Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2008

Lake Effect Snow Warning 6, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 30, 2008Jefferson County, Lewis County, Oswego County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow warning at Jan 30, 2008, 2:37 PM EST for Jefferson County, Lewis County, Oswego County, New York. It was in force for 20 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 30, 2008, 2:37 PM EST (19:37 UTC)
Expired
Jan 31, 2008, 10:08 AM EST
In force
20 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2008-01-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2008-01-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 605 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
673 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
605 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
587 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 301937
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
237 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS TONIGHT...

.A COLD AIRMASS AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE CONDITIONS RIPE FOR
LAKE EFFECT SNOW DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO. ALTHOUGH
SNOW AMOUNTS WILL NOT BE EXCESSIVE...THE STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE
NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.  

NYZ010>012-085-310345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LB.Y.0002.080130T1937Z-080131T0400Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
237 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL
11 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS REPLACED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING WITH A LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING OVER
ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES...AS WELL AS OVER THE NORTHWEST PORTION
OF WYOMING COUNTY. EXPECT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES WITH
WIDELY VARYING CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE EVENING. THE BIGGEST
CONCERN WILL BE FOR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND
BLOWING SNOW. THE PRIMARY AREA OF CONCERN IS FROM ABOUT SILVER
CREEK NORTH TO THE NORTHTOWNS...INCLUDING A STRETCH OF THE THRUWAY
EAST TO ABOUT BATAVIA.

$$

NYZ001-002-302045-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA
237 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING PRIMARILY FROM
THE NORTHTOWNS SOUTH. ONLY SNOW FLURRIES AND BRIEF SNOW SQUALLS
ARE EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NIAGARA AND ORLEANS
COUNTY FOR THE EVENING. THEREFORE...THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ003-302045-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080130T2000Z/
MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROCHESTER
237 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MONROE COUNTY...BUT
HEAVIER BANDS OF SNOW SHOULD REMAIN TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF
THE COUNTY. THEREFORE...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THERE MAY STILL BE BRIEF PERIODS OF SNOW SQUALLS WEST
OF ROCHESTER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. 

$$

NYZ006>008-310345-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080131T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0006.080130T1937Z-080131T1100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
237 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS UPGRADED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY WITH A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. 

STRONG WINDS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS WILL PRODUCE VERY LOW
VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AT TIMES TONIGHT. LAKE EFFECT
SNOW FROM ABOUT WATERTOWN SOUTH TO PULASKI WILL ACCUMULATE 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES. THE WIND WILL BEGIN
TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

ZAFF
5 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 302358
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
658 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS TONIGHT...

.A COLD AIRMASS AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE CONDITIONS RIPE FOR
LAKE EFFECT SNOW DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO. ALTHOUGH
SNOW AMOUNTS WILL NOT BE EXCESSIVE...THE STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE
NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

NYZ006>008-310800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-080131T1100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
658 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

STRONG WINDS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS WILL PRODUCE VERY LOW
VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AT TIMES TONIGHT. LAKE
EFFECT SNOW FROM ABOUT WATERTOWN SOUTH TO PULASKI WILL ACCUMULATE
4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES. THE WIND WILL
BEGIN TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ010>012-085-310400-
/O.CON.KBUF.LB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080131T0400Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
658 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING OVER
ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES...AS WELL AS OVER THE NORTHWEST PORTION
OF WYOMING COUNTY. EXPECT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES
WITH WIDELY VARYING CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE EVENING. THE
BIGGEST CONCERN WILL BE FOR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS DUE TO STRONG
WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW. THE PRIMARY AREA OF CONCERN IS FROM ABOUT
SILVER CREEK NORTH TO THE NORTHTOWNS...INCLUDING A STRETCH OF THE
THRUWAY EAST TO ABOUT BATAVIA.

$$

RSH
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 310327
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1027 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT...

