Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2008
Storm Warning 5, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Jan 11, 2008, 11:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 11, 2008, 11:00 AM AKST (20:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 12, 2008, 11:00 AM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 FZAK52 PAJK 120027 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AST FRI JAN 11 2008 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-121400- .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 975 MB LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE EASTERN GULF BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SPREAD GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL MARINE WATERS. $$ PKZ041-121400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AST FRI JAN 11 2008 ...STORM WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 40 KT SHIFTING SW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW. .SUN...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. .MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ042-121400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AST FRI JAN 11 2008 ...STORM WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT LATE . SW SWELL. RAIN LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 40 KT SHIFTING SW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW. .SUN...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ043-121400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AST FRI JAN 11 2008 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ051-121400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AST FRI JAN 11 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE LATE. OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN LATE. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ052-121400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AST FRI JAN 11 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. OUT OF ICY BAY...GUSTS TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. SW SWELL. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
000 FZAK52 PAJK 120115 CCA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 415 PM AST FRI JAN 11 2008 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-121400- .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 975 MB LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE EASTERN GULF BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SPREAD GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL MARINE WATERS. $$ PKZ041-121400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AST FRI JAN 11 2008 ...STORM WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 40 KT SHIFTING SW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW. .SUN...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. .MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ042-121400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AST FRI JAN 11 2008 ...STORM WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT LATE . SW SWELL. RAIN LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 40 KT SHIFTING SW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW. .SUN...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ043-121400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AST FRI JAN 11 2008 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ051-121400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AST FRI JAN 11 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE LATE. OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN LATE. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ052-121400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 415 PM AST FRI JAN 11 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. SW SWELL. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAJK 121244 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AST SAT JAN 12 2008 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-130100- .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 975 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR CAPE SPENCER BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NE INTO THE YUKON THIS EVENING. ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE NE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE LATE SUN. $$ PKZ041-130100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AST SAT JAN 12 2008 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ042-130100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AST SAT JAN 12 2008 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...NE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ043-130100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AST SAT JAN 12 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ051-130100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AST SAT JAN 12 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ052-130100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AST SAT JAN 12 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT LATE. SW SWELL LATE. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAJK 130018 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AST SAT JAN 12 2008 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-131730- .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 978 MB GALE FORCE LOW NEAR CAPE SPENCER WILL TRACK NORTHEAST INTO THE YUKON TONIGHT. A DEVELOPING GALE FORCE LOW WILL ENTER THE EASTERN GULF TOMORROW MORNING AND TRACK NORTHEAST OVER THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE SUNDAY NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-131730- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AST SAT JAN 12 2008 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ042-131730- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AST SAT JAN 12 2008 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. SNOW...RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ043-131730- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AST SAT JAN 12 2008 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW...RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ051-131730- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AST SAT JAN 12 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW...RAIN. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ052-131730- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AST SAT JAN 12 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. S SWELL LATE. SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Jan 11, 7:00 AM AKST, 4 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 11, 7:00 AM AKST, 4 hours before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
1200 PM AST FRI JAN 11 2008
.SYNOPSIS...
.SHORT RANGE...WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND ITS
ASSOCIATED PRESSURE TROUGH CONTINUE TO ALLOW FOR ONSHORE FLOW
OVER THE PANHANDLE THIS MORNING VISIBLE PER RADAR AND SATELLITE
OBSERVATIONS. SNOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE NORTHWARD AND
RAIN IN THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE PRESSURE TROUGH AND ITS ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL
LIFT MOVES INTO BC AND THE YUKON. AS THE PRESSURE TROUGH MOVES
INTO BC THE SNOW WILL BECOME SCATTERED SHOWERS. THEN OUR
ATTENTION TURNS TO THE NEXT LOW MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF
THIS EVENING. GFS/UKMET INITIALIZED THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
BEST THIS MORNING HOWEVER THE GFS WAS A LITTLE SLOW WITH ITS
REPRESENTATION OF THE DRY SLOT VISIBLE IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY.
THE SURFACE RIDGING BUILDING INTO THE PANHANDLE THIS EVENING WAS
HANDLED BETTER BY THE GFS SO A GFS/UKMET BLEND WILL BE USED THIS
EVENING INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
WITH THE 12Z GFS/UKMET THE SURFACE LOW TRACK CONTINUES TO NUDGE
FARTHER WEST NOW MOVING ONSHORE JUST NORTH OF CROSS SOUND. THIS
WILL FURTHER COMPLICATE THE SNOW/RAIN LINE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE. ATTM CONTINUING WIND ADVISORIES
FOR THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND ADDING WIND ADVISORIES FOR THE
OUTER COASTAL AREAS AS A STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT
DEVELOPS ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND LIKELY FOR ZONE 29 COASTAL
AREAS NEAR DIXON ENTRANCE. STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP FOR A SHORT PERIOD IN MARINE ZONES 41 AND 42 WITHIN THE
STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT.
