Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2008

Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS Gaylord, MI

January 29, 200818 counties in Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Jan 29, 2008, 4:47 AM EST for 18 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Jan 29, 2008, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 21 hr. 20 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 29, 2008, 4:47 AM EST (09:47 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 29, 2008, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 30, 2008, 4:14 PM EST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

Counties Antrim County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 30, 2:00 AM ESTHEAVY SNOW 28 S Grayling, MI2 HR TOTAL THRU 2 AM.
Jan 30, 2:10 AM ESTHEAVY SNOW 44 Nw Bellaire, MI3 HR TOTAL THRU 2 AM.
Jan 30, 5:42 AM ESTSNOW 2Rogers City, MI8 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM.
Jan 30, 6:19 AM ESTHEAVY SNOW 42 W Interlochen, MI6 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM.
Jan 30, 7:10 AM ESTHEAVY SNOW 3Atlanta, MI4 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOWDEPTH 4 IN.
Jan 30, 8:28 AM ESTSNOW 410 S Grayling, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.
Jan 30, 8:28 AM ESTSNOW 55 Se Mancelona, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOWDEPTH 15 IN.
Jan 30, 8:39 AM ESTSNOW 5Roscommon, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 9 IN.
Jan 30, 8:45 AM ESTSNOW 2Lupton, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 3 IN.
Jan 30, 8:45 AM ESTSNOW 2.95 Nnw Pellston, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 11 IN.
Jan 30, 8:58 AM ESTSNOW 78 Nne Mancelona, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 9 AM. SNOWDEPTH 13 IN.
Jan 30, 9:00 AM ESTSNOW 3St. Helen, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 9 AM. SNOWDEPTH 6 IN.
Jan 30, 9:20 AM ESTSNOW 211 N Lake City, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 9 AM.
Jan 30, 9:29 AM ESTSNOW 5Indian River, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 9 AM. SNOWDEPTH 9 IN.
Jan 30, 9:30 AM ESTSNOW 53 S Gaylord, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 9 AM.
Jan 30, 9:47 AM ESTSNOW 1Higgins Lake, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 10 AM. SNOWDEPTH 1 IN.
Jan 30, 10:58 AM ESTSNOW 5.5Pellston, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 6 IN.
Jan 30, 11:40 AM ESTSNOW 4Lake Ann, MI15 HR TOTAL THRU NOON. SNOWDEPTH 4 IN.
Jan 30, 11:40 AM ESTSNOW 4.5Arcadia, MI15 HR TOTAL THRU 12 PM. SNOWDEPTH 5 IN.
Jan 30, 12:12 PM ESTSNOW 4.4Wellston, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 12 PM.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 252 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2008-01-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2008-01-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 52 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1161 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
160 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 290947
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
447 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...POTENTIAL BLIZZARD-LIKE CONDITIONS TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE...WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. RAIN 
DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW TONIGHT...AS STRONG AND FRIGID NORTHWEST WINDS BLAST
ARCTIC AIR INTO THE REGION. THE WINDS WILL PLOW THROUGH NORTHERN
MICHIGAN WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH...AND RESULT IN EXTENSIVE
BLOWING SNOW WITH SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES FOR MANY
AREAS OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN. 

MANY AREAS OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN MAY EXPERIENCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
AT TIMES TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. A FEW UNCERTAINTIES EXIST
AROUND THE EXTENT AND DURATION OF THESE CONDITIONS. PERSONS ARE
ADVISED TO STAY TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS FOR THE ISSUANCE OF
POSSIBLE BLIZZARD WARNINGS.

ALSO...WARM TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY RESULTED IN WET AND ICY
ROADS. THE ARRIVAL OF THE ARCTIC AIR WILL ONLY CREATE ADDITIONAL
ICY CONDITIONS ON NORTHERN MICHIGAN ROADWAYS. 

MIZ008-015>023-025>029-031-032-300000-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0004.080130T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0003.080130T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-
LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE...
PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...
MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC
447 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

RAIN WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW TONIGHT
THEN CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL RANGE BETWEEN 3
AND 7 INCHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

THIS FALLING SNOW WILL OCCUR WHILE NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE TO 20
TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...RESULTING IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW. NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE FOR A PERIOD OF TIME TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING.

WET AND ALREADY SLICK ROADWAYS WILL BECOME EVEN MORE ICY AS THE
TEMPERATURES FALL NEARLY 30 DEGREES INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

LASTLY...WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20 DEGREES BELOW
ZERO INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ024-030-033>036-300000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0004.080130T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
ALPENA-ALCONA-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE...LAKE CITY...
HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY
447 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AROUND THE MIDNIGHT
HOUR TONIGHT...THEN CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL
RANGE BETWEEN 1 AND 4 INCHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE NORTH OF M-72.

