Wind Advisory 4, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 191301
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
401 AM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

AKZ225-192115-
/X.EXT.PAFG.WI.Y.0004.080119T1301Z-080120T1500Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
401 AM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST SUNDAY THROUGH
PASSES...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST SUNDAY. 

IN PASSES...SOUTH WINDS WILL GUST TO 60 MPH THROUGH TONIGHT. 
WINDS WILL DECREASE EARLY SUNDAY. 

$$

AKZ226-192115-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0004.080120T0300Z-080120T1500Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
401 AM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
AST SUNDAY THROUGH PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
AST SUNDAY. 

IN PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
50 MPH THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TONIGHT. WINDS WILL DECREASE 
EARLY SUNDAY. 

$$

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 191313 AAA
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
413 AM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

AKZ225-200000-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-080120T1500Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
413 AM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST SUNDAY
THROUGH PASSES...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST SUNDAY. 

IN PASSES...SOUTH WINDS WILL GUST TO 60 MPH THROUGH TONIGHT.
WINDS WILL DECREASE EARLY SUNDAY.

$$

AKZ226-200000-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0004.080120T0300Z-080120T1500Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
413 AM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
AST SUNDAY THROUGH PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
AST SUNDAY. 

IN PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
50 MPH THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TONIGHT. WINDS WILL DECREASE
EARLY SUNDAY.

$$

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 192209
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
109 PM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

AKZ225-201500-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-080120T1500Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
109 PM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST SUNDAY
THROUGH PASSES...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST SUNDAY. 

IN PASSES...SOUTH WINDS WILL GUST TO 65 MPH THROUGH TONIGHT.
WINDS WILL DECREASE EARLY SUNDAY.

$$

AKZ226-201500-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0004.080120T0300Z-080120T1500Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
109 PM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
AST SUNDAY THROUGH PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
AST SUNDAY. 

IN PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
50 MPH THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TONIGHT. WINDS WILL DECREASE
EARLY SUNDAY.

$$
RT JAN 08

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 201023
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
123 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

AKZ225-201800-
/X.UPG.PAFG.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-080120T1500Z/
/X.NEW.PAFG.HW.W.0002.080120T1023Z-080120T1800Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
123 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AST THIS MORNING
THROUGH PASSES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AST THIS MORNING. THE
WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

IN PASSES...SOUTH WINDS WILL GUST TO 70 MPH THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY.
WINDS WILL DECREASE SUNDAY MORNING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED. TAKE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE. 

$$

AKZ226-201800-
/X.EXT.PAFG.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-080120T1800Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
123 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AST THIS MORNING
THROUGH PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AST THIS MORNING. 

IN PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...SOUTH WINDS WILL GUST TO 60 MPH
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. WINDS WILL DECREASE SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 201429
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
529 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

AKZ225-201800-
/X.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080120T1800Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
529 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AST THIS
MORNING THROUGH PASSES...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AST THIS
MORNING. 

IN PASSES...SOUTH WINDS NOW GUSTING TO 75 MPH WILL DECREASE AFTER
9AM THIS MORNING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED. TAKE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

AKZ226-201800-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-080120T1800Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
529 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AST THIS MORNING
THROUGH PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AST THIS MORNING. 

IN PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...SOUTH WINDS NOW GUSTING 
TO 60 MPH WILL DECREASE AFTER 9AM THIS MORNING.

$$

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 201751
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
851 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

AKZ225-202100-
/X.EXT.PAFG.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080120T2100Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
851 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AST TODAY THROUGH
PASSES...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AST TODAY. 

IN PASSES...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 65 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE
THROUGH THIS MORNING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED. TAKE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

AKZ226-202100-
/X.EXT.PAFG.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-080120T2100Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
851 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AST TODAY THROUGH
PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AST TODAY. 

IN PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...SOUTH WINDS NOW GUSTING TO
60 MPH WILL DECREASE THROUGH THIS MORNING.

$$

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 202043
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1143 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

AKZ225-210500-
/X.CAN.PAFG.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080120T2100Z/
/X.EXB.PAFG.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-080121T0600Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
1143 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AST THIS EVENING. THE
HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

IN PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...SOUTH WINDS NOW GUSTING TO 55 MPH
WILL DECREASE THROUGH THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF AT LEAST 50
MPH ARE EXPECTED OR ARE OCCURRING

$$

AKZ226-210500-
/X.EXT.PAFG.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-080121T1200Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
1143 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AST MONDAY THROUGH
PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AST MONDAY. 

