Brisk Wind Advisory 39, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000
FZAK51 PAFG 102132
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1232 PM AST SUN FEB 10 2008

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-111245-
1232 PM AST SUN FEB 10 2008

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1032 MB HIGH 150 NM NORTHWEST OF BARROW WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
NORTHWEST. A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER INTERIOR ALASKA WILL MOVE TO
LIE ALONG THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA MON PM. 

$$

PKZ225-111245-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
1232 PM AST SUN FEB 10 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-111245-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
1232 PM AST SUN FEB 10 2008

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-111245-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
1232 PM AST SUN FEB 10 2008

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-111245-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
1232 PM AST SUN FEB 10 2008

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-111245-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
1232 PM AST SUN FEB 10 2008

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT.
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

JK/TF FEB 08

000
FZAK51 PAFG 111220
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
320 AM AST MON FEB 11 2008

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-120315-
320 AM AST MON FEB 11 2008

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1032 MB HIGH 150 NM NORTHWEST OF BARROW WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
NORTHWEST. A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER INTERIOR ALASKA WILL MOVE 
TO LIE ALONG THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA MON EVENING.

$$

PKZ225-120315-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
320 AM AST MON FEB 11 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-120315-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
320 AM AST MON FEB 11 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT.
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-120315-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
320 AM AST MON FEB 11 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-120315-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
320 AM AST MON FEB 11 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-120315-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
320 AM AST MON FEB 11 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

JB/MAR FEB 08

000
FZAK51 PAFG 112134
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1234 PM AST MON FEB 11 2008

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-121530-
1234 PM AST MON FEB 11 2008

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1032 MB HIGH 150 NM NORTHWEST OF BARROW WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
NORTHWEST. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN ALASKA
ARCTIC COAST WILL PERSIST MON NIGHT AND TUE.

$$

PKZ225-121530-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
1234 PM AST MON FEB 11 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT.
.TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SE. 
.WED...SE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING NE. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-121530-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
1234 PM AST MON FEB 11 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-121530-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
1234 PM AST MON FEB 11 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-121530-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
1234 PM AST MON FEB 11 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...WELL OFFSHORE E WINDS 25 KT. NEAR THE COAST SE WINDS 15
KT. FOG.
.TUE...WELL OFFSHORE E WINDS 25 KT. NEAR THE COAST SE WINDS 15 KT.
FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT.
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT.

$$

PKZ245-121530-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
1234 PM AST MON FEB 11 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...WELL OFFSHORE E WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT MON EVENING.
NEAR THE COAST E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TUE...WELL OFFSHORE E WINDS 25 KT. NEAR SHORE E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

TF/RL FEB 08

000
FZAK51 PAFG 121237
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
337 AM AST TUE FEB 12 2008

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-130330-
337 AM AST TUE FEB 12 2008

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN CHUKCHI SEA AND ARCTIC
OCEAN WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH WED. LOW PRESSURE OVER
WESTERN INTERIOR ALASKA AND THE SEWARD PENINSULA WILL
ALSO PERSIST THROUGH WED.

$$

PKZ225-130330-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
337 AM AST TUE FEB 12 2008

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SE. 
.WED...S WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-130330-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
337 AM AST TUE FEB 12 2008

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-130330-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
337 AM AST TUE FEB 12 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-130330-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
337 AM AST TUE FEB 12 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-130330-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
337 AM AST TUE FEB 12 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

JB/MAR FEB 08

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
214 PM AST SAT FEB 9 2008

.DISCUSSION...THIS MORNINGS NAM MODEL ANALYSIS WAS CLOSER TO THE
DATA THAN THE GSM ANALYSIS...WHICH INDICATED 500 MB HEIGHTS ON THE
LOW SIDE OVER EASTERN AND CENTRAL ALASKA. THIS DIFFERENCE DID NOT
RESULT IN ANY IMPORTANT DISAGREEMENT NEAR THE SURFACE. BOTH MODELS
FORECAST THE LOW ALOFT NOW OVER THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR OF ALASKA
TO SHIFT LOCATION TO THE WESTERN INTERIOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND TO THE
EASTERN SEWARD PENINSULA ON MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN END TO
THE COLD SPELL STARTING MONDAY...AS WINDS ALOFT BECOME SOUTHERLY.
THE CHANGE ON MONDAY WILL NOT BE DRASTIC...AS WOULD BE THE CASE
WITH A BIG CHINOOK...BUT WILL BRING AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ABOVE
ZERO OVER MUCH OF THE INTERIOR AND WESTERN ALASKA. THE SEWARD
PENINSULA AND YUKON DELTA COASTS WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE ABOVE ZERO
READINGS IN THE AFTERNOON.

AS WARMER AIR ALOFT FLOWS IN OVER THE EASTERN MAINLAND MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT THERE WILL BE A REAL INFLUX OF CLOUDS AND PROBABLY
SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL DUE TO OVER RUNNING FROM THE SOUTH. TODAYS
POLAR ORBITING SATELLITE IMAGERY ONLY SHOWS THIN CLOUD BANDS WELL
TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALASKA RANGE...AND A FEW CLOUDS OVER THE YUKON
DELTA AND OFFSHORE THE NORTON SOUND COAST. ASIDE FROM ISOLATED
AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS NEAR THE COAST...THE ARCTIC IS LIKE THE
INTERIOR...COMPLETELY CLEAR. THE WINDY AREAS IN THE SOUTHWEST
INTERIOR AND THE DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS ZONES ARE BLURRED BY THE
WIND...WHICH IS MOST PREVALENT OVER THE HIGH COUNTRY.

INFRARED SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN
INTERIOR WERE AS FAR DOWN AS 50 TO 53 BELOW DEGREES C THIS
MORNING...AND HAVE SINCE COME UP TO -40 TO -45 C. THUS...THERE HAS
NOT BEEN SUBSTANTIVE CHANGE JUST YET. HOWEVER...A GRADUAL PULLOUT
FROM THE COLD WILL BEGIN MONDAY AND REALLY SET IN BY TUESDAY
NIGHT. FROM THIS THERE IS NO INDICATION OF GOING BACK ANYTIME
SOON.

WIND CHILLS OVER MUCH OF NORTHERN ALASKA HAVE RETREATED BACK FROM
THRESHOLD LEVELS SO MOST OF THE ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN CANCELED. FOR
THE MOST PART TEMPERATURES HAVE COME UP JUST ENOUGH FOR THIS TO
HAPPEN...AND AS TEMPERATURES FALL TONIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY BACK DOWN.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ223-AKZ224-AKZ226.

WIND CHILL WARNING FOR AKZ201.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ219-AKZ220-AKZ221.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210.
&&

TF FEB 08