THIS FALLING SNOW WILL OCCUR WHILE NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE TO 20
TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW. NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE AFTER THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW OCCURS.

WET AND ALREADY SLICK ROADWAYS WILL BECOME EVEN MORE ICY AS THE
TEMPERATURES FALL NEARLY 30 DEGREES INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

LASTLY...WIND CHILLS MAY DROP TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20 DEGREES BELOW
ZERO INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

SD
7 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 291636
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1136 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES LATER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE...WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. RAIN
DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW TONIGHT...AS STRONG AND FRIGID NORTHWEST WINDS BLAST
ARCTIC AIR INTO THE REGION. THE WINDS WILL PLOW THROUGH NORTHERN
MICHIGAN WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH...AND RESULT IN EXTENSIVE
BLOWING SNOW WITH SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES FOR MANY
AREAS OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN.

MANY AREAS OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN WILL EXPERIENCE BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS AT TIMES LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING.  

ALSO...WARM TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY RESULTED IN WET AND ICY
ROADS. THE ARRIVAL OF THE ARCTIC AIR WILL ONLY CREATE ADDITIONAL
ICY CONDITIONS ON NORTHERN MICHIGAN ROADWAYS.

MIZ008-292300-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.080130T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.080130T0100Z-080130T2200Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
1136 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. THIS WARNING REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WARNING WHICH
WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. 

RAIN WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW TONIGHT...CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY.
TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL RANGE BETWEEN 3 AND 7 INCHES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

THE SNOW WILL OCCUR WHILE NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH...RESULTING IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW. NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FROM
LATE EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY BE NORTH OF M-123.

ROADS WILL BECOME VERY SLICK AND WIND CHILL READINGS WILL DROP
INTO THE TEENS BELOW ZERO.  

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF
YOU MUST...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

$$

MIZ015>023-025>029-031-032-292300-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0003.080130T0100Z-080130T2200Z/
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...
ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC
1136 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
5 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

RAIN WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW TONIGHT
THEN CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL RANGE BETWEEN
3 AND 6 INCHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

THIS SNOW WILL OCCUR WHILE NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE TO 20 TO 30
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...RESULTING IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW. NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY AT TIMES LATER TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY.

WET ROADWAYS WILL FREEZE UP AND BECOME VERY SLICK. WIND CHILL
READINGS WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS BELOW ZERO. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ024-030-033>036-292300-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0004.080130T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.080130T0100Z-080130T2200Z/
ALPENA-ALCONA-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE...LAKE CITY...
HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY
1136 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW LATE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY ONLY BE 1 TO
3 INCHES...WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW. NEAR ZERO VISIBILITIES WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR A TIME
LATE TONIGHT.

WET ROADWAYS WILL FREEZE QUICKLY LATER TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES
FALL INTO THE TEENS. 

WIND CHILL READINGS MAY DROP TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO INTO
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

MIZ041-042-292300-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.080130T0100Z-080130T2200Z/
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLADWIN...STANDISH
1136 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW LATE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY ONLY BE 1 TO
2 INCHES...WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW.  NEAR ZERO VISIBILITIES WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR A TIME
LATE TONIGHT.

WET ROADWAYS WILL FREEZE QUICKLY LATER TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES
FALL INTO THE TEENS. 

WIND CHILL READINGS MAY DROP TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO INTO
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$
JK
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 292051
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
351 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE...WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. RAIN
WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW DURING THE EVENING...AS STRONG AND
FRIGID NORTHWEST WINDS BLAST ARCTIC AIR INTO THE REGION. THE WINDS
WILL PLOW THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH...
AND RESULT IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING SNOW WITH SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED
VISIBILITIES FOR MANY AREAS.

MIZ008-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.080130T0100Z-080130T2200Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
351 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
5 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

RAIN WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW THIS EVENING...CONTINUING INTO
THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE
FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS LIKELY NORTH OF M-28.

NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 50 MPH OVERNIGHT...WHICH WILL
CREATE EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY
DIFFICULT. 

TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT AND
WATER ON ROADS WILL QUICKLY FREEZE...CREATING VERY SLICK
CONDITIONS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL BE IN THE TEENS BELOW ZERO.  

