Alert archive / Michigan / River Flood Warnings in 2008

River Flood Warning 4, NWS Gaylord, MI

June 13, 2008Wexford County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this river flood warning at Jun 13, 2008, 11:31 AM EDT for Wexford County, Michigan. It took effect at Jun 13, 2008, 1:27 PM EDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 13, 2008, 11:31 AM EDT (15:31 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 13, 2008, 1:27 PM EDT
Expired
Jun 17, 2008, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Flood severity
Minor

County Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Manistee River near Sherman (SHRM4).

Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
16 ft
Major stage
17 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04124000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KAPX 131531
FLWAPX


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1131 AM EDT FRI JUN 13 2008

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MICHIGAN...

  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.THREE TO SIX INCHES OF RAIN FELL LAST NIGHT OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION
OF THE MANISTEE RIVER SYSTEM. RUNOFF FROM THIS RAIN IS EXPECTED TO
PUSH THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE MICHIGAN
DNR REPORTS THAT AN ACCESS POINT TO THE RIVER AT BAXTER BRIDGE...
ROUGHLY TEN MILES UPSTREAM OF SHERMAN...HAS FLOODED.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREAS SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT PROPERTY 
FROM RISING WATER LEVELS. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...MOVE QUICKLY TO 
HIGHER GROUND.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION THIS EVENING...OR AS NEW 
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.


MIC165-140331-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FL.W.0004.080614T0925Z-080615T1930Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.080614T0925Z.080614T1800Z.080615T0730Z.UU/
1131 AM EDT FRI JUN 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 15.4 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...LEFT BANK OF RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW.  
  FLOODING OF PROPERTY ALONG RIGHT BANK OF THE RIVER UPSTREAM OF THE 
  M-37 BRIDGE BEGINS.

&&

                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SAT     SUN     MON

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   13.0  THU 08 PM      14.6    15.1    13.8


$$
13 follow-up statements
733 
WGUS83 KAPX 131730
FLSAPX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
130 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MICHIGAN...

  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN IS RISING MORE RAPIDLY THAN EARLIER
FORECAST. THE FORECAST HAS BEEN UPDATED FOR A FASTER AND HIGHER
CREST...OCCURRING LATE TODAY.

THIS FLOODING IS OCCURRING DUE TO THE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN THAT FELL
ON THE CENTRAL MANISTEE RIVER BASIN LAST NIGHT.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION THIS EVENING...OR AS NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.


MIC165-140530-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0004.080613T1727Z-080615T0600Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.080613T1235Z.080613T1800Z.080614T1800Z.UU/
130 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.9 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EARLY
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...LEFT BANK OF RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW.
  FLOODING OF PROPERTY ALONG RIGHT BANK OF THE RIVER UPSTREAM OF THE
  M-37 BRIDGE BEGINS.

&&

                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SAT     SUN     MON

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   15.5  FRI 12 PM      15.4    14.5    13.8

$$

JZ
312 
WGUS83 KAPX 140132
FLSAPX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
932 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MICHIGAN...

  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.THE MANISTEE RIVER AT SHERMAN IS NEARING CREST AND SHOULD BEGIN TO FALL OVERNIGHT.  IT IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.

THE RIVER IS RESPONDING TO 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN WHICH FELL ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

MIC165-141332-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080615T0000Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.080613T1235Z.080613T2345Z.080614T1200Z.UU/
932 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...LEFT BANK OF RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW.
  FLOODING OF PROPERTY ALONG RIGHT BANK OF THE RIVER UPSTREAM OF THE
  M-37 BRIDGE BEGINS.



&&


                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SAT     SUN     MON

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   15.9  FRI 08 PM      14.6    13.8    13.3



$$
422 
WGUS83 KAPX 140135 CCA
FLSAPX


FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
932 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MICHIGAN...

  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.THE MANISTEE RIVER AT SHERMAN IS NEARING CREST AND SHOULD
BEGIN TO FALL OVERNIGHT.  IT IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD
STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.

