Blizzard Warning 1, NWS Gaylord, MI

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 292051
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
351 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE...WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. RAIN
WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW DURING THE EVENING...AS STRONG AND
FRIGID NORTHWEST WINDS BLAST ARCTIC AIR INTO THE REGION. THE WINDS
WILL PLOW THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH...
AND RESULT IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING SNOW WITH SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED
VISIBILITIES FOR MANY AREAS.

MIZ008-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.080130T0100Z-080130T2200Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
351 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
5 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

RAIN WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW THIS EVENING...CONTINUING INTO
THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE
FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS LIKELY NORTH OF M-28.

NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 50 MPH OVERNIGHT...WHICH WILL
CREATE EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY
DIFFICULT. 

TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT AND
WATER ON ROADS WILL QUICKLY FREEZE...CREATING VERY SLICK
CONDITIONS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL BE IN THE TEENS BELOW ZERO.  

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF
YOU MUST...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

$$

MIZ015>023-025>029-031-032-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.080130T0100Z-080130T2200Z/
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...
ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC
351 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

RAIN WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
TONIGHT...CONTINUING INTO THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 45 MPH OVERNIGHT...WHICH WILL CREATE
WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED
TO LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES AND TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT.
CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. 

TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT AND
WATER ON ROADS WILL QUICKLY FREEZE...CREATING VERY SLICK
CONDITIONS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL BE IN THE TEENS BELOW ZERO.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ024-030-033>036-041-042-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.080130T0100Z-080130T2200Z/
ALPENA-ALCONA-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE...LAKE CITY...
HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH
351 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM
THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW LATE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY RANGE
BETWEEN 1 TO 3 INCHES...WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL CREATE
WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

WET ROADWAYS WILL FREEZE QUICKLY LATER TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES
FALL INTO THE TEENS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 10
AND 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$
JK

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 300418
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1118 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT...
PLUMMETING TEMPERATURES 20 TO 30 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
AS THE COLD AIR SPILLS INTO THE REGION...RAIN WILL QUICKLY CHANGE 
OVER TO SNOW OVERNIGHT...THEN PERSIST INTO THE WEDNESDAY. IN 
ADDITION...STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP WITH GUSTS
AS HIGH AS 45 MPH...AND RESULT IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING SNOW WITH
SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES FOR MANY AREAS.

MIZ008-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
1118 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS LIKELY
NORTH OF M-28.

NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 50 MPH OVERNIGHT...WHICH WILL
CREATE EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY
DIFFICULT.

FINALLY...TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT
AND WATER ON ROADS WILL QUICKLY FREEZE...CREATING VERY SLICK
CONDITIONS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL BE IN THE TEENS BELOW ZERO.

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR
VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF
YOU MUST...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

$$

MIZ015>023-025>029-031-032-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...
ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC
1118 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

SNOW AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...THEN
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY...WITH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY RANGING FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 40 MPH OVERNIGHT...WHICH WILL
CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES AND TRAVEL WILL BE
DIFFICULT. CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE DURING THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY.

FINALLY...TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT
AND WATER ON ROADS WILL QUICKLY FREEZE...CREATING VERY SLICK
CONDITIONS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL BE IN THE TEENS BELOW ZERO.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ024-030-033>036-041-042-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
ALPENA-ALCONA-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE...LAKE CITY...
HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH
1118 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW OVERNIGHT...THEN CONTINUE INTO 
WEDNESDAY. ALTHOUGH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE BETWEEN 1 TO 3 INCHES...WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH
WILL CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WITH WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

IN ADDITION...WET ROADWAYS WILL FREEZE QUICKLY OVERNIGHT AS
TEMPERATURES PLUMMET INTO THE TEENS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL DROP
TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

ADAM

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 300616
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
116 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...PERIODIC BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE MOVING THROUGH REGION
OVERNIGHT... PLUMMETING TEMPERATURES 20 TO 30 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. AS THE COLD AIR SPILLS INTO THE REGION...RAIN WILL
QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW OVERNIGHT...WITH SNOW PERSISTING INTO
EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL DEVELOP WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH...AND RESULT IN
EXTENSIVE BLOWING SNOW WITH SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES FOR
MANY AREAS.

MIZ033>035-041-301100-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-GLADWIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...
WEST BRANCH...GLADWIN
116 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
REPLACES THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. 