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF
YOU MUST...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

$$

MIZ015>023-025>029-031-032-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.080130T0100Z-080130T2200Z/
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...
ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC
351 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

RAIN WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
TONIGHT...CONTINUING INTO THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 45 MPH OVERNIGHT...WHICH WILL CREATE
WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED
TO LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES AND TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT.
CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. 

TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT AND
WATER ON ROADS WILL QUICKLY FREEZE...CREATING VERY SLICK
CONDITIONS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL BE IN THE TEENS BELOW ZERO.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ024-030-033>036-041-042-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.080130T0100Z-080130T2200Z/
ALPENA-ALCONA-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE...LAKE CITY...
HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH
351 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM
THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW LATE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY RANGE
BETWEEN 1 TO 3 INCHES...WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL CREATE
WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

WET ROADWAYS WILL FREEZE QUICKLY LATER TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES
FALL INTO THE TEENS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 10
AND 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$
JK
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 300418
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1118 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT...
PLUMMETING TEMPERATURES 20 TO 30 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
AS THE COLD AIR SPILLS INTO THE REGION...RAIN WILL QUICKLY CHANGE 
OVER TO SNOW OVERNIGHT...THEN PERSIST INTO THE WEDNESDAY. IN 
ADDITION...STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP WITH GUSTS
AS HIGH AS 45 MPH...AND RESULT IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING SNOW WITH
SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES FOR MANY AREAS.

MIZ008-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
1118 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS LIKELY
NORTH OF M-28.

NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 50 MPH OVERNIGHT...WHICH WILL
CREATE EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY
DIFFICULT.

FINALLY...TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT
AND WATER ON ROADS WILL QUICKLY FREEZE...CREATING VERY SLICK
CONDITIONS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL BE IN THE TEENS BELOW ZERO.

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR
VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF
YOU MUST...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

$$

MIZ015>023-025>029-031-032-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...
ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC
1118 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

SNOW AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...THEN
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY...WITH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY RANGING FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 40 MPH OVERNIGHT...WHICH WILL
CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES AND TRAVEL WILL BE
DIFFICULT. CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE DURING THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY.

FINALLY...TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT
AND WATER ON ROADS WILL QUICKLY FREEZE...CREATING VERY SLICK
CONDITIONS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL BE IN THE TEENS BELOW ZERO.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ024-030-033>036-041-042-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
ALPENA-ALCONA-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE...LAKE CITY...
HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH
1118 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW OVERNIGHT...THEN CONTINUE INTO 
WEDNESDAY. ALTHOUGH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE BETWEEN 1 TO 3 INCHES...WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH
WILL CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WITH WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

IN ADDITION...WET ROADWAYS WILL FREEZE QUICKLY OVERNIGHT AS
TEMPERATURES PLUMMET INTO THE TEENS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL DROP
TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

ADAM
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 300616
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
116 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...PERIODIC BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE MOVING THROUGH REGION
OVERNIGHT... PLUMMETING TEMPERATURES 20 TO 30 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. AS THE COLD AIR SPILLS INTO THE REGION...RAIN WILL
QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW OVERNIGHT...WITH SNOW PERSISTING INTO
EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL DEVELOP WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH...AND RESULT IN
EXTENSIVE BLOWING SNOW WITH SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES FOR
MANY AREAS.

MIZ033>035-041-301100-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-GLADWIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...
WEST BRANCH...GLADWIN
116 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
REPLACES THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. 

RAIN HAS CHANGED TO SNOW...AND WILL CONTINUE...HEAVY AT
TIMES...INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE BETWEEN 2 TO 5
INCHES...WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT
TIMES...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

IN ADDITION...WET ROADWAYS WILL FREEZE QUICKLY OVERNIGHT AS
TEMPERATURES PLUMMET INTO THE TEENS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL DROP
TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ008-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
116 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY ON WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS
LIKELY NORTH OF M-28.

NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 50 MPH OVERNIGHT...WHICH WILL
CREATE EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY
DIFFICULT.

FINALLY...TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
OVERNIGHT AND WATER ON ROADS WILL QUICKLY FREEZE...CREATING VERY
SLICK CONDITIONS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL BE IN THE TEENS BELOW
ZERO.

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR
VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...
MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST...
HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY
WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

$$

MIZ015>023-025>029-031-032-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...
ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC
116 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...PERSISTING INTO
THE DAY WEDNESDAY...WITH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY RANGING FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 40 MPH OVERNIGHT...WHICH WILL
CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES AND TRAVEL WILL BE
DIFFICULT. CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE DURING THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY.

