Severe Thunderstorm Warning 75, NWS Wakefield, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
326 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE MID ATLANTIC REGION THIS AFTERNOON...
THEN CROSSES THE AREA THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY
FRONT WILL DROP THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK OVER THE AREA ON MONDAY...
THEN SLIDES OFF THE COAST MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. ANOTHER COLD
FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY...THEN PUSHES THROUGH THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE PRIMARY NEAR TERM FOCUS CONTINUES TO BE WITH MONITORING THE
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL. CLUSTER OF SEVERE TSTMS CONTINUE TO
BLOSSOM INSIDE TORNADO WATCH BOX #402...ESPECIALLY ACROSS LOWER
MD. STORMS WILL EVENTUALLY BE PROGRESSING INTO THE NEW TORNADO
WATCH BOX (#403).

AIRMASS ACROSS ENTIRE FCST AREA REMAINS QUITE UNSTABLE...WITH MOST
RECENT SPC MESOANALYSIS NOTING MOST UNSTALBE CAPES NOW RANGING
BTWN 3000-4000 J/KG. DEEP SHEAR PROFILES REMAIN MOST FAVORABLE
OVER OUR NRN PTNS (ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE LWR MD ERN SHORE)...WHERE
0-6 KM BULK SHEAR VALUES RANGE BTWN 45-50 KTS (WHILE DECREASING TO
35-40 KTS S ACROSS SRN VA AND NERN NC). MEANWHILE... CONSIDERABLE
MID LVL DRY AIR IS NOTED ON MOST RECENT RUC/LAPS SOUNDNIGS...WITH
T-TD DEPRESSIONS >5C IN THE 700-500 MB LAYER AND 0-3KM THETA-E
LAPSE RATES BTWN 20-25C. FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC SETUP... ALONG
WITH THE STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR...WOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A
MODERATE SVR WX RISK OVER THE NRN HALF OF THE FCST AREA. MULTICELL
CLUSTER LINES WITH BOWING SEGMENTS (DMGNG WINDS) AND LARGE HAIL
WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS...HOWEVER GIVEN THE STRONGER SHEAR CANNOT
RULE OUT THE PTNTL FOR ISLD SUPERCELLS AND PSBL TORNADOES N OF
I-64.

SOUTH OF WW #403...ACROSS SOUTHSIDE VA AND NERN NC...SVR WX
POTENTIAL IS LOWER DUE TO THE DECREASED DEEP LAYER SHEAR...ALONG
WITH THE FACT THAT THE LLVL INSTBY WILL HAVE WEAKENED A BIT BY THE
TIME ANY OUTFLOW BNDRYS REACH THIS REGION LATER THIS
AFTN/EVENING. THEREFORE THIS AREA WILL REMAIN IN A SLIGHT RISK...
AND WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED FOR THE PTNTL FOR MORE ISOLATED SVR
WX LATER THIS AFTN/EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
COLD FRNT WILL MOVE TO JUST ALNG THE CST INTO ERN NC BY 12Z SUN.
WILL KEEP CHC POPS MOST PLACES AFTER MIDNIGHT...ESPLY SRN/SE
CNTIES...WITH THE INTIAL FROPA. MIN TEMPS TO RANGE FROM THE MID
60S NORTHERN AREAS TO AROUND 70/LWR 70S SOUTH.

SECONDARY SFC TROUGH (ASSCD ON SRN FRINGE OF MID LVL SHORTWAVE)
WILL WARRENT ADDITIONAL POPS ON SUN...PARTICULARLY OVER THE SRN
ZONES WHERE LLVL MOISTURE (INSTBY PTNTL) WILL BE MOST FVRBL FOR
CONVECTIVE DVLPMNT. THE LIMTING FACTOR WILL BE THE DEEPENING WRLY
FLOW ABV THE SFC LAYER...WITH THE DOWNSLOPING COMPONENT ENHANCING
THE LLVL DRYING.

