Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 230, NWS Dodge City, KS

June 18, 2008Lane County, Ness County, Scott County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 18, 2008, 6:21 PM CDT for Lane County, Ness County, Scott County, Kansas. It was in force for 54 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 18, 2008, 6:21 PM CDT (23:21 UTC)
Expired: Jun 18, 2008, 7:15 PM CDT
In force: 54 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Lane County, KS, Ness County, KS, Scott County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 18, 6:30 PM CDT	HAIL 0.88	9 Wsw Dighton, KS
Jun 18, 6:35 PM CDT	HAIL 1	4 Wsw Dighton, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 14 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 18, 1:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 90 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 147 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -421 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 938 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 270 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KDDC 182321
SVRDDC
KSC101-135-171-190015-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0230.080618T2321Z-080619T0015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
621 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  LANE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.
  WEST CENTRAL NESS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.
  EAST CENTRAL SCOTT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 616 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO
  GOLF BALL SIZE...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GRIGSTON...MOVING EAST AT 30
  MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  GRIGSTON...
  AMY...
  DIGHTON...
  ALAMOTA...
  BEELER...
  RURAL RESIDENCES OF EASTERN SCOTT...LANE AND WESTERN NESS COUNTIES.

BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE
SEEK A STURDY SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3866 10026 3846 10005 3826 10027 3834 10073
      3850 10076
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 264DEG 26KT 3845 10062

$$

FINCH

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KDDC 182335
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
634 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

KSC101-135-171-190015-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0230.000000T0000Z-080619T0015Z/
SCOTT KS-LANE KS-NESS KS-
634 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL NESS...LANE AND EAST CENTRAL SCOTT COUNTIES...

AT 630 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING
HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. 
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DIGHTON...MOVING EAST AT
46 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  DIGHTON...
  ALAMOTA...
  BEELER...
  RURAL RESIDENCES OF EASTERN SCOTT...LANE AND WESTERN NESS COUNTIES.

AT 630 PM THE PUBLIC REPORTED NICKEL SIZED HAIL 9 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF DIGHTON.

BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE
SEEK A STURDY SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3866 10026 3846 10005 3826 10027 3834 10073
      3850 10076
TIME...MOT...LOC 2334Z 282DEG 40KT 3840 10046

$$

FINCH

000 
WWUS53 KDDC 190007
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
708 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

KSC101-135-171-190018-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0230.000000T0000Z-080619T0015Z/
SCOTT KS-LANE KS-NESS KS-
708 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL NESS...LANE AND
EAST CENTRAL SCOTT COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 715 PM CDT...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER POSES A THREAT TO
LIFE OR PROPERTY...HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY RAIN...AND SMALL HAIL
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN SCOTT...LANE AND WESTERN NESS
COUNTIES.

LAT...LON 3866 10026 3846 10005 3826 10027 3834 10073
      3850 10076
TIME...MOT...LOC 0008Z 282DEG 40KT 3832 9999

$$

FINCH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 18, 3:33 PM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 18, 3:33 PM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
333 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...
BOTH MODELS TODAY IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH CONVECTION
DEVELOPING NEAR AN OUT FLOW BOUNDARY OVER ERN CO LATE THIS
AFTERNOON WHICH AT THIS TIME APPEARS TO BE RIGHT ON TRACK GIVEN
20Z RADAR TRENDS. ALL MODELS ALSO INDICATE GOOD ENOUGH SHEAR AND
CAPES TO SUPPORT SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT BUT DEWPOINT APPEAR TO BE A
LITTLE LOW. AS A RESULT IT LOOKS LIKE THE MAIN HAZARD THIS
AFTERNOON WILL LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. AT OR SHORTLY AFTER
00Z THE MODELS BEGIN TO FORM A MCS IN OUR NW CWA AND TRACKS THIS
CLUSTER OF STORMS SOUTHEAST EARLY TONIGHT. LATEST 4KM WRF WAS EVEN
A LITTLE QUICKER WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SO ALTHOUGH DO
EXPECT SOME HEAVY RAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM THE SPEED SHOULD KEEP
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL GREATER THAN 2 INCHES AT A MINIMUM. IN
ADDITION GIVEN THE LACK OF RAINS OVER OUR CNTL AND WESTERN CWA
OVER THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS NOT BE THINK ANY FFG WATCH WILL BE
NEEDED OVERNIGHT. THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION WILL BE IN OUR NE BUT
EVEN HERE GIVEN THE SPEED OF THESE STORMS IT APPEARS FLOODING RISK
WILL BE MINIMAL. IT ALSO APPEARS THAT WINDS WILL BECOME THE MAIN
HAZARD AFTER THIS MCS DEVELOPS SO WILL INCLUDE MENTION THE STRONG
WINDS ALONG WITH THE HEAVY RAINS IN THE GRIDS FOR TONIGHT.

