Lake Effect Snow Warning 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 191548
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1048 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...ARCTIC AIR WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW FROM LATE
TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK
THIS AFTERNOON WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS SETTING UP EAST OF THE
LAKES LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR THE HEAVIEST SNOWS
WILL BE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...INCLUDING THE TUG HILL AREA. THREE
FEET OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE FOR THE WHOLE EVENT THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT.

THERE IS A GOOD POTENTIAL EAST OF LAKE ERIE AS WELL...MOST LIKELY
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF WYOMING AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES
SOUTHWARD INTO CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES WHERE A TOTAL
OF A FOOT OR MORE IS POSSIBLE.

NYZ012-019-020-085-200000-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.080119T2100Z-080121T1100Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1048 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN THIS AFTERNOON...AND STRONGER BANDS OF LAKE
SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. THE BANDS SHOULD PERSIST RIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT OR
MONDAY MORNING. THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS WILL FOCUS ON THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF OF SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES...AS WELL AS
NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES WHERE TOTALS BY
MONDAY MORNING CAN EXCEED A FOOT.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ006>008-200000-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.080119T2100Z-080121T1100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1048 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN THIS AFTERNOON...AND THE LAKE SNOWS OVER
JEFFERSON COUNTY SHOULD SHIFT SOUTH TO THE TUG HILL LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE SNOWS WILL INTENSIFY TONIGHT...WITH THE
MOST PERSISTENT BANDS OVER NORTHERN OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTIES...AND FAR SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY. EXPECT
TOTALS BY MONDAY MORNING OF ONE TO THREE FEET. EVEN GREATER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE TUG HILL.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. ROUTES AFFECTED WILL BE
INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN ADAMS AND CENTRAL SQUARE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 192010
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
310 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...ARCTIC AIR WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW FROM LATE
TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK TONIGHT
WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS SETTING UP EAST OF THE LAKES AND
CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR THE HEAVIEST SNOWS
WILL BE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...INCLUDING THE TUG HILL AREA. THREE
FEET OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE FOR THE WHOLE EVENT THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT.

THERE IS A GOOD POTENTIAL EAST OF LAKE ERIE AS WELL...MOST LIKELY
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES
WHERE A TOTAL OF A FOOT OR MORE IS POSSIBLE.

NYZ012-085-200415-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0002.080119T2100Z-080121T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.080119T2100Z-080121T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.080120T1100Z-080120T1700Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
310 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. A WIND
CHILL ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS
IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ADVISORY HAS REPLACED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN TONIGHT...AND STRONGER BANDS OF LAKE SNOWS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS EVENING. THE BANDS SHOULD
PERSIST RIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. UP TO 5
INCHES OF SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE TONIGHT...WITH ANOTHER 4 INCHES
POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. TOTALS IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
SNOWS BY MONDAY MORNING COULD BE 6 TO 9 INCHES.

BRISK WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL BRING WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. 

$$

NYZ019-020-200415-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.080120T1100Z-080120T1700Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.080119T2100Z-080121T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
310 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY. A
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY.

COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN TONIGHT...AND STRONGER BANDS OF LAKE SNOWS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS EVENING. THE BANDS SHOULD
PERSIST RIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. THE MOST
PERSISTENT BANDS WILL FOCUS ON THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS NORTHERN
CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES WHERE TOTALS BY MONDAY MORNING
CAN EXCEED A FOOT.

BRISK WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL BRING WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED.

$$

NYZ006>008-200415-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.080119T2100Z-080121T1100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
310 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN TONIGHT...AND LAKE SNOWS WILL INTENSIFY OVER
SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY...AND SHIFT SOUTH TO THE TUG HILL
OVERNIGHT. THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS ARE EXPECTED OVER OSWEGO
AND SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTIES...AND FAR SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON COUNTY. EXPECT TOTALS BY MONDAY MORNING OF ONE TO THREE
FEET...POSSIBLY MORE IN THE MOST INTENSE SNOWFALL.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. ROUTES AFFECTED WILL
BE INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN ADAMS AND CENTRAL SQUARE. STAY TUNED TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS
AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ013-014-021-200415-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.080120T1100Z-080120T1700Z/
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...WELLSVILLE
310 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY. 

BRISK WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL BRING WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 200334
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...ARCTIC AIR WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT...

.COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK OVERNIGHT
WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS SETTING UP EAST OF THE LAKES AND
CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

IT APPEARS THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR THE HEAVIEST SNOWS WILL BE EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO...INCLUDING THE TUG HILL AREA. THREE FEET OF SNOW
IS POSSIBLE FOR THE WHOLE EVENT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS A GOOD POTENTIAL EAST OF LAKE ERIE AS WELL...MOST LIKELY
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES
WHERE STORM TOTALS OF A FOOT OR MORE ARE LIKELY.

