Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2008

Small Craft Advisory 63, NWS Buffalo, NY

September 14, 2008

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Sep 14, 2008, 4:33 AM EDT. It took effect at Sep 14, 2008, 3:36 PM EDT. It was in force for 30 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 14, 2008, 4:33 AM EDT (08:33 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 14, 2008, 3:36 PM EDT
Expired
Sep 15, 2008, 10:00 PM EDT
In force
30 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

786 
WHUS71 KBUF 140833
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
433 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF
HURRICANE IKE CROSS THE REGION...

.THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT HAS BEEN DRAPED ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES
REGION THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS WILL LIFT NORTH INTO SOUTHERN
ONTARIO AND STALL OUT TODAY. THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE WILL
THEN TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THIS BOUNDARY TONIGHT WITH SOUTH WINDS
INCREASING AND BECOMING RATHER GUSTY THIS EVENING...BEFORE TURNING
WESTERLY WITH A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT. A BRISK WESTERLY
FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL THEN CONTINUE ACROSS THE
LOWER LAKES MONDAY MORNING...BEFORE DIMINISHING DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

LEZ020-040-041-141600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080914T2200Z-080915T1800Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
433 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM
EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS THIS
EVENING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND THEN GRADUALLY
SUBSIDING DURING THE DAY MONDAY. AS A RESULT...WAVES WILL BUILD TO
4 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET ON
MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-141600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080914T2200Z-080916T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
433 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS THIS
EVENING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND THEN GRADUALLY
SUBSIDING DURING MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING. AS A RESULT...WAVES
WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 7 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT...THEN WILL SLOWLY
SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-141600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080915T0000Z-080916T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
433 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS THIS
EVENING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND THEN GRADUALLY
SUBSIDING DURING MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING. AS A RESULT...WAVES
WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 7 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT AND TO 6 TO 9 FEET BY
EARLY MONDAY MORNING...THEN WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET
EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-141600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080915T0000Z-080915T0800Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
433 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EDT
MONDAY. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO 15 KNOTS TODAY WILL INCREASE TO
15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS EVENING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY OVERNIGHT
AND THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR
8 follow-up statements
138 
WHUS71 KBUF 141408
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1008 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF
HURRICANE IKE CROSS THE REGION...

.THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT HAS BEEN DRAPED ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES
REGION THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS WILL LIFT NORTH INTO SOUTHERN
ONTARIO AND STALL OUT TODAY. THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE WILL
THEN TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THIS BOUNDARY TONIGHT WITH SOUTH WINDS
INCREASING AND BECOMING RATHER GUSTY THIS EVENING...BEFORE
TURNING WESTERLY WITH A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT. A BRISK
WESTERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL THEN CONTINUE
ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES MONDAY MORNING...BEFORE DIMINISHING DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

LEZ020-040-041-142215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080914T2200Z-080915T1800Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1008 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
THIS EVENING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND THEN
GRADUALLY SUBSIDING DURING THE DAY MONDAY. AS A RESULT...WAVES
WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO
2 TO 4 FEET ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-142215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080914T2200Z-080916T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
1008 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
THIS EVENING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND THEN
GRADUALLY SUBSIDING DURING MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING. AS A
RESULT...WAVES WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 7 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT...THEN
WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-142215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080915T0000Z-080916T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1008 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
THIS EVENING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND THEN
GRADUALLY SUBSIDING DURING MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING. AS A
RESULT...WAVES WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 7 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT AND TO
6 TO 9 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING...THEN WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO
2 TO 4 FEET EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-142215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080915T0000Z-080915T0800Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1008 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 4 AM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 4 AM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO 15 KNOTS TODAY WILL INCREASE TO
15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS EVENING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY OVERNIGHT
AND THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
990 
WHUS71 KBUF 141929
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
329 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF
HURRICANE IKE CROSS THE REGION...

.THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE WILL TRACK NORTHEAST FROM OHIO TO
THE OTTAWA VALLEY TONIGHT WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT CROSSING THE
REGION. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM THIS
EVENING...POSSIBLY REACHING GALE FORCE FOR A TIME ON LAKE ERIE.
THEY WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST FOLLOWING THE FRONT LATER TONIGHT AND
REMAIN BRISK THROUGH MOST OF MONDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING LATER IN
THE DAY.

