Storm Warning 9, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAJK 280045
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AST SUN JAN 27 2008 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-281400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE AREA OVER THE YUKON WILL SLIDE SE INTO BC
THROUGH MON AFTERNOON. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE
EAST THROUGH TONIGHT WITH VERY HIGH GUSTS NEAR INTERIOR PASSES
ON MON. 

$$

PKZ011-281400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AST SUN JAN 27 2008 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-281400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AST SUN JAN 27 2008 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-281400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AST SUN JAN 27 2008 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-281400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AST SUN JAN 27 2008 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-281400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AST SUN JAN 27 2008 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING
TO 5 FT LATE. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. 
.WED AND THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-281400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AST SUN JAN 27 2008 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-281400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AST SUN JAN 27 2008 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-281400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AST SUN JAN 27 2008 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-281400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AST SUN JAN 27 2008 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-281400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AST SUN JAN 27 2008 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-281400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AST SUN JAN 27 2008 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
1100 AM AST SAT JAN 26 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
.SHORT RANGE...THE LOW THAT BROUGHT ALL OF THE WINTER WEATHER
YESTERDAY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE IS NOW FALLING
APART OVER THE SOUTHERN AREAS THIS MORNING. THERE IS SOME SNOW
SHOWERS MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE ATTM AND
WILL PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL VARY WITH
THE SHOWERS BUT THINK NO MORE THAN 3 INCHES THROUGH THIS EVENING.
THERE MAY BE SOME LINGERING ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE FAR
SOUTHERN AREAS SUN MORNING BUT THEY SHOULD NOT LAST LONG. THE
CURRENT HEAVY SNOW WARNING FOR THE HYDER AREA WILL EXPIRE AT
NOON...THEY DID RECEIVE ABOUT A FOOT OF SNOW. THE REST OF THE
AREA WILL SEE CLOUDS BEGIN TO THIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND BY
LATE THIS EVENING IT SHOULD BE MAINLY CLEAR OVER THE NORTHERN
HALF OF SE AK. THESE CLEAR SKIES WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH SUN
AFTERNOON WITH MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY.
WITH THE CLEAR SKIES AND VERY CAA TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO FALL
THROUGH TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT WITH SUB ZERO LOWS OVER THE
NORTHERN AREAS AND IN THE LOWER TEENS OVER THE SOUTHERN. THERE
WILL BE NOT MUCH OF A RISE IN TEMPS THROUGH SUN SO THINK TEMPS
WILL NOT GET MUCH ABOVE 25 OVER THE SOUTHERN AREAS AND 15 OVER
THE NORTHERN. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND THESE COLD
TEMPS WILL PRODUCE COLD WIND CHILLS FROM 10 TO 20 BELOW OVER THE
NORTHERN AREAS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE ZONES 18 AND 19 AS THEY
WILL FEEL COLDER.

THE NORTHERN AREAS WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A INCREASE IN WINDS FROM
INTERIOR GAPS ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THAT WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITIES THROUGH TODAY AND INTO THE EVENING. CURRENTLY THERE
IS WIND ADVYS ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE
THAT WILL PERSIST INTO SUN AFTERNOON AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
REMAINS VERY STRONG. THESE WINDS WILL PROGRESS SOUTHWARD THROUGH
TONIGHT AS THE COLD ARCTIC AIR PUSHED SOUTH AS THE HIGH IN THE
YUKON GAINS STRENGTHEN. SO WILL SPREAD WIND ADVY INTO THE
SOUTHERN ZONES THROUGH TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
TIME FRAME. A WINTER WEATHER ADVY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FAR
NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS AS THERE IS VERY STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH
BLOWING SNOW AND COLD WIND CHILLS FROM 30 TO 50 BELOW...MAINLY
ALONG THE HIGHWAYS BUT PAGY AND PAHN COULD SEE THEM. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH BY THE AFTERNOON AS THE HIGH IN
THE YUKON SLIDES SE INTO NORTHERN BC AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL NOT BE THAT STRONG TO PRODUCE VERY COLD WIND CHILLS BUT THE
GUST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL CONTINUE.

AS FOR THE MARINE AREAS...VERY STRONG STORM FORCE WINDS IN LYNN
CANAL WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT WITH THE HIGH IN THE YUKON BUT
THESES WILL DIMINISH TO GALES SUN AS THE HIGH SLIDES SE. THERE IS
ALSO VERY STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS ATTM OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND
OVER THE COAST MOUNTAIN RANGE. THE NORTHERN GULF ALONG WITH
STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO 70 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES AND THE INNER
CHANNELS WILL SEE GUSTS TO 50 KT. THE GUSTS OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF WILL WEAKEN THROUGH SUNDAY BUT AREAS ALONG THE COAST RANGE
IN THE INNER CHANNELS WILL SEE THESE GUSTS INCREASE AS THE HIGH
SLIDES INTO BC. THE REST OF THE PANHANDLE WILL SEE THE STRONG
NORTHERLY GALES MOVE SOUTH AND BE ACROSS THE ENTIRE PANHANDLE BY
SUNDAY MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ABJ

.LONG RANGE...THE LONG TERM FORECAST BEGINS WITH A BUILDING RIDGE
OVER THE GULF.  WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND...ECMWF SHOWS A MORE SOUTH
TRACK OF THE LOW.  HOWEVER...MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT OVER
ALL SYNOPTIC SCALE THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.  TO
MAINTAIN THE CONSISTENCY OF THE INHERITED GRIDS...WILL USE THE
12Z GFS OUTPUT AS PRIMARY TO MAKE A FINE TUNE AND NO BIG CHANGES
NEEDED FOR THE CURRENT GRIDS.  THE ARCTIC HIGH ANCHORED EAST OF
THE PANHANDLE WILL PLAY A MAJOR ROLE FOR COLD AND WINDY
CONDITIONS THROUGH MONDAY. THE AIR WILL SLOWLY MODIFY BEGINNING
ON TUESDAY.

A SERIES OF SURFACE LOWS WILL MARCH UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE BUT
MOSTLY KEEP THEMSELVES IN SOUTH TRACK HEADING TO THE QUEEN
CHARLOTTES AND BRITISH COLUMBIA COASTS.  THIS SYNOPTIC CONDITION
WILL MAINTAIN A PERSISTING OFFSHORE FLOW ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY WITH SOME FLUCTUATION OF CLOUDINESS BUT NOT MUCH
PRECIPITATIONS.  A LOW ENTERING THE WESTERN GULF EARLY FRIDAY
BECOMES ENLONGATED EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA...SENDING
OUT ITS LEADING EDGE OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH A BIT INCREASING ONSHORE
FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ONE THIRD OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA. AHN

.AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...HEAVY SNOW WARN...PKZ29 ENDING AT 12PM TODAY.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVY...AKZ18 19 THRU 3PM SUN.
         WIND ADVY...AKZ17 20>26 THRU 6PM SUN.
         WIND ADVY...AKZ27>29 9PM THRU 6PM.
MARINE...STORM WRN...PKZ12 13.
         GALE...ENTIRE COASTAL WATERS PKZ11 21 22 31>36.