NYZ005-201145-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0002.080120T0600Z-080120T1800Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT AND
PERSISTENT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF AN
INCH OR TWO PER HOUR. STORMS TOTALS OVERNIGHT THROUGH NOON SUNDAY
WILL BE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED
TO BE ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE 104.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTHWARD SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...AN ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
COULD OCCUR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. ROUTES AFFECTED WILL
BE INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN ADAMS AND CENTRAL SQUARE. STAY TUNED TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS
AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ019-020-201145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.080120T1100Z-080120T1700Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 12 PM EST
SUNDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO
12 PM EST SUNDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH
THE DAY SUNDAY AND ON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. SNOW 
COULD FALL AT A RATE OF AN INCH OR TWO PER HOUR. THE MOST
PERSISTENT BANDS WILL FOCUS ON THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN
CHAUTAUQUA AND NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES WHERE STORM TOTALS
BY MONDAY MORNING WILL LIKELY EXCEED A FOOT...WITH SOME LOCALIZED
AMOUNTS OVER TWO FEET POSSIBLE.

BRISK WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL BRING WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED.

$$

NYZ006>008-201145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL FOCUS ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY
AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF LEWIS COUNTY OVERNIGHT. SNOW COULD FALL
AT A RATE OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR.

THE BAND OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FOCUS ACROSS OSWEGO
AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES SUNDAY MORNING...BEFORE SLOWLY
LIFTING NORTHWARD DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. THE LAKE BAND IS EXPECTED 
TO LIFT BACK INTO SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT WHILE CONTINUING ACROSS OSWEGO
AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.

EXPECT STORM TOTALS BY MONDAY MORNING OF ONE TO THREE FEET...
POSSIBLY MORE IN THE MOST INTENSE SNOWFALL.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. ROUTES AFFECTED WILL
BE INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN ADAMS AND CENTRAL SQUARE. STAY TUNED TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS
AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ004-201145-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.080120T0600Z-080120T1800Z/
WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWARK
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MOVE INTO FAR NORTHERN WAYNE COUNTY AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND PERSISTENT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW COULD FALL AT
A RATE OF AN INCH OR TWO PER HOUR. SNOWFALL TOTALS OVERNIGHT
THROUGH NOON SUNDAY ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE 104 WILL BE FROM 4
TO 8 INCHES. 

THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTHWARD SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ012-085-201145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.080120T1100Z-080120T1700Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 12 PM EST
SUNDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO
12 PM EST SUNDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH
THE DAY SUNDAY AND ON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. SNOW 
COULD FALL AT A RATE OF AN INCH OR TWO PER HOUR. 

THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS OVERNIGHT WILL FOCUS ON FAR
SOUTHERN ERIE AND FAR SOUTHERN WYOMING COUNTIES...GENERALLY SOUTH
OF EDEN...HOLLAND AND JAVA. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.

THE LAKE BANDS WILL LIFT NORTHWARD DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT REACHING THE HAMBURG...ORCHARD PARK...AND WARSAW
AREAS BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES
POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

BRISK WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL BRING WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED.

$$

NYZ013-014-021-201145-
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.080120T1100Z-080120T1700Z/
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...WELLSVILLE
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 12 PM EST
SUNDAY...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 12 PM EST
SUNDAY. 

BRISK WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL BRING WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED.

$$

TMA

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 200843
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
343 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...ARCTIC AIR WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH
TONIGHT...

.COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK
TODAY WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED BY
THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING
MONDAY MORNING.

IT APPEARS THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR THE HEAVIEST SNOWS WILL BE EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO...INCLUDING THE TUG HILL AREA. ONE TO THREE FEET
OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE FOR THE WHOLE EVENT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

THERE IS A GOOD POTENTIAL EAST OF LAKE ERIE AS WELL...MOST LIKELY
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES
WHERE STORM TOTALS OF A FOOT OR MORE ARE LIKELY.

NYZ019-020-201645-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.080120T1100Z-080120T1700Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
343 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

DISORGANIZED AREAS OF LAKE SNOW THIS MORNING SHOULD BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE
WEAKENING BY MONDAY MORNING. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF AN INCH
OR TWO PER HOUR IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS WILL
FOCUS ON THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND NORTHERN
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON BUT MAY ALSO AFFECT THE 
LAKESHORE AREAS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK TONIGHT. STORM TOTALS BY
MONDAY MORNING WILL LIKELY EXCEED A FOOT IN MANY AREAS...WITH
ISOLATED TWO FOOT AMOUNTS POSSIBLE AT A FEW LOCATIONS ON THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

BRISK WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL BRING WIND CHILLS INTO THE 10 BELOW
RANGE...JUST SHY OF WIND CHILL ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT THE COLDEST
OF THIS SEASON NONETHELESS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.



$$

NYZ012-085-201645-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.080120T1100Z-080120T1700Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
343 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

DISORGANIZED AREAS OF LAKE SNOW THIS MORNING SHOULD BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE
WEAKENING BY MONDAY MORNING. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF AN INCH
OR TWO PER HOUR IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. 

THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS WILL FOCUS ON FAR SOUTHERN ERIE AND
WYOMING COUNTIES TODAY...MOSTLY SOUTH OF A BOSTON TO WARSAW
LINE...BUT MAY LIFT NORTH A FEW MILES TONIGHT. TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS BY MONDAY MORNING CAN REACH 4 TO 8 INCHES IN THESE
AREAS. 

BRISK WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL BRING WIND CHILLS INTO THE 10 BELOW
RANGE...JUST SHY OF WIND CHILL ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT THE COLDEST
OF THIS SEASON NONETHELESS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.



$$

NYZ013-014-021-200945-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.080120T1100Z-080120T1700Z/
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...WELLSVILLE
343 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY. 

BRISK WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL BRING WIND CHILLS INTO THE 10 BELOW
RANGE...JUST SHY OF WIND CHILL ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT THE COLDEST
OF THIS SEASON NONETHELESS.

$$

NYZ006>008-201645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
343 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW HAVE TEMPORARILY SETTLED INTO SOUTHERN
OSWEGO COUNTY EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY MAY BECOME
DISORGANIZED FOR A TIME THIS MORNING BEFORE REDEVELOPING AND
LIFTING SLOWLY NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE TUG HILL
REGION LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WHERE IT WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY BEFORE WEAKENING AND LIFTING NORTH DURING MONDAY. SNOW
WILL FALL AT ONE TO THREE INCHES PER HOUR WITHIN THE BAND AND WILL
BE MOST INTENSE TONIGHT.

EXPECT STORM TOTALS BY MONDAY MORNING OF ONE TO THREE FEET...
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE IN THE MOST INTENSE SNOWFALL ON THE TUG HILL.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. ROUTES AFFECTED WILL
BE INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN ADAMS AND CENTRAL SQUARE. STAY TUNED TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS
AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ005-201645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080120T1800Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
343 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW WAS ONGOING ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING. IT SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND LIFT NORTH OUT OF THE AREA
BY MIDDAY OR EARLY AFTERNOON...BUT STORM TOTALS CAN REACH 6 TO 12
INCHES...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED TO BE ALONG AND NORTH
OF ROUTE 104.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ004-201645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080120T1800Z/
WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWARK
343 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE
COUNTY NEAR SODUS BAY EARLY THIS MORNING. IT SHOULD GRADUALLY
WEAKEN LATER THIS MORNING AND LIFT NORTH BY MIDDAY...BUT TOTALS
ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE 104 CAN BE AS MUCH AS 4 TO 8 INCHES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

SFM

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 201122
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
622 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...ARCTIC AIR WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH
TONIGHT...

.COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK TODAY
WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED BY THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING MONDAY
MORNING.

IT APPEARS THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR THE HEAVIEST SNOWS WILL BE EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO...INCLUDING THE TUG HILL AREA. ONE TO THREE FEET
OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE FOR THE WHOLE EVENT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

THERE IS A GOOD POTENTIAL EAST OF LAKE ERIE AS WELL...MOST LIKELY
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES
WHERE STORM TOTALS OF A FOOT OR MORE ARE LIKELY.

NYZ019-020-201730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
622 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

DISORGANIZED AREAS OF LAKE SNOW THIS MORNING SHOULD BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE
WEAKENING BY MONDAY MORNING. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF AN INCH
OR TWO PER HOUR IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS
WILL FOCUS ON THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND
NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON BUT MAY ALSO AFFECT
THE LAKESHORE AREAS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK TONIGHT. STORM TOTALS
BY MONDAY MORNING WILL LIKELY EXCEED A FOOT IN MANY AREAS...WITH
ISOLATED TWO FOOT AMOUNTS POSSIBLE AT A FEW LOCATIONS ON THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

BRISK WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL BRING WIND CHILLS INTO THE 10 BELOW RANGE...
JUST SHY OF WIND CHILL ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT THE COLDEST OF THIS
SEASON NONETHELESS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ006>008-201730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
622 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW HAVE TEMPORARILY SETTLED INTO SOUTHERN
OSWEGO COUNTY EARLY THIS MORNING. OVER A FOOT HAS FALLEN OVERNIGHT
IN A SINGLE BAND NEAR HANNIBAL. THIS ACTIVITY MAY BECOME
DISORGANIZED FOR A TIME THIS MORNING BEFORE REDEVELOPING AND
LIFTING SLOWLY NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE TUG HILL REGION
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WHERE IT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
BEFORE WEAKENING AND LIFTING NORTH DURING MONDAY. SNOW WILL FALL
AT ONE TO THREE INCHES PER HOUR WITHIN THE BAND AND WILL BE MOST
INTENSE TONIGHT.

