Wind Advisory 8, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WWUS71 KBUF 141950
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
350 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS TO WESTERN
NEW YORK THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THE REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM HURRICANE IKE IS CENTERED
OVER EAST CENTRAL INDIANA AT 330 PM EDT. THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO
MOVE RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST...REACHING LONDON ONTARIO BY AROUND
8 PM THIS EVENING THEN THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY BY MONDAY
MORNING. THE TRACK OF THIS LOW JUST TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE REGION
IS VERY FAVORABLE FOR STRONG WINDS ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK.

WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN FIRST OUT OF THE SOUTH THIS EVENING.
LOCATIONS ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE AND CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE MAY SEE
STRONG WINDS THIS EVENING AS THE SOUTHERLY WINDS DOWNSLOPE OFF
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. AS THE REMNANTS OF IKE PASS BY...WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME STRONG AND
GUSTY FOR SEVERAL HOURS FROM LATE EVENING THROUGH THE PRE-DAWN
HOURS. 

WINDS IN THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY HAVE BEEN STRONG AND DAMAGING
TODAY. IF THESE WIND SPEEDS CONTINUE AS IKE MOVES NORTHEAST...THE
WIND ADVISORIES MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH AGAIN BY DAYBREAK MONDAY AS
IKE RACES INTO ATLANTIC CANADA.

NYZ019-085-150400-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0008.080914T2200Z-080915T0800Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
350 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AS THE REMNANTS OF
HURRICANE IKE APPROACH THE REGION. THE STRONGEST WINDS THROUGH
THIS EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO BE ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE AND THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. LATE THIS EVENING THE
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND INCREASE ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD.

WINDS IN THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY HAVE BEEN STRONG AND DAMAGING
TODAY. IF THESE WIND SPEEDS CONTINUE AS IKE MOVES NORTHEAST...THE
WIND ADVISORIES MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT
EXTRA PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001>003-010>013-020-021-150400-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0008.080915T0200Z-080915T0800Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
350 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 AM EDT MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THIS EVENING AS THE
REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE APPROACH THE REGION. LATE THIS EVENING
THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND QUICKLY BECOME STRONG AND
GUSTY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD.

WINDS IN THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY HAVE BEEN STRONG AND DAMAGING
TODAY. IF THESE WIND SPEEDS CONTINUE AS IKE MOVES NORTHEAST...THE
WIND ADVISORIES MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT
EXTRA PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

HITCHCOCK/SFM

000 
WWUS71 KBUF 142159
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
559 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS TO WESTERN
NEW YORK THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THE REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM HURRICANE IKE IS CENTERED
BETWEEN WINDSOR AND LONDON ONTARIO AT 600 PM EDT. THIS LOW IS FORECAST
TO MOVE RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST...MOVING TO BETWEEN LONDON
ONTARIO AND TORONTO BY AROUND 8 PM THIS EVENING THEN THE SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE TRACK OF THIS LOW JUST TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THE REGION IS VERY FAVORABLE FOR STRONG WINDS ACROSS
WESTERN NEW YORK.

WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN FIRST OUT OF THE SOUTH THIS EVENING.
LOCATIONS ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE AND CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE MAY SEE
STRONG WINDS THIS EVENING AS THE SOUTHERLY WINDS DOWNSLOPE OFF
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. AS THE REMNANTS OF IKE PASS BY...WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME STRONG AND
GUSTY FOR SEVERAL HOURS FROM LATE EVENING THROUGH THE PRE-DAWN
HOURS.

WINDS IN THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY HAVE BEEN STRONG AND DAMAGING
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IF THESE WIND SPEEDS CONTINUE AS IKE MOVES
NORTHEAST...THE WIND ADVISORIES MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO HIGH
WIND WARNINGS.

WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH AGAIN BY DAYBREAK MONDAY AS IKE RACES
INTO ATLANTIC CANADA.

NYZ006>008-150600-
/O.EXB.KBUF.WI.Y.0008.080915T0400Z-080915T1000Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
559 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EDT
MONDAY. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THIS EVENING AS THE
REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE APPROACH THE REGION. LATE THIS EVENING
THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST...THEN QUICKLY
BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD.

WINDS IN THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY HAVE BEEN STRONG AND DAMAGING
TODAY. IF THESE WIND SPEEDS CONTINUE AS IKE MOVES NORTHEAST...THE
WIND ADVISORIES MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT
EXTRA PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019-085-150600-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0008.080914T2200Z-080915T0800Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
559 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AS THE REMNANTS OF
HURRICANE IKE APPROACH THE REGION. THE STRONGEST WINDS THROUGH
THIS EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO BE ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE AND THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. LATE THIS EVENING THE
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST...AND INCREASE ACROSS
THE ENTIRE REGION. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD.

