
CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-DECATUR-WAYNE-
APPANOOSE-DAVIS-
536 AM CDT MON JUN 9 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE ARE MINIMAL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN IOWA
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL IS QUITE LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE SOMEWHAT OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE STATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
WEATHER CANNOT BE RULED OUT...BUT IT IS AGAIN RATHER LOW.

MORE SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN THE FORM OF
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. HEAVY RAINS
MAY OCCUR AS WELL...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHWEST THIRD OF IOWA.
WITH SOILS QUITE SATURATED ANY HEAVY RAINS...WHICH MAY EXCEED
SEVERAL INCHES LOCALLY...MAY CAUSE EXISTING FLOODING TO PERSIST OR
WORSEN OR DEVELOP IN OTHER AREAS.

CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS ALSO EXIST IN SOME PARTS OF THE STATE
FRIDAY AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY. THE SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN
POTENTIAL HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND IS YET TO BE DETERMINED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY.

SMALL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1109 AM CDT MON JUN 09 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0438 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     5 WSW NEW VIRGINIA      41.15N 93.81W
06/08/2008                   CLARKE             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DELAYED REPORT.

&&

PODRAZIK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1113 AM CDT MON JUN 09 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 S LORIMOR             41.10N 94.06W
06/08/2008  E60 MPH          UNION              IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NO DAMAGE. DELAYED REPORT.

&&

PODRAZIK