FINALLY...TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
OVERNIGHT AND WATER ON ROADS WILL QUICKLY FREEZE...CREATING VERY
SLICK CONDITIONS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL BE IN THE TEENS BELOW
ZERO.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ024-030-036-042-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
ALPENA-ALCONA-IOSCO-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE...TAWAS CITY...
STANDISH
116 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW OVERNIGHT...THEN CONTINUE INTO
WEDNESDAY. ALTHOUGH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE BETWEEN 1 TO 3 INCHES...WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH
WILL CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WITH WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

IN ADDITION...WET ROADWAYS WILL FREEZE QUICKLY OVERNIGHT AS
TEMPERATURES PLUMMET INTO THE TEENS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL
DROP TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

LAWRENCE
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 300901
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
401 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WHITEOUT CONDITIONS PERSISTING AT TIMES INTO THE AFTERNOON...

.WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOW IN THE WAKE OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL
COME TO AN END EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT WILL BE REPLACED BY
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL REMAIN VERY
GUSTY OUT OF THE WEST THROUGH THE DAY...WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH
EXPECTED IN MANY SPOTS. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD
BLOWING SNOW...WITH SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO DROP THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON...WITH WIND CHILLS OF 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.


MIZ008-302200-
/O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
401 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID
MORNING BEFORE BEING REPLACED BY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS.
ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL THROUGH THE DAY WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO LOCALLY
5 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS LIKELY NORTH OF M-28.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 45 MPH THROUGH THE
DAY...RESULTING IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES...MAKING
TRAVEL EXTREMELY DIFFICULT.

FINALLY...TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
BY LATE MORNING AND STAY PUT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH WIND
CHILLS WELL INTO THE TEENS BELOW ZERO. 

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR
VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...
MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED
UNLESS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY. IF YOU MUST... HAVE A WINTER
SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE.

$$

MIZ015>023-025>029-031>035-041-302200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-GLADWIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...
ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...
GLADWIN
401 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOW WILL COME TO AN END EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT
WILL BE REPLACED BY PERSISTENT LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS INTO THE
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO
LOCALLY 4 INCHES THROUGH THE DAY.

WESTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY AT 20 TO 30 MPH...GUSTING TO 45
MPH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LEAD TO CONTINUED BLOWING
AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT
TIMES. CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

FINALLY...TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS ABOVE ZERO...WITH WIND CHILLS WELL INTO THE TEENS BELOW
ZERO. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ024-030-036-042-302200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
ALPENA-ALCONA-IOSCO-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE...TAWAS CITY...
STANDISH
401 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL COME TO AN END EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED FOR THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY BE 1 TO 2 INCHES. HOWEVER...WINDS
WILL REMAIN GUSTY FROM THE WEST AT 20 TO 30 MPH...GUSTING TO 45
MPH...THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE-
QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. IN ADDITION...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL
THROUGH THE TEENS AND INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO...WITH
WINDS CHILLS OF 10 TO 15 BELOW ZERO.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

LAWRENCE
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 301633
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1133 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WHITEOUT CONDITIONS PERSISTING AT TIMES INTO THE AFTERNOON...

.WIND GUSTS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH
COMBINED WITH SNOW SHOWERS IN THE LEE OF LAKES SUPERIOR AND
MICHIGAN WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. POOR VISIBILITY IN FALLING
AND BLOWING SNOW...AND SNOW COVERED ROADS...SOME WITH A LAYER OF
ICE UNDERNEATH ARE AMONG THE HAZARDS DRIVERS WILL FACE VENTURING
OUT THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE THIS EVENING.

MIZ008-302200-
/O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
1133 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SNOW SHOWERS OFF LAKE SUPERIOR...COMBINED WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
GUSTING TO 50 MPH...WILL RESULT IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES...MAKING
TRAVEL EXTREMELY DIFFICULT. TEMPERATURES DROPPING THROUGH THE
SINGLE DIGITS COMBINED WITH THE STRONG WINDS WILL PUSH WIND CHILLS
DOWN INTO THE 15 BELOW TO 25 BELOW ZERO RANGE.