.LAKE SNOWS EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT
AS THE FLOW OF WELL ALIGNED COLD AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES. WHILE WINDS WILL SUBSIDE DURING THE
OVERNIGHT...GUSTS TO 30 MPH WILL STILL REDUCE THE VISIBILITY IN
BLOWING SNOW.

NYZ010-011-310430-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080131T0400Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
1027 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY. 

LAKES SNOWS THAT COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS EARLIER IN THE
EVENING HAVE SINCE DRIFTED TO THE SOUTH OVER SKI COUNTRY. WHILE
SOME LAKE SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...THE STEADIER
ACCUMULATING SNOWS WILL STAY OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE COUNTY.

$$

NYZ006>008-311100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-080131T1100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1027 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

WIDESPREAD LAKE SNOWS WILL BEGIN TO CONSOLIDATE INTO MORE OF A
SINGLE PLUME DURING THE OVERNIGHT...TAKING AIM ON THE TUG HILL
PLATEAU. SNOWFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WILL ACCUMULATE IN THIS AREA BY
DAYBREAK...WITH RESIDUAL WIND GUSTS TO 30 MILES AN HOUR FURTHER
LOWERING VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW.

SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES AN HOUR WILL BE COMMON OVER
THE TUG HILL...BUT THE SNOW WILL WEAKEN IN INTENSITY TOWARDS
DAYBREAK. 

TRAVEL WILL REMAIN DIFFICULT ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH
MORNING...MAINLY IN THE VICINITY OF THE TUG HILL.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019-310900-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080131T0900Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JAMESTOWN
1027 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL
4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM
EST THURSDAY. 

A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BRING ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES TO AREAS NEAR LAKE ERIE AND TO THE NORTHERN THIRD OF
THE COUNTY OVERNIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL WEAKEN IN INTENSITY AND
WILL HAVE LESS AREAL COVERAGE BY DAYBREAK.

$$

NYZ012-085-310900-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080131T0900Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1027 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT
UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY. 

A BAND OF LAKE SNOW EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY WILL
CROSS SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY TO WYOMING COUNTY THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE OVERNIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH WILL
PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION BY DAYBREAK
BEFORE WEAKENING. 

$$

RSH
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 310354
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1054 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT...

.LAKE SNOWS EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT AS THE FLOW OF WELL ALIGNED COLD AIR WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. WHILE WINDS WILL SUBSIDE
DURING THE OVERNIGHT...GUSTS TO 30 MPH WILL STILL REDUCE THE
VISIBILITY IN BLOWING SNOW.

NYZ006>008-311100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-080131T1100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1054 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

WIDESPREAD LAKE SNOWS WILL BEGIN TO CONSOLIDATE INTO MORE OF A
SINGLE PLUME DURING THE OVERNIGHT...TAKING AIM ON THE TUG HILL
PLATEAU. SNOWFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WILL ACCUMULATE IN THIS AREA
BY DAYBREAK...WITH RESIDUAL WIND GUSTS TO 30 MILES AN HOUR
FURTHER LOWERING VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW.

SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES AN HOUR WILL BE COMMON OVER
THE TUG HILL...BUT THE SNOW WILL WEAKEN IN INTENSITY TOWARDS
DAYBREAK.

TRAVEL WILL REMAIN DIFFICULT ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH
MORNING...MAINLY IN THE VICINITY OF THE TUG HILL.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ012-019-085-311200-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0001.080201T0900Z-080202T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080131T0900Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
1054 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY. 

A BAND OF LAKE SNOW EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY
WILL CROSS SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY TO WYOMING COUNTY THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE HALF TO ONE
INCH WILL PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION BY
DAYBREAK BEFORE WEAKENING.

THE LAKE SNOWS WILL WEAKEN THURSDAY MORNING AND END AS FLURRIES BY
MIDDAY...THEN AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY
WILL TAKE AIM ON THE REGION FOR LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
THIS STORM WILL SPREAD WET SNOW ACROSS THE REGION LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...THEN THE SNOW COULD CHANGE TO A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND OR
RAIN FOR SEVERAL HOURS ON FRIDAY. ANY MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL
THEN CHANGE BACK TO SNOW SHOWERS FRIDAY NIGHT. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
AND OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THIS EVENT.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-020-021-311200-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0001.080201T0900Z-080202T0000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...
OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
1054 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING. 