THE RIVER IS RESPONDING TO 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN WHICH FELL ACROSS
THE AREA OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

MIC165-141332-
/O.COR.KAPX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080615T0000Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.080613T1235Z.080613T2345Z.080614T1200Z.UU/
932 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...LEFT BANK OF RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW.
  FLOODING OF PROPERTY ALONG RIGHT BANK OF THE RIVER UPSTREAM OF THE
  M-37 BRIDGE BEGINS.

&&

                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SAT     SUN     MON

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   15.9  FRI 08 PM      14.6    13.8    13.3



$$
726 
WGUS83 KAPX 140923
FLSAPX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
523 AM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MICHIGAN...

  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.THREE TO SIX INCHES OF RAIN FELL THURSDAY NIGHT OVER THE CENTRAL
PORTION OF THE MANISTEE RIVER SYSTEM. RUNOFF FROM THIS RAIN HAS
PUSHED THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE
MICHIGAN DNR REPORTS THAT AN ACCESS POINT TO THE RIVER AT BAXTER
BRIDGE...ROUGHLY TEN MILES UPSTREAM OF SHERMAN...HAS FLOODED.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREAS SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT PROPERTY
FROM RISING WATER LEVELS. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...MOVE QUICKLY TO
HIGHER GROUND.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION...EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AS NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.


MIC165-142123-
/O.CON.KAPX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080615T0000Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.080613T1235Z.080614T0145Z.080614T1200Z.UU/
523 AM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST...AND WILL BEGIN TO FALL TODAY.
  THE RIVER LEVEL WILL GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...LEFT BANK OF RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW.
  FLOODING OF PROPERTY ALONG RIGHT BANK OF THE RIVER UPSTREAM OF THE
  M-37 BRIDGE BEGINS.



&&


                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SUN     MON     TUE

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   16.0  FRI 10 PM      14.6    13.8    13.3



$$
890 
WGUS83 KAPX 141403
FLSAPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1003 AM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MICHIGAN...

  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.RUNOFF FROM EXCESSIVE RAIN THURSDAY NIGHT CONTINUES TO PUSH THE
MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN OVER FLOOD STAGE. AT 5 AM...THE MICHIGAN
DNR REPORTED THAT AN UPSTREAM ACCESS POINT TO THE RIVER AT BAXTER
BRIDGE...ABOUT 10 MILES UPSTREAM OF SHERMAN....HAD FLOODED.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT AS WATERS CONTINUE
TO SLOWLY RISE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. IF FLOODING APPROACHES YOUR
LOCATION...MOVE QUICKLY TO HIGHER GROUND.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.


MIC165-150203-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080615T1800Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.080613T1235Z.080614T1351Z.080615T0600Z.UU/
1003 AM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:50 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL SLOWLY FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  EARLY SUNDY AFTERNOON.

&&


                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SUN     MON     TUE

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   16.4  SAT 10 AM      15.0    13.8    13.1

$$
871 
WGUS83 KAPX 150118
FLSAPX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
918 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MICHIGAN...

  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.RUNOFF FROM EXCESSIVE RAIN THURSDAY NIGHT CONTINUES TO PUSH THE
MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN OVER FLOOD STAGE. AT 5 AM...THE MICHIGAN
DNR REPORTED THAT AN UPSTREAM ACCESS POINT TO THE RIVER AT BAXTER
BRIDGE...ABOUT 10 MILES UPSTREAM OF SHERMAN....HAD FLOODED.

SAFETY MESSAGE...PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT AS WATERS  CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RISE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. IF FLOODING APPROACHES YOUR
LOCATION...MOVE QUICKLY TO HIGHER GROUND.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

MIC165-151318-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080616T0448Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.080613T1235Z.080614T1351Z.080615T1648Z.UU/
918 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  5:45 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.


&&


                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SUN     MON     TUE

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   16.3  SAT 06 PM      14.0    13.1    12.7



$$
218 
WGUS83 KAPX 150946
FLSAPX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
546 AM EDT SUN JUN 15 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MICHIGAN...

  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.THE HEAVY RAIN THAT FELL THURSDAY NIGHT CONTINUES TO PUSH THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN OVER ITS FLOOD STAGE. ON SATURDAY...THE MICHIGAN DNR REPORTED THAT AN UPSTREAM ACCESS POINT TO THE RIVER AT BAXTER BRIDGE...ABOUT 10 MILES UPSTREAM FROM SHERMAN...HAD FLOODED.

