Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2008

Small Craft Advisory 521, NWS Juneau, AK

October 15, 2008

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 15, 2008, 11:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 41 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 15, 2008, 11:00 PM AKDT (07:00 UTC)
Expired: Oct 17, 2008, 4:00 PM AKDT
In force: 41 hr
Issued by: NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 160703 AAB
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1100 PM AKDT WED OCT 15 2008 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-161400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A FRONT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH
TONIGHT BEFORE DRIFTING EAST THURSDAY AS A LOW ON THE FRONT
MOVES OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. OUTLOOK. A LARGE STORM IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE CENTRAL GULF SATURDAY.  

$$

PKZ041-161400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 15 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN LATE.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-161400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1100 PM AKDT WED OCT 15 2008 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 25 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-161400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1100 PM AKDT WED OCT 15 2008 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT TO 25 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 14
FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-161400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 15 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS WITH PERIODS OF
SLEET.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-161400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 15 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS WITH PERIODS OF
SLEET.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. S SWELL. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

6 follow-up statements

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 161152
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-170100-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A DEVELOPING LOW WILL LIFT OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC THIS MORNING
AND INTO THE EASTERN GULF. THE 994 MB LOW WILL ROLL UP THE COAST
BEFORE MOVING OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE AND INLAND TONIGHT. A
RESIDUAL LOW WILL REMAIN IN THE GULF THROUGH FRI. OUTLOOK. A
LARGE STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE CENTRAL GULF SATURDAY.  

$$

PKZ041-170100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING
TO 11 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-170100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11
FT LATE. RAIN
IN THE EVENING. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-170100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING W LATE. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-170100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-170100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 161918 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1120 AM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-170100-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A DEVELOPING LOW WILL LIFT OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC THIS MORNING
AND INTO THE EASTERN GULF. THE 994 MB LOW WILL ROLL UP THE COAST
BEFORE MOVING OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE AND INLAND TONIGHT. A
RESIDUAL LOW WILL REMAIN IN THE GULF THROUGH FRI. OUTLOOK. A
LARGE STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE CENTRAL GULF SATURDAY.  

$$

PKZ041-170100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1120 AM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING
TO 11 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-170100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1120 AM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11
FT LATE. RAIN
IN THE EVENING. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-170100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING W LATE. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-170100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1120 AM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

UPDATED

.THIS AFTERNOON...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-170100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1120 AM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

UPDATED

.THIS AFTERNOON...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 162325
CWFAEG
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-171400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A SLOWLY DEEPENING LOW JUST WEST OF THE CHARLOTTES WILL MOVE
NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE TONIGHT. A RESIDUAL LOW WILL
REMAIN IN THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH FRI. OUTLOOK. A STORM FORCE
LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF SATURDAY.  
$$

PKZ041-171400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW IN THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
$$

PKZ042-171400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 
12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S GALE 35 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
$$

PKZ043-171400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W LATE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
$$

PKZ051-171400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
$$

PKZ052-171400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 16 2008 

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
$$

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 171203
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-180100-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A WEAK RESIDUAL LOW WILL REMAIN IN THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH
TONIGHT. OUTLOOK. A GALE FORCE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF SATURDAY.  

$$

PKZ041-180100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-180100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-180100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008 

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-180100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008 

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-180100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008 

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. 
.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SW
SWELL. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 171921 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1120 AM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-180100-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A WEAK RESIDUAL LOW WILL REMAIN IN THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH
TONIGHT. OUTLOOK. A GALE FORCE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF SATURDAY.  

$$

PKZ041-180100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-180100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1120 AM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008

UPDATED 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-180100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008 

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-180100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008 

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-180100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1120 AM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008 

UPDATED

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. 
.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SW
SWELL. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 172324
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-181400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A WEAK LOW WILL REMAIN IN THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH TONIGHT. A
GALE FORCE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NE INTO THE WESTERN GULF SAT.
THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SE GULF
SAT...THEN SLOWLY ACROSS SE ALASKA SAT NIGHT AND SUN.  

$$

PKZ041-181400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND BECOMING 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 36 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-181400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008 

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 35 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-181400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008 

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 33 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-181400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SW
SWELL.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-181400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 17 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING NE 10 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. SW SWELL.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.TUE...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 15, 11:47 AM AKDT, 11 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 15, 11:47 AM AKDT, 11 hours 13 minutes before

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1147 AM AKDT WED OCT 15 2008

.SHORT TERM...SHORT TERM FORECAST RUNNING PRETTY MUCH AS
PLANNED. STALLED FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE
LIFTING NORTH AS A WAVE/LOW ON THE FRONT MOVES NORTH. THIS IS
BRINGING RENEWED WIND TO THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE AND
INCREASED RAINFALL RATES TO SAID REGION.

