High Wind Watch 2, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
WWAK72 PAFG 030438
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
738 PM AKST TUE DEC 2 2008

AKZ213-031500-
/X.CON.PAFG.HW.A.0002.081204T0300Z-081205T1500Z/
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT COAST-
INCLUDING...GAMBELL...SAVOONGA...BREVIG MISSION...TELLER...
WALES...DIOMEDE
738 PM AKST TUE DEC 2 2008

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. 

NORTH WINDS 30 TO 45 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG WEATHER FRONT
OVER THE SOUTHERN BRING SEA MOVES NORTHWARD. ADDITIONALLY THERE
MAY BE POOR VISIBILITY IN BLOWING SNOW.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HAZARDOUS HIGH
WINDS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

000 
WWAK72 PAFG 031432
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
532 AM AKST WED DEC 3 2008

AKZ213-032300-
/X.CON.PAFG.HW.A.0002.081204T0300Z-081205T1500Z/
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT COAST-
INCLUDING...GAMBELL...SAVOONGA...BREVIG MISSION...TELLER...
WALES...DIOMEDE
532 AM AKST WED DEC 3 2008

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. 

NORTH WINDS 30 TO 45 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG WEATHER FRONT
OVER THE SOUTHERN BRING SEA MOVES NORTHWARD. ADDITIONALLY THERE
MAY BE POOR VISIBILITY IN BLOWING SNOW.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HAZARDOUS HIGH
WINDS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

000 
WWAK72 PAFG 032235
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
135 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008

AKZ213-040700-
/X.UPG.PAFG.HW.A.0002.081204T0300Z-081205T1500Z/
/X.NEW.PAFG.HW.W.0008.081204T0300Z-081205T1600Z/
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT COAST-
INCLUDING...GAMBELL...SAVOONGA...BREVIG MISSION...TELLER...
WALES...DIOMEDE
135 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
AKST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM AKST
FRIDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

NORTH WINDS 30 TO 45 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG WEATHER FRONT
OVER THE SOUTHERN BRING SEA MOVES NORTHWARD. ADDITIONALLY THERE
MAY BE POOR VISIBILITY IN BLOWING SNOW. 

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED. TAKE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE. 

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
251 AM AKST TUE DEC 2 2008

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS SIMILAR THROUGH FIRST 48 HOURS NOW. THE NAM HAS AT LEAST
BOUGHT OFF ON THE GFS SOLUTION AND AND THE ECMWF IS NOW TRACKING
VERY SIMILAR IN THE SHORT TERM. GFS MODEL TO MODEL RUN CONTINUES
TO BE PRETTY CONSISTENT. THE NAM IS ALL OVER THE PLACE.

AFTER 30 HOURS THE ECMWF AND THE GFS WIDELY DISAGREE ON LOW IN THE
NORTH PACIFIC NEAR THE ALEUTIANS. THE ECMWF BY FAR IS THE WARMEST
AND EXTENDS OCCLUDED FRONT FROM THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH FAIRBANKS.
DISAGREE WITH THAT SOLUTION BECAUSE OF UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE
AREA AT THE SAME TIME. AT 60 HOURS NO MODEL IS ANYWHERE CLOSE TO
THE OTHERS. THEREFORE SINCE THE GFS HAS BEEN SO CONSISTENT AND
HAS DONE WELL THUS FAR...WILL OPT TO GO WITH GFS SOLUTION.

UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT HAS BROUGHT IN THE QUICK SUPPLY OF COLD AIR
WILL RAPIDLY EXIT THE STATE AND END UP NORTH OF DEMARCATION POINT
BY EARLY WED MORNING. THIS WILL PULL A LARGE AMOUNT OF COLD AIR
EASTWARD AND OUT OF THE STATE. MEANWHILE...LARGE NORTH PACIFIC LOW
WILL PUSH ITS OCCLUDED FRONT TO EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF
THE WEST COAST BY WED AFTERNOON. BY LATE WED NIGHT THE NEXT FRONT
FROM THE SAME COMPLEX LOW MOVES EASTWARD AND BEGINS TO GENERATE
THE SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE STATE THAT WILL
LIKELY USHER IN DECENT MOISTURE TO PRODUCE POTENTIALLY DECENT
SNOWFALL IN THE INTERIOR THROUGH FRIDAY.

WEST COAST FROM THE SEWARD PENINSULA SOUTHWARD WILL SEE STRONG
WINDS DEVELOP WITH THE GRADIENT TIGHTENING BETWEEN THE LOW IN THE
NORTH PACIFIC AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN ALASKA. THIS
SCENARIO WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK.

THE ARCTIC COAST WILL STAY OUT OF MOST OF THE ACTION. WINDS WILL
BE RELATIVELY LIGHT AND THE COLDER AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER
THAT AREA.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ220.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ210.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ225.
&&

CF DEC 08