Severe Thunderstorm Warning 16, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
240 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

.SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ACTIVE MORNING AS SEVERE STORMS MOVE RAPIDLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE
AREA. COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THE MORNING HOURS AND BE TO OUR EAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON. WILL
UPDATE POPS JUST BEFORE RELEASE TIME BUT EXPECT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR MOST SECTIONS DURING THE MORNING AND QUICKLY
ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON.  MUCH DRIER AND
COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.  HIGHS TODAY WILL OCCUR THIS MORNING...THEN GRADUALLY
FALL THROUGH THE DAY. HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 60S.  LOWS TONIGHT IN THE
30S.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE
AREA ON THURSDAY AND EARLY FRIDAY...WITH A WEAK SHORT WAVE SHIFTING
ACROSS THE NORTHERN SECTIONS ON FRIDAY NIGHT.  WILL FORECAST A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHERN SECTIONS FRIDAY
NIGHT.  HIGHS ON THURSDAY IN THE 50S AND IN THE 60S FRIDAY.  LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT MAINLY 30 TO 35. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT UPPER 30S TO LOWER
40S.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA
DURING THIS PERIOD.  WILL CONTINUE WITH DRY CONDITIONS.  HIGHS
SATURDAY IN THE 60S...UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S SUNDAY AND 55 TO 65 ON
MONDAY.

TUESDAY...NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE
WEST ON TUESDAY.  WILL FORECAST A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AREA-WIDE.
HIGHS 55 TO 65.

&&

.AVIATION...06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

MINOR CHANGES WERE DONE TO THE FORECAST...MAINLY JUST TO DO SOME
TIME ADJUSTING ON WHEN THE LINE OF STORMS WILL ARRIVE AT EACH TAF
SITE. IN ADDITION...INCREASED CEILINGS FROM IFR TO MVFR. BASED ON
CURRENT OBSERVATIONS IN MISSISSIPPI WERE THE LINE IS CURRENTLY
MOVING THROUGH...IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT THE IFR CEILINGS WILL
HAPPEN. ONCE THE LINE MOVES OUT OF A TAF SITE...EXPECT CEILINGS TO
BRIEFLY RISE TO VFR BEFORE DROPPING BACK DOWN AGAIN TO MVFR.

10/ARM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     66  33  54  29  62 /  90  10  10  10  10
ANNISTON    66  33  53  32  63 /  90  10  10  10  10
BIRMINGHAM  66  33  54  36  64 /  80  10  10  10  10
TUSCALOOSA  67  33  56  34  66 /  70  10  10  10  10
CALERA      66  34  56  34  64 /  80  10  10  10  10
AUBURN      67  36  56  35  64 /  90  10  10  10  10
MONTGOMERY  68  35  59  34  67 /  90  10  10  10  10
TROY        68  34  59  32  68 /  90  10  10  10  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THRU 12 NOON WEDNESDAY
FOR ALL COUNTIES.

&&

50

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1218 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

ALZ011>015-017>050-070600-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
1218 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TONIGHT.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM
THE WEST DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.  THE STORMS SHOULD GET AS
FAR EAST AS INTERSTATE 59 BY 4 OR 5 AM....AND ANNISTON...CLANTON...
AND DEMOPOLIS BY 6 AM.  THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT
LINE WINDS ALONG A SQUALL LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  HOWEVER...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IF STORMS ARE ABLE TO DEVELOP
AHEAD OF THE LINE.

SOUTHERLY WINDS OUT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND SQUALL LINE WILL
MAKE CONDITIONS QUITE BREEZY THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING THE THREAT OF DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES...WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA THROUGH NOON ON WEDNESDAY...UNTIL THE COLD FRONT PUSHES
EASTWARD INTO GEORGIA.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE STRONG OUT AHEAD AND ALONG THE COLD FRONT
AND SQUALL LINE THROUGH NOON ON WEDNESDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15
TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL BE
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AS THE FRONT CLEARS AN AREA AND WILL
DISSIPATE WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY...DUE TO THE THREAT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.

61

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
207 AM CST WED FEB 06 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 AM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 E SULLIGENT           33.89N 88.08W
02/06/2008                   LAMAR              AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SIGHTED ON HWY 278 BETWEEN SULLIGENT AND BEAVERTON.

&&

SUNGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
234 AM CST WED FEB 06 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0204 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N BEAVERTON           33.96N 88.02W
02/06/2008                   LAMAR              AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POSSIBLE TORNADO...POWERLINES AND TREES DOWN ON COUNTY
            ROAD 49.

&&

SUNGER