Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2008

Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 30, 20085 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter storm warning at Jan 30, 2008, 10:30 AM EST for 5 counties in New York. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 30, 2008, 10:30 AM EST (15:30 UTC)
Expired
Jan 30, 2008, 2:37 PM EST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 26 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 3.5 hours before the alert went out and 24 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2008-01-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2008-01-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -189 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
645 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-189 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-98 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 301530
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1030 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...MID-WINTER CONDITIONS CONTINUING TODAY...

.SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GUSTS TO 60 MILES PER HOUR TODAY. THE
COMBINATION OF SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE NEAR WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

COLD AIR WILL ALSO SET UP BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW NORTHEAST OF
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. THE LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL WEAKEN
DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT THE SNOW BANDS OFF LAKE ONTARIO ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN INTACT THROUGH TONIGHT.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-302000-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080130T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0002.080130T1530Z-080130T2000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1030 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS UPGRADED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY TO A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS WILL PRODUCE NEAR
ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE 1 TO 3
INCHES BEFORE TAPERING OFF DURING THIS AFTERNOON.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND WINDS WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS
UNAVOIDABLE. 

$$

NYZ019-020-301800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080130T1800Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
1030 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

STRONG WINDS WITH OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE VERY LOW
VISIBILITY IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AT TIMES INTO THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GUST TO NEAR 50 MPH AT TIMES. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE
WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-021-301800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080130T1800Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...WELLSVILLE
1030 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

STRONG WINDS WITH OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE VERY LOW
VISIBILITY IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AT TIMES INTO THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GUST TO NEAR 50 MPH AT TIMES. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE
WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

$$

NYZ006>008-302330-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080131T1100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1030 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

STRONG WINDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
PRODUCE VERY LOW VISIBILITY IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AT TIMES
THIS AFTERNOON. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTH OF WATERTOWN ACCUMULATE 2
TO 3 INCHES BY THIS EVENING...WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
THE WIND WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT...BUT AS THE COLDER AIR
DEEPENS TONIGHT...THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE AND ACCUMULATE
ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES...BRINGING TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS TO 4 TO 7
INCHES BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE
WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED. 

$$
2 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 301753
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1253 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...MID-WINTER CONDITIONS CONTINUING TODAY...

.SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO 60 MILES PER HOUR TODAY. THE
COMBINATION OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE NEAR
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

NYZ004-005-013-014-019>021-301900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080130T1800Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
1253 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON WITH PASSING FLURRIES. 

$$

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-302000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1253 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS WILL PRODUCE NEAR
ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE 1 TO
3 INCHES BEFORE TAPERING OFF DURING THIS AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY
AREA OF CONCERN IS FROM ABOUT SILVER CREEK NORTH TO LOCKPORT. THIS
INCLUDES A STRETCH OF THE THRUWAY EAST TO ABOUT BATAVIA.  

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND WINDS WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS
UNAVOIDABLE.

$$

NYZ003-302000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080130T2000Z/
MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROCHESTER
1253 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

STRONG WINDS WITH OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE VERY LOW
VISIBILITY IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AT TIMES INTO THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GUST TO NEAR 50 MPH AT TIMES. THE PRIMARY
AREA OF CONCERN IS WEST OF ROCHESTER FROM I-490 NORTH...OR FROM AN
AREA NORTH A LINE FROM CHURCHVILLE TO GREECE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE
WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

$$

NYZ006>008-310200-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080131T1100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1253 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

STRONG WINDS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE VERY LOW
VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW FROM ABOUT WATERTOWN SOUTH TO PULASKI WILL
ACCUMULATE 2 TO 3 INCHES BY THIS EVENING...WITH NEAR ZERO
VISIBILITY AT TIMES. THE WIND WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT...BUT
AS THE COLDER AIR DEEPENS TONIGHT...THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE
AND ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES...BRINGING TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS TO 4 TO 7 INCHES BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE
WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

$$


ZAFF
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 301937
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
237 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS TONIGHT...

.A COLD AIRMASS AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE CONDITIONS RIPE FOR
LAKE EFFECT SNOW DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO. ALTHOUGH
SNOW AMOUNTS WILL NOT BE EXCESSIVE...THE STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE
NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.  

