Small Craft Advisory 101, NWS Buffalo, NY

614 
WHUS71 KBUF 200936
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
436 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2008

...GALE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST ACROSS QUEBEC PROVINCE TODAY...BEFORE
A DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LIFTS INTO THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES DURING SUNDAY...THEN DEEPENS AS IT MOVES INTO
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY MONDAY. BEHIND THIS LOW...A STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE LOWER LAKES REGION
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING ON MONDAY AS THE LOW LIFTS OUT
INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES.

LOZ042>044-201700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-081220T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0013.081221T2200Z-081222T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
436 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON
EST TODAY. 

NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TODAY...AND THIS WILL
ALLOW WAVES TO FALL BELOW 4 FEET BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. 

WINDS WILL THEN URN SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY AND INCREASE
SHARPLY TO GALE FORCE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN REMAIN
AT GALE FORCE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING IN THE
AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-040-041-201700-
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0013.081221T1700Z-081222T1800Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
436 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2008

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON. 

WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY AND INCREASE SHARPLY TO
GALE FORCE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THEN REMAIN AT GALE FORCE INTO MONDAY
MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-062>065-201700-
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0013.081221T2200Z-081222T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
436 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2008

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON. 

WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY AND INCREASE SHARPLY TO
GALE FORCE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN REMAIN AT GALE
FORCE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

JJR

676 
WHUS71 KBUF 201507
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1007 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2008

...GALE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST ACROSS QUEBEC PROVINCE TODAY...
BEFORE A DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LIFTS INTO
THE LOWER GREAT LAKES DURING SUNDAY...THEN DEEPENS AS IT MOVES
INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY MONDAY. BEHIND THIS LOW...A STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE LOWER LAKES
REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING ON MONDAY AS THE LOW LIFTS
OUT INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES.

LOZ042>044-202315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-081220T1700Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0013.081221T2200Z-081222T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1007 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2008

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TODAY. WAVES HAVE
FALLEN BELOW 4 FEET.

WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY AND INCREASE SHARPLY TO
GALE FORCE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN REMAIN AT GALE
FORCE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-040-041-202315-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0013.081221T1700Z-081222T1800Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1007 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2008

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY AND INCREASE SHARPLY TO
GALE FORCE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THEN REMAIN AT GALE FORCE INTO
MONDAY MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-062>065-202315-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0013.081221T2200Z-081222T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1007 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2008

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY AND INCREASE SHARPLY TO
GALE FORCE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN REMAIN AT GALE
FORCE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

SAGE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
845 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
THE WINTER STORM WHICH BROUGHT HEAVY SNOWFALL TO THE REGION TODAY
WILL MOVE OFF THE EAST COAST TONIGHT. THE STEADIER SNOWS WILL
QUICKLY TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE EVENING HOURS. ANY
LINGERING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS BEHIND THIS SYSTEM WILL DIMINISH
DURING SATURDAY...THEN ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL
AFFECT THE AREA SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING
THE POTENTIAL FOR A WIDESPREAD MODERATE SNOWFALL TO THE AREA
SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT
SNOWS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY ALONG WITH STRONG WINDS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
UPPER TROUGH AXIS IS NOW EXITING THE FORECAST AREA ACROSS THE
ADIRONDACKS AND EASTERN NEW YORK STATE...TAKING THE STEADY MODERATE
TO HEAVY SNOW WITH IT. THE RADARS ARE SHOWING A BAND OF LIGHT TO
MODERATE SNOW OVER JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES...WEAKENING
WITH TIME...AND SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER THE WESTERN END OF LAKE
ONTARIO. THERE ARE STILL REPORTS OF SNOW ELSEWHERE WHICH IS SHALLOW
ENOUGH TO BE UNDER THE RADAR BEAMS FROM THE BUFFALO AND FORT DRUM
RADARS...BUT THIS LIGHT SNOW SHOULD NOT AMOUNT TO MORE THAN AN INCH
OVERNIGHT.