RAIN HAS CHANGED TO SNOW...AND WILL CONTINUE...HEAVY AT
TIMES...INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE BETWEEN 2 TO 5
INCHES...WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT
TIMES...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

IN ADDITION...WET ROADWAYS WILL FREEZE QUICKLY OVERNIGHT AS
TEMPERATURES PLUMMET INTO THE TEENS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL DROP
TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ008-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
116 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY ON WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS
LIKELY NORTH OF M-28.

NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 50 MPH OVERNIGHT...WHICH WILL
CREATE EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY
DIFFICULT.

FINALLY...TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
OVERNIGHT AND WATER ON ROADS WILL QUICKLY FREEZE...CREATING VERY
SLICK CONDITIONS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL BE IN THE TEENS BELOW
ZERO.

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR
VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...
MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST...
HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY
WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

$$

MIZ015>023-025>029-031-032-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...
ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC
116 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...PERSISTING INTO
THE DAY WEDNESDAY...WITH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY RANGING FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 40 MPH OVERNIGHT...WHICH WILL
CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES AND TRAVEL WILL BE
DIFFICULT. CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE DURING THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY.

FINALLY...TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
OVERNIGHT AND WATER ON ROADS WILL QUICKLY FREEZE...CREATING VERY
SLICK CONDITIONS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL BE IN THE TEENS BELOW
ZERO.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ024-030-036-042-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
ALPENA-ALCONA-IOSCO-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE...TAWAS CITY...
STANDISH
116 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW OVERNIGHT...THEN CONTINUE INTO
WEDNESDAY. ALTHOUGH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE BETWEEN 1 TO 3 INCHES...WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH
WILL CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WITH WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

IN ADDITION...WET ROADWAYS WILL FREEZE QUICKLY OVERNIGHT AS
TEMPERATURES PLUMMET INTO THE TEENS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL
DROP TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

LAWRENCE

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 300901
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
401 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WHITEOUT CONDITIONS PERSISTING AT TIMES INTO THE AFTERNOON...

.WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOW IN THE WAKE OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL
COME TO AN END EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT WILL BE REPLACED BY
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL REMAIN VERY
GUSTY OUT OF THE WEST THROUGH THE DAY...WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH
EXPECTED IN MANY SPOTS. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD
BLOWING SNOW...WITH SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO DROP THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON...WITH WIND CHILLS OF 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.


MIZ008-302200-
/O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
401 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID
MORNING BEFORE BEING REPLACED BY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS.
ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL THROUGH THE DAY WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO LOCALLY
5 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS LIKELY NORTH OF M-28.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 45 MPH THROUGH THE
DAY...RESULTING IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES...MAKING
TRAVEL EXTREMELY DIFFICULT.

FINALLY...TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
BY LATE MORNING AND STAY PUT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH WIND
CHILLS WELL INTO THE TEENS BELOW ZERO. 

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR
VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...
MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED
UNLESS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY. IF YOU MUST... HAVE A WINTER
SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE.

$$

MIZ015>023-025>029-031>035-041-302200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-GLADWIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...
ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...
GLADWIN
401 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOW WILL COME TO AN END EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT
WILL BE REPLACED BY PERSISTENT LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS INTO THE
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO
LOCALLY 4 INCHES THROUGH THE DAY.

WESTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY AT 20 TO 30 MPH...GUSTING TO 45
MPH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LEAD TO CONTINUED BLOWING
AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT
TIMES. CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

FINALLY...TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS ABOVE ZERO...WITH WIND CHILLS WELL INTO THE TEENS BELOW
ZERO. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ024-030-036-042-302200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
ALPENA-ALCONA-IOSCO-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE...TAWAS CITY...
STANDISH
401 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL COME TO AN END EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED FOR THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY BE 1 TO 2 INCHES. HOWEVER...WINDS
WILL REMAIN GUSTY FROM THE WEST AT 20 TO 30 MPH...GUSTING TO 45
MPH...THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE-
QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. IN ADDITION...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL
THROUGH THE TEENS AND INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO...WITH
WINDS CHILLS OF 10 TO 15 BELOW ZERO.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

LAWRENCE

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 301633
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1133 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WHITEOUT CONDITIONS PERSISTING AT TIMES INTO THE AFTERNOON...