NYZ010>012-085-310345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LB.Y.0002.080130T1937Z-080131T0400Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
237 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL
11 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS REPLACED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING WITH A LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING OVER
ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES...AS WELL AS OVER THE NORTHWEST PORTION
OF WYOMING COUNTY. EXPECT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES WITH
WIDELY VARYING CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE EVENING. THE BIGGEST
CONCERN WILL BE FOR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND
BLOWING SNOW. THE PRIMARY AREA OF CONCERN IS FROM ABOUT SILVER
CREEK NORTH TO THE NORTHTOWNS...INCLUDING A STRETCH OF THE THRUWAY
EAST TO ABOUT BATAVIA.

$$

NYZ001-002-302045-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA
237 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING PRIMARILY FROM
THE NORTHTOWNS SOUTH. ONLY SNOW FLURRIES AND BRIEF SNOW SQUALLS
ARE EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NIAGARA AND ORLEANS
COUNTY FOR THE EVENING. THEREFORE...THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ003-302045-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080130T2000Z/
MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROCHESTER
237 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MONROE COUNTY...BUT
HEAVIER BANDS OF SNOW SHOULD REMAIN TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF
THE COUNTY. THEREFORE...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THERE MAY STILL BE BRIEF PERIODS OF SNOW SQUALLS WEST
OF ROCHESTER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. 

$$

NYZ006>008-310345-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080131T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0006.080130T1937Z-080131T1100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
237 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS UPGRADED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY WITH A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. 

STRONG WINDS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS WILL PRODUCE VERY LOW
VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AT TIMES TONIGHT. LAKE EFFECT
SNOW FROM ABOUT WATERTOWN SOUTH TO PULASKI WILL ACCUMULATE 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES. THE WIND WILL BEGIN
TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

ZAFF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 30, 9:51 AM EST, 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 30, 9:51 AM EST, 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
951 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A VERY HAZARDOUS WEATHER SITUATION WILL BE FOUND ACROSS ALL OF
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY TODAY
IN THE WAKE OF A POWERFUL COLD FRONT WHICH CROSSED THE REGION. WINDS
IN MANY AREAS WILL GUST TO NEAR 60 MPH WITH A DRAMATIC DROP IN
TEMPERATURES. SNOWSQUALLS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH AT LEAST MIDDAY AND START TO DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON
OFF LAKE ERIE BUT LINGER LONGER OFF LAKE ONTARIO. THE WEATHER
WILL IMPROVE THURSDAY BEFORE AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM BRINGS
THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT WINTRY WEATHER FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
DRAMATIC IMPACTS THIS MORNING ACROSS OUR REGION WITH WIDESPREAD
DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES THROUGHOUT THE REGION DUE TO INCREDIBLE
WINDS OF 60 TO 70 MPH FROM BUFFALO TO ROCHESTER. UNPRECEDENTED
FLOODING ALSO OCCURRING FROM LAKE ERIE WITH MAJOR SEICHE SENDING
LAKE UP OVER 8 FEET IN A FEW HOURS...SENDING ICE OVER THE BOOM
INTO THE NIAGARA RIVER AND BACKING UP THE BUFFALO RIVER TO FLOOD
PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF BUFFALO. LAKE EFFECT HAS DEVELOPED OFF
ERIE BUT STILL VERY DISORGANIZED WITH MULTIPLE BANDS AND
CELLS...THERE APPEARS TO BE A WEAKENING TREND UPSTREAM ON KCLE
RADAR SO DO EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO BECOME MORE SCATTERED INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON BUT WILL NEED TO WATCH FOR ANY SINGLE BAND
DEVELOPMENT AS WINDS VEER MORE TO 250-260 WHICH MIGHT COUNTERRACT
THE DRYING FOR AWHILE. WINDS TEMPS AND VSBY ARE BRINGING BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS IN THESE CELLS BUT IT IS SCATTERED ENOUGH SO THAT WE
WILL CONTINUE TO COVER WITH SPSS AND HOLD WINTER WX ADVISORY FOR
NOW. WILL REVISIT THIS AT NOON.

LK ONTARIO ACTIVITY WILL BE EVEN MORE OF A CONCERN WITH FIRST
SIGNS OF A SINGLE BAND GETTING GOING OVER SRN JEFF CTY.
AGAIN...WILL REVISIT THIS FOR POSSIBLE UPGRADE BY NOON OR SO.

OTHERWISE...WILL GO WITH SCATD SNOW SHOWERS FOR THE AFTERNOON.