AS FAR AS PRECIPITATION IS CONCERNED THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE
SHOULD BE MOSTLY RAIN ON SATURDAY POSSIBLY BEGINNING AS A
RAIN/SNOW MIX TONIGHT BEFORE QUICKLY CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN
WITH THE WARMER MID LEVEL AIR ADVECTING NORTHWARD. EXPECT THE
WARMER MID LEVEL AIR TO PUSH NORTHWARD ALL THE WAY INTO THE
CENTRAL PANHANDLE WITH THIS EVENT. THE RAIN/SNOW LINE SHOULD MOVE
ALL THE WAY TO THE ICY STRAIT/PAJN AREA BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON SO
THEREFORE STILL EXPECT THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WITH THIS EVENT TO
REMAIN OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE. EXPECT SNOW ADVISORY AMOUNTS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN THE HAINES AREA...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE
BORDER. ATTM EXPECT 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE PAGS AND PAJN AREAS
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
NORTH ALONG LYNN CANAL AND IN NORTHERN GLACIER BAY.
.LONG RANGE...
ACTIVE WX PATTERN FROM LATE SAT THROUGH MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH
PLENTY OF JET SUPPORT. STRONG RIDGING FORECAST FOR GULF AK NEXT
WEEK AS DEEP STORM SETS UP OVER BERING. EVOLUTION OF NOTABLE
WEATHER OVER LONG RANGE PERIOD WILL INCLUDE WIND THEN RAIN AND
SNOW THEN COLD.
CONSENSUS OPINION AMONG JUNEAU AND ANCHORAGE FORECASTERS IS TO
LEAN TOWARD 00Z AND 12Z GFS MODEL SOLUTIONS. THIS INCLUDES A SFC
LOW LIFTING NORTH THROUGH THE PANHANDLE WHILE WEAKENING SAT
EVENING. MODELS INDICATE BRIEF SPELL OF GALE TO STORM FORCE WIND
ON SOUTH SIDE OF LOW AND IT DEPARTS. ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS...>40
KTS... ALREADY FORECAST FOR SOUTHERN ZONES AND COULD REACH INTO
CENTRAL INNER CHANNELS SAT NIGHT. WILL NOT HEADLINE SAT NIGHT
YET.
ANOTHER LOW QUICKLY FOLLOWS INTO SOUTHERN SE AK SUN AND MOVES NE
THROUGH INNER CHANNELS BEFORE WEAKEING OVER NRN BC LATE SUN. THIS
TRACK HAS POTENTIAL FOR A SNOWY DAY SUN OVER NW HALF OF PANHANDLE
INCLUDING SITKA...JUNEAU...HAINES ...SKAGWAY. FARTHER SOUTH
SYSTEM WILL START AS ALL RAIN SAT NIGHT THEN CHANGE TO SNOW SUN
AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN. DEPENDING ON SPECIFIC LOCATION OF FRONTAL
BOUNDARIES AND DEFORMATION BANDS...THE SECOND SYSTEM MAY REQUIRE
UPGRADING SAT SNOW ADVISORIES TO SNOW WARNINGS FOR SAT NIGHT INTO
SUN NORTH OF ABOUT SUMNER STRAIT.
SUN NIGHT AND MON VERY COLD AIR OVER NRN AK SAGS S THROUGH NW AND
YUKON TERRITORIES TO COASTAL MOUNTAINS IN WAKE OF THE SUN SYSTEM.
WILL HAVE TO KEEP WATCH ON PRESSURE GRADIENT PATTERN AND
POSSIBILITY OF LOCALLY STRONG GAP WINDS AND FREEZING SPRAY SUN
NIGHT THROUGH TUES. COLDER TEMPS ALMOST CERTAINLY IN STORE AS 850
MB TEMPS OVER PANHANDLE BOTTOM OUT BETWEEN -10C AND -20C MON.
THE FAR END OF THE LONG RANGE PERIOD STILL UNCERTAIN. BLOCKY HIGH
AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE FORECAST TO BUILD OFFSHORE WEST COAST NORTH
AMERICA NEXT WEEK IN RESPONSE TO MAJOR LOWS ANCHORING IN OVER
SIBERIA/BERING SEA AND N OF HUDSON BAY CANADA. POTENTIAL EXISTS
FOR A DRY STABLE FOGGY EPISODE UNDER A STRONG INVERSION LATE NEXT
WEEK. HOWEVER GFS DEPICTS ONE OR MORE DEEP LOW CENTERS OVER WEST
GULF RIDING UP WEST SIDE OF RIDGE. THIS COULD POSSIBLY LEAD TO
OVER RUNNING PRECIP EVENTS OVER PANHANDLE AGAIN STARTING MID
WEEK. NO CHANGE TO CURRENT FCSTS DAYS 4-7. TA
.AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC... WND ADVISORY AKZ027-028
MARINE... GALE PKZ036-041>042
SMCR ELSEWHERE EXCEPT PKZ022 AND 53The office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 9:59 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 30 hr | |
| Jan 10, 9:59 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 37 hr | |
| Jan 10, 11:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 10, 11:40 PM AKST | Wind Advisory | AJK | 53 hr | |
| Jan 11, 10:48 AM AKST | Heavy Snow Warning | AJK | 34 hr | |
| Jan 11, 10:48 AM AKST | Snow Advisory | AJK | 37 hr | |
| Jan 11, 11:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Jan 11, 11:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 34 hr | |
| Jan 11, 11:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 11, 11:00 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 24 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.