EXPECT STORM TOTALS BY MONDAY MORNING OF ONE TO THREE FEET...
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE IN THE MOST INTENSE SNOWFALL ON THE TUG HILL.
A FEW SPOTS NEAR HANNIBAL AND GRANBY COULD ALSO EXCEED TWO FEET
BY MIDDAY TODAY BEFORE THE ACTIVITY MOVES NORTH.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. ROUTE 104 WEST OF
OSWEGO WILL BE ESPECIALLY TROUBLESOME THIS MORNING...WITH
INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN ADAMS AND CENTRAL SQUARE A TOUGH DRIVE LATER
ON. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER
INFORMATION FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION
IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ005-201730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080120T1800Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
622 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW WAS ONGOING ACROSS THE REGION EARLY
THIS MORNING. 12 TO 18 INCHES HAS FALLEN SINCE MIDNIGHT. IT
SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND LIFT NORTH OUT OF THE AREA BY MIDDAY
OR EARLY AFTERNOON...BUT NOT BEFORE ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 9
INCHES MAY BRING AMOUNTS TO TWO FEET IN SPOTS...WITH THE HEAVIEST
AMOUNTS EXPECTED TO BE ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE 104.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ012-085-201730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
622 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

DISORGANIZED AREAS OF LAKE SNOW THIS MORNING SHOULD BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE
WEAKENING BY MONDAY MORNING. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF AN INCH
OR TWO PER HOUR IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS.

THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS WILL FOCUS ON FAR SOUTHERN ERIE AND
WYOMING COUNTIES TODAY...MOSTLY SOUTH OF A BOSTON TO WARSAW
LINE...BUT MAY LIFT NORTH A FEW MILES TONIGHT. TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS BY MONDAY MORNING CAN REACH 4 TO 8 INCHES IN THESE
AREAS.

BRISK WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL BRING WIND CHILLS INTO THE 10 BELOW RANGE...
JUST SHY OF WIND CHILL ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT THE COLDEST OF THIS
SEASON NONETHELESS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ004-201730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080120T1800Z/
WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWARK
622 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE
COUNTY NEAR SODUS BAY EARLY THIS MORNING. SEVERAL INCHES HAS
FALLEN OVER WOLCOTT AND RED CREEK SINCE MIDNIGHT BUT NOTHING AT
SODUS BAY. THE BAND SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN LATER THIS MORNING
AND LIFT NORTH BY MIDDAY...BUT TOTALS IN WOLCOTT CAN REACH 4 TO 8
INCHES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

SFM

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 201534
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1034 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...ARCTIC AIR WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH
TONIGHT...

.COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK TODAY
AND TONIGHT WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED
THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING
MONDAY MORNING.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THE HEAVIEST SNOWS WILL BE EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO...INCLUDING THE TUG HILL AREA. ONE TO THREE FEET OF SNOW
IS POSSIBLE FOR THE WHOLE EVENT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

THERE IS A GOOD POTENTIAL EAST OF LAKE ERIE AS WELL...MOST LIKELY
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES
WHERE STORM TOTALS OF A FOOT OR MORE ARE LIKELY.

NYZ005-202345-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1000Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
1034 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
MONDAY. 

THE HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS LIFTED NORTH OVER LAKE ONTARIO...
BUT IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTH AGAIN THIS EVENING. ANOTHER 5 TO
9 INCHES COULD ACCUMULATE...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED TO
BE ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE 104.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ019-020-202345-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
1034 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOULD BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING BY MONDAY MORNING. SNOW
COULD FALL AT A RATE OF AN INCH OR TWO PER HOUR IN THE HEAVIEST
BANDS. THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS WILL BE ON THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT MAY ALSO AFFECT THE LAKESHORE AREAS FROM RIPLEY
TO DUNKIRK TONIGHT. STORM TOTALS BY MONDAY MORNING WILL LIKELY
EXCEED A FOOT IN MANY AREAS...WITH ISOLATED TWO FOOT AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE AT A FEW LOCATIONS ON THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ006>008-202345-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1034 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DRIFT NORTH TODAY OVER THE TUG HILL...AND
THEN BACK SOUTH THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL FALL AT ONE TO THREE
INCHES PER HOUR WITHIN THE BAND AND WILL BE MOST INTENSE TONIGHT.

EXPECT STORM TOTALS BY MONDAY MORNING OF ONE TO THREE FEET...
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE IN THE MOST INTENSE SNOWFALL ON THE TUG HILL.
CONDITIONS ON INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN ADAMS AND CENTRAL SQUARE WILL
BE DIFFICULT TODAY. 

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. A TOUGH DRIVE LATER ON.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER
INFORMATION FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION
IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ004-202345-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1000Z/
WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWARK
1034 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
MONDAY...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
MONDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS MOVED NORTH OVER LAKE ONTARIO...BUT IT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE BACK SOUTH TONIGHT...WITH ANOTHER 3 TO 6 INCHES
POSSIBLE. 

