Gale Warning 25, NWS Buffalo, NY

000
WHUS71 KBUF 011506
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1006 AM EST MON DEC 1 2008

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS DAYS...

.GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT LATE
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. THEY WILL DIMINISH A BIT TUESDAY AFTERNOON
BEFORE INCREASING AND BACKING TO SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. WINDS AND WAVES WILL REQUIRE AT
LEAST A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. A GALE WARNING
WILL BE IN EFFECT THROUGH 1 AM TONIGHT ON LAKE ERIE.

LEZ040-041-012315-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081202T0600Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1006 AM EST MON DEC 1 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 KNOT GALES THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT AND VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST BY
EVENING. THEY WILL DIMINISH A BIT IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT LATER
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY BUT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE
ISSUED AFTER THE GALE WARNING EXPIRES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ042>045-SLZ022-024-012315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0092.081201T1800Z-081203T1200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1006 AM EST MON DEC 1 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL
SHIFT TO WEST FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT LATER TONIGHT.
THEY WILL REMAIN RISK WESTERLY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...BACKING
SOUTHWEST AGAIN AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT WEDNESDAY. WINDS AND WAVES
WILL MEET SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RSH

000
WHUS71 KBUF 012025
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
325 PM EST MON DEC 1 2008

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS DAYS...

.GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL
SHIFT TO WESTERLY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT LATER TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY. THEY WILL DIMINISH A BIT TUESDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE
INCREASING AND BACKING TO SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. 

LEZ040-041-020430-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081202T0900Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0092.081202T0900Z-081203T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
325 PM EST MON DEC 1 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

SOUTHWEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THIS EVENING WILL
SHIFT TO THE WEST FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT LATER
TONIGHT. THEY WILL REMAIN BRISK WESTERLY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT...BACKING SOUTHWEST AGAIN AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT WEDNESDAY.
WINDS AND WAVES WILL MEET SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR MOST
OF THE PERIOD THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ042>045-SLZ022-024-020430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0092.000000T0000Z-081203T1200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
325 PM EST MON DEC 1 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS EVENING WILL SHIFT TO
WEST FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT LATER TONIGHT. THEY
WILL REMAIN BRISK WESTERLY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...BACKING
SOUTHWEST AGAIN AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT WEDNESDAY. WINDS AND WAVES
WILL MEET SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

016 
WHUS71 KBUF 020237
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
937 PM EST MON DEC 1 2008

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS DAYS...

.GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT TO
WESTERLY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY. WINDS
WILL DIMINISH A BIT TUESDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE INCREASING AND
BACKING TO SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.

LEZ040-041-021045-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081202T0900Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0092.081202T0900Z-081203T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
937 PM EST MON DEC 1 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO
7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY.

SOUTHWEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT TO
WEST FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT OVERNIGHT. THEY WILL
REMAIN BRISK WESTERLY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...BACKING
SOUTHWEST AGAIN AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT WEDNESDAY. WINDS AND WAVES
WILL MEET SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ042>045-SLZ022-024-021045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0092.000000T0000Z-081203T1200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
937 PM EST MON DEC 1 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY.

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL SHIFT TO WEST FOLLOWING
THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT. THEY WILL REMAIN BRISK
WESTERLY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...BACKING SOUTHWEST AGAIN AHEAD
OF THE NEXT FRONT WEDNESDAY. WINDS AND WAVES WILL MEET SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

292 
WHUS71 KBUF 020846
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
346 AM EST TUE DEC 2 2008

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS DAYS...

.BRISK WESTERLY WINDS WILL BACK TO SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY BACK FURTHER TO SOUTHERLY ON WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. THEY WILL THEN SHIFT
ABRUPTLY TO WEST AND NORTHWEST FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS AND WAVES WILL MEET SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.


LEZ040-041-021700-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081202T0900Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0092.081202T0900Z-081204T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
346 AM EST TUE DEC 2 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THE GALE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY.