WILL LOWER TEMPS SEVERAL DEGREES BUT WIND CHILLS SHOULD STILL
REMAIN A BIT ABOVE CRITERIA FOR FLAGS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
LAKE SNOWS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT AS
WINDS SLACKEN HOWEVER SNOWS SHOULD BE WINDING DOWN AS DRIER AIR
ADVECTS INTO THE AREA AND INVERSION HEIGHTS DROP SIGNIFICANTLY.
SURFACE WINDS WILL ALSO RAPIDLY DIMINISH TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT AS WIND FIELDS ALOFT SLACKEN...TEMPERATURE ADVECTION
BECOMES NEUTRAL...AND RIDGING WORKS INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST.

THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE TRANQUIL AS RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THIS PERIOD WILL BE FAIRLY MILD OVERALL...BUT WILL START WITH
ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT STORM ON FRIDAY. MODELS ARE GENERALLY COMING
INTO CONSENSUS WITH BRINGING SFC LOW UP FROM OHIO VALLEY INTO WRN
NY OR ERN LK ERIE ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE WEAKENING AND TRYING TO
REDEVELOP EASTWARD TOWARD THE COAST...12Z/29 ECMWF STILL KEEPS
SYSTEM A BIT FURTHER WEST THAN GFS...BUT THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH WARM
AIR LIFTING NORTH AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM TO BRING AT LEAST SOME
CHANGEOVER TO SLEET/FRZG RAIN OR EVEN RAIN FOR A TIME. FAIRLY DECENT
SLUG OF QPF IN THE 0.5 TO 1 INCH RANGE...SO FRIDAY WILL INDEED BE A
MESSY DAY. FOR NOW WILL BRING POPS INTO WEST AFTER MDNT THURS NT AND
UP TO CATEG ALL AREAS ON FRIDAY. WILL START PRECIP AS SNOW AND THEN
A MIX OF EVERYTHING ON FRIDAY. WE MAY HAVE A TOUGH TIME BUDGING THE
SFC COLD AIR WITH LOW LEVEL NE FLOW FROM HIGH OVER QUEBEC...SO MAY
NOT GO TO STRAIGHT RAIN THAT EASILY. STAY TUNED.

YET ANOTHER IN A PARADE OF PACIFIC SYSTEMS WILL APPROACH THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES REGION BY THE END OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THE NEW
00Z/30 GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO SHOW ANOTHER PACIFIC SHORTWAVE
EJECTING OUT OF THE MEAN WESTERN CONUS TROUGH. AS IS USUALLY THE
CASE WITH THESE SYSTEMS...THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DISAGREEMENT WITH
RESPECT TO THE TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR NOW HAVE HELD WITH
CONTINUITY AND KEPT MONDAY DRY WITH CHANCE POPS MON NGT/TUE. THE
VAST MAJORITY OF THE GEFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS AND OTHER OPERATIONAL
MODEL GUIDANCE SHOW PLENTY OF WARM AIR BEING DRAWN NORTH AHEAD OF
THIS SYSTEM...SO AT THIS EARLY JUNCTURE IT LOOKS LIKE A MAINLY RAIN
EVENT.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
INTENSE COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING KART EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AT 11Z.
MAIN CONCERN IS THE STRONG WINDS. SOUTHWEST WINDS SUSTAINED AT CLOSE
TO 40 KNOTS ACROSS WNY INCLUDING KBUF-KIAG WITH GUSTS TO OVER 50
KNOTS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT THIS MAGNITUDE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
BEFORE COMING DOWN A LITTLE...BUT WILL STILL GUST TO AROUND 45 KNOTS
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. WINDS WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY
TONIGHT AS AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GREAT LAKES.
CIGS/VSBY WILL BE MVFR THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON WITH WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE AND NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS. VSBY WILL OCCASIONALLY GO DOWN
TO IFR IN THE HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS AND BLOWING SNOW. EXPECT SNOW
SHOWERS TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON.

SKIES WILL SCATTER OUT LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR THIS EVENING WITH VFR
RETURNING IN MOST LOCATIONS. SOME LOCAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY NEAR KART EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO WITH SOME LOCAL IFR/LIFR.