WINDS IN THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY HAVE BEEN STRONG AND DAMAGING
TODAY. IF THESE WIND SPEEDS CONTINUE AS IKE MOVES NORTHEAST...THE
WIND ADVISORIES MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT
EXTRA PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001>003-010>013-020-021-150600-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0008.080915T0200Z-080915T0800Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
559 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 AM EDT MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THIS EVENING AS THE
REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE APPROACH THE REGION. LATE THIS EVENING
THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST...THEN QUICKLY
BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD.

WINDS IN THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY HAVE BEEN STRONG AND DAMAGING
TODAY. IF THESE WIND SPEEDS CONTINUE AS IKE MOVES NORTHEAST...THE
WIND ADVISORIES MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT
EXTRA PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

HIBBERT

000 
WWUS71 KBUF 150029
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
829 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS TO WESTERN
NEW YORK THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THE REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM HURRICANE IKE IS CENTERED
BETWEEN WINDSOR AND LONDON ONTARIO AT 600 PM EDT. THIS LOW IS
FORECAST TO MOVE RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST...MOVING TO BETWEEN
LONDON ONTARIO AND TORONTO BY AROUND 8 PM THIS EVENING THEN THE
SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE TRACK OF THIS
LOW JUST TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE REGION IS VERY FAVORABLE FOR
STRONG WINDS ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK.

WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN FIRST OUT OF THE SOUTH THIS EVENING.
LOCATIONS ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE AND CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE MAY SEE
STRONG WINDS THIS EVENING AS THE SOUTHERLY WINDS DOWNSLOPE OFF
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. AS THE REMNANTS OF IKE PASS BY...WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME STRONG AND
GUSTY FOR SEVERAL HOURS FROM LATE EVENING THROUGH THE PRE-DAWN
HOURS.

WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH AGAIN BY DAYBREAK MONDAY AS IKE RACES
INTO ATLANTIC CANADA.

NYZ019-085-150800-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080915T0800Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.HW.W.0003.080915T0029Z-080915T0800Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
829 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY. THE WIND
ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AS THE REMNANTS OF
HURRICANE IKE APPROACH THE REGION. THE STRONGEST WINDS THROUGH
THIS EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM THE LAKE ERIE SHORE EASTWARD
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN TIER.  SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS RANGING FROM 60 TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD.

WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT
EXTRA PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER
AT ANY TIME. DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE. IF YOU HAVE A HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES BE EXTRA CAREFUL UNTIL THE WIND SUBSIDES. STAY TUNED TO
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ012-020-021-150800-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WI.Y.0008.080915T0200Z-080915T0800Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.HW.W.0003.080915T0029Z-080915T0800Z/
WYOMING-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
829 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY. THE WIND
ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AS THE REMNANTS OF
HURRICANE IKE APPROACH THE REGION. THE STRONGEST WINDS THROUGH
THIS EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM THE LAKE ERIE SHORE EASTWARD
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN TIER. SUSTAINED WINDS OF
30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS RANGING FROM 60 TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FOR
A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD.

WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT
EXTRA PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER
AT ANY TIME. DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE. IF YOU HAVE A HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES BE EXTRA CAREFUL UNTIL THE WIND SUBSIDES. STAY TUNED TO
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006>008-150830-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0008.080915T0400Z-080915T1000Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
829 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
EDT MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THIS EVENING AS THE
REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE APPROACH THE REGION. LATE THIS EVENING
THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST...THEN QUICKLY
BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 50 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD.

WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT
EXTRA PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001>003-010-011-013-150800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0008.080915T0200Z-080915T0800Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
BUFFALO...BATAVIA...GENESEO
829 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THIS EVENING AS THE
REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE APPROACH THE REGION. LATE THIS EVENING
THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST...THEN QUICKLY
BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 50 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD.

WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT
EXTRA PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS71 KBUF 150428
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1228 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS TO WESTERN
NEW YORK THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THE REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM HURRICANE IKE IS CENTERED
NORTH OF TORONTO ONTARIO AT 1220 AM EDT. THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE MOVING RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST...PASSING TO THE NORTH OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY EARLY THIS MORNING. THE TRACK OF THIS LOW
JUST TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE REGION IS VERY FAVORABLE FOR STRONG
WINDS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN NEW YORK.

WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST AT 25 TO 35
MPH...THEN WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST AND ARE
EXPECTED TO BE STRONG AND GUSTY FOR SEVERAL HOURS THROUGH THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS.

WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH AGAIN BY DAYBREAK MONDAY AS IKE RACES
INTO ATLANTIC CANADA.

NYZ012-019>021-085-150800-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080915T0800Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1228 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING. 

SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH AND GUSTS
TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD.

WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT
EXTRA PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER
AT ANY TIME. DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE. IF YOU HAVE A HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES BE EXTRA CAREFUL UNTIL THE WIND SUBSIDES. STAY TUNED TO
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ004-005-014-151000-
/O.EXA.KBUF.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080915T1000Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...CANANDAIGUA
1228 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING. 

SOUTHWEST AND WESTERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS RANGING
FROM 50 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD.

WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT
EXTRA PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006>008-151000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080915T1000Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1228 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING. 

SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
RANGING FROM 50 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD.

WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT
EXTRA PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001>003-010-011-013-150800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080915T0800Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
BUFFALO...BATAVIA...GENESEO
1228 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING. 

SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
RANGING FROM 50 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD.

WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT
EXTRA PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS71 KBUF 150800
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
400 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...WINDS SUBSIDING TODAY...

.THE REMNANT LOW CENTER FROM HURRICANE IKE WILL MOVE DOWN THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY TODAY. STRONG WINDS WILL SUBSIDE
TODAY AS THE LOW MOVES FURTHER AWAY. 

NYZ012-019>021-085-150900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080915T0800Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
400 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. 

WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED BUT WILL REMAIN QUITE BRISK TODAY.

$$

NYZ001>003-010-011-013-150900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080915T0800Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
BUFFALO...BATAVIA...GENESEO
400 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED BUT WILL REMAIN QUITE BRISK TODAY.

$$

NYZ004>008-014-151000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080915T1000Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...
WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE...CANANDAIGUA
400 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING. 

SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE, BUT
REMAIN QUITE BRISK THROUGH THE DAY.

WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL MINOR PROPERTY
DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES SHOULD USE CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS71 KBUF 151002
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
602 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

NYZ004>008-014-151115-
/O.EXP.KBUF.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080915T1000Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...
WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE...CANANDAIGUA
602 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED EARLY THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL REMAIN BRISK
THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY, BUT THEY WILL NOT BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
CAUSE DAMAGE.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1002 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT PROVIDED OUR AREA WITH SEVERAL PERIODS OF
RAINFALL THE PAST FEW DAYS WILL LIFT NORTH INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO
BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH DRY...BUT ALSO VERY WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS FOLLOWING IN FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE
REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE ARE THEN EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTHEAST FROM
THE OHIO VALLEY AND TRACK ALONG THE STALLED OUT FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO TONIGHT...BRINGING OUR AREA ONE MORE ROUND
OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS.

IN THE WAKE OF IKES REMAINS...HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO
BUILD INTO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...BRINGING A
RETURN TO DRY WEATHER AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WESTERN NEW YORK LIES SOLIDLY IN A VERY WARM TROPICAL AIRMASS AT
MID MORNING AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS LIFTED UP INTO LK ONTARIO.
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE FROM ABOUT THE THRUWAY SOUTH WILL MIX
OCCASIONALLY WITH SOME MID/HIGH CLOUD TODAY BUT WE SHOULD REMAIN
DRY AS VERY STRONG CAP EXISTS ALOFT WITH 500 MB TEMPS NEAR ZERO
AND 850 MB TEMPS RISING TO 20-21C THIS AFTERNOON. WITH BRISK S-SW
FLOW...TEMPS WILL SOAR TO NEAR RECORD LEVELS...TOPPING 90 ACROSS
MANY INTERIOR LOCATIONS. WILL MAINTAIN CHC POPS INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON OVER NORTH COUNTRY CLOSER TO FRONT. ANY CONVECTION LATER
ON SHOULD BE ISOLD ENOUGH TO KEEP POPS BELOW 15.