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL LIFT OUT OF THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY AND 
WILL TAKE AIM ON THE REGION LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THIS
STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW ACROSS THE REGION VERY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY...WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. THERE
IS THE CHANCE THAT THE SNOW COULD MIX WITH SOME SLEET OR RAIN FOR
A SHORT TIME FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH ANY MIXED PRECIPITATION
CHANGING BACK TO SNOW SHOWERS FRIDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

RSH
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 310835
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
335 AM EST THU JAN 31 2008

...LAKE SNOWS WILL PERSIST THIS MORNING OFF LAKE ONTARIO...

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING WITH MIXED PRECIPITATION...

.A PLUME OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS MORNING AS THE FLOW OF WELL ALIGNED COLD AIR WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. LATER THIS MORNING A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
AND WEAKEN THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW. THE LAKE SNOWS SHOULD END
COMPLETELY BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. OFF LAKE ERIE THE LAKE EFFECT
SNOW HAS BECOME WEAK AND DISORGANIZED...AND SHOULD END COMPLETELY
BY MIDDAY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL
MOVE TOWARDS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES FRIDAY AND THEN INTO NEW
ENGLAND BY SATURDAY MORNING. A DEEP PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL BE
DRAWN NORTH AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WHILE COLD AIR REMAINS IN
PLACE...AT LEAST INITIALLY...ACROSS THE REGION. THIS MAY SET THE
STAGE FOR A WINTER STORM WITH A WIDE VARIETY OF PRECIPITATION
TYPES ON FRIDAY.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. AS WARMER AIR
ATTEMPTS TO MOVE INTO THE REGION...THE SNOW WILL CHANGE TO A
WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. THE
WINTRY MIX MAY CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN FOR AWHILE ON FRIDAY FOR
AREAS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO SNOW FRIDAY
EVENING.


NYZ012-019-085-311645-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080131T0900Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.WS.A.0001.080201T0900Z-080202T0400Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
335 AM EST THU JAN 31 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS
NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. 

A BAND OF WEAK AND DISORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BEFORE ENDING BY AROUND MIDDAY.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AN INCH OR LESS. WINDS
HAVE ALSO DIMINISHED...WHICH HAS REDUCED THE BLOWING SNOW.
THEREFORE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

A MORE WIDESPREAD STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FRIDAY. SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST LATE
TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH FRIDAY MORNING. THE WINTRY MIX MAY CHANGE
TO ALL RAIN FOR AWHILE DURING FRIDAY...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO
SNOW FRIDAY EVENING. 

THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THIS SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN STORM TRACK WILL HAVE A MAJOR
IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPES AND SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. AT THIS
TIME...IT APPEARS SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW MAY FALL...FOLLOWED BY A
PERIOD OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WHICH MAY RESULT IN SOME ICE
ACCUMULATION. ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING
AS THE SYSTEM PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW OR A WINTRY MIX OF
SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER
CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR THE
LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ006>008-311645-
/O.EXB.KBUF.WS.A.0001.080201T1200Z-080202T0800Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-080131T1700Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
335 AM EST THU JAN 31 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
NOON EST TODAY. 

A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING
ACROSS NORTHERN OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES EXTENDING
EAST INTO THE TUG HILL REGION OF LEWIS COUNTY. THIS BAND OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THIS
MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY MORNING IN THE MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THIS BAND. 

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BY LATER THIS MORNING
AND THEN END COMPLETELY BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. STORM TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS MAY REACH 6 TO 12
INCHES...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS FROM BOYLSTON TO REDFIELD AND
NORTH OSCEOLA. 

