Red Flag Warning 29, NWS Amarillo, TX

000 
WWUS84 KAMA 242027
RFWAMA

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
327 PM CDT SAT MAY 24 2008

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY AND AGAIN ON
SUNDAY...

.A SURFACE TROUGH SITUATED ACROSS THE CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE
PANHANDLES...WILL PROVIDE STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THROUGH THIS
EVENING. DRY AIR ALREADY IN PLACE WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING
TEMPERATURES TO PRODUCE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES. AS THE LOW
PRESSURE DEEPENS TO THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT...THE DRYLINE SHOULD
RETREAT INTO THE PANHANDLES...WITH ITS EXPECTED AFTERNOON POSITION
ACROSS CENTRAL SECTIONS ON SUNDAY. THUS...FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL DETERIORATE AGAIN SUNDAY OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
PANHANDLES.

OKZ001-TXZ001-002-006-007-011-012-016-017-250215-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0029.000000T0000Z-080525T0200Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0026.080525T1700Z-080526T0200Z/
CIMARRON-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HARTLEY-MOORE-OLDHAM-POTTER-DEAF SMITH-
RANDALL-
327 PM CDT SAT MAY 24 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
CENTRAL AND WESTERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
FOR THE WESTERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.

A HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS COMBINATION WILL RESULT IN
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN ON
SUNDAY IN WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES AS A DRYLINE
SHARPENS ACROSS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE
EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

OKZ002-TXZ003-008-013-018-250200-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0029.000000T0000Z-080525T0200Z/
TEXAS-HANSFORD-HUTCHINSON-CARSON-ARMSTRONG-
327 PM CDT SAT MAY 24 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.

A HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS COMBINATION WILL RESULT IN
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE
EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

JJB

000 
WWUS84 KAMA 250218
RFWAMA

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
918 PM CDT SAT MAY 24 2008

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED AGAIN SUNDAY...

.SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN NORTHWEST OF THE
PANHANDLES TONIGHT...CAUSING THE DRYLINE TO RETREAT INTO THE EASTERN
PORTION OF THE PANHANDLES. THE DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO LIE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL SECTIONS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THUS...FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL DETERIORATE ONCE AGAIN SUNDAY OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
PANHANDLES.

OKZ001-TXZ001-002-006-007-011-012-016-017-251030-
/O.EXP.KAMA.FW.W.0029.000000T0000Z-080525T0200Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0026.080525T1700Z-080526T0200Z/
CIMARRON-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HARTLEY-MOORE-OLDHAM-POTTER-DEAF SMITH-
RANDALL-
918 PM CDT SAT MAY 24 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. HOWEVER A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR
THIS AREA.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN ON
SUNDAY IN WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES AS A DRYLINE SHARPENS
ACROSS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

OKZ002-TXZ003-008-013-018-250330-
/O.EXP.KAMA.FW.W.0029.000000T0000Z-080525T0200Z/
TEXAS-HANSFORD-HUTCHINSON-CARSON-ARMSTRONG-
918 PM CDT SAT MAY 24 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THE CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE 
TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES ...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WIND SPEEDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. THUS THE RED
FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

CLK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
108 AM CDT SAT MAY 24 2008

.UPDATE...
UPDATED FORECAST TO REMOVE EXPIRED TORNADO WATCH. ISOLATED STORMS ARE
STILL EXPECTED OVER THE THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLES
AS THE PACIFIC COLD FRONT SLIDES SLOWLY EAST. THE THREAT OF SEVERE
WEATHER CANNOT BE ELIMINATED GIVEN THE EXISTING MOIST AND UNSTABLE
AIR AND FAVORABLE WIND PROFILES.

NUNEZ

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1212 AM CDT SAT MAY 24 2008/

UPDATE...
PACIFIC COLD FRONT STRETCHED ALONG EAST CENTRAL HEMPHILL COUNTY TO
HEDLEY AROUND MIDNIGHT...MOVING SLOWLY EAST. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
ARE STILL DEVELOPING ALONG THIS FRONT. REMOVED THE COUNTIES WHICH
WERE BEHIND THE FRONT AND THAT ARE NO LONGER IN THE TORNADO THREAT.
ANOTHER UPDATE IS EXPECTED WHEN THE TORNADO WATCH EXPIRES AT 1 PM.

NUNEZ

AVIATION...
DRY AIR WAS FILTERING INTO THE PANHANDLES BEHIND THE PACIFIC FRONTAL
PASSAGE EARLY THIS EVENING. KAMA...KDHT...KGUY SHOULD SEE VFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST.

NUNEZ

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 641 PM CDT FRI MAY 23 2008/

AVIATION...
STORMS SHOULD STAY WELL NORTH AND EAST. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH THIS
EVENING. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT KAMA...KDHT AND
KGUY.

NUNEZ

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 520 PM CDT FRI MAY 23 2008/

UPDATE...
UPDATED FORECAST TO INCLUDE TORNADO WATCH 342 FOR THE EASTERN PARTS
OF THE PANHANDLES. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY GIVEN THE MOIST
AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS EAST OF THE DRYLINE...LOCATED JUST EAST OF
THE CAPROCK.