BRISK WESTERLY WINDS WILL BACK TO SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY BACK FURTHER TO SOUTHERLY ON WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. THEY WILL THEN SHIFT
ABRUPTLY TO WEST AND NORTHWEST FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS AND WAVES WILL MEET SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ042>045-SLZ022-024-021700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0092.000000T0000Z-081204T1200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
346 AM EST TUE DEC 2 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY.

BRISK WESTERLY WINDS WILL BACK TO SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY BACK FURTHER TO SOUTHERLY ON WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. THEY WILL THEN SHIFT
ABRUPTLY TO WEST AND NORTHWEST FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS AND WAVES WILL MEET SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SFM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
326 AM EST MON DEC 1 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH THROUGH SOUTHERN ONTARIO
TODAY THEN HEAD INTO QUEBEC TONIGHT. MUCH OF THE AREA WILL BE IN A
DRY SLOT TODAY WITH RELATIVELY MILD AND RAIN FREE CONDITIONS FOR
MUCH OF THE DAY. TONIGHT COLDER AIR WILL FILTER BACK INTO THE REGION
WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING BACK TO SNOW SHOWERS. SOME LAKE
EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO
LATER TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY BEFORE A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND BRINGS A BRIEF
RESPITE FROM THE ACTIVE WEATHER.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
3 AM UPDATE...LARGE DRY SLOT HAS WORKED UP ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF OUR
FORECAST AREAS AS OF 08Z. RAIN STILL FALLING OVER OUR ERN LK ONTARIO
REGION BY THIS SHOULD EXIT LEWIS COUNTY BY 10-11Z TIME PERIOD.
MEANWHILE...PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH LFQ OF JET AND EASTERN
FRINGE OF UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO WORK UP ACROSS OHIO INTO SRN
ONTARIO...BARELY BRUSHING OUR FAR WESTERN COUNTIES. THIS SCENARIO
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING.

THE BULK OF OUR AREA WILL HAVE A DRY DAY THANKS TO THE LARGE DRY
SLOT AS MAIN UPPER LOW AND SFC FEATURE LIFT MORE NORTH THAN EAST
OVER THE CENTRAL LAKES. WILL LOWER POPS DRASTICALLY TO SLGT CHC
RANGE THROUGHOUT...BUT WILL HAVE TO KEEP CHC POPS ONLY NR LK ERIE
FOR AWHILE THIS MORNING AS OHIO PRECIP LIFTS NORTHWARD. ALSO BOOSTED
TEMPS A FEW DEGREES FROM GEN VALLEY EASTWARD WITH A BIT OF SUNSHINE
POSSIBLE TOO.