BY 12Z THURSDAY PCPN SHOULD BE ENDING IN OUR WESTERN CWA BUT NAM
SEEMS TO HOLD ON TO SOME LINGERING PCPN EARLY. IF THIS DOES OCCUR
WOULD EXPECT THIS TO BE LIGHT AND ELEVATED. RIGHT NOW IT LOOK
LIKE THE BETTER CHANCE WILL BE LATE THURSDAY AS OUR NEXT VORT LOBE
MOVES OUT OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS. HAVE THEREFORE KEPT LOW
POPS GOING UNTIL THE AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN TO INCREASE POPS AS OUR
NEXT VORT LOBE APPROACHES. AS FOR TEMPS SINCE AM FAVORING PCPN
ENDING EARLY WILL LEAN TOWARDS MORE SUN AND WARMER TEMPS ON
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

DAYS 3-7...
WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE WESTERLIES
WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS IS A FAVORABLE PATTERN FOR
THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY NOCTURNAL CLUSTERS.

THE PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE AMPLIFIED BY SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY
AND THIS WILL TEND TO KEEP AFTERNOON FRONT RANGE ACTIVITY FROM
MAKING IT THIS FAR EAST.

WEAK WEST TO WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY MID TO HIGH LEVEL FLOW WILL DEVELOP
BY MONDAY. LATE AFTERNOON AND NIGHTTIME STORM CLUSTERS WILL STILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE WESTERLIES.

A LARGE UPPER TROUGH IS ADVERTISED TO ENTER THE NORTHWEST CONUS
BY JULY 27-28. THE STORM ACTIVITY WILL PROBABLY SHIFT NORTHWARD
AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE TO NEAR CLIMATOLOGY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
A CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE
AVIATION SITES BETWEEN 00 AND 09 UTC. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE
FAIRLY WIDESPREAD. UNTIL THE STORMS ARRIVE, VFR CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  65  83  64  88 /  70  40  50  20
GCK  64  83  62  87 /  70  40  40  10
EHA  64  88  63  88 /  30  30  40  20
LBL  66  87  63  89 /  40  30  40  20
HYS  64  83  61  85 /  70  40  40  20
P28  67  86  66  85 /  70  40  50  20

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

FN18/24/24

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 18, 12:39 PM CDT, 5 hours 42 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1239 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-191745-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
1239 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008 /1139 AM MDT WED JUN 18 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AS THESE
STORMS DEVELOP THE PRIMARY HAZARD LATE TODAY WILL BE LARGE HAIL
AND STRONG WINDS.

DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THESE STORMS WILL
INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND FORM INTO A LARGE CLUSTER OF STRONG
TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. AS THIS LARGE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS
MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND PARTS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...STRONG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH AND PERIODS OF TORRENTIAL RAINS CAN BE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN HIGH
PLAINS ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN
KANSAS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVES OUT OF THE ROCKIES. THESE STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AFTER 4 PM.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

18/24

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 18, 5:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
515 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0452 PM     HAIL             20 NE SYRACUSE          38.19N 101.49W
06/18/2008  E1.00 INCH       KEARNY             KS   PUBLIC

&&

JB

Local storm report, Jun 18, 6:04 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
604 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0534 PM     HAIL             10 NNW LAKIN            38.07N 101.33W
06/18/2008  E1.75 INCH       KEARNY             KS   PUBLIC

&&

JFINCH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 18, 1:46 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Ness, Rush, Trego	89 min
Jun 18, 2:23 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis	52 min
Jun 18, 3:23 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pawnee, Stafford	52 min
Jun 18, 4:01 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pratt	44 min
Jun 18, 4:21 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Barber, Pratt	54 min
Jun 18, 4:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton, Kearny	67 min
Jun 18, 5:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton, Kearny	35 min
Jun 18, 5:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Haskell, Kearny	42 min
Jun 18, 6:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Hamilton, Kearny, Stanton	44 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.