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR
VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...
MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED
UNLESS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY. IF YOU MUST... HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

$$

MIZ015>023-025>029-031>035-041-302200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-GLADWIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...
ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...
GLADWIN
1133 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SNOW SHOWERS OFF LAKE MICHIGAN...COMBINED WITH WEST WINDS GUSTING
OVER 40 MPH AT TIMES...WILL LEAD TO CONTINUED BLOWING AND DRIFTING
OF SNOW...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.
CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE TOWARD EVENING. TEMPERATURES
RUNNING IN THE 5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO RANGE WILL PUSH WIND CHILLS
INTO THE 15 BELOW TO 25 BELOW ZERO RANGE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ024-030-036-042-302200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
ALPENA-ALCONA-IOSCO-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE...TAWAS CITY...
STANDISH
1133 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS COMBINED WITH WEST WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH
WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL
REDUCE VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. TEMPERATURES
REMAINING IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO COMBINED WITH THE STRONG
WINDS WILL PUSH WIND CHILL READINGS DOWN INTO THE 10 BELOW TO 20
BELOW ZERO RANGE.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

JPB
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 302114
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
414 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...ONE STORM ENDS...ANOTHER ON THE WAY...

.STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES DUE TO FALLING AND BLOWING
SNOW WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING...BUT TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL STILL
BE HAZARDOUS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN UPPER AND FAR NORTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN AT LEAST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

MEANWHILE...A NEW STORM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE GULF
COAST THURSDAY...THEN LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY
FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SYSTEM MAY STILL
SHIFT...CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN STARTING
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. SNOW TOTALS
MAY BE ENHANCED BY NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OFF LAKE HURON.

MIZ008-311000-
/O.CAN.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SB.Y.0003.080130T2114Z-080131T1000Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
414 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
THURSDAY...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
THURSDAY. THE BLIZZARD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF M-28
TONIGHT...AND COMBINED WITH WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS WILL RESULT IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED BELOW ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. POOR
VISIBILITY COMBINED WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS WILL MAKE TRAVEL 
DIFFICULT. IN ADDITION...TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
COMBINED WITH HE STRONG WINDS WILL PUSH WIND CHILLS DOWN INTO THE
15 BELOW TO 25 BELOW ZERO RANGE.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

MIZ016-017-019-021-022-311000-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SB.Y.0003.080130T2114Z-080131T1000Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...
MANCELONA...GAYLORD
414 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
THURSDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SNOW SHOWERS OFF LAKE MICHIGAN...COMBINED WITH WEST WINDS GUSTING
IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE...WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD TO POOR
VISIBILITIES IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW AT LEAST THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE HALF
MILE AT TIMES. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE AFTER MIDNIGHT
AS WINDS DIMINISH. TEMPERATURES RUNNING FROM 5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO
WILL PUSH WIND CHILLS INTO THE 15 BELOW TO 25 BELOW ZERO RANGE.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

MIZ035-041-311100-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.A.0005.080201T0500Z-080202T0000Z/
OGEMAW-GLADWIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST BRANCH...GLADWIN
414 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

A STORM SYSTEM FORECAST TO LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY FRIDAY IS EXPECTED TO BRING SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN FRIDAY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS
FOR SIX OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW BY FRIDAY EVENING ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ015-018-020-023-025>029-031>034-302215-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
MACKINAC-PRESQUE ISLE-LEELANAU-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-
KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...ROGERS CITY...NORTHPORT...
ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE
414 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

$$

MIZ030-036-042-311100-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.A.0005.080201T0500Z-080202T0000Z/
ALCONA-IOSCO-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISVILLE...TAWAS CITY...STANDISH
414 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...
...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. 

A STORM SYSTEM FORECAST TO LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY FRIDAY IS EXPECTED TO BRING SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN FRIDAY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS
FOR SIX OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW BY FRIDAY EVENING ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ024-302215-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
ALPENA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALPENA
414 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW
AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY. 

$$

JPB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 28, 11:37 PM EST, 5 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 28, 11:37 PM EST, 5 hours 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1137 PM EST MON JAN 28 2008

.AVIATION...LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT AT
PLN/TVC/APN. AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS WILL MOVE
THROUGH NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...ENDING W-E BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z
CIGS WILL BOUNCE AROUND BETWEEN MVFR AND VFR THROUGH THE TIME...BUT
EXPECTED TO LOWER TO PREDOMINATE MVFR LATER OVERNIGHT. ON TUESDAY...
LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL WHILE IFR CIGS
AND REDUCED VSBYS DEVELOP DUE TO ONGOING SNOW MELT.

ADAM

&&

.UPDATE...ISSUED AT 1045 PM.