AS LOW LIFTS NORTH ACROSS NRN ONTARIO AND WESTERN QUEBEC...
WRAPAROUND CLOUD AND PRECIP WILL APPROACH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WILL GO WITH CHC POPS FAR WEST AGAIN LATE IN THE DAY. THEN...AS TROF
AXIS/COLD FRONT CROSSES TONIGHT WILL GO WITH HIGH CHC POPS ALL
AREAS FOR ITS PASSAGE. WE WILL ALSO NEED TO CONSIDER LAKE
ENHANCEMENT BOTH IMMEDIATELY AHEAD AND BEHIND THE TROF. 850 MB
TEMPS START IN THE -5C RANGE AROUND 00Z...BUT WITH VERY MOIST AIR
WE CAN EXPECT SOME DEVELOPMENT IN A 230 FLOW IN THE 00-03Z RANGE
IN BUF AREA AND IMMEDIATELY NORTH. THIS MAY START AS RAIN BUT GO
OVER TO SNOW AS WINDS VEER AND IT PASSES ACROSS BUF-BATAVIA IN THE
03-06Z TIME FRAME AND SETTLES ACROSS SKI COUNTRY BY DAYBREAK.
MAYBE AN INCH OF SLUSHY SNOW ACROSS METRO BUF BY MIDNIGHT BUT A
FEW INCHES CAN ACCUMULATE WELL SOUTH OF BUF BY MORNING AND THIS
WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY (SEE SHORT TERM BELOW) ACROSS SKI
COUNTRY SO AN ADVISORY HAS BEEN HOISTED STARTING AT 06Z. SIMILAR
SCENARIO PLAYS OUT OFF LK ONTARIO...MIX NEAR ART AT FIRST...THEN
SNOW OVER TUG HILL IN PREDAWN HOURS...ADVISORY HAS BEEN HOISTED
THERE TOO...STARTING AT 10Z TUES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
OUR NEXT LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT WILL BE CRANKING UP BY THE START OF
THE SHORT TERM PERIOD OFF BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. IN THE
SYNOPTIC SCALE...THE SURFACE LOW WILL ACCELERATE RAPIDLY OUT TO SEA
ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES ON TUESDAY AS THE ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL
CYCLONE OPENS UP AND IS CAPTURED BY THE POLAR JET. THE REMAINING MID
LEVEL TROUGH WILL CROSS THE CWA DURING THE MORNING WITH WEAK FORCING
FOR ASCENT AND LIMITED MOISTURE PRODUCING A FEW SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS. 850MB TEMPS DROP TO AROUND -10C...WHICH WILL BE JUST COLD
ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SOME LAKE SNOWS EAST OF THE LAKES.

OFF LAKE ERIE...LAKE INDUCED CAPES ARE FORECAST TO PEAK AT AROUND
350J/KG WITH EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS AROUND 10K FEET AT 12Z TUESDAY WITH
INSTABILITY DIMINISHING DURING THE DAY AS A SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS
INTO WESTERN NY. THE FAVORED DENDRITIC CRYSTAL GROWTH ZONE WILL BE
FOUND WITHIN THE LAKE INDUCED MIXED LAYER DURING THE MORNING...BUT
AS THE INVERSION LOWERS SNOW GROWTH EFFICIENCY WILL DIMINISH DURING
THE AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMICS AND SYNOPTIC SCALE
SUPPORT...EXPECT A HEALTHY BAND TO BE ONGOING AT 12Z TUESDAY ACROSS
THE SKI COUNTRY FROM NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA TO NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS AND
SOUTHERN ERIE/SOUTHWEST WYOMING COUNTIES. THIS BAND MAY SETTLE A
LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH INTO CENTRAL CHAU/CATT COUNTIES DURING THE
MORNING BEFORE WEAKENING RAPIDLY DURING THE MIDDAY HOURS AND PUSHING
BACK NORTH. WHATEVER IS LEFT OF THIS BAND MAY APPROACH THE BUF
SOUTHTOWNS AGAIN BY LATE AFTERNOON AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS SHIFT
BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST. BY EVENING THE INVERSION WILL QUICKLY LOWER
AND FULLY REMOVE THE DENDRITIC CRYSTAL GROWTH ZONE FROM THE LAKE
BAND. THIS SHOULD JUST LEAVE A FEEBLE BAND OF CLOUDS AND MAYBE A FEW
FLURRIES/LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS LIFTING NORTH THROUGH THE METRO AREA
DURING THE EVENING.