A MORE WIDESPREAD STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FRIDAY. SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST
FRIDAY MORNING. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. SNOW IS EXPECTED
TO CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. THE WINTRY MIX MAY CHANGE TO ALL
RAIN FOR AWHILE LATER FRIDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE
ONTARIO. THE WINTRY MIX IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW
FRIDAY EVENING.

THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THIS SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN STORM TRACK WILL HAVE A MAJOR
IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPES AND SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. AT THIS
TIME...IT APPEARS SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW MAY FALL...FOLLOWED BY A
PERIOD OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WHICH MAY RESULT IN SOME ICE
ACCUMULATION. ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING
AS THE SYSTEM PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-020-021-311645-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WS.A.0001.080201T0900Z-080202T0400Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...
OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
335 AM EST THU JAN 31 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING. 

A MORE WIDESPREAD STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FRIDAY. SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST LATE
TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH FRIDAY MORNING. THE WINTRY MIX MAY CHANGE
TO ALL RAIN FOR AWHILE DURING FRIDAY...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO
SNOW FRIDAY EVENING. 

THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THIS SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN STORM TRACK WILL HAVE A MAJOR
IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPES AND SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. AT THIS
TIME...IT APPEARS SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW MAY FALL...FOLLOWED BY A
PERIOD OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WHICH MAY RESULT IN SOME ICE
ACCUMULATION. ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING
AS THE SYSTEM PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW...OR A MIX OF SNOW...
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY
TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR
THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

$$

HITCHCOCK
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 311508
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1008 AM EST THU JAN 31 2008

...LAKE SNOWS DIMINISHING OFF LAKE ONTARIO...

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING WITH MIXED PRECIPITATION...

.A PLUME OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON AS RIDGING BUILDS
ACROSS THE LAKE...AND SHOULD END COMPLETELY BY MID AFTERNOON.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL
THEN MOVE TOWARDS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES FRIDAY AND THEN INTO
NEW ENGLAND BY SATURDAY MORNING. A DEEP PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL BE
DRAWN NORTH AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WHILE COLD AIR REMAINS IN
PLACE...AT LEAST INITIALLY...ACROSS THE REGION. THIS MAY SET THE
STAGE FOR A WINTER STORM WITH A WIDE VARIETY OF PRECIPITATION
TYPES ON FRIDAY.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. AS WARMER AIR
ATTEMPTS TO MOVE INTO THE REGION...THE SNOW WILL CHANGE TO A
WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. THE
WINTRY MIX MAY CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN FOR AWHILE ON FRIDAY FOR
AREAS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO SNOW FRIDAY
EVENING.

NYZ006>008-312300-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-080131T1700Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0001.080201T1200Z-080202T0800Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1008 AM EST THU JAN 31 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND
SHRINK IN AREAL COVERAGE THIS MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH THE LAKE SNOWS
PRODUCING ONLY ANOTHER INCH OR TWO OF ACCUMULATION ACROSS OSWEGO
COUNTY BEFORE SHUTTING OFF COMPLETELY BY MID AFTERNOON. FOR THIS
REASON...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A MORE WIDESPREAD STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FRIDAY. SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST
FRIDAY MORNING. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. SNOW IS EXPECTED
TO CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FROM SOUTH
TO NORTH DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. THE WINTRY MIX MAY CHANGE TO ALL
RAIN FOR AWHILE LATER FRIDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE
ONTARIO. THE WINTRY MIX IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW
FRIDAY EVENING.

THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THIS SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN STORM TRACK WILL HAVE A MAJOR
IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPES AND SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. AT THIS
TIME...IT APPEARS SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW MAY FALL...FOLLOWED BY A
PERIOD OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WHICH MAY RESULT IN SOME ICE
ACCUMULATION. ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING
AS THE SYSTEM PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-312300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0001.080201T0900Z-080202T0400Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
1008 AM EST THU JAN 31 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING. 