AS FOR IKE...IT STILL HAD A VERY DISTINCT CIRCULATION OVER SRN
ILL AT MID MORNING. ALL MODELS IN AGREEMENT IN TAKING IT UP TO
NEAT TOL/DTW BY 00Z AND THEN ON NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT. WE
WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS FOR A TIME THIS
EVENING...ESPECIALLY IN WEST WHERE AN ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR
DOWNSLOPE AREAS OF CHAUT/ERIE COS FOR AWHILE THIS EVENING. WILL
PINPOINT THAT IN MORE DETAIL IN AFTERNOON PACKAGE. ONE POSITIVE
NOTE...THERE WILL BE VERY LITTLE QPF WITH IKE OVER OUR AREA...AND
THIS IS GOOD AS MOST OF WESTERN NY HAS SEEN 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN
DURING THE LAST TWO DAYS. PNS HAS BEEN ISSUED.

WILL MAINTAIN LIKELY POPS TONIGHT FOR FRONTAL PASSAGE FOLLOWING
IKE...NO CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
BY MONDAY MORNING...IKES REMNANT EXTRATROPICAL LOW WILL BE LOCATED
ACROSS WESTERN QUEBEC...WITH ITS MAIN RAIN SHIELD WELL NORTH AND
EAST OF OUR REGION BY THAT TIME. HOWEVER...OUR AREA WILL STILL BE
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF PLENTY OF WRAP AROUND MOISTURE ON THE BACK
SIDE OF THE LOW...WITH ONE MORE MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE STILL EXPECTED
TO PASS THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE DAY. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN
PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER ALONG WITH SOME SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS
THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE DAY...WITH A SLOW IMPROVING TREND THEN
FOLLOWING FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE PREVIOUS FORECAST
HAD THIS SCENARIO PRETTY WELL IN HAND...THOUGH HAVE BACKED OFF A BIT
ON THE EXTENT OF ANY CLEARING DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THIS LOOKED
TOO AGGRESSIVE GIVEN THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FIELDS DEPICTED BY THE
00Z NAM/GFS.

GIVEN THE SLOWER CLEARING MONDAY AFTERNOON...HAVE ALSO OPTED TO HOLD
A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER IN PLACE MONDAY NIGHT...PARTICULARLY ACROSS
INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND FINGER LAKES...WHERE THE
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE TOUGHEST TO BUDGE. ACROSS FAR
SOUTHWESTERN NY...SOME OF THIS MAY EVEN BECOME LAKE-ENHANCED MONDAY
EVENING...AS A WEAK NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE FOR A SHORT
TIME OFF OF LAKE ERIE. THE 00Z NAM/GFS BOTH EVEN SPIT OUT A LITTLE
BIT OF QPF SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE MONDAY EVENING...WHICH MIGHT NOT
BE ALL THAT UNREALISTIC GIVEN THE RELATIVELY MOIST LOW LEVELS AND
LAKE DELTA-T VALUES OF 15-16C. THAT SAID...GIVEN THE RELATIVELY WEAK
NATURE OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW...WILL JUST PLACE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE GRIDS FOR NOW ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN NY.

SURFACE RIDGING BUILDING INTO THE LOWER LAKES WILL THEN FINALLY HELP
TO SCOUR OUT ANY LINGERING CLOUD COVER ON TUESDAY MORNING...WITH NO
SENSIBLE WEATHER THEN EXPECTED FOR THE BALANCE OF THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES...MUCH COOLER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA IN
THE WAKE OF IKES REMAINS...WITH 850 MB READINGS DROPPING FROM
SUNDAY EVENINGS +20 TO +22C READINGS TO +6/+7C ON MONDAY...AND TO
ONLY THE +5/+6 RANGE FOR TUESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPERATURES FALLING TO A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS PERIOD...
GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S ON MONDAY AND THE LOWER TO MID 60S
ON TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AFTER A VERY BUSY NEAR AND SHORT TERM...THE WEATHER WILL QUIET DOWN
CONSIDERABLY DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THE LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL
BECOME ZONAL IN THE NORTHERN STREAM THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD
WITH THE MAJORITY OF SYNOPTIC SCALE SYSTEMS REMAINING NORTH OF THE
US/CANADIAN BORDER...AND HIGH MID LEVEL HEIGHTS DOMINATING MUCH OF
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION.

