Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 231, NWS Dodge City, KS

June 18, 20084 counties in Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 18, 2008, 6:46 PM CDT for 4 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 44 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 18, 2008, 6:46 PM CDT (23:46 UTC)
Expired: Jun 18, 2008, 7:30 PM CDT
In force: 44 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Grant County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Stanton County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 137 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 18, 7:00 PM CDT	HAIL 1.25	7 Ese Syracuse, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 14 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 18, 1:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 147 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -421 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 938 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 270 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KDDC 182346
SVRDDC
KSC067-075-093-187-190030-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0231.080618T2346Z-080619T0030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
546 PM MDT WED JUN 18 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN GRANT COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS.
  SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS.
  SOUTHWESTERN KEARNY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS.
  EXTREME NORTHEASTERN STANTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS.

* UNTIL 630 PM MDT/730 PM CDT/

* AT 543 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO
  GOLF BALL SIZE...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF KENDALL...OR 5 MILES EAST OF
  SYRACUSE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 26 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  KENDALL...
  RURAL RESIDENCES OF NORTHEASTERN STANTON...NORTHWESTERN GRANT...
  SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON AND SOUTHWESTERN KEARNY COUNTIES.

BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE
SEEK A STURDY SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING/900 PM CDT WEDNESDAY EVENING/ FOR SOUTHWESTERN
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3796 10138 3775 10131 3772 10157 3793 10177
      3807 10167
TIME...MOT...LOC 2346Z 304DEG 23KT 3797 10164

$$

FINCH

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS53 KDDC 190028
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
728 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

KSC067-075-093-187-190038-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0231.000000T0000Z-080619T0030Z/
HAMILTON KS-KEARNY KS-STANTON KS-GRANT KS-
628 PM MDT WED JUN 18 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME NORTHWESTERN GRANT...
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN STANTON...SOUTHWESTERN KEARNY AND SOUTHEASTERN
HAMILTON COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 630 PM MDT/730 PM CDT/...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER POSES A THREAT TO
LIFE OR PROPERTY...HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY RAIN...AND SMALL HAIL
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHEASTERN STANTON...NORTHWESTERN
GRANT...SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON AND SOUTHWESTERN KEARNY COUNTIES.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING/900 PM CDT WEDNESDAY EVENING/ FOR SOUTHWESTERN
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3796 10138 3775 10131 3772 10157 3793 10177
      3807 10167
TIME...MOT...LOC 0028Z 304DEG 23KT 3782 10136

$$

KRUSE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 18, 3:33 PM CDT, 3 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 18, 3:33 PM CDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
333 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...
BOTH MODELS TODAY IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH CONVECTION
DEVELOPING NEAR AN OUT FLOW BOUNDARY OVER ERN CO LATE THIS
AFTERNOON WHICH AT THIS TIME APPEARS TO BE RIGHT ON TRACK GIVEN
20Z RADAR TRENDS. ALL MODELS ALSO INDICATE GOOD ENOUGH SHEAR AND
CAPES TO SUPPORT SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT BUT DEWPOINT APPEAR TO BE A
LITTLE LOW. AS A RESULT IT LOOKS LIKE THE MAIN HAZARD THIS
AFTERNOON WILL LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. AT OR SHORTLY AFTER
00Z THE MODELS BEGIN TO FORM A MCS IN OUR NW CWA AND TRACKS THIS
CLUSTER OF STORMS SOUTHEAST EARLY TONIGHT. LATEST 4KM WRF WAS EVEN
A LITTLE QUICKER WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SO ALTHOUGH DO
EXPECT SOME HEAVY RAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM THE SPEED SHOULD KEEP
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL GREATER THAN 2 INCHES AT A MINIMUM. IN
ADDITION GIVEN THE LACK OF RAINS OVER OUR CNTL AND WESTERN CWA
OVER THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS NOT BE THINK ANY FFG WATCH WILL BE
NEEDED OVERNIGHT. THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION WILL BE IN OUR NE BUT
EVEN HERE GIVEN THE SPEED OF THESE STORMS IT APPEARS FLOODING RISK
WILL BE MINIMAL. IT ALSO APPEARS THAT WINDS WILL BECOME THE MAIN
HAZARD AFTER THIS MCS DEVELOPS SO WILL INCLUDE MENTION THE STRONG
WINDS ALONG WITH THE HEAVY RAINS IN THE GRIDS FOR TONIGHT.