LOOKING FURTHER AHEAD...LAKE SNOWS MAY CONTINUE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO BUT WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH AS A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION ON THURSDAY FOR VFR
CONDITIONS. ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE UP FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO
WESTERN NEW YORK ON FRIDAY AND PROVIDE A VARIETY OF PRECIPITATION
TO THE REGION...AND ASSOCIATED IFR CONDITIONS. MORE TRANQUIL
WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND WITH VFR TO OCCASIONALLY MVFR
CIGS AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH IMPACT WEATHER TODAY IN THE MARINE FORECAST WITH STRONG WINDS
IMMEDIATELY ALONG AND BEHIND AN INTENSE COLD FRONT LOCATED OVER
CENTRAL LAKE ERIE AT 07Z. STRONG LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL
RESULT IN AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE MARINE BOUNDARY LAYER AND SUPPORT
VERY EFFICIENT DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER OF THE 50+ KNOT WINDS AT
925MB. STRONG ISALLOBARIC PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL
ALSO CONTRIBUTE A SIGNIFICANT AGEOSTROPHIC COMPONENT TO THE LOW
LEVEL WIND FIELD...FURTHER ENHANCING THE STRONG WINDS.
FURTHERMORE...WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS FUNNEL UP THE LENGTH OF LAKE ERIE
AND ONTARIO WHICH PRODUCES TOPOGRAPHICALLY FORCED ENHANCEMENT TO THE
WINDS AT THE EASTERN END OF EACH LAKE.

ALL OF THE INGREDIENTS ARE COMING TOGETHER FOR STORM FORCE WINDS FOR
AT LEAST A FEW HOURS THIS MORNING ON BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.
THE STORM WARNING WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT.
WITH THE STRONG WINDS...LONG FETCH...AND UNSTABLE MARINE BOUNDARY
LAYER...SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS ON THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE ONTARIO
MAY APPROACH 20 FEET. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN QUICKLY DIMINISH TO LESS THAN 20 KNOTS BY THURSDAY
MORNING AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES.

WITH THE STRONG WINDS AND PLUMMETING TEMPERATURES TODAY AND THIS
EVENING...WILL ALSO ISSUE A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING. WIND
DRIVEN SPRAY FROM LARGE WAVES WILL CAUSE SEVERE ICE BUILDUP ON
EXPOSED SURFACES OF VESSELS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
LAKE ERIE ROSE TO 10.5 FEET ABOVE LOW WATER DATUM AT 7 AM THIS
MORNING. THIS CAPPED A REMARKABLE RISE OF 9 FEET IN LESS THAN 3
HOURS AND CAUSED ALL KINDS OF FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG THE
LAKESHORE AND PARTS OF CITY...BUT GENERALLY MINOR. IT HAS RECEDED
BELOW THE 8 FOOT FLOOD STAGE AS OF 945 AM BUT WARNING WILL BE
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT NOON. FFW FOR FLOODING ALONG THE NIAGARA
RIVER AND LAKESHORE WILL CONTINUE TO 1 PM.

THE 10.5 FOOT LEVEL MAY BE THE HIGHEST LEVEL OF THE LAKE SINCE
DEC 1985 WHEN IT REACHED A RECORD 12.0 FEET.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ001>003-
     010>013-019>021-085.
     LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR NYZ010-019-
     085.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NYZ004>008-
     014.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ006>008.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR
         LEZ040-041.
         STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LEZ020-040-
         041.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL 3 AM EST THURSDAY
         FOR LOZ042>045-062>065.
         STORM WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LOZ042>045-
         062>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...SFM
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK/SFM
AVIATION...TJP
MARINE...HITCHCOCK
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...SFM
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 30, 5:42 AM EST, 4 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
542 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

NYZ001>003-011>013-020-021-311045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-
542 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY. THERE IS THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010-019-085-311045-
NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
542 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING.
   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY. THERE IS THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-311045-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
542 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY. THERE IS THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-014-311045-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-
542 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY. THERE IS THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-311045-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
542 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.
   HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-311045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
542 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-043-062-063-311045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
542 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
3 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.
   HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ044-045-064-065-311045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
542 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
3 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.
   HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-311045-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
542 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

TMA

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 30, 6:57 AM EST, 3 hours 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
657 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0523 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST KENMORE                 42.96N 78.87W
01/30/2008  M63 MPH          ERIE               NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

HITCHCOCK
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 7:01 AM EST, 3 hours 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
701 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

NYZ006>008-301315-
JEFFERSON NY-LEWIS NY-OSWEGO NY-
701 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LINE OF SHOWERS WILL USHER IN STRONG WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING...

AT 659 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF RAIN SHOWERS ALONG A STRONG COLD FRONT LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF FORT DRUM TO NEAR PARISH...
MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND
INCREASE TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF OVER 60 MPH IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING
THIS LINE OF SHOWERS.

