Wind Chill Advisory 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 200334
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...ARCTIC AIR WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT...

.COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK OVERNIGHT
WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS SETTING UP EAST OF THE LAKES AND
CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

IT APPEARS THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR THE HEAVIEST SNOWS WILL BE EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO...INCLUDING THE TUG HILL AREA. THREE FEET OF SNOW
IS POSSIBLE FOR THE WHOLE EVENT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS A GOOD POTENTIAL EAST OF LAKE ERIE AS WELL...MOST LIKELY
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES
WHERE STORM TOTALS OF A FOOT OR MORE ARE LIKELY.

NYZ005-201145-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0002.080120T0600Z-080120T1800Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT AND
PERSISTENT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF AN
INCH OR TWO PER HOUR. STORMS TOTALS OVERNIGHT THROUGH NOON SUNDAY
WILL BE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED
TO BE ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE 104.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTHWARD SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...AN ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
COULD OCCUR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. ROUTES AFFECTED WILL
BE INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN ADAMS AND CENTRAL SQUARE. STAY TUNED TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS
AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ019-020-201145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.080120T1100Z-080120T1700Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 12 PM EST
SUNDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO
12 PM EST SUNDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH
THE DAY SUNDAY AND ON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. SNOW 
COULD FALL AT A RATE OF AN INCH OR TWO PER HOUR. THE MOST
PERSISTENT BANDS WILL FOCUS ON THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN
CHAUTAUQUA AND NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES WHERE STORM TOTALS
BY MONDAY MORNING WILL LIKELY EXCEED A FOOT...WITH SOME LOCALIZED
AMOUNTS OVER TWO FEET POSSIBLE.

BRISK WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL BRING WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED.

$$

NYZ006>008-201145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL FOCUS ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY
AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF LEWIS COUNTY OVERNIGHT. SNOW COULD FALL
AT A RATE OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR.

THE BAND OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FOCUS ACROSS OSWEGO
AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES SUNDAY MORNING...BEFORE SLOWLY
LIFTING NORTHWARD DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. THE LAKE BAND IS EXPECTED 
TO LIFT BACK INTO SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT WHILE CONTINUING ACROSS OSWEGO
AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.

EXPECT STORM TOTALS BY MONDAY MORNING OF ONE TO THREE FEET...
POSSIBLY MORE IN THE MOST INTENSE SNOWFALL.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. ROUTES AFFECTED WILL
BE INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN ADAMS AND CENTRAL SQUARE. STAY TUNED TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS
AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ004-201145-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.080120T0600Z-080120T1800Z/
WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWARK
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MOVE INTO FAR NORTHERN WAYNE COUNTY AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND PERSISTENT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW COULD FALL AT
A RATE OF AN INCH OR TWO PER HOUR. SNOWFALL TOTALS OVERNIGHT
THROUGH NOON SUNDAY ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE 104 WILL BE FROM 4
TO 8 INCHES. 

THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTHWARD SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ012-085-201145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.080120T1100Z-080120T1700Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 12 PM EST
SUNDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO
12 PM EST SUNDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH
THE DAY SUNDAY AND ON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. SNOW 
COULD FALL AT A RATE OF AN INCH OR TWO PER HOUR. 

THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS OVERNIGHT WILL FOCUS ON FAR
SOUTHERN ERIE AND FAR SOUTHERN WYOMING COUNTIES...GENERALLY SOUTH
OF EDEN...HOLLAND AND JAVA. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.

THE LAKE BANDS WILL LIFT NORTHWARD DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT REACHING THE HAMBURG...ORCHARD PARK...AND WARSAW
AREAS BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES
POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

BRISK WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL BRING WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED.

$$

NYZ013-014-021-201145-
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.080120T1100Z-080120T1700Z/
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...WELLSVILLE
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 12 PM EST
SUNDAY...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 12 PM EST
SUNDAY. 

BRISK WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL BRING WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED.

$$

TMA

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 200843
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
343 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...ARCTIC AIR WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH
TONIGHT...

.COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK
TODAY WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED BY
THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING
MONDAY MORNING.

IT APPEARS THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR THE HEAVIEST SNOWS WILL BE EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO...INCLUDING THE TUG HILL AREA. ONE TO THREE FEET
OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE FOR THE WHOLE EVENT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

THERE IS A GOOD POTENTIAL EAST OF LAKE ERIE AS WELL...MOST LIKELY
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES
WHERE STORM TOTALS OF A FOOT OR MORE ARE LIKELY.