FIRST ROUND OF WARM ADVECTION DRIVEN PRECIP EXITING  THE EASTERN
THIRD OF THE CWA ATTM. AND DESPITE A VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE/ MIXED
PRECIP CONCERNS TO START...ALL OBSERVATIONS REPORTING RAIN EVEN IN
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. A PERFECT EXAMPLE OF THE MAGNITUDE OF WARM
ADVECTION OVERWHELMING THE DEGREE OF EVAPORATIVE AND DYNAMIC
COOLING. SFC DEWPOINTS AT MOST OBS SITES NOW AROUND OR ABOVE 32F. SO
LOOKS LIKE ANY FREEZING RAIN THREAT HAS BEEN AVERTED. MEANWHILE
UPSTREAM...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING STRONG MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE
PUNCHING INTO SW WISCONSIN WITH PRONOUNCED MID LEVEL DRYING BEHIND.
SECOND AREA OF ASSOCIATED COOLING CLOUD TOPS AND EXPANDING PRECIP
PUSHING OUT OF EASTERN WISCONSIN AND ACROSS THE LAKE.

FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT...MAIN FORECAST ISSUES REVOLVE AROUND
CONTINUING PRECIP CHANCES/P-TYPE...AND FOG POSSIBILITIES. SATELLITE/
RADAR EXTRAPOLATION SUGGESTS UPSTREAM SHORT WAVE AND SECOND ROUND OF
LIGHT PRECIP WILL TRAVERSE SW-NE THROUGH THE CWA BETWEEN NOW AND
ROUGHLY 09Z...PERHAPS HANGING ON THROUGH 12Z IN EASTERN UPPER.
UPSTREAM DRY SLOT FOLLOWS SUITE AND 00Z NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS THEN
SUGGEST SOME DRIZZLE POSSIBILITIES AS SATURATED LOWER LAYERS DROP
WELL BELOW THE -10C LEVEL. WILL CRAFT UPDATED GRIDS/ZONE FORECASTS
ACCORDINGLY. AS FAR AS P-TYPE IS CONCERNED...MOST OBS SITES ACROSS
NRN LOWER MICHIGAN REPORTING DEWPOINTS >32F...AND 00Z NAM FORECAST
SOUNDINGS STILL SUGGEST ALL LIQUID. ONLY EXCEPTION REMAINS IN
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN WHERE MUCH OF THE SOUNDING TEMP PROFILE COOLS
BELOW FREEZING OVERNIGHT AND SUGGESTS A RAIN/SNOW MIX POTENTIAL.

FOG ISSUES...DESPITE THE RAIN AND MELTING SNOWPACK...STRONG WINDS
AND POCKETS OF LINGERING LOW LEVEL DRIER AIR (AS EVIDENCED BY CLR
SKY REPORTS IN SFC OBS) HAVE KEPT FOG IN CHECK. AND BELIEVE THIS
WILL REMAIN THE CASE THROUGH THE NIGHT. FOG POTENTIAL ACTUALLY LOOKS
BETTER ON MONDAY AS WINDS DIMINISH/HIGHER DEWPOINT AIR CONTINUES TO
ADVECT INTO THE REGION AND MELTING PROCEEDS. WITH THIS IN MIND HAVE
ADDED AREAS OF FOG TO THE GOING TUESDAY FORECAST.

ADAM

&&

.DISCUSSION...ISSUED AT 345 PM.