.WIND GUSTS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH
COMBINED WITH SNOW SHOWERS IN THE LEE OF LAKES SUPERIOR AND
MICHIGAN WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. POOR VISIBILITY IN FALLING
AND BLOWING SNOW...AND SNOW COVERED ROADS...SOME WITH A LAYER OF
ICE UNDERNEATH ARE AMONG THE HAZARDS DRIVERS WILL FACE VENTURING
OUT THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE THIS EVENING.

MIZ008-302200-
/O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
1133 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SNOW SHOWERS OFF LAKE SUPERIOR...COMBINED WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
GUSTING TO 50 MPH...WILL RESULT IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES...MAKING
TRAVEL EXTREMELY DIFFICULT. TEMPERATURES DROPPING THROUGH THE
SINGLE DIGITS COMBINED WITH THE STRONG WINDS WILL PUSH WIND CHILLS
DOWN INTO THE 15 BELOW TO 25 BELOW ZERO RANGE.

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR
VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...
MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED
UNLESS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY. IF YOU MUST... HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

$$

MIZ015>023-025>029-031>035-041-302200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-GLADWIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...
ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...
GLADWIN
1133 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SNOW SHOWERS OFF LAKE MICHIGAN...COMBINED WITH WEST WINDS GUSTING
OVER 40 MPH AT TIMES...WILL LEAD TO CONTINUED BLOWING AND DRIFTING
OF SNOW...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.
CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE TOWARD EVENING. TEMPERATURES
RUNNING IN THE 5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO RANGE WILL PUSH WIND CHILLS
INTO THE 15 BELOW TO 25 BELOW ZERO RANGE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ024-030-036-042-302200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
ALPENA-ALCONA-IOSCO-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE...TAWAS CITY...
STANDISH
1133 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS COMBINED WITH WEST WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH
WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL
REDUCE VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. TEMPERATURES
REMAINING IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO COMBINED WITH THE STRONG
WINDS WILL PUSH WIND CHILL READINGS DOWN INTO THE 10 BELOW TO 20
BELOW ZERO RANGE.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

JPB

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 302114
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
414 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...ONE STORM ENDS...ANOTHER ON THE WAY...

.STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES DUE TO FALLING AND BLOWING
SNOW WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING...BUT TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL STILL
BE HAZARDOUS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN UPPER AND FAR NORTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN AT LEAST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

MEANWHILE...A NEW STORM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE GULF
COAST THURSDAY...THEN LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY
FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SYSTEM MAY STILL
SHIFT...CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN STARTING
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. SNOW TOTALS
MAY BE ENHANCED BY NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OFF LAKE HURON.

MIZ008-311000-
/O.CAN.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SB.Y.0003.080130T2114Z-080131T1000Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
414 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
THURSDAY...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
THURSDAY. THE BLIZZARD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF M-28
TONIGHT...AND COMBINED WITH WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS WILL RESULT IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED BELOW ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. POOR
VISIBILITY COMBINED WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS WILL MAKE TRAVEL 
DIFFICULT. IN ADDITION...TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
COMBINED WITH HE STRONG WINDS WILL PUSH WIND CHILLS DOWN INTO THE
15 BELOW TO 25 BELOW ZERO RANGE.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

MIZ016-017-019-021-022-311000-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SB.Y.0003.080130T2114Z-080131T1000Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...
MANCELONA...GAYLORD
414 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
THURSDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SNOW SHOWERS OFF LAKE MICHIGAN...COMBINED WITH WEST WINDS GUSTING
IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE...WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD TO POOR
VISIBILITIES IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW AT LEAST THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE HALF
MILE AT TIMES. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE AFTER MIDNIGHT
AS WINDS DIMINISH. TEMPERATURES RUNNING FROM 5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO
WILL PUSH WIND CHILLS INTO THE 15 BELOW TO 25 BELOW ZERO RANGE.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

MIZ035-041-311100-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.A.0005.080201T0500Z-080202T0000Z/
OGEMAW-GLADWIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST BRANCH...GLADWIN
414 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

A STORM SYSTEM FORECAST TO LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY FRIDAY IS EXPECTED TO BRING SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN FRIDAY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS
FOR SIX OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW BY FRIDAY EVENING ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ015-018-020-023-025>029-031>034-302215-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
MACKINAC-PRESQUE ISLE-LEELANAU-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-
KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...ROGERS CITY...NORTHPORT...
ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE
414 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

$$

MIZ030-036-042-311100-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.A.0005.080201T0500Z-080202T0000Z/
ALCONA-IOSCO-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISVILLE...TAWAS CITY...STANDISH
414 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...
...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. 

