Severe Thunderstorm Warning 136, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WWUS51 KBUF 072317
SVSBUF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
717 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

NYC029-080000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SV.W.0136.000000T0000Z-080808T0000Z/
ERIE NY-
716 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL ERIE COUNTY...

AT 712 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 
THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HARRIS HILL TO 
ATHOL SPRINGS...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WILLIAMSVILLE TO 
HAMBURG...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 23 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  ORCHARD PARK BY 725 PM EDT...
  ELMA BY 730 PM EDT...
  ELMA CENTER BY 735 PM EDT...
  ALDEN BY 740 PM EDT...
  MARILLA BY 745 PM EDT...
  WALES CENTER BY 755 PM EDT...
  EAST CONCORD BY 800 PM EDT...

THE PUBLIC REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN NORTH TONAWANDA WITH THESE 
STORMS AT 646 PM EDT.

LAT...LON 4272 7901 4275 7892 4279 7887 4285 7887
      4293 7884 4303 7873 4294 7847 4283 7848
      4279 7848 4279 7847 4257 7846 4252 7868
TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 310DEG 20KT 4296 7868 4269 7891

$$

SAGE

000 
WWUS51 KBUF 072344
SVSBUF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
744 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

NYC029-080000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SV.W.0136.000000T0000Z-080808T0000Z/
ERIE NY-
743 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
FOR ERIE COUNTY...

AT 739 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL
SIZE HAIL.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
ALDEN TO BOSTON...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LANCASTER TO 7 MILES
SOUTH OF HAMBURG...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 23 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MARILLA AND COLDEN BY 750 PM EDT...
  WALES CENTER BY 755 PM EDT...
  EAST CONCORD AND HOLLAND BY 800 PM EDT...

LAT...LON 4268 7893 4280 7872 4297 7857 4297 7856
      4294 7847 4285 7848 4279 7848 4279 7847
      4257 7846 4252 7868
TIME...MOT...LOC 2343Z 310DEG 20KT 4288 7854 4261 7877

$$

SAGE

000 
WWUS51 KBUF 080002
SVSBUF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
802 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

NYC029-080012-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SV.W.0136.000000T0000Z-080808T0000Z/
ERIE NY-
802 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR ERIE COUNTY HAS EXPIRED...

AT 802 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR SHOWED THAT THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND WAS NO LONGER
SEVERE...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 4268 7893 4280 7872 4297 7857 4297 7856
      4294 7847 4285 7848 4279 7848 4279 7847
      4257 7846 4252 7868
TIME...MOT...LOC 2344Z 310DEG 20KT 4288 7853 4261 7876

$$

SAGE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
359 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY AND WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND WILL KEEP UNSETTLED WEATHER OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING ALONG WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. EARLY SATURDAY, HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL BRING A TEMPORARY BREAK IN THE
UNSETTLED WEATHER TO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION. A COLD FRONT
DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM THE CENTRAL LAKES WILL BRING MORE UNSETTLED
WEATHER SATURDAY NIGHT. A CLOSED UPPER LOW NORTH OF THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY WILL KEEP COOLER THAN NORMAL WEATHER OVER THE AREA
FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 19Z...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAD BLOSSOMED ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN ONTARIO PROVINCE AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK...THE AREA
THAT HAS RECEIVED THE BEST HEATING AND THEREBY REALIZED THE BEST
INSTABILITY TODAY. FURTHER TO THE SOUTH AND WEST...THE ACTIVITY IS
CURRENTLY MUCH MORE WIDELY SCATTERED...LIKELY DUE TO THE EFFECTS
OF A LARGE PATCH OF MID CLOUDS THAT MANAGED TO PERSIST THROUGH
ABOUT 17Z. THIS AREA OF CLOUDS HAS SINCE DISSIPATED...ALLOWING FOR
HEATING TO RESUME...AND TEMPERATURES TO QUICKLY REBOUND TO THE
LOWER TO MID 70S ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN NY STATE THE PAST COUPLE
OF HOURS...RIGHT NEAR THE CONVECTIVE TEMP OF 74F.