THIS BAND MAY BE SIMILAR TO ONE WE HAD LATE LAST WEEK...AND PER
MESOSCALE MODEL GUIDANCE AND PATTERN RECOGNITION THE BAND MAY BE
INTENSE FOR A SHORT PERIOD TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS SKI COUNTRY WITH
1-2 INCH PER HOUR SNOWFALL RATES. THE SHORT DURATION AND CONTINUED
MOVEMENT OF THE BAND SHOULD LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS IN ANY GIVEN
LOCATION. AS FAR AS AMOUNTS GO...EXPECT ADDITIONAL 3-5 INCH AMOUNTS
TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS SKI COUNTRY...WITH ACCUMS RAPIDLY DIMINISHING
DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE BAND WEAKENS.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...EXPECT A VERY SIMILAR EVOLUTION A FEW HOURS
LATER. AT 12Z TUESDAY EXPECT THE BAND TO BE CENTERED ON THE NORTHERN
TUG HILL. THERE WILL STILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT
JUST AHEAD OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH...AND THIS MAY FAVOR A FAIRLY
LARGE AREA OF LAKE ENHANCED PRECIP EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE LAKE.
DURING THE DAY THE BAND SHOULD SETTLE SOUTH ACROSS THE TUG HILL INTO
OSWEGO COUNTY. FOLLOWING A COMPROMISE BETWEEN NAM/GFS BOUNDARY LAYER
WINDS...THE BAND SHOULD REACH ITS SOUTHERNMOST POINT BY EARLY
AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL OSWEGO COUNTY...PERHAPS ALSO CLIPPING
EXTREME NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTY. FARTHER WEST...THE BAND MAY BRIEFLY
CLIP THE LAKESHORE FROM ORLEANS COUNTY TO WAYNE COUNTY AS WELL WITH
SOME MINOR ACCUMS NEAR THE LAKE. BY EVENING EXPECT THE BAND TO
WEAKEN AS THE INVERSION LOWERS AND THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE LIFTS ABOVE
THE LAKE INDUCED MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER. THE REMNANTS OF THE BAND WILL
LIFT BACK NORTH ACROSS THE TUG HILL DURING THE EVENING BEFORE
REACHING WATERTOWN AND BREAKING UP INTO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND
ENDING OVERNIGHT.

PER MESOSCALE MODEL GUIDANCE AND PATTERN RECOGNITION...THIS BAND MAY
BE RATHER INTENSE ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION DURING THE MORNING WITH
1-2 INCH PER HOUR SNOWFALL RATES AND MAYBE EVEN SOME THUNDER. THE
EXPECTED STEADY MOVEMENT OF THE BAND SHOULD HELP LIMIT ACCUMS IN ANY
GIVEN LOCATION...AND EXPECT 2-4 OR 3-5 INCH AMOUNTS ACROSS THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS FROM SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY INTO LEWIS COUNTY AND
NORTHERN/CENTRAL OSWEGO COUNTY...MAYBE EVEN LESS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
LAKESHORE WITH WARMER SURFACE TEMPS. ACROSS THE TUG HILL EXPECT A
SOLID 4-6 INCHES. ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS TUESDAY EVENING WILL BE MINOR
AS THE BAND WEAKENS AND LIFTS QUICKLY NORTH.

BY WEDNESDAY MORNING THE ENTIRE CWA WILL BE DRY WITH WINDS BACKING
TO THE SOUTHWEST. WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL WARM 850MB TEMPS TO 0C OR
EVEN A LITTLE ABOVE...SUPPORTING A MILD DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S IN
MOST LOWER ELEVATIONS...UPPER 30S ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN AND TRAPPED
VALLEYS. HAVE BACKED OFF ON PRECIP CHANCES GIVEN RECENT MODEL TRENDS
FOR A SLOWER ONSET...WENT WITH JUST LOW CHANCE POPS TOWARD EVENING
IN THE WEST WITH BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS WARM ENOUGH FOR ALL RAIN.
PRECIP CHANCES INCREASE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES.
AGAIN WARM ENOUGH FOR ALL RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN MIXING WITH
SNOW OVERNIGHT AS COLDER AIR FILTERS IN.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
LONG TERM MODELS TODAY ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THE LARGE
SCALE PATTERN EVOLUTION...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE THE TYPICAL TIMING AND
INTENSITY DIFFERENCES WITH SMALLER SCALE SYNOPTIC FEATURES. THE MEAN
LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH NUMEROUS SMALLER SCALE WAVES DROPPING
THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES WELL
BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MORE SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT
SNOWS LIKELY.

AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION THURSDAY MORNING WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION ENSUING DURING THE
DAY. THE FRONTAL AND MID LEVEL TROUGH PASSAGE WILL SUPPORT A DECENT
SHOT AT A FEW SNOW SHOWERS IN MOST AREAS...WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING
THROUGH THE 30S AND INTO THE 20S DURING THE DAY. SHEAR AND IMPLIED
DOWNWARD VERTICAL MOTION WITHIN THE STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION REGIME
MAY INITIALLY LIMIT LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY DURING THE DAY.

AFTER THURSDAY...ALL MODELS AGREE THAT A SURGE OF TRUE ARCTIC AIR
WILL ENVELOPE THE GREAT LAKES REGION WITH 850MB TEMPS DOWN TO -14C
OR COLDER FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT ON BOTH THE GFS
AND ECMWF. IT IS STILL FAR TOO EARLY TO OFFER ANY PREDICTIVE INSIGHT
INTO WIND DIRECTION GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE EVOLUTION AND
TIMING OF THE PRECEDING LOW. FOR NOW WILL CONTINUE TO PRESENT THE
POP FORECAST IN SOMEWHAT OF A CLIMATOLOGICAL CONFIGURATION FOR A
TYPICAL LAKE EFFECT SETUP WITH LIKELY POPS EAST OF THE LAKES AND
CHANCE POPS ELSEWHERE.

THE 12Z GFS HAS COME INTO MUCH BETTER ALIGNMENT WITH THE 00Z/30
ECMWF AND GEM WITH THE HANDLING OF A CLIPPER TYPE SHORTWAVE AND
SURFACE LOW FOR NEXT WEEKEND. THE 00Z/30 GFS HAD NO SIGN OF THIS
FEATURE...BUT THE 12Z RUN SEEMS TO BE CAPTURING THE SAME IDEA NOW AS
THE OTHER LONG TERM GUIDANCE. GIVEN THE LONG TIME RANGE AND
LIKELIHOOD OF CONTINUED MODEL FLIP FLOPPING FOR THIS PERIOD...WILL
JUST HANDLE WITH LOW CHANCE POPS FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 08Z...OCCLUDED FRONT HAS JUST PAST BUF AND WILL LIFT ABOVE
KROC AND KIAG NEXT HOUR. WINDS HAVE SHIFTED TO SOUTH AND RAIN ENDED.
THERE MAY BE A FEW HOURS OF SHOWERS AT KBUF AND KIAG BUT CONDITIONS
LOOK GENERALLY DRY THROUGH 21Z TODAY NOW WITH INCREASING SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS. KARTS RAIN WILL END BY 10Z BUT FRONTAL PASSAGE
WILL BE DELAYED UNTIL 12-14Z. MVFR CIGS WILL STILL BE THE
RULE...ALTHOUGH THEY MAY LIFT TO VFR AT TIMES TODAY...ESPECIALLY AT
KROC.

TONIGHT...A COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THE DEPARTING LOW WILL SWEEP
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THIS FEATURE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY SOME
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS...WHICH WILL THEN GRADUALLY CHANGE TO SNOW
SHOWERS AS COLDER AIR FILTERS IN BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. AS
TEMPERATURES ALOFT COOL...SOME LAKE ENHANCED/LAKE EFFECT PRECIP WILL
ALSO LIKELY SET UP NORTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO...THEN
QUICKLY MIGRATE SOUTHWARD AS THE STEERING WINDS VEER FROM SOUTHWEST
TO WEST. IN GENERAL...EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS DURING THIS TIME
FRAME...WITH IFR A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY IN ANY AREAS OF LAKE
EFFECT/LAKE ENHANCED PRECIP.

OUTLOOK...