A STORM SYSTEM FORECAST TO LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY FRIDAY IS EXPECTED TO BRING SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN FRIDAY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS
FOR SIX OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW BY FRIDAY EVENING ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ024-302215-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080130T2200Z/
ALPENA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALPENA
414 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW
AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY. 

$$

JPB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1117 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

.UPDATE...COLD FRONT NEARING GREEN BAY LATE THIS MORNING...RACING
TOWARD LAKE MICHIGAN. DEEPER MOISTURE HAS LEFT NORTHERN MICHIGAN
BEHIND FIRST SHORTWAVE BUT PLENTY OF H10-H8 MOISTURE NOW COVERING
THE AREA WITH DEWPOINTS INCHING UPWARD THROUGH THE MID 30S. HAVE
NOT SEEN ANY OBS REPORTING DRIZZLE BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
DURING THE AFTERNOON TO SEE SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE DEVELOP ALONG WITH
FOG AS HIGHER DEWPOINT AIR BEGINS TO POOL IN ADVANCE OF ARCTIC
BOUNDARY. AS UPPER TROF BECOMES EVEN MORE NEGATIVELY TILTED THIS
AFTERNOON...IT WILL ALLOW SECONDARY SFC LOW OVER NW ILLINOIS TO
STRENGTHEN AND SLIDE UP ALONG THE FRONT. THIS WILL SLOW THE FRONT
DOWN DRAMATICALLY...AND MOST OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN WILL HAVE TO
WAIT UNTIL IT PASSES LATER THIS EVENING FOR THE COLDER AIR TO WRAP
INTO THE AREA.

PRECIPITATION SHOULD BLOSSOM ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA FROM SW-NE BETWEEN
20Z-24Z AS NEXT SLUG OF DEEPER MOISTURE SURGES INTO THE AREA ON
STRENGTHENING H8 LLJ IN BROAD UPPER DIVERGENT FLOW AHEAD OF FRONT.
CURRENT GRIDS HAVE THIS HANDLED WELL AND WILL MAKE ONLY MINOR
COSMETIC CHANGES.

I DID MAKE SOME HEADLINE DECISIONS FOR TONIGHT. 12Z MODELS HAVE
CONTINUED TREND OF BEING SLOWER WITH ARCTIC FRONT...RESULTING
LARGELY FROM NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER TROF AND SLIGHTLY STRONGER
SECONDARY WAVE. THE NET RESULT WILL BE FROPA BETWEEN 01-03Z WEST
OF I-75...WITH 03Z-06Z FROPA EAST OF I-75. UPSTREAM...IT LOOKS
LIKE THE STRONGEST WINDS LAG THE ARCTIC BOUNDARY BY A FEW
HOURS...SO WORST CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE AREA WILL OCCUR FROM
LATE EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. WITH SURFACE LOW TRACKING
OVER TVC /SLIGHTLY WEST OF 06Z RUN - HAVE WE SEEN THIS TREND THIS
YEAR/...DEEPEST MOISTURE AND SYNOPTIC FORCING FOR HEAVIER SNOW
WILL BE ALONG AND WEST OF US-131 INTO EASTERN UPPER. I WILL MAKE A
FEW ADJUSTMENTS TO SNOWFALL GRIDS...BUT GENERALLY HAVE 3-6 INCHES
WEST OF US-131 WITH A GRADUAL TAPERING OFF TO THE EAST. EVEN
WITHOUT LARGE SNOW AMOUNTS...IMPACT WILL BE LARGE WITH THIS SYSTEM
AS SNOW AND WIND WILL COMBINE FOR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.
AFTER COORDINATION WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES...WILL ISSUE
SNOW/BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FOR COUNTIES UNDER THE WATCH /ALSO
INCLUDING GLADWIN-ARENAC/ STARTING MID EVENING. I WILL LEAVE MOST
OF CURRENT WARNING AS IS...WITH THE EXCEPTION BEING CHIPPEWA
COUNTY WHICH WILL UPGRADE TO A BLIZZARD WARNING GIVEN HEAVIER SNOW
NORTH OF M-123 AND STRONGER DYNAMICS CLOSER TO SURFACE LOW /H10-H8
WINDS OF 50 KTS/ AROUND WFP AT 09Z.