A MORE WIDESPREAD STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FRIDAY. SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST
LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT
TIMES. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH FRIDAY MORNING. THE WINTRY MIX
MAY CHANGE TO ALL RAIN FOR AWHILE DURING FRIDAY...BEFORE CHANGING
BACK TO SNOW FRIDAY EVENING.

THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THIS SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN STORM TRACK WILL HAVE A MAJOR
IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPES AND SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. AT THIS
TIME...IT APPEARS SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW MAY FALL...FOLLOWED BY A
PERIOD OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WHICH MAY RESULT IN SOME ICE
ACCUMULATION. ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING
AS THE SYSTEM PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW...OR A MIX OF SNOW...
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY
TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR
THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

$$

HITCHCOCK/JJR

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Jan 30, 2:37 PM EST, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 30, 2:37 PM EST, 0 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
237 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A VERY HAZARDOUS WEATHER SITUATION WILL BE FOUND ACROSS ALL OF
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY TODAY
IN THE WAKE OF A POWERFUL COLD FRONT WHICH CROSSED THE REGION. WINDS
IN MANY AREAS WILL GUST TO NEAR 60 MPH WITH A DRAMATIC DROP IN
TEMPERATURES. SNOWSQUALLS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH AT LEAST MIDDAY AND START TO DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON
OFF LAKE ERIE BUT LINGER LONGER OFF LAKE ONTARIO. THE WEATHER
WILL IMPROVE THURSDAY BEFORE AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM BRINGS
THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT WINTRY WEATHER FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
DRAMATIC IMPACTS THIS MORNING ACROSS OUR REGION WITH WIDESPREAD
DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES THROUGHOUT THE REGION DUE TO INCREDIBLE
WINDS OF 60 TO 70 MPH FROM BUFFALO TO ROCHESTER. UNPRECEDENTED
FLOODING ALSO OCCURRING FROM LAKE ERIE WITH MAJOR SEICHE SENDING
LAKE UP OVER 8 FEET IN A FEW HOURS...SENDING ICE OVER THE BOOM
INTO THE NIAGARA RIVER AND BACKING UP THE BUFFALO RIVER TO FLOOD
PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF BUFFALO. LAKE EFFECT HAS DEVELOPED OFF
ERIE BUT STILL VERY DISORGANIZED WITH MULTIPLE BANDS AND
CELLS...THERE APPEARS TO BE A WEAKENING TREND UPSTREAM ON KCLE
RADAR SO DO EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO BECOME MORE SCATTERED INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON BUT WILL NEED TO WATCH FOR ANY SINGLE BAND
DEVELOPMENT AS WINDS VEER MORE TO 250-260 WHICH MIGHT COUNTERRACT
THE DRYING FOR AWHILE. WINDS TEMPS AND VSBY ARE BRINGING BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS IN THESE CELLS BUT IT IS SCATTERED ENOUGH SO THAT WE
WILL CONTINUE TO COVER WITH SPSS AND HOLD WINTER WX ADVISORY FOR
NOW. WILL REVISIT THIS AT NOON.

LK ONTARIO ACTIVITY WILL BE EVEN MORE OF A CONCERN WITH FIRST
SIGNS OF A SINGLE BAND GETTING GOING OVER SRN JEFF CTY.
AGAIN...WILL REVISIT THIS FOR POSSIBLE UPGRADE BY NOON OR SO.

OTHERWISE...WILL GO WITH SCATD SNOW SHOWERS FOR THE AFTERNOON.

WILL LOWER TEMPS SEVERAL DEGREES BUT WIND CHILLS SHOULD STILL
REMAIN A BIT ABOVE CRITERIA FOR FLAGS.