WITH CONTINUED GOOD HEATING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...EXPECT THAT
WE WILL SEE AT LEAST SOME SCATTERED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY REDEVELOP
ACROSS THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA BY 5 OR 6 PM...MUCH LIKE
WHAT WAS OBSERVED FURTHER TO THE NORTHEAST DURING THE LATE MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS WILL WARRANT A CONTINUATION OF AT
LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS AND HIGH CHANCE POPS INTO THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS FROM THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER
EASTWARD ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES. MEANWHILE FURTHER TO THE NORTH AND
EAST...WILL MAINTAIN CURRENT LIKELY POPS AND NUMEROUS SHRA/TSRA INTO
THIS EVENING TO ACCOUNT FOR THE MORE CONCENTRATED NATURE OF THE
ACTIVITY IN THAT PARTICULAR REGION.

THE CONVECTION IS THEN EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE A BIT LATER ON THIS
EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...BUT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NIGHT JUST ABOUT
ANYWHERE AS THE CORE OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND THE COLDEST AIR AT 500
MB (AVERAGING ABOUT -16/-17C) WORKS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BECOME COLD ENOUGH FOR SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT
SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE LATER TONIGHT...ONCE THE LOW LEVEL FLOW
BECOMES A BIT BETTER ALIGNED FROM THE NORTHWEST. WILL THUS CONTINUE
TO INDICATE LIKELY POPS FOR THIS AREA...WITH SCATTERED/CHANCE VALUES
ELSEWHERE.

ON FRIDAY...EXPECT A NEAR-REPEAT PERFORMANCE OF TODAY AS WE WILL
REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE CORE OF THE UPPER TROUGH...WITH
500 MB TEMPS LINGERING IN THE -16 TO -17C RANGE...WHICH WILL
ACTUALLY BE A NOTCH OR TOO COLDER THAN WHAT WEVE EXPERIENCED THIS
AFTERNOON. 850 MB TEMPS WILL ALSO BE COOLER...AROUND +9C...BUT THESE
WILL STILL BE WARM ENOUGH TO ALLOW SURFACE TEMPS TO REACH THE UPPER
60S/NEAR 70 RANGE...AND SBCAPES TO CLIMB BACK TO THE 500-600 J/KG
RANGE FOR THE AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD BE PLENTY ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO
ALLOW FOR THE REDEVELOPMENT OF NUMEROUS CONVECTIVE CELLS FOR THE
AFTERNOON HOURS...THEREBY JUSTIFYING THE CONTINUATION OF LIKELY POPS
FOR THIS TIME FRAME.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
FRIDAY NIGHT, SFC LOW OVER NEW ENGLAND WITH CYCLONIC OVER THE REGION
IN THE EVNING. WILL KEEP CHC POPS IN THE WEST BUT LKLY POPS EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO THEN SOME RIDGING WORKING FROM THE WEST SHLD TAPER
PRECIP OFF TO SLGT CHC RANGE WEST, BUT WILL KEEP CHC POPS OVERNGT
EAST-SE OF LAKE ONTARIO AS NW FLOW OF COLDER AIR BRINGS THREAT OF
LAKE ENHANCED PRECIP. LOWS SHLD RANGE FROM LOW TO MID 50S WITH UPPER
40S INTERIOR OF SOUTHERN TIER

SATURDAY, SFC RIDGE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WHILE UPPER LOW DROPS SE
FROM ONTARIO PROVINCE TO NORTH OF GEORGIAN BAY BY EVENING. COULD BE
SOME LINGERING LK EFFECT PRECIP IN THE MORNING EAST AND SE OF LAKE
ONTARIO. EXPECT PTLY SUNNY SKIES ELSEWHERE WITH A LOW CHC SHWR/TSTM
DURG THE AFTERNOON AS COLD FRNT APPROACHES FROM THE CENTRAL LAKES.
HIGHS SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE BELOW NORMAL FRM ARND 70 TO 75.

SATURDAY NIGHT, WILL GO WITH LKLY POPS AS COLD FRNT DROPS SE ACROSS
LOWER LAKES.

ON SUNDAY, WILL CONTINUE CHC SHWRS/TSTMS WITH COLD CLOSED OFF UPPER
LOW NORTH OF THE ST LAW VALLEY. HIGHS SUNDAY ONLY IN THE LOWER 70S
AT BEST. FOR SUNDAY NIGHT WILL GO WITH CHC POPS FROM THE FINGER LKS
EASTWARD WITH MSTLY CLDY SKIES FURTHER TO THE WEST. LOWS SUNDAY
NIGHT GENLY IN THE 50S WITH UPPER 40S INTERIOR OF THE SOUTHERN TIER.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
GENLY GOING WITH HPC THROUGH THIS PERIOD AND FCST CONFIDENCE IS LOW
AS THERE IS A HIGH SPREAD AMONG THE MODELS/ENSEMBLES AND RELATIVELY
POOR RUN-RUN CONTINUITY.