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ012-085-202345-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1034 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOULD BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING BY MONDAY MORNING.
SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF AN INCH OR TWO PER HOUR IN THE
HEAVIEST BANDS.

THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS WILL FOCUS ON FAR SOUTHERN ERIE AND
WYOMING COUNTIES TODAY...MOSTLY SOUTH OF A BOSTON TO WARSAW
LINE...BUT MAY LIFT NORTH A FEW MILES TONIGHT. TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS BY MONDAY MORNING CAN REACH 4 TO 8 INCHES IN THESE
AREAS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 202005
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
305 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...ARCTIC AIR WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

.COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK
TONIGHT AND MONDAY WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUING THROUGH
TONIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING MONDAY.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THE HEAVIEST SNOWS WILL BE EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO...INCLUDING THE TUG HILL AREA. ONE TO THREE FEET OF SNOW
IS POSSIBLE FOR THE WHOLE EVENT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

THERE IS A GOOD POTENTIAL EAST OF LAKE ERIE AS WELL...MOST LIKELY
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES
WHERE STORM TOTALS OF A FOOT OR MORE ARE LIKELY.

NYZ006>008-210415-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1800Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
305 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
MONDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DRIFT SOUTH TOWARD SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY
THIS EVENING...THEN BACK NORTH MONDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL FALL AT
ONE TO THREE INCHES PER HOUR WITHIN THE BAND AND WILL BE MOST
INTENSE TONIGHT.

EXPECT STORM TOTALS BY MONDAY MORNING OF ONE TO THREE FEET...
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE IN THE MOST INTENSE SNOWFALL ON THE TUG HILL.
CONDITIONS ON INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN ADAMS AND CENTRAL SQUARE WILL
BE DIFFICULT.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. A TOUGH DRIVE LATER
ON. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER
INFORMATION FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST
INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ019-020-210415-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
305 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING
BY MONDAY MORNING. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF AN INCH OR TWO PER
HOUR IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS WILL BE ON
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND NORTHERN
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...BUT MAY ALSO AFFECT THE LAKESHORE AREAS
FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK. STORM TOTALS BY MONDAY MORNING WILL
LIKELY EXCEED A FOOT IN MANY AREAS...WITH ISOLATED TWO FOOT
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE AT A FEW LOCATIONS ON THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ005-210415-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1000Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
305 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
MONDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTH AND RETURN TO THE
COUNTY THIS EVENING. ANOTHER 5 TO 10 INCHES COULD ACCUMULATE...
WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED TO BE ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE
104.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ012-085-210415-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
305 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING
BY MONDAY MORNING. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF AN INCH OR TWO PER
HOUR IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY MONDAY MORNING
CAN REACH 4 TO 8 INCHES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ004-210415-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1000Z/
WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWARK
305 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
MONDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOULD MOVE BACK SOUTH TONIGHT...WITH ANOTHER 3
TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHEAST PARTS OF THE COUNTY. THE
LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH OUT OF THE COUNTY EARLY
MONDAY.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 210348
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1048 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

.ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW
YORK OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUING
OVERNIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING MONDAY.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS WILL BE EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO...INCLUDING THE TUG HILL AREA. TWO TO FOUR FEET OF SNOW
IS POSSIBLE FOR THE WHOLE EVENT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

THERE IS A GOOD POTENTIAL EAST OF LAKE ERIE AS WELL...MOST LIKELY
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES
WHERE STORM TOTALS OF A FOOT OR MORE ARE LIKELY.

NYZ007-210500-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1800Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
1048 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF
JEFFERSON COUNTY OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MOVE BACK INTO SOUTHERN JEFFERSON MONDAY
AFTERNOON WITH SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE SOUTH
OF WATERTOWN.

$$

NYZ019-020-211100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
1048 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING BY
MONDAY MORNING. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER 
HOUR IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS WILL BE ON
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND NORTHERN
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...BUT MAY ALSO AFFECT THE LAKESHORE AREAS
BETWEEN WESTFIELD AND DUNKIRK. STORM TOTALS BY MONDAY MORNING
WILL LIKELY EXCEED A FOOT IN MANY AREAS...WITH ISOLATED TWO TO
THREE FOOT AMOUNTS POSSIBLE AT A FEW LOCATIONS ON THE CHAUTAUQUA
RIDGE.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ006-008-211200-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1800Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
1048 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
MONDAY. 

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHERN
OSWEGO COUNTY THROUGH MIDNIGHT BEFORE SLOWLY LIFTING NORTHWARD
OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL FALL AT A RATE OF ONE TO
THREE INCHES OR MORE PER HOUR WITHIN THE HEAVIEST PORTION OF THE 
BAND.

