Wind Advisory 94, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 281358
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
458 AM AKST FRI NOV 28 2008

AKZ018-290100-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0094.081129T0600Z-081129T2100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
458 AM AKST FRI NOV 28 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
12 PM AKST SATURDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM
AKST SATURDAY. 

WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 MPH THROUGH FRIDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE PANHANDLE. THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH FROM THE SOUTH TONIGHT AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT STRENGTHENS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
INTO LATE SATURDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 400 PM AKST FRIDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 290038
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
338 PM AKST FRI NOV 28 2008

AKZ018-291300-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0094.081129T0600Z-081129T2100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
338 PM AKST FRI NOV 28 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
12 PM AKST SATURDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM
AKST SATURDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40
MPH THIS EVENING AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT STRENGTHENS. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO LATE SATURDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 400 AM AKST FRIDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

BECKER

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 290522
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
822 PM AKST FRI NOV 28 2008

AKZ018-291330-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0094.081129T0522Z-081129T2100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
822 PM AKST FRI NOV 28 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKST SATURDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKST SATURDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT
AND PERSIST INTO LATE SATURDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 500 AM AKST SATURDAY OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 291318
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
418 AM AKST SAT NOV 29 2008

AKZ018-291900-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0094.000000T0000Z-081130T0100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
418 AM AKST SAT NOV 29 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON.

SOUTH WINDS OF 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 10 AM AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

CVP

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 291842
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
942 AM AKST SAT NOV 29 2008

AKZ018-300100-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0094.000000T0000Z-081130T0100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
942 AM AKST SAT NOV 29 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON.

SOUTH WINDS OF 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 300003
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
303 PM AKST SAT NOV 29 2008

AKZ018-300500-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0094.000000T0000Z-081130T0500Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
303 PM AKST SAT NOV 29 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AKST THIS EVENING. 

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 8 PM AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

BECKER

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 300135
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
435 PM AKST SAT NOV 29 2008


AKZ018-300245-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0094.000000T0000Z-081130T0500Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
435 PM AKST SAT NOV 29 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
113 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2008

.SHORT TERM...A STRONG JET STREAM OF THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC
AROUND 180 KT IS DRIVING BOWED OUT SECTION OF THE FRONT OVER THE
SOUTH CENTRAL GULF AT ABOUT 51KT THIS MORNING. SHOULD SEE THE
FRONT BEGIN TO IMPACT THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE THIS
EVENING AND MOVING THROUGH THE THAT REGION BY EARLY MORNING. THE
FRONT WILL TAKE A FEW MORE HOURS TO WORK THROUGH THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE PANHANDLE THAN THE SOUTHERN DOES BUT HE MAIN FRONT
SHOULD BE THROUGH THERE FRIDAY MORNING.

 WITH SUCH A FAST MOVING FRONT THE BURST OF WINDS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED. AT THE PRESENT DO NOT EXPECT MUCH
OVER 35 MPH FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF 22-23-27 AND PROBABLY 28. SO
HAVE NOT RAISED THE ADVISORY FLAG FOR THEM...THEY COULD SEE SOME
GUSTS THAT DO REACH 40 BUT THINK MOST WILL STAY BELOW THAT LEVEL.

 ALSO FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON A UPPER TROUGH/VORTICITY LOBE MOVES
ONSHORE OVER THE NORTHERN/NORTH CENTRAL PANHANDLE...WITH ENOUGH
INSTABILITY THAT THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE POSSIBLE. WILL MENTION
ISOLATED FOR OUTER COAST OF BARANOF AND CHICHAGOF ISLANDS.

.LONG TERM...
THE LONG TERM FORECAST BEGINS WITH A WEAKENING 985 MB LOW MOVING
N INTO CENTRAL AK AND AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE W GULF. STRONG SW
FLOW WILL BE PRESENT OVER THE PANHANDLE ENABLING SHOWERS TO MOVE
ONSHORE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE TROUGH WILL PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS
THE NORTHERN GULF SAT NIGHT REACHING THE PANHANDLE SUN NIGHT. A
DEVELOPING WAVE OVER THE N PAC WILL MOVE NE TOWARDS THE CHARLOTTES
ON SUN.

MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT WITH THE GFS IMPROVING FROM RUN TO RUN.
THE GFS IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE ECMWF THROUGH SUN. BEGINNING SUN
NIGHT...THE GFS AND ECMWF DIVERGE ON THE INTENSITY OF THE DEVELOPING
WAVE MOVING UP FROM THE N PAC LATE SUN/EARLY MON WITH THE GFS
BEING SLIGHTLY STRONGER AND A LITTLE BIT MORE ORGANIZED. BLENDED
THE 12Z ECMWF WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST THROUGH DAY 5 THEN WENT WITH
HPC GUIDANCE FOR DAYS 6 AND 7.

THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE W GULF PUSHES EASTWARD SUN AS A BUILDING
RIDGE FILLS IN BEHIND IT. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE SW FLOW TO
GRADUALLY DIMINISH ALLOWING FOR THE LARGE SWELL TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
THROUGH MON. SOME COLD AIR COULD ADVECT ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES
SUN AS THE TROUGH MOVES OVER THE PANHANDLE BRINGING A CHANCE OF
SNOW FOR THAT AREA. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE SOUTHERN
ZONES MONDAY AS THE DEVELOPING WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE CHARLOTTES
AND INTO WESTERN B.C. THE TROUGH MOVES INTO CANADA MON NIGHT AS
THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED RIDGE SETS UP OVER THE CENTRAL GULF. THE
RIDGE LOOKS TO HOLD ITS PLACE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH
DRIER CONDITIONS PREVAILING ACROSS THE PANHANDLE.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ043-051-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-021-022-032>036-041-042.

BEZENEK/MAM