SAFETY MESSAGE...PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

MIC165-152146-
/O.CON.KAPX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080616T0448Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.080613T1235Z.080614T1351Z.080615T1648Z.UU/
546 AM EDT SUN JUN 15 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:45 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       MON     TUE     WED

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   16.2  SAT 08 PM      14.0    13.1    12.7


$$
731 
WGUS83 KAPX 151549
FLSAPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1149 AM EDT SUN JUN 15 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MICHIGAN...

  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.RIVER LEVELS CONTINUE TO LOWER ALONG THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN
BUT THE RIVER REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE SLOWLY DROPPING THROUGH THE DAY.

SAFETY MESSAGE...THOSE ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT INTO
THE AFTERNOON AND REMAIN OUT OF THE WATER.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT
ON THIS SITUATION ONCE THE RIVER DIPS BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

MIC165-160349-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080616T1500Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.080613T1235Z.080614T1351Z.080616T0300Z.UU/
1149 AM EDT SUN JUN 15 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:35 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...LEFT BANK OF RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW.
  FLOODING OF PROPERTY ALONG RIGHT BANK OF THE RIVER UPSTREAM OF THE
  M-37 BRIDGE BEGINS.

&&


                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       MON     TUE     WED

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   15.8  SUN 12 PM      14.9    13.7    13.0

$$
634 
WGUS83 KAPX 160342
FLSAPX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1142 PM EDT SUN JUN 15 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MICHIGAN...

  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.RIVER LEVELS CONTINUE TO LOWER ALONG THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN
BUT THE RIVER REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE SLOWLY DROPPING THROUGH THE NIGHT...FALLING BELOW FLOOD STAGE
MONDAY MORNING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE ADDITIONAL
STATEMENTS ON THIS SITUATION UNTIL THE RIVER DIPS BELOW FLOOD STAGE.


MIC165-161542-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080616T1619Z/
/SHRM4.2.ER.080613T1235Z.080614T1351Z.080616T0419Z.NR/
1142 PM EDT SUN JUN 15 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:35 PM SUNDAY NIGHT THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RECEDING...FALLING BELOW FLOOD
  STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF PROPERTY AND HOMES ADJACENT TO
  RIGHT BANK OF RIVER ALONG OJIBWAY DRIVE, OTTAWA DRIVE, AND CHIPPEWA
  DRIVER SOUTH OF WEST 12 ROAD.



&&


                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       MON     TUE     WED

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   15.5  SUN 12 PM      13.7    13.0    12.7



$$
606 
WGUS83 KAPX 161020
FLSAPX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
620 AM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MICHIGAN...

  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.RIVER LEVELS CONTINUE TO LOWER ALONG THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN
BUT THE RIVER REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE SLOWLY DROPPING THROUGH THE MORNING...FALLING BELOW FLOOD
STAGE BY MIDDAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE ADDITIONAL
STATEMENTS ON THIS SITUATION UNTIL THE RIVER DIPS BELOW FLOOD STAGE.


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT
ON THIS SITUATION ONCE THE RIVER DIPS BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

MIC165-161657-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080616T1657Z/
/SHRM4.2.ER.080613T1235Z.080614T1351Z.080616T0457Z.NR/
620 AM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL 1000 AM THIS MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...GOING BELOW FLOOD
  STAGE BY MIDDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF PROPERTY AND HOMES ADJACENT TO
  RIGHT BANK OF RIVER ALONG OJIBWAY DRIVE, OTTAWA DRIVE, AND CHIPPEWA
  DRIVER SOUTH OF WEST 12 ROAD.



&&


                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       TUE     WED     THU

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   15.5  SUN 12 PM      13.7    13.0    12.7



$$
899 
WGUS83 KAPX 161413
FLSAPX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1013 AM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MICHIGAN...

