Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2008

Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS

August 14, 2008Haskell County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this special weather statement at Aug 14, 2008, 3:07 PM CDT for Haskell County, Kansas. It was in force for 38 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Aug 14, 2008, 3:07 PM CDT (20:07 UTC)
Expired: Aug 14, 2008, 3:45 PM CDT
In force: 38 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS

County Haskell County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 81 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -403 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1461 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 93 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 14, 3:16 AM CDT, 11 hours 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 14, 3:16 AM CDT, 11 hours 51 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
316 AM CDT THU AUG 14 2008

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

PROLONGED CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE IN THE
FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS A LONGWAVE TROUGH AXIS
GRIPS THE CENTRAL CONUS.  AS IS USUALLY THE CASE WITH THESE STAGNANT
OR SLOW MOVING LARGE SCALE ANOMALIES...THE GREATEST CHALLENGE IS
WHEN THE BEST OF THE BEST CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE AND
JUST WHO WILL SEE THE MOST RAINFALL AND HOW MUCH WE WILL SEE ACROSS
SOUTHWEST KANSAS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

THE FIRST WAVE OF ACTIVITY WAS ONGOING AT THE TIME OF THIS WRITING
WITH A LINE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXTENDING FROM SOUTHWEST KS TO
CENTRAL KS.  THE 00Z NAM BY AND LARGE DID A FAIRLY GOOD JOB OF
PICKING UP ON THIS MCS AND ITS LONGEVITY THROUGH THE NIGHT.  THE
QUESTION FOR LATER ON TODAY WILL BE WHERE EXACTLY THE BEST BOUNDARY
LAYER FOCUS WILL BE FOR REDEVELOPMENT.  THE MCS HAS REALLY DONE A
NUMBER ON THE MSLP PATTERN WITH FAIRLY HIGH SURFACE PRESSURE ACROSS
WESTERN NEBRASKA EARLY THIS MORNING.  AM NOT TOO CONFIDENT IN
SHORT-TERM MODEL MSLP/SURFACE WIND FIELDS FOR TODAY.  THE NEXT
PERTURBATION IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WAS EVIDENT ON WV LOOP
ACROSS WYOMING EARLY THIS AM...AND IT CONTINUED TO INCH
SOUTHEASTWARD.  PRESSURES SHOULD START FALLING AGAIN ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN CO AND NORTHWEST KANSAS WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST.  ALL THE MAJOR MODELS SUGGEST BOUNDARY LAYER FOCUS
INCREASE IN TERMS OF INCREASED CONVERGENCE NORTHWEST/WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT MID LEVEL WAVE.  THERE IS EXPECTED TO
BE A FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL RE-GENERATION OF CONVECTION BY AS EARLY AS
MIDDAY ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS THANKS TO THE DYNAMIC INFLUENCE OF
MENTIONED WYOMING DISTURBANCE.  H8-7 BAROCLINIC ZONE AND REMNANT
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL CERTAINLY PROVIDE THE ADDED MESOSCALE
ENHANCEMENT TO LIFT.  IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH INSOLATION...IN THE
AREAS THAT RECEIVE IT...TO INITIATE STORMS.

BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...ONE OR TWO LARGE CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS
WILL LIKELY EXIST ACROSS WESTERN KS.  WILL MAINTAIN THE LIKELY POPS
ACROSS PRETTY MUCH ALL OF DDC CWA.  TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR TODAY
WILL BE DIFFICULT THANKS TO REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND EARLY
INITIATION OF THUNDERSTORMS...HOWEVER DO THINK THAT AREAS NEAR
OKLAHOMA BORDER SHOULD REACH LOWER 90S FOR HIGHS.  A FAIRLY ROBUST
MCS WILL ONCE AGAIN TRACK SOUTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL PLAINS THURSDAY
NIGHT...WITH MUCH OF THE ACTIVITY DURING THE THURSDAY NIGHT TIME
FRAME RESIDING ACROSS AREAS JUST EAST OF DDC CWA (CENTRAL/SOUTH
CENTRAL KS INTO OK).  ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL VORTICITY CENTER WILL
LIKELY BE POSITIONED ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS BY 06Z FRI WHICH WOULD
HELP PUT WESTERN KS IN MORE FAVORED REGION FOR SUBSIDENCE AND
RESPITE FROM PRECIPITATION.  THAT BEING SAID...ANOTHER MORE
SUBSTANTIAL MID LEVEL LOW CENTER WILL DIG SOUTHWARD THROUGH
WYOMING...REACHING COLORADO BY FRIDAY NIGHT.  DURING THE DAY
FRIDAY...TEMPERATURES WILLS STRUGGLE TO CLIMB MUCH ABOVE THE MID 70S
WITH CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE PICTURE.  THE PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED MID LEVEL VORT ACROSS CENTRAL KS THURSDAY NIGHT WILL
LIKELY NOT MOVE MUCH AT ALL FRIDAY...DRIFTING RATHER AIMLESSLY MORE
THAN LIKELY ACROSS THE CENTRAL/EASTERN SECTIONS OF KS.  WILL BE
KEEPING 30-40 POPS ACROSS DDC CWA DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.