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT)...986MB SURFACE LOW OVER ND LATE THIS AFTERNOON
WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT SLIDES TO A POSITION OFF THE NORTH
SHORE OF LAKE SUPERIOR TUESDAY MORNING.  WARM ADVECTION WITHIN BROAD
SOUTHWEST LOW/MID LEVEL FLOW SPREADING CLOUDS AND SOME LIGHT
PRECIPITATION ACROSS IL/IN/WI...THOUGH STILL NOT MUCH REACHING THE
GROUND ACROSS WI AS PRECIPITATION STRUGGLES THROUGH DRY AIR MASS IN
PLACE OVER THE WESTERN LAKES.  A SECOND AREA OF PRECIPITATION
STRETCHED FROM NE/EASTERN SD/WESTERN MN AHEAD OF A SHORT WAVE TROUGH
COMING OUT OF CO AND FOCUSED ALONG AN AXIS OF MID LEVEL
FRONTOGENESIS.  ALTHOUGH F-GEN FORCING DOES NOT LOOK LIKE IT WILL
IMPACT NORTHERN MI TONIGHT...COMBINATION OF PERSISTENT WARM
ADVECTION AND AN ADDED BOOST FROM AFOREMENTIONED SHORT WAVE WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT SHOULD RESULT IN AN
INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION COVERAGE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.  NEXT ISSUE IS PRECIPITATION TYPE...
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED QUITE NICELY ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON...MID/UPPER 30S ACROSS EASTERN UPPER/NORTHEAST AND NORTH
CENTRAL LOWER...WITH MID/UPPER 40S ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE
AIDED BY DOWNSLOPE WIND COMPONENT.  MODEL VERTICAL TEMPERATURE
PROFILES ARE QUITE DIFFERENT TONIGHT...WITH THE GFS BEING COLDER
THAN THE NAM.  EARLY AFTERNOON AIRCRAFT SOUNDINGS OUT OF PLN/CIU ARE
SIMILAR TO GUIDANCE 6H FORECASTS...BUT SUGGEST THAT SOMETHING IN
BETWEEN IS PROBABLY MORE REFLECTIVE OF REALITY.  THE MAIN CONCERN
WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN UPPER WHERE COLUMN ALOFT SHOULD BE COLD
ENOUGH FOR ALL SNOW...SO PRECIP TYPE WILL BE FOCUSED ON DEPTH OF
SURFACE BASED WARM LAYER.  BOTH NAM/GFS SUGGESTING THAT SURFACE
BASED WARM LAYER WILL BE MINIMAL/NON-EXISTENT AND THAT PRECIP WILL
BE ALL SNOW.  PROBLEM IS THAT SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN BOTH MODELS
ARE RUNNING WELL SHORT OF CURRENT OBSERVATIONS (A GOOD 4-8
DEGREES)...WITH MID/UPPER 40S TEMPERATURES FLOODING UP THROUGH THE
STRAITS AND INTO AT LEAST MACKINAC COUNTY (ERY UP TO 43F AT
20Z...MCD AT 45F). LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING AND WET BULB COOLING WILL
HAVE SOME IMPACT...BUT CURRENT THINKING IS THAT BEST CHANCE FOR SNOW
OR MIXED RAIN/SNOW WILL BE ACROSS NORTHERN AND PERHAPS FAR EASTERN
PORTIONS OF CHIPPEWA COUNTY.  GIVEN SURGE IN SURFACE TEMPERATURES
THIS AFTERNOON APPEARS FREEZING RAIN THREAT ACROSS NORTHEAST LOWER
WILL BE MINIMAL...ONLY REAL CONCERN IS HIGHER TERRAIN ACROSS
INTERIOR NORTHERN LOWER.  EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO TAPER OFF TO
DRIZZLE LATE AS MID LEVEL MOISTURE GETS STRIPPED OUT IN WAKE OF
SHORT WAVE TROUGH.

ONSET OF PRECIPITATION MAY ALSO BRING A PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS DUE
TO THE DRY LOW LEVELS.  GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING.

JPB

REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST (TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)...A VERY BUSY
STRETCH OF WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE
MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS WILL REVOLVE AROUND THE DETAILS OF A
VIGOROUS WEATHER SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY INCLUDING WHETHER OR NOT HEADLINES WILL BE NECESSARY.
THEREAFTER...POPS WILL BE THE MAIN ISSUE AS THE PATTERN REMAINS
RATHER ACTIVE.

TUESDAY...RELATIVE LULL IN THE ACTION AS THE FIRST AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO TRACK ACROSS ONTARIO. DO NOT BE FOOLED THOUGH
AS AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL BE LURKING ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. MODEL SOUNDINGS/CROSS SECTIONS SHOW MOISTURE SHALLOWING
OUT...MAINLY CONFINED TO BELOW 800 MB. THEREFORE...WILL CONTINUE
WITH ONLY A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE FOR MUCH OF THE DAY.
HIGHS OF WELL INTO THE 30S TO AROUND 40 EXPECTED WITH SOUTH
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF BETWEEN 10 AND 20 MPH.