  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.RIVER LEVELS CONTINUE TO LOWER ALONG THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN
BUT THE RIVER REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE SLOWLY DROPPING THROUGH THE DAY...LIKELY FALLING BELOW FLOOD
STAGE THIS EVENING.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE ADDITIONAL
STATEMENTS ON THIS SITUATION UNTIL THE RIVER DIPS BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

MIC165-170213-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080617T0357Z/
/SHRM4.2.ER.080613T1235Z.080614T1351Z.080616T1557Z.NR/
1013 AM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:46 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS AROUND THE WILDERNESS CANOE
  LIVERY ALONG LEFT BANK OF RIVER JUST DOWNSTREAM OF M-37 BRIDGE.



&&


                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       TUE     WED     THU

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   15.4  MON 10 AM      14.0    13.2    12.8



$$
926 
WGUS83 KAPX 170225
FLSAPX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1025 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MICHIGAN...

  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.RIVER LEVELS CONTINUE TO LOWER ALONG THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN
BUT THE RIVER REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE SLOWLY DROPPING THROUGH THE NIGHT...LIKELY FALLING BELOW FLOOD
STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE ADDITIONAL
STATEMENTS ON THIS SITUATION UNTIL THE RIVER DIPS BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION...AROUND 600 AM...AS NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.


MIC165-171350-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080617T1350Z/
/SHRM4.2.ER.080613T1235Z.080614T1351Z.080617T0150Z.NR/
1025 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS AROUND THE WILDERNESS CANOE
  LIVERY ALONG LEFT BANK OF RIVER JUST DOWNSTREAM OF M-37 BRIDGE.



&&


                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       TUE     WED     THU

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   15.3  MON 09 PM      15.0    13.8    12.6

$$
000
WGUS83 KAPX 171407
FLSAPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1006 AM EDT TUE JUN 17 2008

..THE FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN AFFECTING WEXFORD COUNTY

.RIVER LEVELS CONTINUE TO LOWER ALONG THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN
AND IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT.

MIC165-171436-
/O.EXP.KAPX.FL.W.0004.080617T1406Z-080618T0100Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.080617T1245Z.080617T1300Z.NR/
1006 AM EDT TUE JUN 17 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR
  THE MANISTEE RIVER NEAR SHERMAN.
* AT  8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS AROUND THE WILDERNESS CANOE 
  LIVERY ALONG LEFT BANK OF RIVER JUST DOWNSTREAM OF M-37 BRIDGE.



&&


                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       WED     THU     FRI

MANISTEE RIVER
  SHERMAN           15   15.0  TUE 09 AM      14.4    13.4    12.9



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 13, 10:42 AM EDT, 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 13, 10:42 AM EDT, 49 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1042 AM EDT FRI JUN 13 2008

.UPDATE...ASTOUNDINGLY LITTLE TIME TO LOOK AT WX FOR THE UPCOMING
DAY ON THIS BUSY FRIDAY THE 13TH. LAST OF THE NOCTURNAL PRECIP HAS
EXITED...GIVING WAY TO PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES IN NORTHERN
LOWER...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN EASTERN UPPER. A SERIES OF SURFACE TROFS
PASSING THRU THE REGION...BUT THE REAL AIRMASS CHANGE IS BACK IN
CENTRAL WI...WITH DEW POINTS FALLING OFF INTO THE 50S AND UPPER 40S.
UNTIL THAT GETS THRU US...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL GET ONE MORE CHANCE TO
RECHARGE. CONVECTIVE TRENDS THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THE AFTERNOON.

WORKING TO OUR ADVANTAGE (AS FAR AS AVOIDING ADDL THUNDERSTORMS) IS
THAT THE AIRMASS CHANGE ALOFT IS ALREADY ARRIVING. 12Z GRB SOUNDING
WAS VERY DRY ABOVE 915MB. THUS SHALLOW SURFACE MOISTURE WILL MIX OUT
WITH SUFFICIENT HEATING IN THE WESTERN ZONES. LOOKING AT PROGGED
800-850MB RH...THE DRYING ALOFT SHOULD A LOT POP-UP CONVECTION WEST
OF A HTL/ROGERS CITY LINE...WHICH IS IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST. IN ADDITION...AS A STRONGER SHORTWAVE ALOFT
EJECTS NE TOWARD THE SOUTHERN LAKES...SOME SHOWERS COULD BE THROWN
BACK INTO THE DRIER AIR IN NW LOWER (AN AREA THAT NEEDS NO
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL). HIRES WRF WINDOW RUNS BOTH SHOW SOME
CONVECTION IN NW LOWER AFTER 21Z.