SLZ024-142030-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080915T0000Z-080915T0800Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
329 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS UPDATED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS UPDATED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

SEE BELOW.

$$

LEZ020-040-041-150330-
/O.UPG.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080914T2200Z-080915T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0020.080914T2200Z-080915T0800Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
329 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 KNOT GALES EARLY THIS
EVENING...THEN SHIFT TO WEST AND DIMINISH TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS BY
MONDAY MORNING. AS A RESULT...WAVES WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 8 FEET
TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET ON MONDAY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-150330-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080915T0200Z-080915T2000Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
329 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS
EVENING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND THEN GRADUALLY
SUBSIDING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-150330-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080914T2200Z-080916T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
329 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS THIS
EVENING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND THEN GRADUALLY
SUBSIDING DURING MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING. AS A RESULT...WAVES
WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 7 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY
MORNING...THEN WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY
EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-150330-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080915T0000Z-080916T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
329 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS THIS
EVENING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND THEN GRADUALLY
SUBSIDING DURING MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING. AS A RESULT...WAVES
WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 7 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT AND TO 6 TO 9 FEET BY
EARLY MONDAY MORNING...THEN WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET
EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
210 
WHUS71 KBUF 141936
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
336 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF
HURRICANE IKE CROSS THE REGION...

.THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE WILL TRACK NORTHEAST FROM OHIO TO
THE OTTAWA VALLEY TONIGHT WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT CROSSING THE
REGION. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM THIS
EVENING...POSSIBLY REACHING GALE FORCE FOR A TIME ON LAKE ERIE.
THEY WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST FOLLOWING THE FRONT LATER TONIGHT AND
REMAIN BRISK THROUGH MOST OF MONDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING LATER IN
THE DAY.

LEZ020-040-041-150345-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0020.080914T2200Z-080915T0800Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
336 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 KNOT GALES EARLY THIS EVENING...
THEN SHIFT TO WEST AND DIMINISH TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS BY MONDAY
MORNING. AS A RESULT...WAVES WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 8 FEET TONIGHT...
THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ024-150345-
/O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080915T0200Z-080915T2000Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
336 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM
EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS
EVENING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND THEN GRADUALLY
SUBSIDING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-150345-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080914T2200Z-080916T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
336 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS THIS
EVENING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND THEN GRADUALLY
SUBSIDING DURING MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING. AS A RESULT...WAVES
WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 7 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...
THEN WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-150345-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080915T0000Z-080916T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
336 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS THIS
EVENING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND THEN GRADUALLY
SUBSIDING DURING MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING. AS A RESULT...WAVES
WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 7 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT AND TO 6 TO 9 FEET BY
EARLY MONDAY MORNING...THEN WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET
EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-150345-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080915T0200Z-080915T2000Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
336 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 4 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS
EVENING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND THEN GRADUALLY
SUBSIDING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SFM
537 
WHUS71 KBUF 142212
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
612 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF
HURRICANE IKE CROSS THE REGION...

.THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE WILL TRACK NORTHEAST FROM OHIO TO
THE OTTAWA VALLEY TONIGHT WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT CROSSING THE
REGION. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM THIS
EVENING...REACHING GALE FORCE ACROSS BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.
THEY WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST FOLLOWING THE FRONT LATER TONIGHT AND
REMAIN BRISK THROUGH MOST OF MONDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING LATER IN
THE DAY.

