Severe Thunderstorm Warning 73, NWS Duluth, MN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
310 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO
AFFECT MUCH OF THE NORTHLAND THIS AFTERNOON...A RESULT OF DAYTIME
HEATING AND AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE PROPAGATING EWD ACROSS THE
CWA. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EAST
ACROSS THE FCST AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING WITH
THE UPPER TROUGH...AFFECTING THE TWIN PORTS AND NWRN WI. THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL STABILIZE AROUND SUNSET...CAUSING MOST IF NOT ALL
OF THE PRECIPITATION TO DISSIPATE.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF
THE COUNTRY...WITH THE UPPER MIDWEST UNDER ITS EASTERN EDGE. THIS
WILL SETUP NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE NORTHLAND...WHICH
SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH MIDWEEK. THE PATTERN WILL RESULT IN MAINLY
DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS OUR FCST AREA...ALTHOUGH SEVERAL WEAK
SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH NW FLOW ALOFT MAY PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS
OR STORMS ACROSS OUR ERN ZONES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY
COOLER THAN NORMAL TOMORROW...BUT THEN WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...COLD AIR ALOFT...AND A WEAK DISTURBANCE HAS CAUSED
SCATTERED  SHOWERS...AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER
NORTHEAST MINNESOTA. THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE AND
MOVE INTO NORTHWEST WISCONSIN. MOST OF THE SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH
AFTER SUNSET. MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING...AND WILL
CONTINUE TONIGHT. HOWEVER...MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND ANY SHOWERS/STORMS. MVFR CEILINGS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT OVER FAR NORTHERN MINNESOTA.

&&

POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  45  67  44  71 /  20  10  10  10
INL  44  70  43  71 /  20  10  10  10
BRD  46  71  48  75 /  10  10  10  10
HYR  45  68  44  72 /  20  10  10  10
ASX  47  64  44  69 /  20  20  10  10

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
LS...NONE.

BERDES/MELDE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
411 AM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-161030-
KOOCHICHING-NORTHERN ST. LOUIS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-
NORTHERN ITASCA-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-
SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-NORTHERN CASS-SOUTHERN ITASCA-
SOUTHERN CASS-CROW WING-NORTHERN AITKIN-SOUTHERN AITKIN-
CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-PINE-DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-
BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-PRICE-
411 AM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY OVER
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN. THESE STORMS MAY CONTAIN SMALL HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A STRONG SYSTEM WILL BRING A THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
REGION ON THURSDAY...AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

LSZ121-140>148-161030-
BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI-GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN-
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN-
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN-
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN-TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN-
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI-PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI-
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI-OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI-
411 AM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY OVER
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN. THESE STORMS MAY CONTAIN SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A STRONG SYSTEM WILL BRING A THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
REGION ON THURSDAY...AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

GRANING

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