UPDATE AT 1225 PM...WILL LOWER HIGH WIND WARNING TO ADVISORIES FOR
COUNTIES AWAY FROM LAKE PLAIN AND FUNNELLING SUCH AS
CATT/ALLEG/LIVINGSTON/ONTARIO/WYOMING COS. WILL LEAVE WARNINGS UP
AS IS ELSEWHERE ALTHOUGH WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO EASE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
LAKE SNOWS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT AS
WINDS SLACKEN HOWEVER SNOWS SHOULD BE WINDING DOWN AS DRIER AIR
ADVECTS INTO THE AREA AND INVERSION HEIGHTS DROP SIGNIFICANTLY.
SURFACE WINDS WILL ALSO RAPIDLY DIMINISH TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT AS WIND FIELDS ALOFT SLACKEN...TEMPERATURE ADVECTION
BECOMES NEUTRAL...AND RIDGING WORKS INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST.

THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE TRANQUIL AS RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THIS PERIOD WILL FEATURE AN UPPER SOUTHWEST FLOW UNTIL THE ARRIVAL
OF AN UPPER TROUGH ON WEDNESDAY. AT THE SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE
MILD UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING MAINLY FAIR
WEATHER ON SUNDAY, THEN DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MIDWEST
WILL SPREAD NORTHEAST AND WILL PUT MOISTURE INTO THE SOUTHWEST
FLOW. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 40S FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON MONDAY, AND EVEN
ENOUGH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FOR A CHANCE OF THUNDER ON
TUESDAY. WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE UPPER TROUGH, THE MILD AIR AND
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST DURING WEDNESDAY...WITH A POTENTIAL
FOR SNOW AND STRONG WINDS DEVELOPING.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SYNOPTIC SCALE CLOUDS ARE DECREASING, BUT LAKE CLOUDS AND SNOW
DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES ARE PRODUCING GENERAL MVFR CEILINGS, WITH
OCCASIONAL LIFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

OFF LAKE ERIE THE LOWER CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE DURING THE EVENING
WITH WEAKENING LAKE SNOWS AND SUBSIDING WINDS. TO THE EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND DIMINISH EARLY
THURSDAY, WITH WATERTOWN BEING THE ONLY TERMINAL AFFECTED.

EXPECT GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY, THEN DEEPENING LOW
PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE OHIO VALLEY WILL BRING A MIX OF
PRECIPITATION WITH IFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE ICING IN MIXED
PRECIPITATION. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE SATURDAY THEN A COLD FRONT
MAY BRING SOME IFR VISIBILITY ON SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
FREQUENT GUSTS TO STORM FORCE WILL CONTINUE ON THE LAKES THIS
AFTERNOON. WITH THE STRONG WINDS...LONG FETCH...AND UNSTABLE MARINE
BOUNDARY LAYER...SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS ON THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE
ONTARIO MAY APPROACH 20 FEET AND HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WILL CONTINUE.
WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE LATER THIS AFTERNOON...THEN
QUICKLY DIMINISH TO LESS THAN 20 KNOTS BY THURSDAY MORNING AS A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
LAKE ERIE ROSE TO 10.5 FEET ABOVE LOW WATER DATUM AT 7 AM THIS
MORNING. THIS CAPPED A REMARKABLE RISE OF 9 FEET IN LESS THAN 3
HOURS AND CAUSED ALL KINDS OF FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG THE
LAKESHORE AND PARTS OF CITY...BUT GENERALLY MINOR. IT HAS RECEDED
BELOW THE 8 FOOT FLOOD STAGE AS OF 945 AM BUT WARNING WILL BE
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT NOON. FFW FOR FLOODING ALONG THE NIAGARA
RIVER AND LAKESHORE WILL CONTINUE TO 1 PM.

THE 10.5 FOOT LEVEL MAY BE THE HIGHEST LEVEL OF THE LAKE SINCE
DEC 1985 WHEN IT REACHED A RECORD 12.0 FEET.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ001>003-
     010-011-019-085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EST
     THIS EVENING FOR NYZ010>012-085.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NYZ004>008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
     NYZ006>008.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ012>014-020-
     021.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR
         LEZ040-041.
         STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LEZ020-040-
         041.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL 3 AM EST THURSDAY
         FOR LOZ042>045-062>065.
         STORM WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LOZ042>045-
         062>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SFM
NEAR TERM...SFM
SHORT TERM...SFM
LONG TERM...APB
AVIATION...APB
MARINE...APB
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...SFM
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 30, 1:00 PM EST, 1 hour 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
100 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