UPDATED ZONES/WSW OUT SHORTLY.

JK

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 647 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2008/

AVIATION...DRY AIR HAS ADVANCED INTO THE AREA AND HAS ALLOWED
SKIES TO CLEAR FOR A BRIEF PERIOD EARLY THIS MORNING. STRONG
MOISTURE ADVECTION IN THE LOW LEVELS OCCURRING UPSTREAM WILL
QUICKLY BRING BACK MVFR CIGS BETWEEN 13-15Z. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT
WILL WORK INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...MOISTURE
WILL DEEPEN AND RAIN WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN 18-22Z WHILE WINDS RELAX
AND WARM/MOIST AIR OVER SNOWPACK ALLOWS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE
FOG. THE EXTENT OF WHICH...AND VSBY IMPACT REMAINS A BIT UNCERTAIN
ATTM. WILL GO WITH A RANGE OF IFR-MVFR VSBYS...BUT LIFR CIGS/VSBYS
FOR A SHORT PERIOD LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING IS NOT OUT
OF THE QUESTION. THE ARCTIC FRONT ARRIVES IN TVC/PLN AROUND 03-04Z
AND APN AROUND 06Z. WINDS SHIFT ABRUPTLY TO THE NORTHWEST AND WILL
GUST BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH. RAIN CHANGES TO SNOW...AND VSBYS DROP
DUE TO SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH WILL HAVE MUCH MORE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT AT TVC AND PLN THAN APN. SMD

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 517 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2008/

DISCUSSION...SFC/RUC/SATELLITE/RADAR AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWING
UPPER TROUGH AXIS SLIDING ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND BEGINNING TO
UNDERGO A NEGATIVE TILT. SFC LOW PRESSURE DEEPENING ACROSS NW LAKE
SUPERIOR AHEAD OF ONE SHORTWAVE...WHILE A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE
WAS AT THE NE/KS BORDER AHEAD OF MAIN SHORTWAVE AT THE BASE OF THE
LONGWAVE TROUGH. FURTHER WEST...NEW SHORTWAVE ENERGY WAS WORKING
IN ON THE PAC NW. OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE
CONTINUE TO IMPACT NRN MICHIGAN ATTM...WITH HELPED FROM NRN
SHORTWAVE. MVFR CIGS SEEN BACK INTO SRN WI WITH SOME CLEARING
ACROSS IOWA AND NRN IL/INDY. HOWEVER...STRONG LOW LEVEL SW FLOW
HAS BEEN LIFTING/DEVELOPING THIS CLOUD NORTH AND EAST. ANOTHER
AREA OF LOW CLOUD EXPANDING FROM MN...AND CONVERGING ON WESTERN WI
AND IA. TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S AND MANY
ROADS ARE WET...WITH SECONDARY ROADS ICY.

MORE INTERESTINGLY...ACROSS THE DAKOTAS WHERE SNOWFALL WAS NEARLY
ABSENT...STRONG NW WINDS/COLD ADVECTION BEHIND A POWERFUL COLD FRONT
DRAPED ACROSS MN/NE...ARE UNDERDONE BY CURRENT 6HR MODEL FORECASTS.
EVEN JUST WIND AND SNOW ON THE GROUND ARE CAUSING MANY 1/4SM TO
1/2SM VSBYS.

FORECAST CONCERNS...TOTALLY AROUND THE IMPACT FROM POWERFUL COLD
FRONT ARRIVING TONIGHT...WITH RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
AND STRONG AND VERY GUSTY WINDS...WITH WHAT LOOKS TO BE LIKE
BLINDING VISIBILITIES FOR A PERIOD OF TIME FOR MOST AREAS. THE
DETAILS NEEDED TO BE CLEARED UP...ARE HOW LONG WILL THESE CONDITIONS
LAST AND HOW FAR INLAND. THIS WILL OF COURSE TELL US WHOM WILL BE
IMPACTED WITH WHAT WILL BE A PERIOD OF HORRIBLE WEATHER.

