Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2008

Storm Warning 50, NWS Anchorage, AK

February 3, 2008

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Feb 3, 2008, 11:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 3, 2008, 11:00 AM AKST (20:00 UTC)
Expired
Feb 4, 2008, 11:00 PM AKST
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 040029
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST SUN FEB 3 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-041500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 985 MB LOW 175 NM SOUTHWEST OF ST PAUL ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 110 NM
SOUTHWEST OF ST PAUL ISLAND AND WEAKEN TO 997 MB MON AFTERNOON. THIS
LOW WILL DISSIPATE MON NIGHT. A 991 MB LOW 295 NM WEST OF SHEMYA WILL
MOVE TO 420 NM WEST OF SHEMYA MON AFTERNOON. A LARGE 970 MB LOW NEAR
38N 155E WILL MOVE TO 65 NM SOUTH OF ATKA TUE AFTERNOON WITH A 965 MB
CENTER.
$$

PKZ150-041500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AST SUN FEB 3 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-041500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST SUN FEB 3 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...EAST OF SAND POINT...E WIND 15 KT. W WIND 30 KT DECREASING
TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT ELSEWHERE. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-041500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST SUN FEB 3 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ165-041500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST SUN FEB 3 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-041500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST SUN FEB 3 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-041500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST SUN FEB 3 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-041500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST SUN FEB 3 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-041500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST SUN FEB 3 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-041500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST SUN FEB 3 2008

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-041500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST SUN FEB 3 2008

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-041500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST SUN FEB 3 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ179-041500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST SUN FEB 3 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$
3 follow-up statements
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 041300
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST MON FEB 4 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-050300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A NEARLY STATIONARY 985 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT GEORGE WILL
WEAKEN TO 997 MB BY MON AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATE BY TUE MORNING. A
LARGE 962 MB LOW IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL BECOME A 977 MB LOW 
60 NM SOUTH OF SEGUAM ISLAND TUE NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ150-050300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON EXCEPT W
WIND 25 KT SOUTH OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-050300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-050300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-050300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-050300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. 

$$

PKZ170-050300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...STRONGEST
WEST OF UNALASKA. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-050300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE WIND 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-050300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-050300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-050300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E WIND 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-050300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-050300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20
FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 050001
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST MON FEB 4 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-051500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 998 MB LOW 175 NM SOUTHWEST OF ST PAUL WILL DISSIPATE MON NIGHT. A
960 MB LOW 500 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 125 NM SOUTH OF ATKA
AT 965 MB TUE AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE TO 50 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH
HARBOR AT 984 MB WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-051500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-051500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-051500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-051500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO E 20 TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-051500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-051500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-051500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-051500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-051500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-051500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-051500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-051500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST MON FEB 4 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 051259
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST TUE FEB 5 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-060300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A LARGE 960 MB LOW CENTERED 240 NM SOUTH OF AMCHITKA WILL WEAKEN TO
975 MB 90 NM EAST OF ATKA TUE NIGHT THEN DISSIPATE 75 NM SOUTH OF
SAND POINT WED NIGHT. A WEAK LOW LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR ADAK TUE NIGHT
THEN MOVE TO NEAR SEGUAM ISLAND AT 990 MB BY THU MORNING. 
$$

PKZ150-060300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AST TUE FEB 5 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-060300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AST TUE FEB 5 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E WIND 25 KT IN THE
MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-060300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST TUE FEB 5 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-060300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST TUE FEB 5 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. AREAS OF FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. AREAS OF FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-060300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST TUE FEB 5 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT.

$$

PKZ170-060300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST TUE FEB 5 2008

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT EXCEPT SE 25 KT ON THE PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 20
FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT EXCEPT S WIND 20 KT ON THE PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 22
FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-060300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST TUE FEB 5 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-060300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST TUE FEB 5 2008

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT ON THE PACIFIC SIDE IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE WIND 15 KT ON THE PACIFIC
SIDE. SEAS TO 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT ON THE BERING SIDE. W WIND 25 KT ELSEWHERE. SEAS
TO 26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-060300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST TUE FEB 5 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-060300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST TUE FEB 5 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-060300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST TUE FEB 5 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-060300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST TUE FEB 5 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Feb 3, 8:35 AM AKST, 2 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 3, 8:35 AM AKST, 2 hours 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
135 PM AST SUN FEB 3 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...TODAYS RUNS APPEAR BETTER THAN SATURDAYS STUFF
WITH RESPECT TO THE GULF AND PRIBILOF STORMS. GULF LOW DRIFTING EAST
PER MODEL GUIDENCE AND WEAKENING. THIS LOW WILL DISSIPATE MONDAY AND
ANOTHER WILL DEVELOP FARTHER TO THE WEST MONDAY EVENING IN RESPONSE
TO HEIGHT FALLS AND CONTINUED COLD OUTFLOW FROM THE INTERIOR. MODELS
AGAIN MAY BE TOO WEAK WITH THIS FEATURE SINCE THEY SEEM TO KEY IN ON
THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC 975 MB SYSTEM THAT MOVES TO DIXION ENTRANCE ON
TUESDAY.