NUNEZ

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 355 PM CDT FRI MAY 23 2008/

DISCUSSION...
THE DRYLINE HAS STALLED OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE...WITH LOW/MID 60S DEWPOINTS ON THE MOIST SIDE OF THE
BOUNDARY. CAPPING ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEEP LAYER RIDGE BUILDING INTO
CENTRAL CONUS MAY KEEP CONVECTIVE COVERAGE RATHER LIMITED...BUT LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE...COUPLED WITH MARGINAL LARGE SCALE FORCING FROM
THE SHORTWAVE LIFTING INTO CO...SHOULD HELP ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. WITH DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS APPROACHING 30
DEGREES F...LCL HEIGHTS MAY BE A BIT TOO HIGH TO SEE A STRONG TORNADO
POTENTIAL. HOWEVER...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE QUITE POSSIBLE
GIVEN THE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE /SEE THE DODGE CITY 18Z SOUNDING/. TO
OUR WEST...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING NORTH
NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND MAY AFFECT THE WESTERN
PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HOWEVER...WITH THE LOSS OF
DIURNAL HEATING...THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DISSIPATE...ESPECIALLY GIVEN
THE RETROGRADING LOW AND WEAKENING DYNAMICS.

THE DRYLINE SHOULD RETREAT BACK TO THE CENTRAL PANHANDLES OVERNIGHT
BEFORE MIXING BACK TO NEAR THE OK STATE LINE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
SHOULD KEEP POPS LIMITED FOR TOMORROW. HIGHER POPS ARE EXPECTED ON
SUNDAY AS THE DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LITTLE PROGRESS TO THE EAST
DURING THE DAY. THE ENHANCE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND LARGE SCALE
LIFT WILL WARRANT LOW END CHANCE POPS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WEST
WHERE THE CAP SHOULD BE QUITE A BIT WEAKER. LOW POPS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. ON TUESDAY...A COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO MOVE
ACROSS THE PANHANDLES...BRINGING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS AND NORTH
WINDS TO THE AREA. WITH THE FRONT LAYING ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY
NIGHT...LOW POPS WERE RETAINED FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.

BY WEDNESDAY...THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE FLATTENS OUT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE CONUS WITH THE PANHANDLES ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE STRONG WESTERLIES. GIVEN THE QUASI ZONAL FLOW ALOFT...LEE
TROFFING SHOULD KEEP SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE FORECAST. WE MAY
BE CLOSE ENOUGH TO SEE THE EFFECTS OF WEAK PASSING SHORTWAVES...BUT
LIMITED MOISTURE MAY PRECLUDE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

JOHNSON

FIRE WEATHER...
THE RED FLAG WARNING IS STILL ON TRACK TODAY FOR LOCATIONS BEHIND THE
DRYLINE SO IT WILL CONTINUE. FOR SATURDAY...THE DRYLINE IS EXPECTED
TO ONCE AGAIN MIX TO THE EAST. DRY AIR BEHIND THE DRYLINE WILL
INTERACT WITH 20 FOOT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH TO
PRODUCE POTENTIALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN.
THEREFORE...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN TWO
COLUMNS OF COUNTIES IN THE TX PANHANDLE AS WELL AS CIMARRON AND TEXAS
COUNTIES IN THE OK PANHANDLE. THE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 16Z THROUGH
02Z.

JOHNSON

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...
     HARTLEY...MOORE...OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL...SHERMAN.

OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CIMARRON...TEXAS.

&&

17/08

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
111 AM CDT SAT MAY 24 2008

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-241100-
ARMSTRONG-BEAVER-CARSON-CIMARRON-COLLINGSWORTH-DALLAM-DEAF SMITH-
DONLEY-GRAY-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-HEMPHILL-HUTCHINSON-LIPSCOMB-MOORE-
OCHILTREE-OLDHAM-POTTER-RANDALL-ROBERTS-SHERMAN-TEXAS-WHEELER-
111 AM CDT SAT MAY 24 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...

LINGERING THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE NEAR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA STATE
LINE...ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE
LEVELS. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AS MOISTURE FROM THE
GULF OF MEXICO MOVES INTO THE REGION...A DRYLINE BECOMES ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE PANHANDLES...AND SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
DISTURBANCES PASS THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ANY OF THESE DAYS...WITH THE PRIMARY THREATS BEING
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE PANHANDLES ON SATURDAY AS WELL. AS A RESULT...A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN HALF OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
PANHANDLES FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ACROSS THE
OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AND BE READY FOR
POSSIBLE ACTIVATION AT TIMES THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

SCHNEIDER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1042 PM CDT FRI MAY 23 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1041 PM     HAIL             5 NE GLAZIER            36.06N 100.20W
05/23/2008  E1.00 INCH       HEMPHILL           TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00249

CK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1046 PM CDT FRI MAY 23 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     HAIL             1 E ELMWOOD             36.62N 100.50W
05/23/2008  E1.00 INCH       BEAVER             OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL

&&

CORRECTED LOCATION

EVENT NUMBER 00237

CK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1105 PM CDT FRI MAY 23 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1103 PM     HAIL             HIGGINS                 36.12N 100.03W
05/23/2008  E2.75 INCH       LIPSCOMB           TX   CITY OFFICIAL

            MOSTLY PENNY SIZE HAIL WITH A FEW TO THE SIZE OF
            BASEBALLS

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00250

CK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1129 PM CDT FRI MAY 23 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1120 PM     HAIL             1 E HIGGINS             36.12N 100.01W
05/23/2008  E1.00 INCH       LIPSCOMB           TX   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00251

CK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1213 AM CDT SAT MAY 24 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     HAIL             WHEELER                 35.44N 100.27W
05/24/2008  E0.88 INCH       WHEELER            TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            OBSERVED ON WEST SIDE OF WHEELER. QUARTER INCH HAIL
            OBSERVED ON EAST SIDE OF WHEELER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00252

KRAMAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1221 AM CDT SAT MAY 24 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1218 AM     HAIL             5 E WHEELER             35.44N 100.19W
05/24/2008  E2.50 INCH       WHEELER            TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            GOLF BALL TO LEMON SIZE HAIL REPORTED VIA SHERIFFS
            OFFICE

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00253

KRAMAR