THESE STRONG WINDS HAVE PRODUCED WIND DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES
ACROSS WESTERN NY EARLY THIS MORNING. BE ALERT FOR A RAPID INCREASE
IN WINDS FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THIS STRONG COLD FRONT.

HITCHCOCK
Local storm report, Jan 30, 7:21 AM EST, 3 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
721 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            BUFFALO RIVER OUT OF ITS BANKS AND FLOODING SOME ROADS
            AND PARKING LOTS NEAR MICHIGAN AVE LIFT BRIDGE

&&

HITCHCOCK
Local storm report, Jan 30, 7:38 AM EST, 2 hours 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
738 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0738 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            WIDESPREAD FLOODING IN THE FIRST WARD FROM THE BUFFALO
            RIVER

&&

HITCHCOCK
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 8:50 AM EST, 1 hour 40 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
850 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

NYZ001-002-010-011-019-085-301700-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
850 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES THIS MORNING...

SNOWSQUALLS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH NOON.
THESE SQUALLS WILL BE SCATTERED JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE...BUT WILL
COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH TO CREATE NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS AT TIMES. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELLING ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING AS CONDITIONS WILL VARY
WIDELY.

SFM
Local storm report, Jan 30, 9:11 AM EST, 1 hour 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
911 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0418 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST DUNKIRK                 42.49N 79.34W
01/30/2008  M59.00 MPH       CHAUTAUQUA         NY   ASOS

0418 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008  M58.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   ASOS

0429 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST KENMORE                 42.96N 78.87W
01/30/2008  M60.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

0430 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            REPORTS OF SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ON THE WEST SIDE OF
            BUFFALO

0506 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008  M63.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   ASOS

0514 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST LOCKPORT                43.17N 78.70W
01/30/2008  M81.00 MPH       NIAGARA            NY   MESONET

0523 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST KENMORE                 42.96N 78.87W
01/30/2008  M63.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

0535 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST NIAGARA FALLS           43.09N 79.02W
01/30/2008  E64.00 MPH       NIAGARA            NY   ASOS

0537 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST DUNKIRK                 42.49N 79.34W
01/30/2008  E64.00 MPH       CHAUTAUQUA         NY   MESONET

0544 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST ROCHESTER               43.17N 77.62W
01/30/2008  M60.00 MPH       MONROE             NY   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0551 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008  M64.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   ASOS

0554 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            THIRD FLOOR FRONT WALL OF OLD BRICK BUILDING AT CORNER OF
            CHICAGO AND MIAMI ST. COLLAPSED FROM DAMAGING WINDS.

0600 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST PEMBROKE                43.00N 78.44W
01/30/2008  E65.00 MPH       GENESEE            NY   MESONET

0644 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST LYNDONVILLE             43.32N 78.39W
01/30/2008  M62.00 MPH       ORLEANS            NY   MESONET

0720 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008  M67.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   PUBLIC

            ELMWOOD AND AMHERST STREETS

0720 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            BUFFALO RIVER OUT OF ITS BANKS AND FLOODING SOME ROADS
            AND PARKING LOTS NEAR MICHIGAN AVE LIFT BRIDGE

0738 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            WIDESPREAD FLOODING IN THE FIRST WARD FROM THE BUFFALO
            RIVER

0800 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST AMHERST                 43.03N 78.72W
01/30/2008  M75.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   PUBLIC

            MULTIPLE TREE BRANCHES DOWN AND ROOFING MATERIAL BLOWN
            ALL OVER

0827 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST ROCHESTER               43.17N 77.62W
01/30/2008  M63.00 MPH       MONROE             NY   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0854 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008  M68.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

JJP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 30, 3:01 AM ESTLakeshore Flood AdvisoryBUFChautauqua, Erie2 hr
Jan 30, 3:54 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more11 hr
Jan 30, 5:24 AM ESTLakeshore Flood WarningBUFChautauqua, Erie7 hr
Jan 30, 6:58 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningBUFErie, Niagara6 hr
Jan 30, 12:12 PM ESTWind AdvisoryBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Livingston, Ontario, Wyoming6 hr
Jan 30, 2:37 PM ESTLake Effect Snow and Blowing Snow AdvisoryBUFChautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Wyoming13 hr
Jan 30, 2:37 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningBUFJefferson, Lewis, Oswego20 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2008Every winter storm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.