Wind Advisory 15, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 300333
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
633 PM AST TUE JAN 29 2008

AKZ022-301400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.080130T0600Z-080131T0300Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN
633 PM AST TUE JAN 29 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST WEDNESDAY. 

EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH
BY LATE EVENING. STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE IN EXPOSED AREAS AND
ALONG THE OUTER COAST.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AST WEDNESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ024-301400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.080130T1500Z-080131T0300Z/
EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND AND SOUTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ANGOON
633 PM AST TUE JAN 29 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM AST
WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM AST
WEDNESDAY. 

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT TO 30 MPH WITH WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. STRONGEST WINDS IN EXPOSED AREAS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AST WEDNESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ023-301400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.080130T1500Z-080131T0600Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER
633 PM AST TUE JAN 29 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM AST
WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM AST
WEDNESDAY. 

EAST WIND INCREASING TO 30 MPH WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH BY
EARLY MORNING WEDNESDAY.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AST WEDNESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ027-301400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.080130T1800Z-080131T0300Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
633 PM AST TUE JAN 29 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM AST
WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM AST
WEDNESDAY. 

EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND INCREASING TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
45 MPH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AST WEDNESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ026-028-029-301400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.080130T2100Z-080131T0300Z/
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE...
KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
633 PM AST TUE JAN 29 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM AST
WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM AST
WEDNESDAY. 

EAST WINDS INCREASING TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH BY NOON
WEDNESDAY.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AST WEDNESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 301340
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
440 AM AST WED JAN 30 2008

AKZ024-301445-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.080130T1500Z-080131T0300Z/
EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND AND SOUTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ANGOON
440 AM AST WED JAN 30 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ022-301445-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-080131T0300Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN
440 AM AST WED JAN 30 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ023-301445-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.080130T1500Z-080131T0600Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER
440 AM AST WED JAN 30 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ027-301445-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.080130T1800Z-080131T0300Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
440 AM AST WED JAN 30 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ026-028-029-301445-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.080130T2100Z-080131T0300Z/
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE...
KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
440 AM AST WED JAN 30 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
1100 AM AST TUE JAN 29 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
.SHORT RANGE...SATELLITE LOOP THIS MORNING SHOWS A LOW
CIRCULATION JUST WEST OF THE QUEEN CHARLOTTES WITH CONTINUED
GUSTY NORTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIP OF HYDER
ZONE. OVER THE NORTHERN PARTS...A RESIDUAL LOW IN THE NORTH
EASTERN GULF MAINTAINS A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT FOR GUSTY
NORTHEAST WIND OVER SKAGWAY ZONE. COLD AIR EAST OF THE FORECAST
AREA WILL CONTINUE TO ANCHOR THERE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
WITH A SLOW MODIFICATION TOWARDS THE WEEKEND. MODEL BOUNDARY
LAYER TEMPERATURES HINT FOR EVEN COLDER READINGS TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. WILL KEEP THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SKAGWAY AND
HAINES THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING AND WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR
JUNEAU ZONES FOR TONIGHT.

ALL MODELS ARE WELL INITIALIZED. NAM OUTPUTS ARE SLIGHTLY FASTER
THAN OTHER MODELS BUT ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW NEAR
THE QUEEN CHARLOTTES WEAKENING AND DRIFTING SOUTHEAST TO THE
VANCOUVER ISLAND TONIGHT. THE INHERITED GRIDS HANDLE THE SHORT
TERM FORECAST VERY WELL AND NO NEED TO MAKE ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE RESIDUAL LOW IN THE NORTH EASTERN
GULF WILL BE ABSORBED BY THE STORM IN THE WESTERN GULF BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY...FORMING A TROUGH AND PASSING ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AHN

.LONG RANGE...MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE
BULK OF THE LONG RANGE. CONSISTENCY REMAINS DECENT AS WELL...WITH
ONLY A FEW MINOR DIFFERENCES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.  WILL NOT MAKE
ANY CHANGES EXCEPT A FEW TWEAKS THIS WEEKEND.

UPPER TROUGH MOVING OVER THE PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL SINK
SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA WHILE A RIDGE REBUILDS OVER THE
WESTERN GULF.  THIS RIDGE FLATTENS AND FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL.
A STRONGER SYSTEM TAKES SHAPE LATE FRIDAY AND MOVES ALONG THE JET
INTO THE PANHANDLE SATURDAY NIGHT.  A SECOND LOW MOVES INTO THE
WESTERN GULF ON MONDAY.

SYNOPTICALLY...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A DRIER PATTERN
CONTINUES THROUGH THE PERIOD.  A SYSTEM PASSING TO THE SOUTH WILL
CLIP THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND BRING CHANCE SNOW.  FRIDAY AND
SATURDAYS ZONAL FLOW WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
TO MAINLY THE COASTAL ZONES.  OTHERWISE...ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE
OVER NORTHWESTERN BRITISH COLUMBIA AND SOUTHERN YUKON WILL KEEP
COLD OUTFLOW NORTHERLY WINDS TO KEEP CONDITIONS GENERALLY DRY.
ONCE THE PATTERN CHANGES SATURDAY NIGHT...SOMEWHAT WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION WILL FLIP ON.  COULD SEE SOME
SIGNIFICANT SNOW LATE THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AKZ018>019.
      ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY AKZ025.

MARINE...GALE WARNING PKZ012.
      ...SMALL CRAFT ALL REMAINING MARINE ZONES.
      ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY PKZ011>013-031-034-035.