IN PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...SOUTH WINDS NOW GUSTING TO
60 MPH WILL DECREASE SLIGHTLY OVER NIGHT.

$$

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 210415
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
715 PM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

AKZ225-210515-
/X.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-080121T0600Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
715 PM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 



$$

AKZ226-211200-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-080121T1200Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
715 PM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AST MONDAY
THROUGH PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AST MONDAY. 
SOUTH WINDS LOCALLY GUSTING TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT IN PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF.

IN PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...SOUTH WINDS NOW GUSTING TO
60 MPH WILL DECREASE SLIGHTLY OVER NIGHT.

$$

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 211202
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
302 AM AST MON JAN 21 2008

AKZ226-220000-
/X.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-080121T1200Z/
/X.NEW.PAFG.WI.Y.0005.080122T0000Z-080122T1500Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
302 AM AST MON JAN 21 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM AST
TUESDAY THROUGH PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...
...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM
AST TUESDAY. THE WIND ADVISORY WHICH HAD BEEN IN EFFECT FOR
EARLY THIS MORNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

IN PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON TO 20 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.  THE STRONG WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. 

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF AT LEAST 50
MPH ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. 

$$

AKZ225-220000-
/X.NEW.PAFG.WI.Y.0005.080122T0000Z-080122T1500Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
302 AM AST MON JAN 21 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM AST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM
AST TUESDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 40 MPH IN PASSES THIS AFTERNOON
WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE.  THE STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TONIGHT. 

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF AT LEAST 50 MPH
ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. 

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
557 AM AST FRI JAN 18 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A LONG WAVE RIDGE OVER ALASKA WITH A DEEP TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN
BERING AND NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL INCREASE IN AMPLITUDE THROUGH
SAT AND THEN SLOWLY PROGRESS EAST SUN INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS MEANS
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE OVER THE INTERIOR INTO
NEXT WEEK WHILE THE WEST AND ARCTIC COASTS ARE STORMY WITH
SIGNIFICANT PERIODS OF STRONG WINDS, SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW FROM
SAT INTO NEXT WEEK.

A WEAK SHORT WAVE FROM KOTZEBUE TO EAGLE WILL DRIFT NORTHEAST AND
WEAKEN TODAY. THERE ARE A FEW SNOW SHOWERS WITH THIS. A SECOND
SHORT WAVE FROM GAMBELL TO KING SALMON WILL MOVE TO KOTZEBUE TO
NORTHWAY BY 3PM FRI...TO WAINWRIGHT TO OLD CROW BY 3AM SAT AND
THEN NORTHEAST. EXPECT SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH
INLAND BUT MORE WIDESPREAD ALONG THE WEST COAST.

A STRONG LOW SOUTH OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA AS
A 958 LOW BY 3PM SAT AND TO THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA AS A 983 MB
LOW SUN. WILL SEE SOUTHEAST GALES AND SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL (4-8
INCHES) AHEAD OF THE LOW ALONG THE WEST COAST AND EXPECTED
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO START OVER THE YUKON DELTA BY MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT AND SPREAD NORTH TO THE SEWARD PEN SAT AND TO THE WESTERN
BROOKS RANGE SAT NIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN ZONES 214 AND
212 SAT ALONG THE FRONT BUT WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW LATE SAT SO
WILL BE ONLY A BRIEF RESPITE FROM THE BLIZZARD.

THE POISONOUS TAIL PORTION OF THE WRAP AROUND OCCLUSION IN THE
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE LOW COULD CAUSE EXTREME WINDS SUN IF GFS
SOLUTION OCCURS.

CHINOOK WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ALASKA RANGE SAT INTO SUN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE NAM INITIALIZES BETTER ON THE TWO SHORT WAVES MOVING OVER THE
INTERIOR TODAY AND IS PREFERRED IN THE SHORT TERM. MODELS STILL
DIFFER ON STRENGTH AND SPEED OF MOVEMENT OF THE STRONG LOW NORTH
INTO THE BERING SEA ON SAT. GFS REMAINS THE STRONGEST AND FASTEST
BUT GIVEN THE VERY STRONG STRONG DYNAMICS WE ARE GOING WITH THE
GFS ON THIS FEATURE. ALL MODELS SHOW GALES IN ANY CASE.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BLIZZARD WATCH FOR AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ209-AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ212-
AKZ213-AKZ214.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ213.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210.
&&

JB JAN 08