NYZ003-311800-
MONROE-
100 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
THERE IS THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001-002-010-011-085-311800-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
100 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
THERE IS THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-311800-
CHAUTAUQUA-
100 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
THERE IS THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-311800-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
100 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
THERE IS THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-311800-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
100 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
THERE IS THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-311800-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
100 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING.
   STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-311800-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
100 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-043-062-063-311800-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
100 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING.
   STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ044-045-064-065-311800-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
100 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING.
   STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-311800-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
100 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ013-014-020-021-311800-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
100 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
THERE IS THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-311800-
WYOMING-
100 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
THERE IS THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

ZAFF

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 30, 8:50 AM EST, 5 hours 47 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
850 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

NYZ001-002-010-011-019-085-301700-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
850 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES THIS MORNING...

SNOWSQUALLS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH NOON.
THESE SQUALLS WILL BE SCATTERED JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE...BUT WILL
COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH TO CREATE NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS AT TIMES. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELLING ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING AS CONDITIONS WILL VARY
WIDELY.

SFM
Local storm report, Jan 30, 9:11 AM EST, 5 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
911 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0418 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST DUNKIRK                 42.49N 79.34W
01/30/2008  M59.00 MPH       CHAUTAUQUA         NY   ASOS

0418 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008  M58.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   ASOS

0429 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST KENMORE                 42.96N 78.87W
01/30/2008  M60.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

0430 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            REPORTS OF SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ON THE WEST SIDE OF
            BUFFALO

0506 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008  M63.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   ASOS

0514 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST LOCKPORT                43.17N 78.70W
01/30/2008  M81.00 MPH       NIAGARA            NY   MESONET

0523 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST KENMORE                 42.96N 78.87W
01/30/2008  M63.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

0535 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST NIAGARA FALLS           43.09N 79.02W
01/30/2008  E64.00 MPH       NIAGARA            NY   ASOS

0537 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST DUNKIRK                 42.49N 79.34W
01/30/2008  E64.00 MPH       CHAUTAUQUA         NY   MESONET

0544 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST ROCHESTER               43.17N 77.62W
01/30/2008  M60.00 MPH       MONROE             NY   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0551 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008  M64.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   ASOS

0554 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            THIRD FLOOR FRONT WALL OF OLD BRICK BUILDING AT CORNER OF
            CHICAGO AND MIAMI ST. COLLAPSED FROM DAMAGING WINDS.

0600 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST PEMBROKE                43.00N 78.44W
01/30/2008  E65.00 MPH       GENESEE            NY   MESONET

0644 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST LYNDONVILLE             43.32N 78.39W
01/30/2008  M62.00 MPH       ORLEANS            NY   MESONET

0720 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008  M67.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   PUBLIC

            ELMWOOD AND AMHERST STREETS

0720 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            BUFFALO RIVER OUT OF ITS BANKS AND FLOODING SOME ROADS
            AND PARKING LOTS NEAR MICHIGAN AVE LIFT BRIDGE

0738 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            WIDESPREAD FLOODING IN THE FIRST WARD FROM THE BUFFALO
            RIVER

0800 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST AMHERST                 43.03N 78.72W
01/30/2008  M75.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   PUBLIC

            MULTIPLE TREE BRANCHES DOWN AND ROOFING MATERIAL BLOWN
            ALL OVER

0827 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST ROCHESTER               43.17N 77.62W
01/30/2008  M63.00 MPH       MONROE             NY   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0854 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BUFFALO                 42.89N 78.86W
01/30/2008  M68.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

JJP
Local storm report, Jan 30, 11:03 AM EST, 3 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1103 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0928 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST WATERTOWN               43.97N 75.91W
01/30/2008  M56.00 MPH       JEFFERSON          NY   ASOS