WITH THE LOW OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON MONDAY WILL KEEP CHC SHWR/TSTM
EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH PTLY-MSTLY SUNNY SKIES FURTHER TO THE WEST
AS DRIER AIR AHEAD OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN LKS BUILDS SE.
HIGHS MONDAY SHLD BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S, CLOSE TO NORMAL WITH
LOWS MONDAY NIGHT GENLY IN THE 50S BUT ARND 60 NEAR THE LAKES.

ON TUESDAY, A FRONTAL BNDRY IS FORECAST TO BE NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO
WITH THE PERSISTENT LOW OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY. WILL KEEP MORE CLOUDS ACROSS NORTH COUNTRY
WITH SUN/CLOUD MIX ELSEWHERE BUT NOTHING HIGHER THAN SLGT CHC POPS
IN GRIDS. HIGHS AGAIN IN MID 70S. WILL MENTION LOW CHC SHWR NORTH
COUNTRY NEAR THE ST LAW TUESDAY NIGHT, CLOSER TO LOW OVER QUEBEC.

ON WED THE PERSISTENT LOW OVER QUEBEC IS PROGGED TO MOVE A BIT
FURTHER EAST TO THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE AND HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF
LK SUPERIOR BUILDS SOUTH INTO THE LAKES. HPC DISCARDING GFS WHICH
TAKES SFC LOW NORTH OF OHIO VALLEY TO PA SO AT THIS POINT WILL KEEP
FCST DRY BUT AS HPC DISCUSSION SAYS, CONFIDENCE IN EXTENDED PTN OF
THE FCST IS LOW AND THEY ARE GOING MORE TWD CAN GEM MODEL.

THURSDAY, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH ACROSS THE LAKES AND BRING
PTLY-MSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE COMBINATION OF DAYTIME HEATING AND COOLING TEMPERATURES ALOFT
WILL GENERATE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY THIS EVENING. WITH FREEZING LEVELS EXPECTED TO HOVER AROUND
10K FEET...SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO LIKELY TO BE
ACCOMPANIED BY HAIL. OVERALL...CONDITIONS SHOULD BE MAINLY VFR...
WITH VSBYS/CIGS OCCASIONALLY LOWERING TO MVFR IN ANY STRONGER
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS.

WHILE THE CONVECTION SHOULD TEND TO DIMINISH SOMEWHAT IN AREAL
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING THIS EVENING...THE
DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND COLDER TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL KEEP
AT LEAST SCATTERED ACTIVITY GOING THROUGH THE NIGHT. AS THE COLD AIR
DEEPENS...THE PCPN WILL ALSO TEND TO BECOME ENHANCED SOUTHEAST OF
LAKE ERIE LATER TONIGHT...IMPACTING THE KDKK-KJHW-KERI CORRIDOR. AS
THE NIGHT PROGRESSES AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES...CIGS/VSBYS
WILL TEND TO DETERIORATE FROM VFR TO MVFR LEVELS...WITH LOCALIZED
IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER.

AS WE GET INTO FRIDAY...VSBYS SHOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE BACK TO VFR
DURING THE MORNING WITH DIURNAL HEATING...THOUGH THE LOWER CEILINGS
WILL LIKELY HANG TOUGHER...AND SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE
MORNING HOURS. AS THE DAY PROGRESSES AND DIURNAL INSTABILITY
REDEVELOPS...SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL ONCE AGAIN HAVE THE
TENDENCY TO DEVELOP AND INCREASE IN COVERAGE...WITH THE MOST
WIDESPREAD PCPN EXPECTED TO AGAIN BE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MVFR IN SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA.
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...GENERALLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
NO MARINE FLAGS ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF FRIDAY.
WAVES AT THE EAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO SHOULD BE JUST BELOW SMALL
CRAFT RANGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE SUBSIDING A BIT THIS
EVENING. THEN AS A COLD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE
LOWER LAKES ON FRIDAY...WAVES ARE EXPECTED CLIMB BACK TO JUST
BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN SHORES OF
BOTH LAKES.