EXPECT STORM TOTALS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON OF ONE TO THREE FEET...
WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF FOUR FEET OR MORE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST
INTENSE SNOWFALL ON THE TUG HILL. TRAVEL CONDITIONS ON INTERSTATE
81 BETWEEN ADAMS AND CENTRAL SQUARE...AS WELL AS ROUTE 104
BETWEEN MEXICO AND WILLIAMSTOWN WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO
IMPOSSIBLE.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. A TOUGH DRIVE LATER
ON. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER
INFORMATION FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST
INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ005-211000-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1000Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
1048 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
MONDAY. 

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT
ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE 104. SNOW WILL FALL AT A RATE OF ONE TO
THREE INCHES OR MORE PER HOUR WITHIN THE HEAVIEST PORTION OF THE 
BAND. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTH OUT OF THE COUNTY
BETWEEN 3 AM AND 5 AM. 

ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 INCHES TO A FOOT ARE LIKELY
OVERNIGHT BEFORE THE LAKE SNOWS LIFT NORTH.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ012-085-211100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1048 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING BY
MONDAY MORNING. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF UP TO AN INCH PER
HOUR IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. OVERNIGHT ACCUMULATIONS COULD REACH 3
TO 6 INCHES...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS SOUTH OF EDEN...HOLLAND
AND JAVA.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ004-211000-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1000Z/
WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWARK
1048 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
MONDAY. 

THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF A HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WILL REMAIN
ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST WAYNE COUNTY...EAST OF HURON AND NORTH OF
RED CREEK UNTIL MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 6
INCHES ARE LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WOLCOTT BEFORE THE LAKE BAND
LIFTS NORTH.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

TMA

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 210948
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
448 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008

...LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO WIND DOWN TODAY...

.THE COLD WESTERLY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR THAT PRODUCED THE PRODIGIOUS
LAKE SNOWS THIS WEEKEND WILL CONTINUE TO EASE TODAY AND THE LAKE
SNOWS WILL WEAKEN.

THE ACTIVITY OFF LAKE ERIE HAS WEAKENED DRASTICALLY EARLY THIS
MORNING AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO WIND DOWN AND END LATER THIS
MORNING WITH ONLY AN INCH OR TWO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION. STORM
TOTALS REACHED ONE TO TWO FEET ON THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE OVER THE
TWO DAY PERIOD...BUT MUCH LESS ELSEWHERE.

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW CONTINUED TO MOVE IN OFF LAKE ONTARIO
ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS BAND WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE THROUGH MID MORNING AND THEN LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE TUG
HILL AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN BY MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATION CAN REACH 6 TO 12 INCHES...BRINGING STORM TOTALS
OVER PORTIONS OF OSWEGO COUNTY OF 3 TO 4 FEET.


NYZ005-211100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1000Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
448 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE BAND OF INTENSE LAKE SNOW HAS MOVED NORTH OF THE COUNTY AND
NO FURTHER ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. SNOWFALL SINCE SATURDAY NIGHT
HAS APPROACHED 3 FEET NEAR THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE.

$$

NYZ019-020-211100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
448 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS HAVE WEAKENED EARLY THIS MORNING AND WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO AND DISSIPATE LATER THIS MORNING. ANOTHER 1 TO
3 INCHES CAN ACCUMULATE. STORM TOTALS SINCE SATURDAY MORNING HAVE
REACHED ONE TO TWO FEET ON THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE WITH MUCH LESS
ELSEWHERE.

$$

NYZ004-211100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1000Z/
WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWARK
448 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. 

THE LAKE SNOWS HAVE MOVED NORTH OF THE COUNTY AND NO FURTHER
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TODAY.

$$

NYZ012-085-211100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
448 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. 

THE LAKE SNOWS HAVE WEAKENED AND SHOULD DISSIPATE LATER THIS
MORNING. LITTLE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

$$

NYZ006-008-211800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1800Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
448 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS OSWEGO
COUNTY EARLY THIS MORNING AND WILL GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH LATER THIS
MORNING INTO THE TUG HILL AND LEWIS COUNTY BEFORE WEAKENING
FURTHER BY EARLY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION CAN REACH 6 TO
12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES
THIS MORNING...BRINGING STORM TOTALS INTO THE 3 TO 4 FOOT RANGE.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. TRAVEL ON ROUTE 81
BETWEEN CENTRAL SQUARE AND PULASKI WILL BE ESPECIALLY DIFFICULT IF
NOT IMPOSSIBLE THIS MORNING. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR
SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE
LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

SFM

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 211523
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1023 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008

...LAKE SNOWS WILL SHIFT NORTHWARD AND GRADUALLY WIND DOWN
TODAY...

.THE COLD WESTERLY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR THAT PRODUCED THE
PRODIGIOUS LAKE SNOWS THIS WEEKEND WILL CONTINUE TO EASE TODAY
AND THE LAKE SNOWS WILL WEAKEN.