FLAT UPPER LVL RIDGING TO BUILD IN FROM THE W SUN NIGHT INTO MON
BEHIND THE SECONDARY TROUGH. THIS WILL CONTINUE THE DRYING TREND
FROM NW-SE ACROSS THE FCST AREA. RELATIVELY COOL SUN NIGHT (50S TO
LOWER 60S) AS HIGH BECOMES CENTERED ACROSS FCST AREA. ON MON...
THE HIGH BECOMING CENTERED OFF THE COAST WILL ENHANCE SEA/BAY
BREEZES AND KEEP COOLER TEMPS ALONG THE COASTS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS WITH PREVIOUS FCST...CONFIDENCE REMAINS A BIT LOW IN THE EXTENDED
PERIOD. TUE THRU THU HAVE WEAK SHORT WAVES IN STRONG MID TO UPR LVL
FLOW...AS UPR LVL RIDGE SLOLY BLDS OVER THE MID ATLC. HAVE A CHC PCP
THRU THIS PD WITH BEST CHC WED AND WED NIGHT...AND AGAIN THU NIGHT.
WITH RAPID FLOW AND WEAK WAVES...HAVE LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE TIMING
OF THE PRECIP. TEMPS MOSTLY SEASONAL THRU THE PD...WITH A SLIGHT
WARMING TREND TUE THRU THU AS RIDGE BLDS. TEMPS START OUT IN THE
L-M80S...EXCEPT FOR U70S NEAR THE COAST. BY THU EXPECT TEMPS IN THE
M-U80S INLAND AND NEAR 80 ALONG THE COAST. NOT MUCH CHANGE IN TEMP
THU THRU SAT AS UPR LVL RIDGE STAYS ANCHORED OFF THE MID ATLC. LTL
IN THE WAY OF AVAILABLE MOISTURE OR CONVECTIVE TRIGGERS...AND HAVE
KEPT SCHC TO CHC PRECIP FOR THU AND FRI.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
TSTMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NORTH OF THE AREA AND WILL GRADUALLY
MOVE SOUTH THRU THE AFTN AND EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE
AND PRODUCE DAMAGING WNDS AND HAIL. SFC WNDS GUSTY OVER 20 KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30+ KT PSBL. BEST CHC FOR TSTMS LIKELY AFTER 3 PM AND
COULD CONTINUE TIL AROUND 8 OR 9 PM AS FRONT MOVES THRU REGION.
DONT THINK CIGS/VIS WILL BE MUCH OF AN ISSUE OUTSIDE OF ANY
PRECIP. FRONT WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE OUT OF REGION TONIGHT SO SOME
CLDS/SHOWERS COULD LINGER PAST MIDNIGHT. VFR CONDS WITH SOME EARLY
CLDS ON SUN...THEN PARTLY SUNNY FOR THE AFTERNOON. WEAK SECONDARY
FRONT AND LOW PRES WILL AFFECT THE SRN PART OF THE CWA LATE
SUN/MON WITH CHC OF MVFR CIGS AND SOME -RA. THIS MIGHT AFFECT
PHF/ORF/ECG.

&&

.MARINE...
STEADY GUSTS TO 20+ KT OVER MOST OF THE CHES BAY...AND 44009 NOW
SHOWING SCA CRITERIA WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT AND SEAS NEAR 5 FT.
EXPECT ENTIRE CSTL WTRS TO REACH SCA CRITERIA DURING AFTN AS WND
GUSTS TO 30+ KT PSBL WITH FRONT APPROACHING. EXPECT 4-6 FT SEAS
OVER THE CSTL WTRS THRU THE AFTN/EVEN PERIOD. ONCE FRONT MVS
THROUGH...WINDS DROP OFF PRETTY QUICKLY AND FLAGS ARE DROPPED LATE
TONIGHT/EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.