BY 12Z THURSDAY PCPN SHOULD BE ENDING IN OUR WESTERN CWA BUT NAM
SEEMS TO HOLD ON TO SOME LINGERING PCPN EARLY. IF THIS DOES OCCUR
WOULD EXPECT THIS TO BE LIGHT AND ELEVATED. RIGHT NOW IT LOOK
LIKE THE BETTER CHANCE WILL BE LATE THURSDAY AS OUR NEXT VORT LOBE
MOVES OUT OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS. HAVE THEREFORE KEPT LOW
POPS GOING UNTIL THE AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN TO INCREASE POPS AS OUR
NEXT VORT LOBE APPROACHES. AS FOR TEMPS SINCE AM FAVORING PCPN
ENDING EARLY WILL LEAN TOWARDS MORE SUN AND WARMER TEMPS ON
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

DAYS 3-7...
WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE WESTERLIES
WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS IS A FAVORABLE PATTERN FOR
THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY NOCTURNAL CLUSTERS.

THE PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE AMPLIFIED BY SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY
AND THIS WILL TEND TO KEEP AFTERNOON FRONT RANGE ACTIVITY FROM
MAKING IT THIS FAR EAST.

WEAK WEST TO WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY MID TO HIGH LEVEL FLOW WILL DEVELOP
BY MONDAY. LATE AFTERNOON AND NIGHTTIME STORM CLUSTERS WILL STILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE WESTERLIES.

A LARGE UPPER TROUGH IS ADVERTISED TO ENTER THE NORTHWEST CONUS
BY JULY 27-28. THE STORM ACTIVITY WILL PROBABLY SHIFT NORTHWARD
AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE TO NEAR CLIMATOLOGY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
A CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE
AVIATION SITES BETWEEN 00 AND 09 UTC. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE
FAIRLY WIDESPREAD. UNTIL THE STORMS ARRIVE, VFR CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  65  83  64  88 /  70  40  50  20
GCK  64  83  62  87 /  70  40  40  10
EHA  64  88  63  88 /  30  30  40  20
LBL  66  87  63  89 /  40  30  40  20
HYS  64  83  61  85 /  70  40  40  20
P28  67  86  66  85 /  70  40  50  20

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

FN18/24/24

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 18, 12:39 PM CDT, 6 hours 7 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1239 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-191745-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
1239 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008 /1139 AM MDT WED JUN 18 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AS THESE
STORMS DEVELOP THE PRIMARY HAZARD LATE TODAY WILL BE LARGE HAIL
AND STRONG WINDS.

DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THESE STORMS WILL
INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND FORM INTO A LARGE CLUSTER OF STRONG
TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. AS THIS LARGE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS
MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND PARTS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...STRONG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH AND PERIODS OF TORRENTIAL RAINS CAN BE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN HIGH
PLAINS ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN
KANSAS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVES OUT OF THE ROCKIES. THESE STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AFTER 4 PM.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

18/24

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 18, 5:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
515 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0452 PM     HAIL             20 NE SYRACUSE          38.19N 101.49W
06/18/2008  E1.00 INCH       KEARNY             KS   PUBLIC

&&

JB

Local storm report, Jun 18, 6:04 PM CDT, 42 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
604 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0534 PM     HAIL             10 NNW LAKIN            38.07N 101.33W
06/18/2008  E1.75 INCH       KEARNY             KS   PUBLIC

&&

JFINCH

Local storm report, Jun 18, 6:33 PM CDT, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
633 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     HAIL             9 WSW DIGHTON           38.43N 100.62W
06/18/2008  E0.88 INCH       LANE               KS   PUBLIC

&&

JB

Local storm report, Jun 18, 6:45 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
645 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     HAIL             4 WSW DIGHTON           38.46N 100.53W
06/18/2008  M1.00 INCH       LANE               KS   PUBLIC

&&

06

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 18, 1:46 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Ness, Rush, Trego	89 min
Jun 18, 2:23 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis	52 min
Jun 18, 3:23 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pawnee, Stafford	52 min
Jun 18, 4:01 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pratt	44 min
Jun 18, 4:21 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Barber, Pratt	54 min
Jun 18, 4:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton, Kearny	67 min
Jun 18, 5:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton, Kearny	35 min
Jun 18, 5:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Haskell, Kearny	42 min
Jun 18, 6:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Ness, Scott	54 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.