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW CONTINUED TO MOVE IN OFF LAKE ONTARIO
ACROSS NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY LATE THIS MORNING. THIS BAND WILL
CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHWARD AND WEAKEN THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THIS
BAND...BRINGING STORM TOTALS OVER PORTIONS OF OSWEGO COUNTY OF 3
TO 4 FEET.

NYZ006-008-211800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1800Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
1023 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY
AND THE TUG HILL REGION OF LEWIS COUNTY LATE THIS MORNING WILL
CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHWARD AND WEAKEN INTO EARLY AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF AS MUCH AS 3 TO 6 INCHES CAN BE
EXPECTED OVER NORTHERN OSWEGO AND SOUTHWESTERN WESTERN LEWIS
COUNTIES THROUGH 1 PM...BRINGING STORM TOTALS INTO THE 3 TO 4 FOOT
RANGE.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. TRAVEL ON ROUTE
81 BETWEEN CENTRAL SQUARE AND PULASKI WILL BE ESPECIALLY
DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE THIS MORNING. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. THE LATEST INFORMATION IS ALWAYS AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

$$

NYZ007-212100-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.080121T1523Z-080121T2100Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
1023 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY
AND THE TUG HILL REGION OF LEWIS COUNTY LATE THIS MORNING WILL
LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY AND WEAKEN AS THE DAY
PROGRESSES. AS MUCH AS 3 TO 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION WILL FALL ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE COUNTY...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 211816
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
116 PM EST MON JAN 21 2008

...LAKE SNOWS WILL SHIFT NORTHWARD AND GRADUALLY WIND DOWN
TODAY...

.THE COLD WESTERLY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR THAT PRODUCED THE
PRODIGIOUS LAKE SNOWS THIS WEEKEND WILL CONTINUE TO EASE TODAY
AND THE LAKE SNOWS WILL WEAKEN.

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW CONTINUED TO MOVE IN OFF LAKE ONTARIO
ACROSS NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY LATE THIS MORNING. THIS BAND WILL
CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHWARD AND WEAKEN THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THIS BAND...BRINGING STORM TOTALS OVER PORTIONS OF OSWEGO COUNTY
OF 3 TO 4 FEET.

NYZ006-008-211930-
/O.EXP.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1800Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
116 PM EST MON JAN 21 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

AS OF 1 PM...THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS HAVE WEAKENED AND MOVED NORTH
INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY...THUS THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

NYZ007-212100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080121T2100Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
116 PM EST MON JAN 21 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES ACROSS
SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS BAND WILL
CONTINUE TO DRIFT NORTH ACROSS THE COUNTY AND WEAKEN AS THE
AFTERNOON PROGRESSES. AS MUCH AS 3 TO 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION
WILL FALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE COUNTY...WITH 1 TO 3
INCHES POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

JJR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
302 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT TRACKING SOUTHEAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES IS
SCHEDULED TO MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION SATURDAY MORNING. THIS SECOND
FRONT WILL USHER IN ARCTIC AIR WHICH WILL DOMINATE OUR WEATHER
PICTURE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A BAND OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
ACCOMPANY THE FRONT LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING THEN THE STAGE
WILL BE SET FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES
FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SOME OF THE
COLDEST OF THE SEASON.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
BAND OF LAKE EFFECT PERSISTING EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO ACROSS NORTHERN
OSWEGO, SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTIES. THIS BAND
SHLD MOVE NORTH AFTER ARND MIDNIGHT AS STEERING WINDS BECOME MORE SW
AS COLD FRNT APPROACHES WESTERN NEW YORK FRM THE CENTRAL LKS. WILL
UP SNOW ACCUMS TNGT TO 2-4 INCH RANGE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMNTS OVER
THE TUG HILL. ALSO RAISING POPS TO CAT RANGE IN THE BAND. WILL KEEP
SOME FLRYS ACROSS PTNS OF MONROE/GENESEE COUNTIES THIS EVENING
THROUGH 06Z. NO OTHER CHANGES TO REST OF THE ZONES.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS ANOTHER SHORT WAVE MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS
CENTRAL LAKES. THIS FEATURE WILL HELP PUSH AN ARCTIC FRONT
ACROSS OUR REGION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY. NOT TOO EXCITED
ABOUT QPF AVAILABLE WITH THIS FRONT BUT BELIEVE THERE WILL ENOUGH
SNOW TO WARRANT LIKELY POPS. MOS GUIDANCE IS ONLY IN THE CHANCE
RANGE. WE WILL KEEP THE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MINOR FOR THE MOST PART
EXCEPT FOR THE NORTH COUNTRY WHERE WE WILL GO WITH 2 TO 3 INCHES.
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE NON DIURNAL AGAIN...NEAR STEADY
OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING THEN DROPPING BEHIND THE FRONT
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL LIKELY SET UP EAST OF THE
LAKES LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. WE WILL BE STARTING LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WATCHES BY 4 PM. OFF LAKE ERIE THE WATCH WILL INCLUDE SOUTHERN
ERIE...WYOMING...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. OFF LAKE
ONTARIO IT WILL INCLUDE OSWEGO COUNTY AND ALSO THE TUG HILL REGION
OF JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE UPPER LONG WAVE TROUGH CONTINUES TO BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE
REGION DURING THIS PERIOD WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO DROP
INTO THE MINUS LOW 20S AS EARLY AS SATURDAY NIGHT. THE GFS AND
WRF-NMM HAVE VERY SIMILAR SOLUTIONS WITH THE FLOW REMAINING WEST
NORTHWEST AFTER THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. LAKE INDUCED CAPES AND
EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS PEAK LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH MUCH OF THE
REGION WILL JUST BE BITTERLY COLD WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THE PROPOSED LAKE EFFECT TARGETS COULD GET
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS...ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING LARGE SNOW TO
WATER RATIOS IN THE ARCTIC AIRMASS.

