Gale Warning 101, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
FZAK67 PAJK 192340
OFFAJK

OFFSHORE FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA EAST OF 144 WEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM ADT WED MAR 19 2008 

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ398-201400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 NORTH AND EAST OF
144 WEST...
A 994 MB LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND MOVE
INLAND THROUGH TONIGHT. A 996 MB GALE FORCE LOW WILL INTENSIFY
WHILE TRACK NORTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF ON THURSDAY. 

$$

PKZ310-201400-
GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 DEGREES NORTH AND EAST OF 144 DEGREES
WEST-
400 PM ADT WED MAR 19 2008 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK67 PAJK 201142
OFFAJK

OFFSHORE FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA EAST OF 144 WEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
342 AM ADT THU MAR 20 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ398-210545-
.SYNOPSIS FOR GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 NORTH AND EAST OF
144 WEST...
A 988 MB GALE FORCE LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL REACH  THE
EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA THIS EVENING AS IT SENDS A WEATHER FRONT
ONSHORE THE PANHANDLE.    

$$

PKZ310-210545-
GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 DEGREES NORTH AND EAST OF 144 DEGREES
WEST-
342 AM ADT THU MAR 20 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 14 FT. S
SWELL. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK67 PAJK 201842 AAA
OFFAJK

OFFSHORE FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA EAST OF 144 WEST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1045 AM ADT THU MAR 20 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ398-210545-
.SYNOPSIS FOR GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 NORTH AND EAST OF
144 WEST...
A 988 MB GALE FORCE LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL REACH  THE
EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA THIS EVENING AS IT SENDS A WEATHER FRONT
ONSHORE THE PANHANDLE.    

$$

PKZ310-210545-
GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 DEGREES NORTH AND EAST OF 144 DEGREES
WEST-
1045 AM ADT THU MAR 20 2008

UPDATED SEAS

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 14 FT. S
SWELL. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK67 PAJK 202330
OFFAJK

OFFSHORE FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA EAST OF 144 WEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM ADT THU MAR 20 2008 

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ398-211400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 NORTH AND EAST OF
144 WEST...
A 985 MB LOW IN THE EASTERN GULF WILL SLOWLY DRIFT N TONIGHT AND
DISSIPATE FRI MORNING AS ANOTHER STRONG LOW ENTERS THE S CENTRAL
GULF. A SERIES OF WEATHER FRONTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOWS WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EASTERN GULF AND SE AK THROUGH SAT.  

$$

PKZ310-211400-
GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 DEGREES NORTH AND EAST OF 144 DEGREES
WEST-
400 PM ADT THU MAR 20 2008 

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT SHIFTING TO THE SW LATE. SEAS 12
FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK67 PAJK 211123
OFFAJK

OFFSHORE FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA EAST OF 144 WEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM ADT FRI MAR 21 2008 

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ398-220100-
.SYNOPSIS FOR GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 NORTH AND EAST OF
144 WEST...
A LOW IN THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE WEST AND WEAKEN
AND BE REPLACED BY A STRONGER 981 MB LOW TONIGHT.  A SERIES OF
WEATHER FRONTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOWS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
THE EASTERN GULF AND SE AK THROUGH SAT. 

$$

PKZ310-220100-
GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 DEGREES NORTH AND EAST OF 144 DEGREES
WEST-
400 AM ADT FRI MAR 21 2008 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT
LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK67 PAJK 212315
OFFAJK

OFFSHORE FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA EAST OF 144 WEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM ADT FRI MAR 21 2008 

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ398-221400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 NORTH AND EAST OF
144 WEST...
A 987 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN AS IT
DRIFT SLOWLY N THROUGH SAT MORNING. ANOTHER LOW WILL FORM JUST W
OF THE QUEEN CHARLOTTES SAT AFTERNOON AND MOVE N ACROSS THE
EASTERN GULF THROUGH SUN. A SERIES OF WEATHER FRONTS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LOWS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EASTERN GULF AND SE AK
OVER THE WEEKEND. 

$$

PKZ310-221400-
GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 DEGREES NORTH AND EAST OF 144 DEGREES
WEST-
400 PM ADT FRI MAR 21 2008 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT
LATE. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT BECOMING NE 20 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT OR LESS. 

$$

000 
FZAK67 PAJK 221201
OFFAJK

OFFSHORE FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA EAST OF 144 WEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM ADT SAT MAR 22 2008 

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ398-230100-
.SYNOPSIS FOR GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 NORTH AND EAST OF
144 WEST...
A 985 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL DRIFT TO THE WESTERN GULF
BY THIS AFTERNOON. A STRONG LOW WILL FORM JUST W OF THE QUEEN
CHARLOTTES THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE NW THROUGH THE FAR EASTERN
GULF TONIGHT...REACHING THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF SUN MORNING. 

$$

PKZ310-230100-
GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 DEGREES NORTH AND EAST OF 144 DEGREES
WEST-
400 AM ADT SAT MAR 22 2008 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 20 KT BECOMING W 15 TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS
13 FT. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK67 PAJK 222326
OFFAJK

OFFSHORE FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA EAST OF 144 WEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM ADT SAT MAR 22 2008 