FRIDAY NIGHT...THE COLORADO BORDER COUNTIES WILL LIKELY BE UNDER
MORE OF AN INFLUENCE OF THE DEEPER ROCKIES LOW.  H6-7 FRONTOGENESIS
WILL INCREASE ABOVE THE COOL AIRMASS...WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN AND
SHOWERS DEVELOPING ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO...REACHING FAR WESTERN
KANSAS DURING THE NIGHT.  THINK THE GREATEST INFLUENCE FROM THIS LOW
ACROSS DDC CWA WILL BE SATURDAY...BUT FRIDAY NIGHT WILL GO WITH
CHANCE POPS ACROSS WESTERN HALF...HIGHEST CLOSER TO COLORADO. -UMSCHEID

DAYS 3-7...

WITH ONGOING WEATHER HAVE NOT HAD TOO MUCH TIME TO DIGEST THE
EXTENDED PERIOD.  QUICK GLANCE AT SOME OF THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS
INDICATES THAT THE CURRENT FORECAST IS PRETTY MUCH ON TRACK...AT
LEAST I WOULD NOT WANT TO MAKE TOO MANY CHANGES.  IT DOES APPEAR
THAT THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM DRIFTING SOUTH OUT OF THE NORTHERN
PLAINS THAT EVENTUALLY STAYS ORGANIZED OVER COLORADO SHOULD BRING
CONTINUED THREATS OF TSRA OVER THE WEEKEND.  ANY TYPE OF SYSTEM THIS
TIME OF YEAR CAN GENERATE SOME INTERESTING WEATHER AND BRING SOME
VERY BENEFICIAL PCPN.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE HARD TO PREDICT GIVEN
THE UNCERTAINTY TO THE AMOUNT OF CLOUD COVER AND PCPN ASSOCIATED
WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED SYSTEM.

&&

.AVIATION...

MVFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE TSRA EARLY THIS MORNING AND
THEN AGAIN WITH TSRA LATE THIS AFTN AND ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING.
OTHERWISE RESTRICTIONS SHOULD REMAIN ONLY WITH THE RA/TSRA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  90  62  78  60 /  60  70  30  30
GCK  87  60  75  58 /  50  50  30  30
EHA  90  61  76  57 /  50  60  30  40
LBL  93  62  77  60 /  50  60  30  30
HYS  82  61  75  59 /  60  70  40  30
P28  90  65  81  63 /  50  70  40  30

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

FN25/07/07

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 14, 2:31 PM CDT, 36 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
231 PM CDT THU AUG 14 2008

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-151000-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
231 PM CDT THU AUG 14 2008 /131 PM MDT THU AUG 14 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTHWEST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE OF
SEVERE STORMS WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTHWEST OF A LINE FROM SCOTT CITY
TO JETMORE TO COLDWATER INCLUDING DODGE CITY AND GARDEN CITY.
HAIL AS LARGE AS QUARTERS AND WINDS UP TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THE STRONGEST STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE
BEST CHANCE OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE IN FAR WESTERN KANSAS. WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BE
ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM SCOTT CITY TO GARDEN CITY TO MEADE
WHERE SEVERAL INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER THE 3 DAY PERIOD. FLOODING
COULD BECOME A CONCERN AS WELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

A FEW STORM SPOTTERS WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH THIS EVENING, ESPECIALLY
ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GARDEN CITY TO DODGE CITY TO COLDWATER.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

FINCH

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 14, 10:09 AM CDT, 4 hours 58 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1009 AM CDT THU AUG 14 2008

KSZ077-078-141600-
FORD-GRAY-
1009 AM CDT THU AUG 14 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FORD AND GRAY COUNTIES...

AT 1003 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CIMARRON...MOVING SOUTH AT 18 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN GRAY COUNTY INCLUDING
ENSIGN AND THE HAGGARD ELEVATOR.

LAT...LON 3766 10014 3756 10032 3763 10048 3785 10043
      3783 10021
TIME...MOT...LOC 1509Z 322DEG 15KT 3781 10032

FINCH

Local storm report, Aug 14, 10:55 AM CDT, 4 hours 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1055 AM CDT THU AUG 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 AM     HAIL             4 SE CIMARRON           37.77N 100.29W
08/14/2008  E0.75 INCH       GRAY               KS   PUBLIC

&&

26

Local storm report, Aug 14, 12:18 PM CDT, 2 hours 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1218 PM CDT THU AUG 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 AM     TSTM WND DMG     LIEBENTHAL              38.65N 99.32W
08/14/2008                   RUSH               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FOUR INCH DIAMETER TREE BRANCHES WERE BLOWN DOWN.

&&

26

Special weather statement, Aug 14, 3:07 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
307 PM CDT THU AUG 14 2008

KSZ063-076-142045-
FINNEY-HASKELL-
307 PM CDT THU AUG 14 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FINNEY AND HASKELL COUNTIES...

AT 304 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PLYMELL...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3772 10065 3743 10072 3771 10106 3780 10100
TIME...MOT...LOC 2007Z 293DEG 22KT 3771 10097

RITTERLING

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 13, 11:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Scott	45 min
Aug 14, 12:25 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Lane, Scott	50 min
Aug 14, 1:04 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	41 min
Aug 14, 1:16 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ness	44 min
Aug 14, 1:47 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Ness, Rush, Trego	43 min
Aug 14, 2:29 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Rush	26 min
Aug 14, 10:09 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Gray	51 min
Aug 14, 3:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Haskell	47 min
Aug 14, 3:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Gray, Haskell, Meade	24 min
Aug 14, 3:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Meade	39 min
Aug 14, 4:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade	49 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2008 Every special weather statement in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.