LOOKING AT THE FORECAST DETAILS...THE ENTIRE PERIOD SHOULD BE DRY
WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATING THE MAJORITY OF THE TIME.
ABOUT THE ONLY POTENTIAL GLITCH WILL BE A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT
THAT IS PROGGED BY THE 00Z GFS TO DROP SOUTH THROUGH NEW ENGLAND AND
THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.
HOWEVER...AS THIS FRONT WILL BE RELATIVELY MOISTURE-STARVED AND FAR
REMOVED FROM THE LARGE SCALE FORCING MOVING EAST THROUGH
QUEBEC...EXPECT IT TO COME THROUGH DRY...WITH ONLY A TEMPORARY
INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER RESULTING FROM ITS PASSAGE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND EARLY THURSDAY.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES...850MB READINGS OF +8/+9C WEDNESDAY WILL DIP A
FEW DEGREES WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED FROPA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY...BUT SHOULD THEN GRADUALLY RECOVER TO THE +10 TO +11C
RANGE BY SATURDAY. THIS WILL SUPPORT VERY SEASONABLE TEMPS THROUGH
THE PERIOD...WITH LOWER 70S EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY...UPPER 60S
THURSDAY...AND LOWER TO MID 70S FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. COMBINED WITH
THE DRY CONDITIONS AND COMFORTABLE HUMIDITY LEVELS...THIS SHOULD
MAKE FOR A RATHER PLEASANT STRETCH OF MID SEPTEMBER WEATHER.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY. THERE IS GOOD INSTABILITY IN THE
WARM SECTOR, BUT ALSO A GOOD CAP, WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. THE REMNANT OF IKE MOVES JUST NORTH OF
THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, AND CONDITIONS WILL DROP
TO OCCASIONAL IFR WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE TRAILING COLD FRONT, BUT
THEN SHOULD IMPROVE TO MVFR AFTER A FEW HOURS. WINDS WILL BE QUITE
STRONG WITH GOOD MECHANICAL LOW LEVEL TURBULENCE AS IKE MOVES BY.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY...MVFR IMPROVING TO VFR.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT HAS LAID ACROSS THE THE LOWER LAKES REGION
THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS WILL LIFT NORTH INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND
STALL THIS MORNING...WITH MODERATE SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
EXPECTED ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO TODAY.

TONIGHT...THE REMNANT EXTRATROPICAL LOW FROM HURRICANE IKE WILL
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE STALLED OUT BOUNDARY...MOVING ACROSS
SOUTHERN ONTARIO TONIGHT BEFORE LIFTING OUT ACROSS QUEBEC ON MONDAY.
AS A RESULT...THE SOUTHERLY FLOW OUT AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE WILL
STRENGTHEN TO THE 20-30 KNOT RANGE EARLY THIS EVENING...THEN TURN
WESTERLY AS A COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THE REMNANT LOW PASSES
THROUGH THE LOWER LAKES TONIGHT. SUSTAINED WESTERLY WINDS OF 20-30
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE WILL THEN PERSIST INTO MONDAY
MORNING...BEFORE GRADUALLY WEAKENING DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY
AND EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEAKENS AS A RESULT.

AS THE EXPECTED WINDS WILL EASILY SUPPORT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS ON THE LOWER LAKES AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER TONIGHT
AND MONDAY...ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN HOISTED FOR THESE AREAS. PLEASE
CONSULT THE BOTTOM OF THIS AFD FOR THE BREAKDOWN ON LOCATIONS AND
TIMES.

&&

.CLIMATE...
AS NOTED IN NEAR TERM SECTION...RECORD TEMPS WILL BE APPROACHED
TODAY. BUF 91/1952...ROC 92/1915. ALSO AN INTERESTING COINCIDENCE
FOR THIS DATE. WITH IKE SET TO PASS BY TO OUR WEST THIS
EVENING...WE LOOK BACK 29 YEARS FOR ONE OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALLS
EVER IN WNY AS TROP STORM FREDERICK MOVED ACROSS THE REGION. BUF
HAS ITS SECOND WETTEST DAY EVER (4.89) AND ROC ITS THIRD WETTEST
(3.47) ON SEPT 14 1979.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY
         FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
         EDT MONDAY FOR LOZ042-043.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
         MONDAY FOR LOZ044-045.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
         EDT MONDAY FOR SLZ022-024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR
NEAR TERM...APB/SFM
SHORT TERM...JJR
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK/JJR
AVIATION...APB
MARINE...JJR/SFM
CLIMATE...SFM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
501 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-150915-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
501 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AS THE REMNANTS
OF HURRICANE IKE WORK INTO THE AREA...WITH A FEW OF THESE STORMS
POSSIBLY BECOMING SEVERE. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WITH ANY
SUCH STORMS WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS...AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED
TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY TONIGHT.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-150915-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
501 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AS THE
REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE WORK INTO THE AREA...WITH A FEW OF THESE
STORMS POSSIBLY BECOMING SEVERE. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
WITH ANY SUCH STORMS WOULD BE STRONG WINDS...AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED
WATERSPOUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

JJR