LATE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...STRONG FORCING ALONG WITH ABUNDANT
MOISTURE OUT AHEAD OF THE VIGOROUS COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY
OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM THE WEST LEADING TO RAINFALL ACROSS THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. THE ARCTIC COLD FRONT
THEN PLOWS ACROSS THE REGION IN THE EVENING WITH VERY STRONG COLD
AIR ADVECTION BEHIND IT (850 MB TEMPERATURES PLUMMET FROM AROUND
PLUS 4 C AT 00Z TUE TO BETWEEN -20 AND -25 C AT 12Z) LEADING TO
FALLING TEMPERATURES LIKELY LEADING TO A RAPID FREEZE UP OF AREA
ROADWAYS. MEANWHILE...A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES UP ALONG THE
FRONT WHILE RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING TO BETWEEN 975 AND 980 MB. 925 MB
WINDS OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO HAVE TOO MUCH OF A
PROBLEM MIXING DOWN WHICH WOULD LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD
LIKE CONDITIONS DEVELOPING AT TIMES TUESDAY EVENING AND TUESDAY
NIGHT (AND GALES ACROSS NEARSHORE ZONES). THEREFORE...WILL ISSUE A
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUE EVENING THROUGH WED ACROSS ALL ZONES
EXCEPT GLADWIN AND ARENAC COUNTIES FOR THE COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW VISIBILITIES AND LOW WIND CHILLS. ACCUMULATIONS WED
NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM AN INCH OR TWO SOUTHEAST TO FOUR OR
FIVE INCHES ACROSS EASTERN UPPER WHERE THE BEST WRAP AROUND MOISTURE
IS SHOWN. TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE OVERNIGHT ENDING UP BETWEEN 10
AND 15 DEGREES BY WED MORNING.

WEDNESDAY...850 MB TEMPERATURES BOTTOM OUT BETWEEN -23 AND -28 C.
THE MEAN SURFACE-850 MB FLOW SETTLES IN OUT OF THE WEST LEADING TO
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. MEAN 900-700 MB RH FALLS FROM BETWEEN 70
AND 80 PERCENT IN THE MORNING TO BETWEEN 30 AND 50 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON. MEAN 1000-850 MB WINDS REMAIN ABOUT 30 KNOTS THROUGH THE
DAY SO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE PUSHED ALL THE
WAY TO THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE. ACCUMULATIONS DO NOT LOOK OVERLY
IMPRESSIVE AS COLD THERMAL REGIME WOULD SUPPORT SMALL SNOWFLAKE
PRODUCTION SO A COUPLE OF INCHES EXPECTED IN WESTERLY FLOW FAVORED
AREAS AND AN INCH OR LESS ELSEWHERE. HOWEVER...EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE LEADING TO POTENTIAL FOR
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEARLY STEADY
IN THE TEENS OR FALL INTO THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS AS COLD AIR
ADVECTION CONTINUES. WIND CHILLS VALUES COULD BE AS LOW AS 10 TO 15
DEGREES BELOW ZERO.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...LAKE EFFECT IS EXPECTED TO LINGER AS
850 MB TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO STEADILY RISE BACK INTO THE -10 TO -15
C RANGE. THE FLOW IS SHOWN TO BACK FROM THE WEST INTO THE SOUTHWEST
BY THURSDAY. LOWS WED NIGHT WITHIN A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF
ZERO. HIGHS ON THURSDAY RANGING FROM THE UPPER TEENS TO THE MIDDLE
20S.

FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY...ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES WITH
AN ENERGETIC SOUTHERN JET STREAM SENDING ENERGY NORTHWARD TOWARD
THE GREAT LAKES. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR STORM SYSTEM TO
AFFECT THE REGION ON FRIDAY AND AGAIN SOMETIME EARLY NEXT WEEK. IN
BETWEEN...AN ALBERTA CLIPPER WILL BRING A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW LATE
SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. NO ARCTIC AIR IS IN SIGHT WITH
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
LOWER 30S AND LOWS IN THE TEENS.

SULLIVAN

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR MIZ008-015>036.

LM...GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY FOR LMZ323-341-342-344>346.

LH...GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY FOR LHZ345>349.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 28, 10:57 PM EST, 5 hours 50 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1057 PM EST MON JAN 28 2008

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
291100-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
1057 PM EST MON JAN 28 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON...LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE SUPERIOR...EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT

GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED ON LAKE MICHIGAN AND LAKE HURON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON LAKE MICHIGAN AND LAKE HURON
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

A POWERFUL COLD FRONT WILL PLOW THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY EVENING.
THIS WILL RESULT IN THE RAPID CHANGEOVER FROM RAIN TO SNOW...VERY
STRONG WINDS...AND A DRAMATIC DROP IN TEMPERATURE. THE COMBINATION
OF THE FALLING SNOW AND STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN A PERIOD OF
SIGNIFICANTLY LOWERED VISIBILITIES TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...
WHICH COULD LEAD TO HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AND POOR ROAD CONDITIONS.
PLEASE SEE THE WINTER STORM WATCH FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ADAM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 29, 11:36 AM ESTBlizzard WarningAPX29 hr
Jan 29, 11:36 AM ESTSnow and Blowing Snow AdvisoryAPXAlcona, Alpena, Arenac, Gladwin, Iosco, Missaukee and 2 more29 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2008Every winter storm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.