Tornado Warning 18, NWS Duluth, MN

000 
WWUS53 KDLH 152326
SVSDLH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
626 PM CDT TUE JUL 15 2008

MNC071-137-152336-
/O.EXP.KDLH.TO.W.0018.000000T0000Z-080715T2330Z/
KOOCHICHING MN-ST. LOUIS MN-
626 PM CDT TUE JUL 15 2008

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN ST. LOUIS AND EAST CENTRAL
KOOCHICHING COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 630 PM CDT...

THE STORM HAS WEAKENED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED TORNADIC.
THEREFORE...THE TORNADO WARNING HAS EXPIRED.

LAT...LON 4815 9286 4797 9309 4827 9353 4840 9334
TIME...MOT...LOC 2326Z 310DEG 30KT 4820 9319

$$

LONKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
159 PM CDT TUE JUL 15 2008

.DISCUSSION...
QSTNRY BINDERY HAS MADE SOME EWD PROGRESS ACRES LEK SUP AND NWRN
WI...BUT IS LAGGING OVR SRN MN AND BACK ACRES SD WHERE IT IS
PARALLEL TO UPR LVL FLOW. EXPECT THIS BINDERY TO GAN BE FOCUS FOR
EVE/INGOT CONVECTION...BUT FARTHER S THAN LAST NIGHT. GRIDS HAVE
BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS. TIMING MIGHT BE A BIT
LATER AS WELL AS AN UPR LVL S/WV APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE W
RAND 06Z AND BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE SFC BINDERY DURING THE
INGOT HRS. SEE SWODY1 DISC FOR SVR POTENTIAL. SFC BINDERY REMAINS IN
APPROXIMATELY THE SAME LOCATION THRU AT LEAST THU...AND MADE NO
BIG CHUGS TO GRIDS FOR THAT PD. A LT STRONGER S/WV APPROACHES BY
FRI AS A STRENGTHENING HIGH OVR CN HELPS TO SUPPRESS THE BINDERY AND
ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SWD. THE WEEKEND LOOKS A BIT UNCERTAIN AS
MODELS SHOW A STRONG UPR LOW MOVG ALGA OR JUST N OF THE CANADIAN
BORDER...BUT WITH SIG TIMING DIFFS. IN ANY CASE...SLGT OR LOW CHC
POPS JUSTIFIED ATTM.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS EVENING...ALTHOUGH THERE IS
STILL A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM THROUGH EARLY EVENING DUE TO
A LINGERING STATIONARY FRONT. OVERNIGHT...PATCHY RADIATIONAL FOG IS
EXPECTED AS WELL. LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL PUSH WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE REGION. NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS...POSSIBLY SEVERE...WILL ACCOMPANY THIS STRONG AND
MOIST SYSTEM. THE HEAVIEST ACTIVITY LOOKS TO CROSS CENTRAL MINNESOTA
AND NORTHERN WISCONSIN.

&&

POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  57  72  56  77 /  20  40  40  40
INL  54  78  56  77 /  10  30  30  20
BRD  60  80  60  80 /  30  60  40  30
HYR  56  80  61  81 /  30  60  50  40
ASX  54  75  58  77 /  20  50  40  40

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
LS...NONE.

04/LILES

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
410 AM CDT TUE JUL 15 2008

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-161030-
KOOCHICHING-NORTHERN ST. LOUIS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-
NORTHERN ITASCA-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-
SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-NORTHERN CASS-SOUTHERN ITASCA-
SOUTHERN CASS-CROW WING-NORTHERN AITKIN-SOUTHERN AITKIN-
CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-PINE-DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-
BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-PRICE-
410 AM CDT TUE JUL 15 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF
THE NORTHLAND...ESPECIALLY FAR NORTHERN MINNESOTA AND ACROSS
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN. AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM IS POSSIBLE EARLY
THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTHWEST WISCONSIN AND ACROSS CARLTON AND
PINE COUNTIES IN MINNESOTA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK...INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME OF THE STORMS TO BE
SEVERE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE
BRAINERD LAKES...AITKIN...PINE CITY...HAYWARD...AND PARK FALLS
AREAS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE BIGGEST THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

LSZ121-140>148-161030-
BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI-GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN-
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN-
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN-
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN-TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN-
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI-PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI-
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI-OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI-
410 AM CDT TUE JUL 15 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF
THE NORTHLAND...ESPECIALLY FAR NORTHERN MINNESOTA AND ACROSS
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK...INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

ONSHORE WINDS WILL INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY...AND MAY POSE AN
ENHANCED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS BY AFTERNOON FROM THE BEACHES
AROUND THE TWIN PORTS...EAST ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE.

MELDE