Tornado Warning 24, NWS Birmingham, AL

000 
WWUS54 KBMX 060854
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
254 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

ALC107-060904-
/O.CAN.KBMX.TO.W.0024.000000T0000Z-080206T0930Z/
PICKENS AL-
254 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN PICKENS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CST WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR ALABAMA.

LAT...LON 3366 8778 3372 8754 3370 8752 3368 8749
      3351 8730 3337 8782 3338 8784 3353 8783
      3353 8790 3360 8794
TIME...MOT...LOC 0854Z 235DEG 54KT 3351 8774

$$

ALC057-125-060930-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0024.000000T0000Z-080206T0930Z/
TUSCALOOSA AL-FAYETTE AL-
254 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM CST FOR SOUTHERN
FAYETTE AND NORTHWESTERN TUSCALOOSA COUNTIES...

AT 250 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MOORES BRIDGE...OR
ABOUT 14 MILES NORTHEAST OF REFORM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  NEW LEXINGTON BY 300 AM CST...
  BERRY...7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BANKSTON AND 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF
  WINDHAM SPRINGS BY 305 AM CST...
  BOLEY SPRINGS AND 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF WHITSON BY 310 AM CST...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CST WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR ALABAMA.

LAT...LON 3366 8778 3372 8754 3370 8752 3368 8749
      3351 8730 3337 8782 3338 8784 3353 8783
      3353 8790 3360 8794
TIME...MOT...LOC 0854Z 235DEG 54KT 3351 8774

$$

14

000 
WWUS54 KBMX 060914
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
314 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

ALC125-060924-
/O.CAN.KBMX.TO.W.0024.000000T0000Z-080206T0930Z/
TUSCALOOSA AL-
314 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN TUSCALOOSA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CST WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR ALABAMA.

LAT...LON 3372 8754 3361 8741 3360 8748 3361 8749
      3362 8762 3360 8763 3358 8766 3353 8768
      3366 8777
TIME...MOT...LOC 0914Z 235DEG 54KT 3368 8744

$$

ALC057-060930-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0024.000000T0000Z-080206T0930Z/
FAYETTE AL-
314 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN FAYETTE COUNTY...

AT 312 AM CST...A TORNADO WAS REPORTED.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED
NEAR BOLEY SPRINGS...OR ABOUT 16 MILES SOUTH OF CARBON HILL...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CST WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR ALABAMA.

LAT...LON 3372 8754 3361 8741 3360 8748 3361 8749
      3362 8762 3360 8763 3358 8766 3353 8768
      3366 8777
TIME...MOT...LOC 0914Z 235DEG 54KT 3368 8744

$$

14

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1211 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

.UPDATE...AVIATION DISCUSSION HAS BEEN UPDATED.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.

WELL...IT IS LOOKING A BIT MORE APPARENT THAT THE FRONT/SQUALL LINE
MAY BE THE MAIN SHOW FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA.  SEVERAL BANDS OF SHOWERS
HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS MS...AND NOW EVEN INTO NORTHWEST ALABAMA. BUT
THE ONLY BAND OF SHOWERS THAT HAS DEVELOPED INTO ANYTHING MORE THAN
SHOWERS WAS IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE OF STORMS.  HAVING
SAID THAT...THE SOUTHERN END OF THE LINE (SOUTHWEST MS INTO LA) IS
MORE OF A LINEARLY ALIGNED SERIES OF ROTATING CELLS.

SEVERAL KEY MESOSCALE PARAMETERS ON THE SPC WEB PAGE SUGGEST THAT
CONDITIONS ARE NOT AS CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE IN WESTERN
ALABAMA AS THEY PREVIOUSLY WERE. BUT I HAVE TO WONDER IF THE BAD
DEWPOINT OBSERVATION AT KGTR IS NEGATIVELY SKEWING SOME OF THAT
DATA.  CONDITIONS REALLY HAVENT COOLED DOWN MUCH SINCE THE SUN
WENT DOWN...AS TEMPS ARE STILL BETWEEN 70 AND 75 DEGREES FROM I-65
WEST TO THE MS RIVER (AND DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN THE 60S).

BASICALLY...THE THREAT OF SEVERE DEPENDS LARGELY ON THE CAP AND IF
THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM CAN HELP OVERCOME/ERODE THE CAP (THAT WAS
STILL QUITE EVIDENT ON THE 03Z JAN SOUNDING). WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH
AND BE CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC.