TODAY...INITIAL STRONG H8 LLJ OF 60KTS AND WARM ADVECTION IS
SHIFTING EAST WHILE INITIAL SHORTWAVE WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN
OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN ACROSS EASTERN UPPER AND FAR NRN LOWER THROUGH
08-09Z. MID LEVEL MOISTURE STRIPS OUT...LOW LEVEL LOW CLOUDS
CONTINUE TO CONVERGE IN ON THE CLEARING IN SW WISCONSIN/NE IOWA.
THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN CLOUDY SKIES WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE THAT
MAY HAVE A BIT OF PATCHY DRIZZLE TO OFFER AT TIMES. EVEN THOUGH THE
COLD FRONT IS HAULING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS ATTM...THE
CONTINUING NEGATIVE TILT TO THE UPPER TROUGH WILL ALLOW FOR A
DEEPENING OF THE SECONDARY SFC LOW PRESSURE...THAT RACES UP INTO NRN
LOWER THIS EVENING. THIS WILL SLOW DOWN THE COLD FRONT. A SECONDARY
SURGE OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL SURGE IN AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED
SHORTWAVE...ALLOWING FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL RAIN SHOWERS
BY LATE AFTERNOON. THIS PRECIPITATION...WILL EXPAND FROM SW TO NE IN
BROAD UPPER DIVERGENT FIELD...WITH POSSIBLY A BIT HEAVIER PRECIP
ALONG AND LEFT OF NEXT RUSH OF STRONG H8 LLJ FLOW. THIS H8 LLJ IS
NOT AGREED UPON VERY WELL BETWEEN THE MODELS...BUT IN FACT IS JUST
NOT MUCH OF A FACTOR IN THE OVERALL SCHEME OF THINGS. A PERIOD OF
FOG IS ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT...MORE SO ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN...AS
DEW POINTS WILL POOL TO THE MID TO UPPER 30S AHEAD OF THE ARCTIC
BLAST SET FOR TONIGHT.

TONIGHT...THIS IS WHEN THINGS GO DOWNHILL. THE NEGATIVE TILT TO THE
UPPER TROUGH HAS SLOWED THE ARRIVAL OF THE ARCTIC BLAST. LATEST
ANALYSIS SHOWS THIS FRONT TO MAKE IT INTO THE MANISTEE AND FRANKFORT
AREAS AROUND 00Z...THEN ACROSS THE SAULT/ROGERS CITY AROUND 07Z.
RAIN DEVELOPING WITH THE ARRIVAL OF SECONDARY SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL
QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. RAPID COOLING
ACROSS THE LAKES WILL OCCUR WITH H8 TEMPS FALLING FROM 0C (WHITEFISH
POINT) AND 6C (SAGINAW BAY)...TO -19C TO -24C BY 12Z WEDNESDAY.
TRACK OF THE SFC LOW GOES RIGHT THROUGH NRN LOWER...AND AXIS OF
DEEPEST MOISTURE AND STRONG SYNOPTIC FORCING EXTEND UP THE LAKE
MICHIGAN AXIS THROUGH WESTERN CHIP/MACKINAC COUNTIES. THE
COMBINATION OF 2-4 INCHES OF SYNOPTIC SNOWS WITH LAKE ENHANCEMENT
WILL LEAD TO AS MUCH AS 4-7 INCHES ACROSS NORTHWEST LOWER AND
WESTERN CHIP/MACK COUNTIES...WHILE LESSER AMOUNTS FALL TOWARD THE
LAKE HURON COAST. AS THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW OCCURS...STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SFC AND WITH HELP OF A STRONG
PRESSURE RISE/FALL COUPLET...WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 45 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL LEAD TO A PERIOD OF BLIZZARD...OR NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS WITH EXTENSIVE BLOWING SNOW AND SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED
VISIBILITIES. ALREADY ICY ROADS WILL BECOME EVEN MORE ICY AS
TEMPERATURES DROP NEARLY 30 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. HAVE
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SEVERAL COUNTIES...WITH AN
EMPHASIS ON THE WNW FLOW REGIMES...AS LAKE EFFECT THROWS SNOW ALL
THE WAY OVER INTO THE ALPENA AREA OVERNIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW DUE TO
THE STRONG WINDS. LEFT THE WATCH FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION AS
EXTENT OF THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW STILL NEEDS SOME ASSESSMENT. AT
THE VERY LEAST...CAN SEE WIND ADVISORIES BEING NEEDED FOR THE GUSTS
TONIGHT. SHOULD BE AT LEAST A PERIOD OF FALLING SNOW IN COMBINATION
WITH THESE WINDS HOWEVER. DAY CREW CAN ASSESS THIS FURTHER.