 FIRST OF THE WAVES IS MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE AREA
WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH MOISTURE PLUME EXTENDING SOUTH OFFSHORE OF
CHICHAGOF AND BARANOF ISLANDS. THE NEXT DEVELOPING WAVE WILL MOVE
NORTH TO BE ABOUT 200 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SITKA BY THURSDAY
MORNING AND JUST WEST OF SITKA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE MODELS
SUGGESTING THAT THIS SHOULD BE THE LAST OF THE WAVES AS THE FRONT
PORTION OF THE FRONTAL BAND WILL BE SPREADING EAST TO THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BY THURSDAY EVENING. THIS WILL BE INCREASING
THE WINDS AGAIN TO AT LEAST SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FOR THE OUTER
WATERS SOUTH OF CROSS SOUND FOR LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

 FAIRLY GOOD CHANCES OF RAIN FOR THE YAKUTAT AREA TONIGHT BUT
WITH THE SURFACE LOW MOVING TO OFF OF SITKA FOR THURSDAY...THE
YAKUTAT AREA WILL BE LIMITED TO WHAT SHOWERS WILL BE SPREAD
ONSHORE BY THE WEAKER UPPER LEVEL FLOW IN THAT AREA. SO EXPECT TO
BE ONLY GOING INTO THE CHANCE CATEGORY FOR THAT AREA THURSDAY.
BEFORE THEN...FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT CAPE VALUES UP TO 400 WITH LIS
DOWN TO -2 OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF...ASSOCIATED WITH A UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH. WILL BE MENTIONING HEAVIER SHOWERS WITH SMALL
HAIL/SLEET AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED TS MIXED INTO THE SHOWERS ACROSS
THAT AREA.

 A SURFACE LOW HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE GULF
EAST OF KODIAK ISLAND THIS MORNING AND THE LOW WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
TO EAST THROUGH THURSDAY. AS THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT SETTLES IN
BETTER COLD AIR WILL BE WRAPPING INTO THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW
ENHANCING SHOWER ACTIVITY THERE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF BY
THURSDAY.

 GALE WARNING AGAIN FOR NORTHERN LYNN CANAL EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...AND BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON
WITH THE TROUGH SLIDING EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE GRADIENT
SHIFTING TO A NORTH WIND BY AFTERNOON IN THE CANAL. OTHERWISE
FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD SMALL CRAFT LEVEL WINDS/SEAS FOR MOST AREAS
EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM...CONTINUING WITH THE 5 WAVE MODEL KEEPING THE LONG
WAVE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF UNTIL NEXT WEEK.
THUS THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND WET CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. AS
PREVIOUSLY DISCUSSED THIS LONG WAVE PATTERN WILL ALLOW SEVERAL
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS TO MOVE INTO THE GULF. MOST MODELS AGREE ON
THE NEXT GALE FORCE LOW MOVING INTO THE AREA SAT INTO SUN
BRINGING RAIN AND WINDY CONDITIONS. THE 12Z GFS SHOWING A
STRONGER AND FASTER SYSTEM THAN THE 00Z ECMWF. COORDINATION WITH
HPC AND PAFC AS THEY LEANED MORE TOWARD THE GFS WAS BECOMING MORE
CONSISTENT.

MADE LITTLE CHANGES TO THE GRIDS SINCE MOST PREVIOUSLY USED
MODELS WERE NOT AS CONSISTENT. DID BLEND OUT TO DAY 3 WITH THE
NAM AS A TRANSITION WITH THE SHORT TERM. THE LOW MOVING IN ON
FRIDAY LOOKS TO CONTINUE NORTHERLY WITH THE MID LEVEL PVA AND
BAROCLINICITY ALONG THAT TRACK. KEEPING THE CONVECTIVE
ENVIRONMENT ALONG THE COAST ON FRIDAY WITH THE 500MB TEMPS NEAR
-33. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND ICE PELLETS ON FRIDAY SEEM MORE
LIKELY WITH CAPE VALUES NEAR 500 ON THE FORECAST PAYA SOUNDING.

FOR NEXT WEEK WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS THE SAME WITH MORE GALE
FORCE LOWS MOVING INTO THE GULF. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS STILL
FAIRLY HIGH UNTIL SUNDAY. MODEL CONSISTENCY IS STILL POOR BUT
EXPECTING THE MID WEEK WEATHER PATTERN TO REMAIN WITH NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR
PKZ013-021-022-031>036-041>043-051-052.

&&

BEZENEK/PRB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Oct 15, 4:00 PM AKDT	Gale Warning	AJK	7 hr
Oct 15, 4:00 PM AKDT	Small Craft Advisory	AJK	18 hr
Oct 15, 5:00 PM AKDT	Gale Warning	AJK	6 hr
Oct 15, 11:00 PM AKDT	Small Craft Advisory	AJK	5 hr
Oct 16, 12:27 AM AKDT	Wind Advisory	AJK	3 hr
Oct 16, 4:00 AM AKDT	Gale Warning	AJK	18 hr
Oct 16, 4:00 AM AKDT	Small Craft Advisory	AJK	6 hr
Oct 16, 4:45 AM AKDT	Wind Advisory	AJK	16 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2008 Every small craft advisory in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.