/61/

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

RAIN SHOULD BE EXITING EAST ALABAMA BY SUNSET WEDNESDAY AND WILL
KEEP A DRY FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY EVENING. A FAIRLY FAST MOVING FLOW
PATTERN WILL PUSH SEVERAL SHORT WAVE TROFS ACROSS THE GULF COAST
STATES DURING THIS PERIOD. THE FIRST WAVE WILL COME THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY...BUT MOISTURE WILL BE VERY LIMITED AND NO RAIN EXPECTED.
SECOND TROF WILL MOVE ACROSS AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS TROF IS A
LITTLE MORE VIGOROUS...AND THERE MAY BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR A
FEW SHOWERS NORTHERN COUNTIES...AND ADDED 20 PERCENT POPS FRIDAY
NIGHT.

MODELS INDICATING A DEEPER TROF ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES
OVER THE WEEKEND WITH THE COLDER AIR REACHING FARTHER SOUTH.
ENSEMBLE MOS SHOWS A BIG SPREAD FOR HIGHS ON SUNDAY...AND DID
TREND TEMPERATURES DOWNWARD FROM CURRENT FORECAST...WHICH IS CLOSER
TO GFS MOS OUTPUT. SURFACE RIDGE WILL MOVE OFF INTO THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN BY FIRST OF NEXT WEEK...ALLOWING FOR A WARMER SOUTHERLY
FLOW TO DEVELOP ACROSS ALABAMA. CUT-OFF LOW OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
STATES WILL BE NEXT WEATHER MAKER ACROSS THE GULF COAST
STATES...BUT SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY KEEP BULK OF
RAIN TO THE WEST OF AREA ON TUESDAY.

58/ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

MINOR CHANGES WERE DONE TO THE FORECAST...MAINLY JUST TO DO SOME
TIME ADJUSTING ON WHEN THE LINE OF STORMS WILL ARRIVE AT EACH TAF
SITE. IN ADDITION...INCREASED CEILINGS FROM IFR TO MVFR. BASED ON
CURRENT OBSERVATIONS IN MISSISSIPPI WERE THE LINE IS CURRENTLY
MOVING THROUGH...IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT THE IFR CEILINGS WILL
HAPPEN. ONCE THE LINE MOVES OUT OF A TAF SITE...EXPECT CEILINGS TO
BRIEFLY RISE TO VFR BEFORE DROPPING BACK DOWN AGAIN TO MVFR.

10/ARM

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...LAKE WIND ADVISORY 6 PM TODAY THRU 12 NOON WEDNESDAY FOR
ALL COUNTIES.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1218 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

ALZ011>015-017>050-070600-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
1218 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TONIGHT.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM
THE WEST DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.  THE STORMS SHOULD GET AS
FAR EAST AS INTERSTATE 59 BY 4 OR 5 AM....AND ANNISTON...CLANTON...
AND DEMOPOLIS BY 6 AM.  THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT
LINE WINDS ALONG A SQUALL LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  HOWEVER...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IF STORMS ARE ABLE TO DEVELOP
AHEAD OF THE LINE.

SOUTHERLY WINDS OUT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND SQUALL LINE WILL
MAKE CONDITIONS QUITE BREEZY THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING THE THREAT OF DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES...WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA THROUGH NOON ON WEDNESDAY...UNTIL THE COLD FRONT PUSHES
EASTWARD INTO GEORGIA.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE STRONG OUT AHEAD AND ALONG THE COLD FRONT
AND SQUALL LINE THROUGH NOON ON WEDNESDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15
TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL BE
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AS THE FRONT CLEARS AN AREA AND WILL
DISSIPATE WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY...DUE TO THE THREAT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.

61

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
207 AM CST WED FEB 06 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 AM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 E SULLIGENT           33.89N 88.08W
02/06/2008                   LAMAR              AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SIGHTED ON HWY 278 BETWEEN SULLIGENT AND BEAVERTON.

&&

SUNGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
234 AM CST WED FEB 06 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0204 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N BEAVERTON           33.96N 88.02W
02/06/2008                   LAMAR              AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POSSIBLE TORNADO...POWERLINES AND TREES DOWN ON COUNTY
            ROAD 49.

&&

SUNGER