LOZ042>045-150615-
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.W.0020.080915T0000Z-080915T0900Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080915T0900Z-080915T2000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
612 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 4 PM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO 40 KNOT GALES THIS 
EVENING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND THEN GRADUALLY
SUBSIDING DURING MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING. AS A RESULT...WAVES
WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 10 FEET LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...
THEN WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-150615-
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.W.0020.080915T0000Z-080915T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
612 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 40 KNOT GALES THIS EVENING...THEN
SHIFT TO WEST BY MONDAY MORNING. AS A RESULT...WAVES WILL BUILD
TO 6 TO 10 FEET TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET
LATE MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-150615-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-080915T0800Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080915T0800Z-080915T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
612 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EDT MONDAY. THE
GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTHWEST GALES TO 40 KNOTS LATER TONIGHT WILL SHIFT TO WEST BY
MORNING THEN WILL SUBSIDE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS DURING THE COURSE OF
MONDAY. AS A RESULT...WAVES WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 10 FEET LATER
TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...THEN WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4
FEET DURING THE COURSE OF MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-150615-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-080915T0800Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
612 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 40 KNOT GALES THIS EVENING...THEN
SHIFT TO WEST OVERNIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-150615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080915T0200Z-080915T2000Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
612 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 4 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS
EVENING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY AND INCREASING TO 30 KNOTS
OVERNIGHT. THE WINDS WILL SUBSIDE DURING THE DAY MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RSH
397 
WHUS71 KBUF 150755
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
355 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...WINDS SUBSIDING TODAY...

.THE REMNANT OF HURRICANE IKE WILL MOVE DOWN THE SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY TODAY. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE AS THE LOW MOVES FURTHER AWAY. 

LOZ042-151600-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-080915T0900Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080915T0755Z-080915T2000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
355 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT
THIS AFTERNOON. 

WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AND SUBSIDE TO 15 TO
20 KNOTS TODAY. WAVES WILL DIMINISH FROM 5 TO 7 FEET TO 2 TO 4
FEET THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-151600-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-080915T0800Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080915T0755Z-080915T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
355 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT
THIS AFTERNOON. 

WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AND
DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS. WAVES 5 TO 8 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 3
TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-150900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-080915T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
355 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. 

WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW GALE FORCE.

$$

LEZ020-150900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-080915T0800Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
355 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. 

WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED.

$$

SLZ022-024-151600-
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-080915T1000Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.000000T0000Z-080915T2000Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
355 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING.
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

GALES TO 35 KNOTS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL SUBSIDE TO 10 TO 20
KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-151600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-080915T1000Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.080915T1000Z-080916T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
355 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM
EDT THIS EVENING. 

WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL DIMINISH TO 15 TO
25 KNOTS. WAVES 9 TO 12 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 4 TO 6 FEET THIS
AFTERNOON AND BELOW 4 FEET THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-151000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-080915T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
355 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING. 

WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS EARLY THIS MORNING DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20
KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. WAVES 9 TO 12 FEET SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
178 
WHUS71 KBUF 151010
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
610 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...WINDS SUBSIDING TODAY...

.THE REMNANT OF HURRICANE IKE WILL MOVE DOWN THE SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY TODAY. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE AS THE LOW MOVES FURTHER AWAY.

LOZ043>045-151815-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-080915T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.000000T0000Z-080916T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
610 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL DIMINISH TO 15 TO
25 KNOTS. WAVES 7 TO 10 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 4 TO 6 FEET THIS
AFTERNOON AND BELOW 4 FEET THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-151815-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-080915T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.000000T0000Z-080915T2000Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
610 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL SUBSIDE TO 10 TO
20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-151115-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-080915T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
610 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED.

$$

LEZ040-041-LOZ042-151815-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.000000T0000Z-080915T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
610 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AND SUBSIDE TO 15 TO
20 KNOTS TODAY. WAVES WILL DIMINISH FROM 5 TO 7 FEET TO 2 TO
4 FEET THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
612 
WHUS71 KBUF 151413
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1013 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...WINDS SUBSIDING TODAY...

.THE REMNANT OF HURRICANE IKE WILL MOVE DOWN THE SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY TODAY. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE AS THE LOW MOVES FURTHER AWAY.

SLZ022-024-151515-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.000000T0000Z-080915T2000Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1013 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL RUN 10 TO 20 MPH...BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA. 

$$

LOZ043>045-152215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.000000T0000Z-080916T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1013 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS THIS MORNING WILL DIMINISH TO 15 TO 25
KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. WAVES 7 TO 10 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 4 TO 6 FEET THIS
AFTERNOON AND BELOW 4 FEET THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-LOZ042-152000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.000000T0000Z-080915T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1013 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AND SUBSIDE TO
15 TO 20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. WAVES WILL DIMINISH FROM 4 TO 7
FEET TO 2 TO 4 FEET THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
359 
WHUS71 KBUF 151928
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
328 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...WINDS SUBSIDING...

.WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE AS LOW MOVES FURTHER AWAY.

LEZ040-041-LOZ042-152030-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.000000T0000Z-080915T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
328 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE THIS EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES
AWAY.

$$

LOZ043>045-160200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0063.000000T0000Z-080916T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
328 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL SUBSIDE TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS
TONIGHT. WAVES 4 TO 6 FEET WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 4 FEET THIS
EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 14, 4:00 AM EDT, 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 14, 4:00 AM EDT, 33 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
400 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT PROVIDED OUR AREA WITH SEVERAL PERIODS OF
RAINFALL THE PAST FEW DAYS WILL LIFT NORTH INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO
BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH DRY...BUT ALSO VERY WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS FOLLOWING IN FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE
REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE ARE THEN EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTHEAST FROM
THE OHIO VALLEY AND TRACK ALONG THE STALLED OUT FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO TONIGHT...BRINGING OUR AREA ONE MORE ROUND
OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS.

IN THE WAKE OF IKES REMAINS...HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO
BUILD INTO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...BRINGING A
RETURN TO DRY WEATHER AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE TRAILING EDGE OF THE RAIN WILL MOVE OVER LAKE ONTARIO THIS
MORNING, THEN NORTH OF JEFFERSON COUNTY BY MID AFTERNOON. THIS
LEAVES THE AREA IN A VERY WARM AND HUMID MID-SUMMER AIRMASS WITH 850
MB TEMPS OF 18C SUPPORTING MID TO UPPER 80S. IT WILL BE VERY WARM
ALOFT TOO...SO WE SHOULD BE MAINLY CAPPED...BUT WILL NEED TO WATCH
AREA FROM THRUWAY NORTH WHICH WILL BE CLOSER TO THE BOUNDARY AND
EXITING JET FOR CONVECTION SO WILL CARRY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE BRISK OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TODAY WITH
SUNSHINE PROVIDING DECENT MIXING...THEN A HEALTHY REMAINDER OF IKE
MOVES IN DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON WITH WINDS INCREASING ANOTHER
NOTCH OR TWO. BOTH THE NAM AND GFS HAVE THE CENTER MOVING JUST NORTH
OF LAKE ONTARIO, WHICH WILL KEEP THE HEAVY RAIN AND CATEGORICAL POPS
IN CANADA. FOLLOWING THE GFS MAV MOS, WE HAVE DROPPED POPS TO LIKELY
WITH THE PRECIPITATION LESS SOLID SOUTH OF THE SURFACE LOW.
INSTABILITY IS DECENT WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AFTER THE LOW, AND
WITH 50 KNOT WINDS NOT TOO FAR OFF THE SURFACE, SPC HAS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. CONDITIONS DRY OVERNIGHT IN THE WAKE
OF THE LOW AND TRAILING COLD FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
BY MONDAY MORNING...IKES REMNANT EXTRATROPICAL LOW WILL BE LOCATED
ACROSS WESTERN QUEBEC...WITH ITS MAIN RAIN SHIELD WELL NORTH AND
EAST OF OUR REGION BY THAT TIME. HOWEVER...OUR AREA WILL STILL BE
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF PLENTY OF WRAP AROUND MOISTURE ON THE BACK
SIDE OF THE LOW...WITH ONE MORE MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE STILL EXPECTED
TO PASS THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE DAY. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN
PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER ALONG WITH SOME SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS
THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE DAY...WITH A SLOW IMPROVING TREND THEN
FOLLOWING FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE PREVIOUS FORECAST
HAD THIS SCENARIO PRETTY WELL IN HAND...THOUGH HAVE BACKED OFF A BIT
ON THE EXTENT OF ANY CLEARING DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THIS LOOKED
TOO AGGRESSIVE GIVEN THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FIELDS DEPICTED BY THE
00Z NAM/GFS.