TUESDAY...OCCASIONAL MVFR IN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WITH LOCAL IFR
IN LAKE SNOWS EAST OF THE LAKES.
WEDNESDAY...VFR/MVFR IN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
THURSDAY...MVFR IN SNOW SHOWERS...IFR EAST OF THE LAKES IN LAKE
EFFECT SNOW.
FRIDAY...IFR IN LAKE SNOWS EAST OF THE LAKES..VFR ELSEWHERE.

&&

.MARINE...
EASTERLY WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED ON LAKE ONTARIO AS THE SURFACE LOW
APPROACHES THE REGION AND BRIEFLY ALLOWS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO
RELAX. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH OUR OUR LATITUDE THIS MORNING...WINDS
WILL QUICKLY SWING AROUND TO THE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE. 925MB WINDS
INCREASE TO AROUND 40 KNOTS...AND SOME OF THESE HIGHER MOMENTUMS
WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE AS COLD AIR ADVECTION BEGINS AND
STEEPENS LAPSE RATES. WENT WITH MARGINAL GALE WARNINGS ON LAKE ERIE
FOR TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING AS THE SOUTHWEST FLOW FUNNELS UP THE
LONG AXIS OF THE LAKE. WE HELD LAKE ONTARIO TO 30 KNOTS WITH A
SLIGHTLY LESS FAVORABLE TRAJECTORY...ALTHOUGH THE EAST END MAY
APPROACH GALE FORCE LATER TODAY AND THIS EVENING. FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING HIGH END SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE WITH BRISK WEST WINDS BACKING TO SOUTHWEST.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 10 PM EST TUESDAY FOR
     NYZ006>008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY FOR
     NYZ012-019-020-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
         WEDNESDAY FOR LEZ020.
         GALE WARNING FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY
         FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM
         EST WEDNESDAY FOR LOZ042>045.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM
         EST WEDNESDAY FOR SLZ022-024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK
NEAR TERM...SFM
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...SFM
MARINE...HITCHCOCK/SFM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1057 PM EST SUN NOV 30 2008

NYZ006>008-020400-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
1057 PM EST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO MONDAY WILL BRING A
CHANCE OF A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW TO THE AREA. A COLD FRONT
TRAILING SOUTH OF THIS LOW WILL PUSH THROUGH CENTRAL NEW YORK
MONDAY NIGHT. A BRIEF BURST OF SNOW WILL ACCOMPANY THE
FRONT...BEFORE COLDER AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE WEST AND SETS UP
BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. EXPECT THE
STEADIEST SNOW TO IMPACT THE WATERTOWN AREA MONDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW
BAND IS THEN FORECAST TO SET UP ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU
TUESDAY MORNING...THEN SETTLE SOUTH ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-011-013-014-020400-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-
ONTARIO-
1057 PM EST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010-020400-
NORTHERN ERIE-
1057 PM EST SUN NOV 30 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-085-020400-
CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1057 PM EST SUN NOV 30 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

COLDER AIR FOLLOWING A PASSING COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE BANDS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW TO SET UP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER LATER MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING. EXPECT THE MOST STEADY SNOW TO FALL ALONG
THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-020400-
WYOMING-
1057 PM EST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

COLDER AIR FOLLOWING A PASSING COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE BANDS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW TO SET UP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER LATER MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING. EXPECT THE MOST STEADY SNOW TO FALL ALONG
THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ021-020400-
ALLEGANY-
1057 PM EST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

COLDER AIR FOLLOWING A PASSING COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE BANDS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW TO SET UP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER LATER MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING. EXPECT THE MOST STEADY SNOW TO FALL ALONG
THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ020-020400-
CATTARAUGUS-
1057 PM EST SUN NOV 30 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

COLDER AIR FOLLOWING A PASSING COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE BANDS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW TO SET UP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER LATER MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING. EXPECT THE MOST STEADY SNOW TO FALL ALONG
THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-020400-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1057 PM EST SUN NOV 30 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS A DEEP LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSES BY JUST NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES AND MUCH
COLDER AIR RUSHES INTO THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

TMA