MONDAY SHOULD SHOW SOME IMPROVEMENT AS THE EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL DROPS A
BIT ALONG WITH DRIER AIR ADVECTING IN FROM THE WEST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
TYPICAL MIDWINTER CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL DURING THIS PERIOD AS
LONG WAVE TROF OF THIS WEEKEND PULLS EAST AND ALLOWS A MORE ZONAL
FLOW TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST FOR THE BULK
OF THE WEEK. PROGRESSIVE TROFS WILL INDUCE WEAK LOWS WHICH WILL
PASS NORTH OF OUR AREA TUES AND AGAIN WED NT/THURS AM...WITH
MODERATION AHEAD OF THESE SYSTEMS AND INCURSIONS OF COLD AIR
BEHIND THEM. SNOW SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE FEATURES WITH
SLIGHTLY HIGHER POPS IN LK EFFECT AREAS...BUT LK EFFECT WILL NOT
BE TOO DRAMATIC AS TEMPS BECOME MARGINAL THRU WED (-10C 850 OR
SO). TEMPS WILL REACH NEAR 30 AHEAD OF SYSTEM TUES...WITH COLDEST
AIR THURS AS 850S DROP TO -18C AGAIN BUT LOTS OF SHEAR WILL
INHIBIT SIGNIFICANT LK EFFECT THEN. LARGER RIDGE BUILDS IN FOR FRIDAY
SO WILL LEAVE THAT DAY DRY FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT AND
WILL REDEVELOP OFF OF LAKE ERIE BETWEEN 08Z AND 11Z. FOR THE MOST
PART VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT...BUT CONDITIONS COULD
LOWER INTO THE MVFR RANGE IN THE LAKE ACTIVITY.

SURFACE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY WORKING ACROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
AND NORTHWEST OHIO WILL CROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. UPSTREAM
OBSERVATIONS AND REGIONAL RADARS SHOWING A NARROW BAND OF SNOW
RIGHT ALONG THE FRONT AND THIS AREA OF SNOW SHOULD HOLD TOGETHER
AS THE FRONT WORKS ACROSS THE AREA...WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR
CONDITIONS IN SNOW BETWEEN 11Z AND 15Z...WITH SOME ENHANCEMENT OF
LK ERIE IN THE KIAG/KBUF AREA.

EXPECT THERE TO BE A SHORT GAP BETWEEN THE SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE
COLD FRONT AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW WHICH WILL DEVELOP IN THE COLD AIR
BEHIND THE FRONT. BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOULD START DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON HOURS SATURDAY. SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL BE
LIKELY SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN OFF THE LAKES SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY MOST LIKELY AFFECTING THE AREAS SOUTH OF BUFFALO TO
JAMESTOWN OFF OF LAKE ERIE AND SOUTH OF WATERTOWN TO SYRACUSE OFF OF
LAKE ONTARIO WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED LIFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL VEER TO WEST FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE THIS MORNING AND BECOME STRONG...BUT REMAIN BELOW GALE
CRITERIA. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR ALL
NEARSHORE WATERS THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...AND MAY NEED TO BE
EXTENDED EVEN FARTHER INTO NEXT WEEK. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS
WILL BECOME PREVALENT SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. FREEZING
SPRAY MAY BECOME AN ISSUE ON SUNDAY.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST
     MONDAY FOR NYZ006>008-012-019-020-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
         LOZ042>045-062>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJP/SAGE
NEAR TERM...JJP/SAGE
SHORT TERM...SAGE
LONG TERM...SFM
AVIATION...SFM
MARINE...SFM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
400 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2008

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-021-192100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
400 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019-020-085-192100-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
400 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-192100-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
400 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-192100-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
400 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-192100-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
400 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ043>045-063>065-192100-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
400 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-062-192100-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
400 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SAGE