THERE WILL ALSO BE A CONTINUED THREAT OF WATERSPOUTS ACROSS BOTH
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO...AS AN UNSEASONABLY DEEP UPPER LEVEL STORM
SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO CIRCULATE VERY COOL AIR ACROSS THE WARM
LAKE WATERS. CONVECTIVE CLOUD DEPTHS OF 20 TO 25K FT COUPLED WITH
LAKE DELTA T VALUES OF 13 TO 16C WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUED GOOD
CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL PERSISTING
INTO SATURDAY.

FRIDAY NIGHT SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO LIKELY DEVELOP
ON LAKE ONTARIO WITH WAVES RUNNING 2-4 FT ON LK ERIE. THE CONDITIONS
SHLD SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT ON LK ERIE BUT SMALL CRAFT ADVSRY CONDITIONS
WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY SATURDAY AT THE EAST END OF THE LAKE.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJP
NEAR TERM...JJR
SHORT TERM...JJP
LONG TERM...JJP
AVIATION...JJR
MARINE...JJP/JJR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
514 AM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-080915-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
514 AM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-080915-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
514 AM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
253 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

NYZ007-072000-
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
253 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST PORTION OF THE COUNTY...

AT 245 PM, NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHING FROM
DEPAUVILLE AND LA FARGEVILLE, SOUTHEAST TO FORT DRUM AND DEFERIET.
THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AND SHOULD BE NEAR CARTHAGE
AROUND 3 PM. TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS, GUSTY WIND, FREQUENT LIGHT AND
HAIL ARE ALL POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY. RAINFALL ESTIMATES OF 1
TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR HAVE BEEN NOTED ON RADAR. WITH THIS IN MIND,
BE ON THE ALERT FOR PONDING ON ROADS AND AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
307 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

NYZ008-072015-
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
307 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION...

AT 3 PM, NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS WITH TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS, FREQUENT
LIGHTNING, GUSTY WIND, AND POSSIBLE HAIL, LOCATED NEAR COPENHAGEN
AND MARTINSBURG. THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AND SHOULD BE
NEAR CASTORLAND AROUND 320 PM, CROGHAN, HIGHMARKET, INDIAN RIVER,
LYONS FALLS, AND TURIN AROUND 330 PM, AND LOWVILLE AROUND 335 PM.
RADAR ESTIMATES OF RAINFALL RATES OF OVER 1 INCH PER HOUR HAVE
BEEN NOTED. WITH THIS IN MIND, BE ON THE ALERT FOR PONDING ON
ROADS, AND POSSIBLY SOME POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
534 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

NYZ006-072245-
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
534 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS FOR THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE COUNTY...

AT 530 PM, A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHED FROM FULTON, TO
CENTRAL SQUARE, TO CONSTANTIA. THIS LINE WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST WILL
CONTINUE MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE COUNTY THROUGH
630 PM. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL CONTAIN TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS,
FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND HAIL. BE ON THE ALERT FOR PONDING ON ROADS,
AND POSSIBLE POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
616 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

NYZ010-072330-
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
616 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE AREA...

AT 615 PM EDT...THUNDERSTORMS WERE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING OVER
TONAWANDA AND AMHERST. THIS WAS ALONG THE EASTERN EXTENSION OF A
LARGE AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WHICH STRETCHED ACROSS THE
NIAGARA PENINSULA. THESE STORMS WILL SLOWLY DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE
BUFFALO METRO AREA THROUGH 7 PM WITH DOWNPOURS...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND POSSIBLY SMALL HAIL.

SFM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
621 PM EDT THU AUG 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0352 PM     HAIL             1 SW NORTH OSCEOLA      43.56N 75.72W
08/07/2008  E0.75 INCH       LEWIS              NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SAGE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
654 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

NYZ010-085-080000-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
654 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE TO CROSS THE BUFFALO METRO
AREA...

AT 650 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM
TONAWANDA TO DOWNTOWN BUFFALO AND ON INTO EASTERN LAKE ERIE. THIS
LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH AND REACH A
CLARENCE TO BUFFALO AIRPORT TO SOUTH BUFFALO LINE BY 715 PM AND
ALDEN TO ORCHARD PARK BY 735 PM EDT. LOOK FOR BRIEF TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS AS THE STORM PASSES. IT
SHOULD LAST 15 TO 25 MINUTES AT ANY ONE LOCATION.

SFM