&&

JJP
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 11:28 AM EST, 3 hours 9 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1128 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

NYZ006>008-301930-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1128 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...STRONG WINDS AND LOCALIZED LAKE SNOWS TO PRODUCE NEAR WHITEOUTS
AT TIMES THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 55 TO 60 MPH
COMBINED WITH SNOW SQUALLS OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL PRODUCE NEAR
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST
BAND THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON WILL BE MAINLY BETWEEN ADAMS CENTER
AND SANDY CREEK AND EXTENDING EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTY
NORTH OF LOWVILLE. SNOWFALL RATES OF A HALF INCH AN HOUR ARE
POSSIBLE. LIGHTER SNOWS WILL CONTINUE NORTH OF THIS MAIN BAND TO
THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. TRAVEL ON PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 81
BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS CENTER WILL BE DIFFICULT THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON. USE EXTREME CAUTION IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS
THE REGION AS ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS WILL VARY WIDELY.

JJP
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 2:34 PM EST, 3 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
234 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

NYZ006>008-302115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
234 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...BLIZZARD LIKE CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION...

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES FROM HENDERSON HARBOR
TO FORT DRUM TO ANTWERP ON THE NORTHERN EDGE, AND FROM MANNSVILLE
TO LOWVILLE ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
PER HOUR ARE LIKELY WITHIN THIS BAND, AND A RUMBLE OF THUNDER CANNOT BE
RULED OUT. STRONG WINDS ARE CREATING WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES,
AND DRIVING WITHIN THIS BAND IS UNDOUBTEDLY EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS IF
NOT IMPOSSIBLE. PORTIONS OF ROUTE 26 IN LEWIS COUNTY HAVE BEEN
REPORTED CLOSED, ALONG WITH PORTIONS OF ROUTE 81 SOUTH OF
WATERTOWN. MANY ROADS ACROSS JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES ARE
LIKELY TO BE SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY. USE EXTREME CAUTION
IF YOU ARE OUT TODAY, AS CONDITIONS EVEN OUTSIDE THE BAND ARE
LIKELY TO DIFFICULT IN MANY LOCATIONS DUE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW. THIS BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH 4 PM.
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 2:35 PM EST, 2 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
235 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

NYZ001>003-010>012-085-302245-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
235 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...BLUSTERY CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS OF VARYING INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE NORTHEAST
FROM LAKE ERIE ACROSS THE GREATER METRO BUFFALO AREA TO BETWEEN
ALBION AND ATTICA AND THE WESTERN HALF OF MONROE COUNTY THROUGH
5 PM. STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH
WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE LOCALIZED NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT
TIMES. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED IN OPEN AREAS AND ESPECIALLY
ON NORTH...SOUTH ROADS.

THE HEAVIEST PARTS OF THE BAND THROUGH 4 PM WILL BE BETWEEN EAST
AURORA AND BATAVIA WHERE SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH AN HOUR ARE
POSSIBLE. A PORTION OF THE THRUWAY IS CLOSED FROM THE DEPEW EXIT
TO EXIT 46 IN HENRIETTA. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SUDDEN
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
REACH THEIR DESTINATIONS.

JJP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 30, 3:01 AM ESTLakeshore Flood AdvisoryBUFChautauqua, Erie2 hr
Jan 30, 3:54 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more11 hr
Jan 30, 5:24 AM ESTLakeshore Flood WarningBUFChautauqua, Erie7 hr
Jan 30, 6:58 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningBUFErie, Niagara6 hr
Jan 30, 10:30 AM ESTWinter Storm WarningBUFErie, Genesee, Niagara, Orleans, Wyoming4 hr
Jan 30, 12:12 PM ESTWind AdvisoryBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Livingston, Ontario, Wyoming6 hr
Jan 30, 2:37 PM ESTLake Effect Snow and Blowing Snow AdvisoryBUFChautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Wyoming13 hr

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Warnings in New York, 2008Every lake effect snow warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.