GIVEN THE SLOWER CLEARING MONDAY AFTERNOON...HAVE ALSO OPTED TO HOLD
A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER IN PLACE MONDAY NIGHT...PARTICULARLY ACROSS
INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND FINGER LAKES...WHERE THE
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE TOUGHEST TO BUDGE. ACROSS FAR
SOUTHWESTERN NY...SOME OF THIS MAY EVEN BECOME LAKE-ENHANCED MONDAY
EVENING...AS A WEAK NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE FOR A SHORT
TIME OFF OF LAKE ERIE. THE 00Z NAM/GFS BOTH EVEN SPIT OUT A LITTLE
BIT OF QPF SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE MONDAY EVENING...WHICH MIGHT NOT
BE ALL THAT UNREALISTIC GIVEN THE RELATIVELY MOIST LOW LEVELS AND
LAKE DELTA-T VALUES OF 15-16C. THAT SAID...GIVEN THE RELATIVELY WEAK
NATURE OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW...WILL JUST PLACE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE GRIDS FOR NOW ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN NY.

SURFACE RIDGING BUILDING INTO THE LOWER LAKES WILL THEN FINALLY HELP
TO SCOUR OUT ANY LINGERING CLOUD COVER ON TUESDAY MORNING...WITH NO
SENSIBLE WEATHER THEN EXPECTED FOR THE BALANCE OF THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES...MUCH COOLER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA IN
THE WAKE OF IKES REMAINS...WITH 850 MB READINGS DROPPING FROM
SUNDAY EVENINGS +20 TO +22C READINGS TO +6/+7C ON MONDAY...AND TO
ONLY THE +5/+6 RANGE FOR TUESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPERATURES FALLING TO A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS PERIOD...
GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S ON MONDAY AND THE LOWER TO MID 60S
ON TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AFTER A VERY BUSY NEAR AND SHORT TERM...THE WEATHER WILL QUIET DOWN
CONSIDERABLY DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THE LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL
BECOME ZONAL IN THE NORTHERN STREAM THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD
WITH THE MAJORITY OF SYNOPTIC SCALE SYSTEMS REMAINING NORTH OF THE
US/CANADIAN BORDER...AND HIGH MID LEVEL HEIGHTS DOMINATING MUCH OF
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION.

LOOKING AT THE FORECAST DETAILS...THE ENTIRE PERIOD SHOULD BE DRY
WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATING THE MAJORITY OF THE TIME.
ABOUT THE ONLY POTENTIAL GLITCH WILL BE A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT
THAT IS PROGGED BY THE 00Z GFS TO DROP SOUTH THROUGH NEW ENGLAND AND
THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.
HOWEVER...AS THIS FRONT WILL BE RELATIVELY MOISTURE-STARVED AND FAR
REMOVED FROM THE LARGE SCALE FORCING MOVING EAST THROUGH
QUEBEC...EXPECT IT TO COME THROUGH DRY...WITH ONLY A TEMPORARY
INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER RESULTING FROM ITS PASSAGE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND EARLY THURSDAY.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES...850MB READINGS OF +8/+9C WEDNESDAY WILL DIP A
FEW DEGREES WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED FROPA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY...BUT SHOULD THEN GRADUALLY RECOVER TO THE +10 TO +11C
RANGE BY SATURDAY. THIS WILL SUPPORT VERY SEASONABLE TEMPS THROUGH
THE PERIOD...WITH LOWER 70S EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY...UPPER 60S
THURSDAY...AND LOWER TO MID 70S FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. COMBINED WITH
THE DRY CONDITIONS AND COMFORTABLE HUMIDITY LEVELS...THIS SHOULD
MAKE FOR A RATHER PLEASANT STRETCH OF MID SEPTEMBER WEATHER.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
IFR CONDITIONS IN THE MOIST AND SOUPY FRONTAL ZONE WILL LIFT TO VFR
THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON AS A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW PUSHES THE
MOISTURE NORTH. THERE IS GOOD INSTABILITY IN THE WARM SECTOR, BUT
ALSO A GOOD CAP, WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON. IKE MOVES JUST NORTH OF THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, AND CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN DROP TO OCCASIONAL IFR WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE TRAILING COLD FRONT, BUT THEN SHOULD IMPROVE TO MVFR
AFTER A FEW HOURS. WINDS WILL BE QUITE STRONG WITH GOOD MECHANICAL
LOW LEVEL TURBULENCE AS IKE MOVES BY.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY...MVFR IMPROVING TO VFR.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT HAS LAID ACROSS THE THE LOWER LAKES REGION
THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS WILL LIFT NORTH INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND
STALL THIS MORNING...WITH MODERATE SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
EXPECTED ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO TODAY.