ANOTHER FRNT DROPS THRU SUN AFTN INTO SUN NGT...BUT NO SCA CONDS
EXPECTED. HI PRES BLDS INTO THE REGION THEN OFF THE CST MON INTO TUE.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     ANZ630>632.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ633-654-656-
     658.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ650-652.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BKH
NEAR TERM...BKH
SHORT TERM...BKH
LONG TERM...ALS
AVIATION...JEF
MARINE...ALS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
101 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-049-060>063-065>073-079>098-011715-
NORTHAMPTON NC-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-
BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-FLUVANNA-LOUISA-
PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-
NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO-KING WILLIAM-
KING AND QUEEN-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-
NEW KENT-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-
JAMES CITY-YORK-SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-
NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-
101 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...INTERIOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN OUTER
BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EAST CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...INTERIOR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA...THE MIDDLE PENINSULA OF
VIRGINIA...THE PENINSULA OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND THE PIEDMONT OF
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BE
SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

VAZ099-100-011715-
ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
101 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EASTERN SHORE OF VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

MDZ024-025-011715-
INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
101 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

...TORNADO WATCH 402 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF
MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH
   MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ633-654-656-658-011715-
CURRITUCK SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM-
101 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MID ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS AND CURRITUCK SOUND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ650-011715-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20 NM-
101 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...TORNADO WATCH 402 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MID ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH
   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY

ADDITIONALLY...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS
MAY BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN
THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ652-011715-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM-
101 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MID ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY

ADDITIONALLY...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS
MAY BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN
THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ631-632-011715-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA-
101 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY

ADDITIONALLY...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS
MAY BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN
THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

MDZ021>023-011715-
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-
101 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

...TORNADO WATCH 402 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF
MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH

ADDITIONALLY...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS
MAY BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN
THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

VAZ064-074>078-011715-
CAROLINE-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-
101 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...THE MIDDLE
PENINSULA OF VIRGINIA AND THE NORTHERN NECK OF VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BE
SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ630-011715-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA-
101 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE CENTRAL CHESAPEAKE BAY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY

ADDITIONALLY...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS
MAY BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN
THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

FOSTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1059 AM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

VAZ048-049-060>100-312100-
FLUVANNA-LOUISA-PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-
CAROLINE-MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-
CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO-KING WILLIAM-KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-
WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-BRUNSWICK-
DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-GLOUCESTER-
MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-JAMES CITY-YORK-
SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-
SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOUISA...FARMVILLE...GOOCHLAND...
ASHLAND...SOUTH HILL...CREWE...COLONIAL HEIGHTS...RICHMOND...
TAPPAHANNOCK...LAWRENCEVILLE...PETERSBURG...HOPEWELL...EMPORIA...
WAKEFIELD...WILLIAMSBURG...POQUOSON...FRANKLIN...NEWPORT NEWS...
HAMPTON...CHINCOTEAGUE...WALLOPS ISLAND...MELFA...EASTVILLE
1059 AM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THE EVENING HOURS...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BECOME SEVERE WITH ALL FORMS OF
SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE. AT THIS TIME THE PREDOMINANT THREAT WILL
BE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...BUT LARGE HAIL AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR THIS SITUATION VERY CLOSELY. SEVERE
WEATHER WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BECOME NECESSARY TODAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OR
WEATHER.GOV/WAKEFIELD ON THE INTERNET FOR THE LATEST UPDATES ON
THIS POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER EVENT.

WAMSLEY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
254 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

VAZ048-049-061>064-068>072-312015-
AMELIA VA-CAROLINE VA-CHESTERFIELD VA-CUMBERLAND VA-FLUVANNA
VA-GOOCHLAND VA-HANOVER VA-HENRICO VA-KING WILLIAM VA-LOUISA
VA-POWHATAN VA-
254 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

AT 254 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 18 MILES NORTH OF PALMYRA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
45 MPH. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR WALDROP AT 300 PM
EDT...ZION CROSSROADS AT 305 PM EDT...FERNCLIFF AT 310 PM EDT...
HADENSVILLE AT 315 PM EDT...GUM SPRING AT 320 PM EDT...DABNEYS AT 325
PM EDT.

WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH...SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING ARE EXPECTED IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS. IF YOU HEAR
THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE INTO
A SAFE SHELTER BEFORE THESE STORMS REACH YOUR AREA. REMAIN INDOORS
UNTIL THE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR WILL CAUSE PONDING OF
WATER ON ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND
FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

SMF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
331 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TREVILIANS              38.05N 78.07W
05/31/2008                   LOUISA             VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN. POWER INTERRUPTIONS.

&&

JFOSTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
339 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N HURLOCK             38.64N 75.87W
05/31/2008                   DORCHESTER         MD   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS DOWNED TREES.

&&

HURLEY