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ398-231400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 NORTH AND EAST OF
144 WEST...
A DEVELOPING STORM FORCE LOW JUST WEST OF THE QUEEN CHARLOTTES
IS FORECAST TO RAPIDLY DEEPEN AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE EASTERN
GULF TONIGHT AND THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO THE NORTH-CENTRAL
GULF SUNDAY MORNING. ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST
GULF SUNDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ310-231400-
GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 DEGREES NORTH AND EAST OF 144 DEGREES
WEST-
400 PM ADT SAT MAR 22 2008 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN
THE EVENING. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING EAST IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
S SWELL. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. 
.WED...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK67 PAJK 231141
OFFAJK

OFFSHORE FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA EAST OF 144 WEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM ADT SUN MAR 23 2008 

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ398-240100-
.SYNOPSIS FOR GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 NORTH AND EAST OF
144 WEST...
A 985 MB LOW ABOUT 120 NM W OF SITKA WILL MOVE W TO THE
NORTH-CENTRAL GULF BY AFTERNOON. ANOTHER LOW OVER THE SW GULF
WILL MOVE TO THE SE GULF THIS AFTERNOON...THEN TURN N AND NW
THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF TONIGHT...WEAKENING SLOWLY AS IT DOES. 

$$

PKZ310-240100-
GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 DEGREES NORTH AND EAST OF 144 DEGREES
WEST-
400 AM ADT SUN MAR 23 2008 

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
.MON...S WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. SW
SWELL. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...WIND VARIABLE LESS THAN 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
1100 AM ADT TUE MAR 18 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
.SHORT RANGE...MODELS ALL INITIALIZED REASONABLY WELL THIS
MORNING WITH GFS DOING THE BEST JOB DEPICTING THE JET CORE
BETWEEN 40N AND 50N. USED GFS FOR GRIDS. A MAJORITY OF THE
THICKER OVERCAST LAYER IS NOW OVER THE PANHANDLE AND TRACKING
NORTHEAST INTO CANADA. THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF OPEN CELL
CUMULUS OVER WATER INDICATING COLD AIR AND INSTABILITY. THERE HAS
ALREADY BEEN LIGHTNING DETECTED WELL TO OUR SOUTH IN CHARLOTTE
SOUND NORTH OF VANCOUVER ISLAND BUT NOTHING IN THE VICINITY OF
THE PANHANDLE SO FAR. LIFTED INDICES ARE INDICATING A POTENTIAL
FOR CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY/THUNDER ALONG THE CENTRAL OUTER
COAST...SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT AND FREDERICK SOUND. HAVE NOT PUT
ANY REFERENCE TO THUNDER IN THE ZONES OR MARINES SO FAR AS THE
NUMBERS ARE NOT TOO IMPRESSIVE AND THE SHORT TERM FORECAST IS FOR
INCREASED STABILITY THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND INTO THE NIGHT.
NEVERTHELESS...WILL KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR ANY CHANGES.

LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES PROJECTED TO COOL DOWN OVER THE COURSE OF
THE SHORT RANGE FORECAST PERIOD AS AIR ROUNDS THE BASE OF THE
LONG WAVE TROUGH ANCHORED OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE ASSOCIATED
SURFACE CIRCULATION REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF AS SEVERAL PIECES OF SHORT WAVE ENERGY ROUND THE TROUGH AND
HEAD FOR THE PANHANDLE. THIS SETUP WILL KEEP SEAK IN A MOIST
ONSHORE ENVIRONMENT AND SHORTWAVE ENERGY WILL PERIODICALLY
ENHANCE SNOW AND RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY THROUGHOUT TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW FOR MOST LOCATIONS. SO FAR...DO NOT EXPECT ANY SNOW
ADVISORY ISSUES IN THE SHORT TERM BUT HAVE NOT LOOKED CLOSELY AT
THOSE GRIDS YET.

IN TERMS OF WIND...FAIRLY UNIFORM SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KTS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW BUT AM STILL ANTICIPATING
MARGINAL SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR RESIDUAL SEAS. ON THE
INSIDE...SOUTHEAST SMALL CRAFT WINDS OVER CLARENCE STRAIT SHOULD
WIND DOWN TONIGHT AND STAY BELOW 25 KTS TOMORROW. FCF

.LONG RANGE...AS THE ANCHOR OF LONG WAVE HAS BROKEN OVER THE
ASIA...THE LONG WAVE AXIS RETURNS TO EAST ACROSS THE ALASKA
REGION. WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE WAVE...MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH STALLING LOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH THE
END OF LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD. WILL USE THE LATEST GFS40 AND
LONG RANGE SOLUTIONS PRIMARILY. THE LOW ENTERING THE CENTRAL GULF
WEDNESDAY WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE SERIES OF FRONTS OVER ITS
EASTERN PERIPHERY TO THE SOUTHEAST ALASKA WITH PERSISTING ONSHORE
FLOW ACROSS THE PANHANDLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS SYNOPTIC
PATTERN WILL KEEP THE FORECAST AREA WET. AS THE FIRST FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SWEEPS ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...GALE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE
OFFSHORE AND OUTSIDE WATERS AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF INSIDE
CHANNELS. MAY NEED TO ISSUE WIND ADVISORY LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. THIS FRONT ALSO LOOKS LIKE TO BRING HEAVY PRECIPITATION
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. SPRING EQUINOX IS JUST AROUND THE CORNER BUT
THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN COLD ENOUGH FOR MORE SNOW ESPECIALLY
OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA WITH RAIN/SNOW MIX TO THE
SOUTH AND COASTAL SECTIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AHN

.AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...SMCR PKZ022-036-041>043-051>052