TONIGHT...THE REMNANT EXTRATROPICAL LOW FROM HURRICANE IKE WILL
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE STALLED OUT BOUNDARY...MOVING ACROSS
SOUTHERN ONTARIO TONIGHT BEFORE LIFTING OUT ACROSS QUEBEC ON MONDAY.
AS A RESULT...THE SOUTHERLY FLOW OUT AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE WILL
STRENGTHEN TO THE 20-30 KNOT RANGE EARLY THIS EVENING...THEN TURN
WESTERLY AS A COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THE REMNANT LOW PASSES
THROUGH THE LOWER LAKES TONIGHT. SUSTAINED WESTERLY WINDS OF 20-30
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE WILL THEN PERSIST INTO MONDAY
MORNING...BEFORE GRADUALLY WEAKENING DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY
AND EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEAKENS AS A RESULT.

AS THE EXPECTED WINDS WILL EASILY SUPPORT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS ON THE LOWER LAKES AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER TONIGHT
AND MONDAY...ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN HOISTED FOR THESE AREAS. PLEASE
CONSULT THE BOTTOM OF THIS AFD FOR THE BREAKDOWN ON LOCATIONS AND
TIMES.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE RAIN WILL BE OUT OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING...ENDING THE
THREAT OF FLOODING. THE HEAVIEST OVERNIGHT AMOUNTS WERE ABOUT 1.25
INCHES...NOT ENOUGH FOR FLOODING, SO THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THAT IKES REMNANT WILL PASS TO
OUR NORTH AND WEST TONIGHT...KEEPING HEAVIEST RAINS OVER MICHIGAN
AND ONTARIO...SO QPF IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE SIGNIFICANT IN WESTERN
NEW YORK (UNDER AN INCH). A LONG DRY PERIOD WILL FOLLOW.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY
         FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
         EDT MONDAY FOR LOZ042-043.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
         MONDAY FOR LOZ044-045.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
         EDT MONDAY FOR SLZ022-024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR
NEAR TERM...APB
SHORT TERM...JJR
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK/JJR
AVIATION...APB
MARINE...JJR
HYDROLOGY...APB
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 13, 4:04 PM EDT, 12 hours 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
404 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008

NYZ005>008-141000-
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
404 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STEADY RAIN WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING. AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE BY
SUNDAY MORNING...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THIS MAY PRODUCE
SOME MINOR POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE. THE MAIN RISK WOULD BE A FEW STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS
AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

THERE WILL ALSO BE ANOTHER PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL SUNDAY NIGHT
WITH THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE IN THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY...WITH
LESSER AMOUNTS FARTHER SOUTH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SPOTTERS ARE ALSO ENCOURAGED TO SEND IN RAINFALL AND FLOODING
REPORTS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>004-010>014-019>021-085-141000-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
404 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE...MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER AND FINGER LAKES. THE
MAIN RISK WOULD BE A FEW STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY
AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY
EVENING. THE BULK OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO PASS JUST
NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH SOUTHERN ONTARIO...HOWEVER A SMALL
CHANGE IN TRACK MAY CHANGE THE LOCATION OF HEAVIEST RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SPOTTERS ARE ALSO ENCOURAGED TO SEND IN RAINFALL AND FLOODING
REPORTS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-141000-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
404 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 14, 12:27 PM EDTWind AdvisoryBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more18 hr
Sep 14, 3:29 PM EDTGale WarningBUF15 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2008Every small craft advisory in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.