HAVE DROPPED THE WINTER STORM WARNING FROM ALL BUT THE THREE EASTERN
LAKE ONTARIO COUNTIES...JEFFERSON/OSWEGO/LEWIS...AND WILL LET THE
WINTER STORM WARNING EXPIRE AT 10PM IN THOSE COUNTIES AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
FOR THE MOST PART...SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE LULL BETWEEN THE WINTER
STORM TODAY AND THE NEXT WINTER STORM BEGINNING LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT. THERE COULD BE SOME VERY MINOR LINGERING LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...FROM ROCHESTER TO THE NIAGARA RIVER
AS THE FLOW STILL REMAINS NORTHEASTERLY...BUT A FAIR AMOUNT OF SHEAR
DOES SHOW UP IN MODEL SOUNDINGS. ANY LAKE SNOWS WILL COMPLETELY CUT
OFF BY MID DAY SATURDAY...AS FLOW VEERS SOUTHEASTERLY AHEAD OF THE
NEXT WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

OUR FOCUS WILL THEN TURN TO THE EVOLUTION OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM
WHICH WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE AREA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. THE SURFACE
LOW LIFTING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LOOKS TO LIFT UP ACROSS
THE NIAGARA PENINSULA JUST WEST OF BUFFALO BY SUNDAY MORNING...AS
A SECONDARY LOW BEGINS TO DEVELOPS OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST.
STRENGTHENING WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN WILL BRING A MODEST
AMOUNT OF ISENTROPIC ASCENT ACROSS THE AREA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
AND DURING THE DAY SUNDAY...COMBINED WITH A GOOD INFLUX OF BOTH
GULF AND ATLANTIC MOISTURE WHICH SHOULD PRODUCE A GENERAL SNOWFALL
ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. MODEL QPF FIELDS AND
LATEST HPC GUIDANCE SUGGESTING SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD BE IN THE
RANGE OF 1-3/2-4 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER...AND 3-6 INCHES
ACROSS MOST OF THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA...BUT MAY BE A BIT MORE
EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WHERE SNOWS MAY HANG ON A BIT LONGER.
ALTHOUGH THIS SYNOPTIC SNOW EVENT DOES NOT LOOK AS IMPRESSIVE AS
THE ONE WE HAD TODAY AND THIS EVENING THERE WILL BE THE ADDITIONAL
COMPONENT OF STRONG SURFACE WIND FIELDS AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS
AS A COASTAL LOW LOOKS TO FORM OF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST BY LATE
SUNDAY. WE EXPECT CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING POTENTIAL
ALONG WITH DRASTICALLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

LATE IN THE DAY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE COASTAL LOW BECOMES
THE DOMINATE FEATURE WORKING UP THE NEW ENGLAND COAST...A VERY
IMPRESSIVE SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR WILL RAPIDLY SPREAD INTO THE AREA ON
A DEVELOPING WELL ALIGNED LOW LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. WE ARE
BECOMING INCREASINGLY CONCERNED ABOUT THE POTENTIAL OF A VERY
SIGNIFICANT LAKE EVENT SNOW EVENT FOR THE BUFFALO METRO AREA OR JUST
TO THE SOUTH...THE STRONG WIND FIELDS WILL LIKELY CARRY THESE
SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WELL INLAND LIKELY REACHING TO THE ROCHESTER
AREA AND INTO PORTIONS OF THE FINGER LAKES. LAKE EFFECT PARAMETERS
ARE VERY FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WITH THE EXCEPTION FOR THE
LIMITING POTENTIAL OF STRONG WINDS WHICH MAY TEND TO STRETCH AND
TEAR APART ANY ORGANIZED BANDS. WE WILL NOT ISSUE HEADLINES AT THIS
POINT...WITH STILL SOME PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY ISSUES TO PIN DOWN,
BUT IF LATER MODEL DATA MAINTAINS CONTINUITY A SIGNIFICANT LAKE
EFFECT SNOWSTORM WILL IMPACT THE BUFFALO AREA INTO THE SOUTHERN
TIER LATE SUNDAY AND ON INTO MONDAY.

THE SAME CONCERNS WILL CARRY OVER TO AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO
INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN AREA. POTENTIALLY HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL
LIKELY IMPACT THIS AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO THE DAY MONDAY.

MOMENTUM TRANSFER SCHEME OF LATEST BUFKIT DATA SUGGESTING THE
POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH LATE IN THE DAY SUNDAY
AND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF MONDAY. WIND HEADLINES MAY ALSO NEED TO
BE ISSUED IN LATER FORECASTS.

BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS SHOULD VEER MORE NORTHWESTERLY MONDAY AND
SHOULD PUSH THE LAKE BANDS FURTHER TO THE SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHERN
TIER OFF LAKE ERIE AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO BETWEEN ROCHESTER
AND OSWEGO. MODELS SOUNDING ARE SUGGESTING THE POTENTIAL FOR
INCREASING SHEAR ALOFT THEREFORE INTENSITY OF THE LAKE SNOWS ARE IN
QUESTION DURING THIS TIME...BUT THIS TIME PERIOD WILL HAVE TO BE
MONITORED AS WELL FOR SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS ACROSS THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER AND FROM ROCHESTER TO OSWEGO COUNTY OFF LAKE
ONTARIO.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
QUIETER WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED TO FINALLY RETURN DURING TUESDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE LOWER LAKES REGION. ANY WEAK LINGERING
LAKE SNOWS FROM MONDAY NIGHT SHOULD LIFT NORTH INTO THE BUFFALO AND
WATERTOWN AREAS WITH TIME AND EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE COMPLETELY AS THE
LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHWESTERLY...SHEAR INCREASES
DRAMATICALLY...AND DRY ADVECTION CONTINUES AT THE LOW LEVELS.

LATER IN THE PERIOD...THE LATEST GFS AND ECMWF STILL SUGGEST THE
POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE AREA DURING CHRISTMAS EVE
AND THE FIRST PART OF CHRISTMAS DAY. THIS COULD RESULT IN ANOTHER
ROUND OF ACCUMULATING SNOWS DURING THIS TIME FRAME IF TEMPS REMAIN
COLD ENOUGH...THOUGH THIS APPEARS SOMEWHAT QUESTIONABLE GIVEN
GFS/ECMWF INDICATIONS OF A FAIRLY DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW OF MILDER AIR
OVER THE AREA FOR AT LEAST PART OF WEDNESDAY...WHICH MIGHT BE WARM
ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A RAIN/SNOW MIX OR EVEN SOME RAIN INITIALLY. GIVEN
ALL THAT WE HAVE GOING ON OVER THE COURSE OF THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...WILL OPT TO STICK WITH CONTINUITY AND INDICATE MAINLY SNOW
FOR THIS TIME FRAME FOR NOW...WITH THE THOUGHT THAT PTYPE MAY BE
NEED TO BE REVISITED WITH FUTURE FORECASTS.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER LOW CROSSING THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING WILL BRING MOST OF
THE STEADY SNOW TO AN END. ALREADY WINDING DOWN ACROSS THE WESTERN
COUNTIES WITH KBUF/KIAG/KJHW SHOWING VSBY IMPROVEMENT WITH SOMW
BREAKS IN THE LOW CLOUD DECK...EXPECT KROC AND KART TO IMPROVE AFTER
02Z. THERE WILL BE SOME LAKE EFFECT FOR KIAG AND KROC AND ALL SITES
WILL LIKELY REMAIN AT MVFR WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAINTAINING THE
MVFR CEILINGS. NOT MUCH CEILING IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED ON SATURDAY
WITH NORTHERLY WINDS BRINGING COLD AIR ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO PRODUCING
1500FT TO 2500FT CLOUD DECK.

OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY...MAINLY VFR.
SUNDAY...IFR IN WIDESPREAD SNOW...BLOWING SNOW. STRONG WINDS.
MONDAY...MVFR WITH LOCAL IFR IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST SHIFTING
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.
TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR IN RAIN/SNOW.

&&

.MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON WILL TRACK
EAST OFF THE JERSEY COAST TONIGHT. NORTHEASTERLY GALES WILL CONTINUE
ON BOTH LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE WINDS
AND ASSOCIATED WAVE WILL SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT AS THE LOW PULLS WELL OUT
INTO THE ATLANTIC.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS CAUSED WATER LEVELS TO DROP ABOUT 2 FEET
ON THE EASTERN END OF LAKE ERIE EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WATER
LEVELS ARE STARTING TO RISE BACK UP.

SATURDAY SHOULD BE QUITE ON THE LAKES AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
DRIFTS EAST ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES REGION.

ANOTHER DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO EVOLVE OFF
THE EAST COAST BY LATE IN THE DAY SUNDAY. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL BE
HIGHLY LIKELY ON BOTH LAKES FROM LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS TO APPROACH STORM FORCE.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     NYZ006>008.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LOZ042>045-
         062>065.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
         SLZ022-024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...WCH
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...JJR
AVIATION...WCH
MARINE...TMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
337 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

NYZ001-002-004-005-014-202045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-
337 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ANOTHER WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY. ANOTHER PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOWS IS POSSIBLE DURING
THIS TIME FRAME...ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE ONTARIO LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY WHERE HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL ENHANCE
SNOWFALL TOTALS. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY WHICH WILL CREATE
SIGNIFICANT BLOWING...DRIFTING AND VISIBILITY PROBLEMS.

THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD SHOULD MONITOR
LATER FORECASTS CAREFULLY...AS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER RELATED TRAVEL PROBLEMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ021-202045-
ALLEGANY-
337 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ANOTHER WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY. ANOTHER PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOWS IS POSSIBLE
DURING THIS TIME FRAME...ESPECIALLY EAST OF LAKE ERIE WHERE HEAVY
LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL ENHANCE SNOWFALL TOTALS. STRONG WINDS ARE
ALSO LIKELY WHICH WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING...DRIFTING AND
VISIBILITY PROBLEMS.

THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD SHOULD MONITOR
LATER FORECASTS CAREFULLY...AS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER RELATED TRAVEL PROBLEMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-202045-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
337 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ANOTHER WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY....INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN AREA. ANOTHER PERIOD OF
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOWS AND HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS
POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME FRAME. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY
BE SIGNIFICANT. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY WHICH WILL CREATE
SIGNIFICANT BLOWING...DRIFTING AND VISIBILITY PROBLEMS.

THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD SHOULD MONITOR
LATER FORECASTS CAREFULLY...AS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER RELATED TRAVEL PROBLEMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-202045-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
337 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A DEEPENING STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR GALE FORCE
WINDS...AND POSSIBLY STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS TO THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-202045-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
337 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LOW WATER ADVISORY.
   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A DEEPENING STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR GALE FORCE
WINDS...AND POSSIBLY STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS TO THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042>045-062>065-202045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
337 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A DEEPENING STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR GALE FORCE
WINDS...AND POSSIBLY STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES
REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-202045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
337 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LOW WATER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A DEEPENING STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR GALE FORCE
WINDS...AND POSSIBLY STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS TO THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003-010>013-085-202045-
MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-SOUTHERN ERIE-
337 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ANOTHER WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY...INCLUDING THE BUFFALO METRO AREA. ANOTHER PERIOD OF
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOWS AND HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS
POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME FRAME. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE
SIGNIFICANT. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY WHICH WILL CREATE
SIGNIFICANT BLOWING...DRIFTING AND VISIBILITY PROBLEMS.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY CARRY THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS EAST INTO
THE ROCHESTER AREA AND PORTIONS OF THE FINGER LAKES.

THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD SHOULD MONITOR
LATER FORECASTS CAREFULLY...AS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER RELATED TRAVEL PROBLEMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-202045-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
337 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ANOTHER WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY. ANOTHER PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOWS AND
HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME FRAME.
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE SIGNIFICANT. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
LIKELY WHICH WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING...DRIFTING AND
VISIBILITY PROBLEMS.

THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD SHOULD MONITOR
LATER FORECASTS CAREFULLY...AS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER RELATED TRAVEL PROBLEMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

TMA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
408 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-200015-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
408 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

....HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES NORTH WITH SNOW SHOWERS AND FREEZING DRIZZLE SOUTH...

STEADY MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE AFTERNOON NORTH OF A LINE FROM ABOUT NIAGARA FALLS EASTWARD
TO BROCKPORT. EXPECT SNOWFALL RATES TO GENERALLY BE AROUND 1 INCH
PER HOUR. SNOWFALL INTO THE EVENING HOURS WILL BE BETWEEN 3 AND 5
INCHES.

SOUTH OF THAT LINE...AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE TO
MAKE ROADWAYS HAZARDOUS. EXPECT THE FREEZING DRIZZLE TO CHANGE
BACK OVER TO SNOW BETWEEN ROUGHLY 4 TO 6 PM WITH AN ADDITIONAL
INCH OR SO POSSIBLE...AND THEN POSSIBLY CHANGE BACK OVER TO SOME FREEZING
DRIZZLE LATER THIS EVENING.

ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...PARTICULARLY IN OPEN AREAS AND NEAR
LAKE ONTARIO...NORTHEAST WINDS IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE WILL
CONTINUE TO CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THIS...COMBINED WITH
THE CONTINUED SNOWFALL AND AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE...WILL MAKE ANY
TRAVEL HAZARDOUS INTO THE EVENING.