AGREE THAT ISOLATED SVR POTENTIAL STILL IN THE CARDS IN NE LOWER.
MLCAPES NEAR 700J/KG...BRINGING A WIND/HAIL THREAT. 500MB WINDS
INCREASE TO 50KT LATE IN THE DAY...WITH 0-6KM BULK SHEAR
35-40KT...AND ALSO BRING IN A BIT OF COOLING ALOFT.

JZ

&&

.AVIATION...ISSUED 731 AM FRI JUN 13...

SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL IMPACT NRN MI THIS MORNING AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT OVER THE UPPER MS VALLEY. WITH SOME DAYTIME
HEATING...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON -- ESPECIALLY TO THE E OF I-75. THE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL END FROM W TO E TONIGHT...WITH WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED INTO EARLY SAT.

SMITH

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 425 AM EDT FRI JUN 13 2008/

DISCUSSION...VERY BUSY MORNING...THOUGH IT APPEARS TO BE FINALLY
WINDING DOWN A BIT. MANY CONCERNS PERSIST...INCLUDING ONGOING FLOOD
WARNINGS...CONVECTIVE TRENDS EARLY THIS MORNING -- AND ASSOCIATED
TORNADO WATCH...AND POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS (POSSIBLY
SEVERE) LATER TODAY.

TODAY...OVERNIGHT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WERE
DRIVEN BY STRONG MOISTURE ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH 40-50 KT 850 MB
LLJ. MOISTURE REMAINS IMPRESSIVE...WITH PWATS APPROACHING 2 INCHES
AND 850 MB DEW POINTS AROUND +12C. DEEP UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW...
COUPLED WITH 850 MB LLJ...HAS RESULTED IN A NEARLY IDEAL KINEMATIC
SET UP FOR TRAINING CELLS AND HEAVY RAINFALL. RADAR RAINFALL
ESTIMATES OVERNIGHT SUPPORT 3 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS PARTS OF
MANISTEE...WEXFORD...AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES (WHERE FLASH FLOOD
WARNINGS CONTINUE). A SPOTTER NEAR WELLSTON REPORTED 5.51 INCHES AS
OF 400 AM. CLEARLY...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS WILL CONTINUE FOR THESE
COUNTIES...AND THEY WILL BE EXTENDED THROUGH 11 AM.

EXPECT A GRADUAL DECREASE IN RAIN/THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE NEXT FEW
HOURS. THEN...AS CLOUD COVER THINS A BIT BY LATE MORNING...TEMPS
WILL REBOUND BACK INTO THE 70S. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR
ADDITIONAL INSTABILITY AND CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON.
MODELS SUGGEST DRYING AT 850 MB DURING THE DAY. HOWEVER...WITH A
VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AND SUBTLE SURFACE TROUGHING NOT PROGGED
TO PASS THROUGH THE AREA UNTIL EARLY THIS EVENING...FEEL CHANCES ARE
GOOD FOR AFTERNOON REDEVELOPMENT -- ESPECIALLY OVER ERN AREAS (WHERE
MODELS SUPPORT SBCAPES OF 500-1000 J/KG). FURTHERMORE...WITH 500 MB
WINDS OF 50 KTS...MID LEVEL LAPSES RATES OF 7 C/KM...AND MID LEVEL
DRYING...WOULDN/T BE TOO SURPRISED TO SEE STORMS APPROACH SEVERE
LEVELS (AGAIN OVER E/SE AREAS) WITH WIND LIKELY THE GREATEST THREAT.

