Severe Thunderstorm Warning 6, NWS Columbia, SC

000 
WWUS52 KCAE 151348
SVSCAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
948 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

SCC039-071-151358-
/O.CAN.KCAE.SV.W.0006.000000T0000Z-080315T1415Z/
FAIRFIELD SC-NEWBERRY SC-
948 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NEWBERRY AND FAIRFIELD
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

REPORT LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS OR FLOODING TO YOUR COUNTY
SHERIFF...OR CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN COLUMBIA TOLL FREE
AT 1 800 7 7 5 7 1 9 9.

LAT...LON 3433 8113 3416 8168 3417 8169 3433 8177
      3456 8126
TIME...MOT...LOC 1348Z 247DEG 39KT 3439 8132

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
726 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL TRAIL THE LOW AND MOVE THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. THIS WILL SPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE HIGH WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL NOON TODAY/...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED IN GEORGIA AND SPREAD
BOUNDARIES EAST INTO AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. AIRMASS BECOMING
MORE UNSTABLE WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND LIS -4/-5. PW VALUES
INCREASING TO 1 TO 1.2 INCH DURING MORNING. WILL HAVE CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH NOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /NOON TODAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
GOOD INFLUX OF MOISTURE TO AREA WITH PW VALUES REACHING 1.25 INCH.
H925-H850 WINDS BECOME SOUTH AHEAD OF APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE
THIS AFTERNOON AT 40-50 KT LATE IN AFTERNOON INTO EVENING HOURS.
NAM LIS -5 AND TOTALS 50-55. LOW NAM CAPES BELOW 100 BUT 0-3 KM
SRH VALUES 600-800 INDICATING VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR. SPC HAS
OUTLOOKED CAE CWA IN A MODERATE RISK AREA. AGREE WITH THIS
ASSESSMENT. WITH THE VERY STRONG SHEAR...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND
SUPER CELLS ARE POSSIBLE AND MAYBE EVEN ISOLATED TORNADOES.

AS COLD FRONT APPROACHES THIS AFTERNOON...PRESSURE GRADIENT
INCREASES. EXPECT WINDS TO BECOME SOUTHERLY AND INCREASE TO 10-20
KT THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS A BIT STRONGER THIS EVENING AS COLD FRONT
APPROACHES. ISSUED LAKE WIND ADVY EARLIER FOR WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHWEST 15-25 KT BY 8 PM THIS EVENING...THEN WEST 15-25 KT WITH
COLD FRONT NEAR MIDNIGHT. WILL CONTINUE LAKE WIND ADVY THROUGH 8
AM SUNDAY MORNING.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. DRY WEATHER.
COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 60S AND LOWS UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. HIGH MOVES
EAST TUESDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHES WEDNESDAY. THIS
WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AS
WELL. COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS WITH DRY
WEATHER THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AT THE CURRENT TIME...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS STRETCHED ALONG THE
NORTHERN TIER OF OUR FORECAST AREA (FA)...WITH LIFR CIGS/VSBYS TO
THE NORTH OF IT. ACROSS OUR FA...AN AREA OF STRATUS WITH MVFR CIGS
HAS DEVELOPED. MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM OVER N GA RACING
EASTWARD...AND IS SHOWING A TREND TOWARDS SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING.
TIMING BRINGS THE ACTIVITY TOWARDS AGS/DNL BY 12 TO 13Z...AND
CAE/CUB/OGB AROUND 13 TO 14Z. WILL HANDLE WITH A TEMPO GROUP. ONCE
THAT BATCH ROLLS THROUGH...QUESTION INVOLVES WHETHER THE FRONT AND
ASSOCIATED LOWER CIGS/VSBYS COULD SHIFT FARTHER SOUTH...BEFORE
EVENTUALLY BEGINNING TO LIFT BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME...INDICATIONS ARE THAT THESE LOWER LIFR TO
IFR CIGS/VSBYS WILL REMAIN NORTH OF OUR TAF SITES.  HOWEVER...WILL
HANG ON TO MVFR CIGS AT CAE/CUB THROUGH MIDDAY...WHILE INDICATING
STRATUS DISSIPATING OR LIFTING AT AGS/DNL/OGB BY LATE MORNING.  WILL
EXPECT POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT OUR FA
LATER TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. SOME OF THESE COULD BE SEVERE.
SINCE TIMING AND LOCATION DIFFICULT TO ACCURATELY PREDICT...WILL
HANDLE THE ACTIVITY LATER TODAY WITH VCTS IN THE TAFS. EXPECT
GRADIENT WINDS TO PICK UP LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS LOW PASSES
BY...WITH CLEARING EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WEDNESDAY. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT AVIATION IMPACTS EXPECTED
DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY
     FOR SCZ015-016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041.
GA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY
     FOR GAZ040-063>065-077.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
453 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ015-016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041-161000-
LINCOLN-MCDUFFIE-COLUMBIA-RICHMOND-BURKE-LANCASTER-CHESTERFIELD-
MCCORMICK-NEWBERRY-FAIRFIELD-KERSHAW-EDGEFIELD-SALUDA-LEXINGTON-
RICHLAND-LEE-AIKEN-SUMTER-BARNWELL-ORANGEBURG-CALHOUN-CLARENDON-
BAMBERG-
453 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA AND
CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...STRONG
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND TORNADOES.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
850 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

SCZ020-151330-
NEWBERRY-
850 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS AFFECTING NEWBERRY COUNTY...

AT 848 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CROSS HILL...OR 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF
GREENWOOD...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

INTENSE LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

REPORT LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS OR FLOODING TO YOUR COUNTY
SHERIFF...OR CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN COLUMBIA TOLL FREE
AT 1 800 7 7 5 7 1 9 9.