NYZ003>005-013-014-200015-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
408 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

....HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES NORTH WITH SNOW SHOWERS AND FREEZING DRIZZLE SOUTH...

STEADY MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE AFTERNOON NORTH OF A LINE FROM ABOUT BROCKPORT EASTWARD TO
CLYDE. EXPECT SNOWFALL RATES TO GENERALLY BE AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR.
SNOWFALL INTO THE EVENING HOURS WILL BE BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES.

SOUTH OF THAT LINE...SNOWFALL IS QUICKLY ENDING BUT WITH AREAS OF
FREEZING DRIZZLE DEVELOPING IN ITS WAKE. EXPECT THE FREEZING
DRIZZLE TO CHANGE BACK OVER TO SNOW BETWEEN ROUGHLY 5 TO 7 PM WITH
AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR SO POSSIBLE...AND THEN POSSIBLY CHANGE BACK
OVER TO SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE LATER THIS EVENING.

ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...PARTICULARLY IN OPEN AREAS AND NEAR
LAKE ONTARIO...NORTHEAST WINDS IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE WILL
CONTINUE TO CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THIS...COMBINED WITH
THE CONTINUED SNOWFALL AND AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE...WILL MAKE ANY
TRAVEL HAZARDOUS INTO THE EVENING.

NYZ019>021-200015-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
408 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND FREEZING DRIZZLE...

AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE ROADWAYS
HAZARDOUS. SOME OF THE FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY CHANGE BACK OVER TO
SNOW BETWEEN ROUGHLY 4 TO 6 PM WITH AN INCH OR SO POSSIBLE...BUT
EXPECT THE MAJORITY OF THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER TO CONTINUE TO
SEE FREEZING DRIZZLE LAST INTO THE EVENING.

ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...NORTHEAST WINDS IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH
RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
THIS...COMBINED WITH THE FREEZING DRIZZLE...WILL MAKE ANY TRAVEL
DIFFICULT INTO THE EVENING.

NYZ006>008-200015-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
408 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...HEAVY SNOW WILL THROUGHOUT THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION INTO
THIS EVENING...

MODERATE AND OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR EXPECTED.
EXPECT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.

IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO THE 15
TO 25 MPH RANGE...CAUSING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THIS...COMBINED
WITH THE CONTINUED SNOWFALL WILL MAKE ANY TRAVEL HAZARDOUS INTO
THE EVENING.

ZAFF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
542 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-200030-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
542 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...SNOW BEGINNING TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...

THE LAST AREA OF HEAVY SNOW HAS PUSHED INTO THE DISTANT BUFFALO
SOUTHTOWNS SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES. THIS
AREA OF HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHEAST AND END BY
AROUND 630 PM. ELSEWHERE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN
INTENSITY. ANY ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT...
HOWEVER NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY IN
OPEN AREAS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXPECT SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY
ROADS THROUGH THE EVENING. ALLOW PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH
YOUR DESTINATION.

NYZ003>005-013-014-200030-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
542 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...SNOW WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF THIS EVENING...

MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH TO LIGHTER SNOW
THROUGH 7 PM ACROSS THE GENESEE VALLEY AND WESTERN FINGER LAKES.
SNOWFALL RATES OF AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH
AFTER 6 PM. EVEN THOUGH THE SNOW WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH...
NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY IN
OPEN AREAS. FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES SOME FREEZING
RAIN MAY MIX IN THROUGH ABOUT 630 PM BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO ALL
SNOW.

MOTORISTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXPECT SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY
ROADS THROUGH THE EVENING. ALLOW PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH
YOUR DESTINATION.

NYZ019>021-200030-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
542 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...FREEZING RAIN WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING...

AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL BEGIN TO
DIMINISH THIS EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. ANY
REMAINING PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE BACK TO SNOW AFTER ABOUT 630
PM WITH ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED.

MOTORISTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXPECT UNTREATED ROADS TO REMAIN VERY
SLIPPERY THROUGH THE EVENING. ALLOW PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH
YOUR DESTINATION.

NYZ006>008-200030-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
542 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING ACROSS
THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
PER HOUR ARE LIKELY. IN ADDITION...NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO
AROUND 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO A QUARTER MILE OR
LESS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXPECT SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY
ROADS THROUGH THE EVENING ALONG WITH VERY POOR VISIBILITY. ALLOW
PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

HITCHCOCK