NYZ019-020-201645-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.080120T1100Z-080120T1700Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
343 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

DISORGANIZED AREAS OF LAKE SNOW THIS MORNING SHOULD BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE
WEAKENING BY MONDAY MORNING. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF AN INCH
OR TWO PER HOUR IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS WILL
FOCUS ON THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND NORTHERN
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON BUT MAY ALSO AFFECT THE 
LAKESHORE AREAS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK TONIGHT. STORM TOTALS BY
MONDAY MORNING WILL LIKELY EXCEED A FOOT IN MANY AREAS...WITH
ISOLATED TWO FOOT AMOUNTS POSSIBLE AT A FEW LOCATIONS ON THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

BRISK WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL BRING WIND CHILLS INTO THE 10 BELOW
RANGE...JUST SHY OF WIND CHILL ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT THE COLDEST
OF THIS SEASON NONETHELESS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.



$$

NYZ012-085-201645-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.080120T1100Z-080120T1700Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
343 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

DISORGANIZED AREAS OF LAKE SNOW THIS MORNING SHOULD BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE
WEAKENING BY MONDAY MORNING. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF AN INCH
OR TWO PER HOUR IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. 

THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS WILL FOCUS ON FAR SOUTHERN ERIE AND
WYOMING COUNTIES TODAY...MOSTLY SOUTH OF A BOSTON TO WARSAW
LINE...BUT MAY LIFT NORTH A FEW MILES TONIGHT. TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS BY MONDAY MORNING CAN REACH 4 TO 8 INCHES IN THESE
AREAS. 

BRISK WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL BRING WIND CHILLS INTO THE 10 BELOW
RANGE...JUST SHY OF WIND CHILL ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT THE COLDEST
OF THIS SEASON NONETHELESS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.



$$

NYZ013-014-021-200945-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.080120T1100Z-080120T1700Z/
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...WELLSVILLE
343 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY. 

BRISK WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL BRING WIND CHILLS INTO THE 10 BELOW
RANGE...JUST SHY OF WIND CHILL ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT THE COLDEST
OF THIS SEASON NONETHELESS.

$$

NYZ006>008-201645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
343 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW HAVE TEMPORARILY SETTLED INTO SOUTHERN
OSWEGO COUNTY EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY MAY BECOME
DISORGANIZED FOR A TIME THIS MORNING BEFORE REDEVELOPING AND
LIFTING SLOWLY NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE TUG HILL
REGION LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WHERE IT WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY BEFORE WEAKENING AND LIFTING NORTH DURING MONDAY. SNOW
WILL FALL AT ONE TO THREE INCHES PER HOUR WITHIN THE BAND AND WILL
BE MOST INTENSE TONIGHT.

EXPECT STORM TOTALS BY MONDAY MORNING OF ONE TO THREE FEET...
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE IN THE MOST INTENSE SNOWFALL ON THE TUG HILL.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. ROUTES AFFECTED WILL
BE INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN ADAMS AND CENTRAL SQUARE. STAY TUNED TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS
AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ005-201645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080120T1800Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
343 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW WAS ONGOING ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING. IT SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND LIFT NORTH OUT OF THE AREA
BY MIDDAY OR EARLY AFTERNOON...BUT STORM TOTALS CAN REACH 6 TO 12
INCHES...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED TO BE ALONG AND NORTH
OF ROUTE 104.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ004-201645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080120T1800Z/
WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWARK
343 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE
COUNTY NEAR SODUS BAY EARLY THIS MORNING. IT SHOULD GRADUALLY
WEAKEN LATER THIS MORNING AND LIFT NORTH BY MIDDAY...BUT TOTALS
ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE 104 CAN BE AS MUCH AS 4 TO 8 INCHES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

SFM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
236 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL TRACK EAST ACROSS OUR REGION TODAY AND
BRING A GENERAL VERY LIGHT SNOWFALL TO THE ENTIRE AREA...BUT WITH
SOME ENHANCED SNOW EAST OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO. A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR FOLLOWING A SECOND ARCTIC FRONT WILL
SET THE STAGE FOR A PROLONGED LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT EAST OF BOTH
LAKES...STARTING TONIGHT AND LASTING INTO MONDAY MORNING.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SOME OF THE COLDEST OF THE SEASON.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE SYNOPTIC SCALE SNOWS HAVE TURNED TO BE QUITE MEAGER DURING THE
MORNING, BUT THE LAKE SNOWS THAT DEVELOPED WERE QUITE INTENSE. THE
LAKE SNOWS ARE SHIFTING SOUTH AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS SHIFT
TO THE WEST BEHIND THE DEPARTING COLD FRONT. THE MESOSCALE MODELS
SHOW THE LAKE SNOWS WEAKENING CONSIDERABLY OFF LAKE ERIE. BUT OFF
LAKE ONTARIO, THE LAKE SNOWS SHOULD SETTLE TOWARD THE TUG HILL AND
BEGIN TO REORGANIZE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
THE COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING AS A
SECONDARY ARCTIC FRONT DROPS SOUTH ACROSS NEW YORK STATE. THE
COMBINATION OF INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND FAVORABLE SNOW
GROWTH WILL ALLOW THE SNOW BANDS TO BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED.
THE LAKE BANDS SHOULD BECOME BETTER DEVELOPED OFF LAKE ERIE. THE
925 MB OMEGA FIELDS ALSO SHOW VERY IMPRESSIVE LIFT SOUTHEAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO...WITH A SIMILAR...BUT WEAKER TREND EAST OF LAKE
ERIE. FAVORABLE PARAMETERS FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST TO
REMAIN INTACT RIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THEREFORE...THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WATCH WILL BE UPGRADED TO A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER AND EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE PERSISTENT
AND WELL ALIGNED WESTERLY FLOW AND LARGE SNOW TO WATER RATIOS
EXPECTED WITH THE ARCTIC AIRMASS COULD RESULT IN TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 2 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT BANDS OFF BOTH LAKES.

AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE MAIN LAKE SNOW BANDS WILL JUST SEE SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS WITH LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION.

EXPECT THE LAKE SNOWS TO LINGER INTO MONDAY MORNING...THEN LIFT
SLOWLY TO THE NORTH AND WEAKEN DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE LOW LEVEL
WIND SHEAR INCREASES AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MIDWEST COLD FRONT.
WARM AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WILL GENERATE A GENERAL
SNOWFALL ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
TYPICAL MIDWINTER CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL DURING THIS PERIOD AS
LONG WAVE TROUGH OF THIS WEEKEND PULLS EAST AND ALLOWS A MORE ZONAL
FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST FOR THE BULK OF THE WEEK.
A COLD SURFACE TROUGH WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKES WILL
MAINTAIN THE CHANCE OF LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE OF
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. A CLIPPER MOVING INTO THE TROUGH WILL BRING
A GENERAL SNOW TO THE ENTIRE REGION WED NIGHT THROUGH THU MORNING
AND DRAW MORE COLD AIR OVER THE LAKES ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN ON THU NIGHT AND FRIDAY WILL BRING AN END TO LAKE EFFECT
SNOW AND DECREASE THE CLOUDINESS. BROAD TROUGHING OVER THE MIDWEST
WILL BRING WARM ADVECTION AND ANOTHER GENERAL SNOWFALL TO THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL BE LIKELY SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND
WATERTOWN OFF THE LAKES TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...MOST LIKELY
AFFECTING THE AREAS SOUTH OF BUFFALO TO JAMESTOWN OFF OF LAKE ERIE
AND SOUTH OF WATERTOWN TO SYRACUSE OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED LIFR CONDITIONS. OUTSIDE OF LAKE
EFFECT...CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR ALL NEARSHORE WATERS
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...AND MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED EVEN FARTHER
INTO NEXT WEEK. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS WILL BECOME PREVALENT
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. FREEZING SPRAY MAY BECOME AN ISSUE ON
SUNDAY.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ006>008-
     019>021.
     WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
     NYZ012>014-019>021-085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ012-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
         LOZ042>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TJP
NEAR TERM...APB/TJP
SHORT TERM...TJP
LONG TERM...WCH
AVIATION...WCH
MARINE...WCH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
502 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-021-201015-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
502 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019-020-085-201015-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
502 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-201015-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
502 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-201015-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
502 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-201015-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
502 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO AND
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
944 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

NYZ010>012-019-020-085-191700-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
944 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

A BURST OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEAST
ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK THIS MORNING. AT 930 AM...THE
BACK EDGE OF THE BAND NEARING A LINE FROM DUNKIRK NORTHEAST TO
BLASDELL AND JUST EAST OF AKRON.

BETWEEN 930 AM AND 11 AM...THE BAND WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT A
LARGE PORTION OF CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY FROM ABOUT JAMESTOWN NORTH AND
WEST INCLUDING THE THRUWAY. THE BAND WILL CLIP THE NORTHWEST SECTION
OF CATTARAUGUS COUNTY INCLUDING SOUTH DAYTON AND GOWANDA. IN ERIE
COUNTY...THE LAKE BAND WILL COVER NEARLY ALL OF SOUTHERN ERIE
COUNTY INCLUDING MOST OF ROUTE 400 AND NEARLY ALL OF ROUTE 219.
THE MAJORITY OF GENESEE COUNTY WILL CONTINUE TO BE WITHIN THE BAND
FOR THE NEXT HOUR...WHICH INCLUDES A STRETCH OF THE THRUWAY
BETWEEN AKRON AND LE ROY. FINALLY...THE BAND WILL AFFECT THE
NORTHWEST CORNER OF WYOMING COUNTY...INCLUDING BENNINGTON AND
ATTICA...OR FROM AN AREA ROUGHLY NORTH OF ROUTE 20A AND WEST OF
ROUTE 19.

AREAS UNDERNEATH THE BAND SHOULD EXPECT SNOWFALL RATES BETWEEN 1
AND 3 INCHES PER HOUR WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS APPROACHING 4
INCHES BEFORE THE BAND MOVES SOUTHEAST. ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS
DUE TO RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITIES AND SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS.

ZAFF