TONIGHT...LOW LEVEL TROUGH MOVES E...SO EXPECT ANY CONVECTION THAT
FORMS TO BE CONFINED TO ERN AREAS AND MAINLY IN THE EVENING. WITH
UPPER TROUGH AXIS STILL W OF REGION...AND ADDITIONAL SUPPORT FROM
RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF 125 KT 250 MB JET ACROSS REGION...FEAR THAT
ANY LINGERING CONVECTION MAY BE SLOW TO DEPART. OTHERWISE...EXPECT
SKIES TO BE PARTLY CLOUDY.

SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL CROSS REGION
EARLY SATURDAY...SO EXPECT A QUIET START TO THE DAY. HOWEVER...
BROAD/FLAT UPPER TROUGH WITH ASSOCIATED 500 MB TEMPS AROUND -17C...
COUPLED WITH WAA/SW FLOW ON BACK SIDE OF RIDGE DURING THE
AFTERNOON...SHOULD SET THE STAGE FOR MORE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT BY
LATE AFTERNOON MANY AREAS. WILL KEEP RISK OF CONVECTION FOR SATURDAY
NIGHT...AS AXIS OF HIGHER 850 MB THETA-E AIR TRAVERSES REGION.

SUNDAY...THE POTENTIALLY UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO
SUNDAY. WEAK SHORT WAVES ALOFT WILL MOVE ACROSS REGION...AS 850 MB
DEW POINT AXIS HOLDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL LAKES. WILL RETAIN RISK FOR
CONVECTION AREA-WIDE...THOUGH IT SHOULDN/T BE A WASHOUT.

NO CHANGES MADE TO MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY FORECAST.

SMITH

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR LMZ341-
     342-344>346.

LH...NONE.
LS...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 13, 8:54 AM EDT, 2 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
854 AM EDT FRI JUN 13 2008

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
141200-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
854 AM EDT FRI JUN 13 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON...LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE SUPERIOR...EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE OUTLOOK AREA TODAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM ALPENA TO HOUGHTON LAKE. THE BEST
CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE BETWEEN 2 PM AND 8 PM... WITH
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH THE PRIMARY THREAT.

HEAVY RAINFALL HAS PRODUCED FLOODING ACROSS PARTS OF MANISTEE...
WEXFORD...AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AND RUNOFF
TODAY MAY EXACERBATE THIS FLOODING. SEE ONGOING WARNING FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

THERE IS ALSO A RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ON THE LAKE HURON AND LAKE
MICHIGAN BEACHES OF EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK
AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BE
SEVERE ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS...PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

JZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 12, 8:43 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX92 min
Jun 12, 9:18 PM EDTTornado WarningAPXManistee57 min
Jun 12, 9:51 PM EDTTornado WarningAPXWexford39 min
Jun 12, 10:31 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX89 min
Jun 12, 10:31 PM EDTTornado WarningAPXMissaukee, Wexford59 min
Jun 12, 10:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXGrand Traverse, Kalkaska, Wexford54 min
Jun 12, 10:59 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXManistee6 hr
Jun 12, 11:18 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXWexford6 hr
Jun 12, 11:23 PM EDTTornado WarningAPXKalkaska, Missaukee, Wexford52 min
Jun 12, 11:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCrawford, Missaukee, Roscommon, Wexford57 min
Jun 12, 11:40 PM EDTTornado WarningAPXMissaukee, Wexford50 min
Jun 12, 11:53 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX97 min
Jun 13, 12:10 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXMissaukee6 hr
Jun 13, 12:39 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXMissaukee, Roscommon66 min
Jun 13, 1:08 AM EDTTornado WarningAPXMissaukee, Roscommon52 min
Jun 13, 1:36 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX54 min
Jun 13, 1:39 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX96 min
Jun 13, 1:45 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Manistee, Missaukee and 1 more60 min
Jun 13, 2:03 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXMissaukee, Ogemaw, Roscommon57 min
Jun 13, 2:26 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCrawford, Oscoda, Roscommon35 min
Jun 13, 3:08 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX97 min
Jun 13, 4:40 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX95 min
Jun 13, 4:44 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXManistee, Missaukee, Wexford6 hr
Jun 13, 10:27 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXManistee, Wexford6 hr
Jun 13, 3:52 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningAPXManistee, Wexford66 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2008Every river flood warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.