PRIBILOF ISLAND STORM HAS BEEN A GREAT WIND PRODUCER..A HUGE MISS
FROM YESTERDAYS FORECASTS..WITH STORMS IN THE MARINE SECTOR AND GUSTS
TO 60 MPH AT ST GEORGE. USUALLY WHEN A STORM TRACKS NORTH AND TO THE
WEST OF THE PRIBILOFS THERE IS ENUF WARMING TO END THE BLIZZARD AND
CHANGE THE PRECIP OVER TO RAIN. THIS IS NOT THE CASE SINCE THE
WESTERLY JET ALONG 38N HAS CUT OFF ANY WARM AIR. THIS WOULD ALSO
EXPLAIN THE LACK OF SNOW AT ST PAUL. THE BLIZZARD WARNING THROUGH
MOST OF MONDAY OUT THAT WAY LOOKS GOOD AS THE LOW STOPS THIS EVENING
THEM GRADUALLY WEAKENS.

NEXT BIG STORM MOVES UP TO THE SOUTH SIDE OF CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND PRODUCES A SIGNIFICANT GRADIENT ACROSS MOST OF
THE BERING FOR 40-50 KT EASTERLIES. THE TREND OF ELONGATING THE
FRONTS AND ASSOCIATED TRIPLE POINT WAVES EASTWARD CONTINUES WEDNESDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY AS COLD ARCTIC HIGH HOLDS OVER THE NORTHERN BERING
AND THE INTERIOR. THE PATTERN WILL ALSO RESULT IN PERIODS OF WARNING
LEVEL NORTH AND NORTHEAST WINDS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND COPPER RIVER
DELTA THROUGH FRIDAY AT LEAST.

UPPER LEVELS...UPPER HIGH NORTHERN BERING REMAINS QUASI STATIONARY
AND WOBBLES SOME AS A SERIES OF WEAK IMPULSES WORK THEIR WAY UP AND
AROUND THE PERIMETER. 3AM GFS RUN HOLDS THIS OMEGA OR REX TYPE BLOCK
IN PLACE INTO NEXT WEEKEND AND THEN START SOME RETROGRESSION.

NO CHANGE IN CLEAR AND COLD WEATHER FOR MUCH OF FORECAST AREA. THE
ICE AGE LIKE THICKNESSES YESTERDAYS RUN BROUGHT INTO THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN ARE NOW EXPECTED STAY MORE NORTH AND EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE
WHERE THEY BELONG...AND HAVE BEEN FOR THE LAST WEEK. STILL COLD ENUF
FOR AREAS OF ZONE 141 TO DROP TO -40 OR -45F IN THE CALM CLEAR
VALLEYS.

-34 THIS MORNING AT WILLOW WILL BE REPEATED TONIGHT AND IS
REPRESENTATIVE OF THE SUSITNA VALLEY ALONG AND EAST OF THE PARKS
HIWAY UP TO TRAPER CREEK OR SO. INCREASING UPPER SUPPORT BEYOND
TONIGHT WILL INCREASE SURFACE NORTHERLIES AND BRING SOME WIND CHILLS
ADVISORY POTENTIAL FROM THE PARK SOUTH ACROSS THE KENAI PEN AND MOST
OF PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THE PRIBILOFS.
         WIND CHILL ADVISORY 155 STARTING TONIGHT IF THE WIND PICKS
         UP.
         HIGH WIND WATCH TUE NIGHT FOR NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
         AND COPPER RIVER DELTA.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AREAS 160 185 125 129 130 132 138 140
                                    141.
         GALE AREAS 170 172 185
         STORM AREA 179.

PERCY FEB 08

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 2, 5:30 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC18 hr
Feb 2, 5:30 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Feb 2, 5:45 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC6 days
Feb 2, 6:53 PM AKSTBlizzard WarningAFC38 hr
Feb 2, 6:55 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC16 hr
Feb 2, 11:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Feb 2, 11:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Feb 2, 11:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Feb 2, 11:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Feb 2, 11:00 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Feb 2, 11:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC4 days
Feb 2, 11:15 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC24 hr
Feb 3, 12:06 AM AKSTHigh Wind WarningAFC12 hr
Feb 3, 4:45 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC42 hr
Feb 3, 5:02 AM AKSTWind Chill AdvisoryAFC54 hr
Feb 3, 7:42 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC15 hr
Feb 3, 10:50 AM AKSTHigh Wind WatchAFC18 hr
Feb 3, 11:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Feb 3, 11:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Feb 3, 11:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days
Feb 3, 11:00 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC12 hr
Feb 3, 11:00 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC48 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2008Every storm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.