WEDNESDAY...DEEP SYNOPTIC MOISTURE LIFTS NORTH OF THE REGION THROUGH
THE DAY WEDNESDAY. H9-H7 MOISTURE REMAINS GREATER THAN 80% IN THE
MORNING...BEFORE DRYING TO 30-50% BY LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS REMAIN
GUSTY THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY...AND ANY AMOUNT OF SNOW...AND FALLEN
SNOW...WILL BE ABLE TO BE BLOWN AROUND. THEREFORE...THE WINTER STORM
WARNING CONTINUES THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
LESS...BUT UP TO 3 INCHES NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION FOR WESTERLY FLOW
REGIMES. WIND CHILLS WILL HAVE FALLEN TO 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO
WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TEENS.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...STILL HANGING ONTO SUFFICIENT H9-H7 MOISTURE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT FOR WEST FLOW TO PUT DOWN ANOTHER INCH OR
SO AROUND WHITEFISH POINT. MOST AREAS WILL SEE PLENTY OF DRY AIR FOR
A DECREASE IN SNOW INTENSITY AND CERTAINLY ACCUMULATIONS. WOULD TEND
TO THINK THAT THE CONTINUED WEST FLOW WILL STILL BE ABLE TO CREATE
NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY WITH THE ADDITION OF INCREASED
MID AND UPPER MOISTURE MOVING IN OVERNIGHT. WIND SPEEDS ARE AN ISSUE
HOWEVER...(AS THEY WILL ONLY BE AROUND 10KTS AS THIS OCCURS). KEPT
THIS FORECAST BASICALLY UNCHANGED DUE TO THE FOCUS ON THE WEATHER
FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.  SMD

LATER PERIODS (THU NIGHT THRU SAT)...FEW CHANGES MADE TO GOING FCST.
MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST AN OVERALL
DEAMPLIFICATION OF THE UPPER PATTERN TOWARD MORE ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT...BUT WITH VARIOUS WAVES EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW PROVIDING
OCCASIONAL SHOTS FOR PRECIP. INITIALLY...APPEARS ANY LINGERING LIGHT
LAKE EFFECT WILL GET THE BOOT THU NIGHT WITH LOSS OF ANY APPRECIABLE
LAKE INSTABILITY (H85 TEMPS REBOUND TOWARD -10C). HOWEVER...RESPITE
SHORT-LIVED...WITH FOCUS SHIFTING TO ENERGY PROGGED TO TAKE A PATH
FROM THE FOUR CORNERS INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BEFORE LIFTING TOWARD
THE OHIO VALLEY ON FRIDAY. MODELS IN RATHER GOOD AGREEMENT REGARDING
TRACK OF ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW INTO OHIO...WITH WARM CONVEYOR/
DEFORMATION PRECIP COMING INTO PLAY ACROSS AT LEAST A PORTION OF THE
CWA LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THEREAFTER...SMALL CHANCES FOR
ADDITIONAL SNOW APPEAR WARRANTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A VARIETY OF
WEAK NORTHERN STREAM WAVES PROGRESS THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES.

LAWRENCE

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM
     EST WEDNESDAY FOR MIZ024-030-033>036-041-042.

     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR MIZ015>023-025>029-031-032.

     BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY
     FOR MIZ008.

LM...GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     LMZ323-341-342-344>346.

LH...GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     LHZ345-346-349.

     GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     LHZ347-348.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1113 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
301200-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
1113 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON...LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE SUPERIOR...EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A POWERFUL ARCTIC FRONT WILL BLAST THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT.
RAIN AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW...RESULTING
IN SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW...AND POOR VISIBILITY DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND EXTENSIVE BLOWING SNOW. A PERIOD OF BLIZZARD OR
NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FOR MANY AREAS OF NORTHERN
MICHIGAN. ROAD CONDITIONS WILL WORSEN TONIGHT AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL
IS CERTAIN.

IN ADDITION...WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO 10 TO 20 BELOW LATE TONIGHT.
PLEASE SEE ONGOING WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP ON LAKE MICHIGAN
AND LAKE HURON TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ACCUMULATING SNOW...STRONG WINDS...POOR VISIBILITY AND COLD WIND
CHILLS WILL PERSIST IN PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN WEDNESDAY.

GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE ON LAKE MICHIGAN AND LAKE
HURON WEDNESDAY...AND ON PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON WEDNESDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS...PLEASE RELAY ANY SNOWFALL...STRONG WIND AND POOR
VISIBILITY REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

MPC