Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2008
Storm Warning 204, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Dec 3, 2008, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 3, 2008, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 3, 2008, 9:55 PM AKST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 FZAK52 PAFC 040007 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-041500- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 965 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTH OF ATKA WILL WEAKEN TO 985 MB AS IT SLOWLY MOVES TO 135 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY FRI AFTERNOON. A 972 MB LOW 100 NM NORTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE TO NEAR SAINT GEORGE ISLAND THU AFTERNOON AT 982 MB AND THEN TO 225 NM WEST OF DUTCH HARBOR FRI AFTERNOON AT 989 MB. $$ PKZ150-041500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ155-041500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ160-041500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. STRONGER GUSTS 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES ENDING BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ165-041500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ180-041500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF CAPE MENDENHALL. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF CAPE MENDENHALL. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. $$ PKZ170-041500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT PACIFIC SIDE AND 9 FT BERING SIDE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT PACIFIC SIDE AND 9 FT BERING SIDE. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ171-041500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ172-041500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ175-041500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ176-041500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. .THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ185-041500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ179-041500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
000 FZAK52 PAFC 040352 AAA CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA....UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 UPDATED ZONE 185 MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-041500- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 965 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTH OF ATKA WILL WEAKEN TO 985 MB AS IT SLOWLY MOVES TO 135 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY FRI AFTERNOON. A 972 MB LOW 100 NM NORTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE TO NEAR SAINT GEORGE ISLAND THU AFTERNOON AT 982 MB AND THEN TO 225 NM WEST OF DUTCH HARBOR FRI AFTERNOON AT 989 MB. $$ PKZ150-041500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ155-041500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ160-041500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. STRONGER GUSTS 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES ENDING BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ165-041500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ180-041500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF CAPE MENDENHALL. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF CAPE MENDENHALL. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. $$ PKZ170-041500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT PACIFIC SIDE AND 9 FT BERING SIDE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT PACIFIC SIDE AND 9 FT BERING SIDE. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ171-041500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ172-041500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ175-041500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ176-041500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. .THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ185-041500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ179-041500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAFC 040354 AAA CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA....UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 655 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 UPDATED ZONE 185 RETRANSMISSION MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-041500- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 965 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTH OF ATKA WILL WEAKEN TO 985 MB AS IT SLOWLY MOVES TO 135 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY FRI AFTERNOON. A 972 MB LOW 100 NM NORTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE TO NEAR SAINT GEORGE ISLAND THU AFTERNOON AT 982 MB AND THEN TO 225 NM WEST OF DUTCH HARBOR FRI AFTERNOON AT 989 MB. $$ PKZ150-041500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ155-041500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ160-041500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. STRONGER GUSTS 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES ENDING BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ165-041500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ180-041500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF CAPE MENDENHALL. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF CAPE MENDENHALL. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. $$ PKZ170-041500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT PACIFIC SIDE AND 9 FT BERING SIDE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT PACIFIC SIDE AND 9 FT BERING SIDE. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ171-041500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ172-041500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ175-041500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ176-041500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. .THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ185-041500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 655 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ179-041500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAFC 040653 AAB CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA....UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 955 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 UPDATED ZONES 150, 155, 160, 165, 185, 179. MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-041500- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 965 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTH OF ATKA WILL WEAKEN TO 985 MB AS IT SLOWLY MOVES TO 135 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY FRI AFTERNOON. A 972 MB LOW 100 NM NORTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE TO NEAR SAINT GEORGE ISLAND THU AFTERNOON AT 982 MB AND THEN TO 225 NM WEST OF DUTCH HARBOR FRI AFTERNOON AT 989 MB. $$ PKZ150-041500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 955 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ155-041500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 955 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ160-041500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 955 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ165-041500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 955 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES ENDING AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ180-041500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF CAPE MENDENHALL. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF CAPE MENDENHALL. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. $$ PKZ170-041500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT PACIFIC SIDE AND 9 FT BERING SIDE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT PACIFIC SIDE AND 9 FT BERING SIDE. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ171-041500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ172-041500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ175-041500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ176-041500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. .THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ185-041500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 955 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ179-041500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 955 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Dec 3, 1:10 PM AKST, 2 hours 50 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 3, 1:10 PM AKST, 2 hours 50 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
110 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2008
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A LARGE CLOSED UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE
IS NEARLY STATIONARY SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. A STRONG UPPER
JET (ESTIMATED JET MAX OF 160KT) IS RIDING NORTHWARD UP THE EASTERN
SIDE OF THIS CYCLONE/WESTERN SIDE OF A BUILDING RIDGE TO SOUTHWEST
ALASKA...PUMPING LOTS OF MOISTURE AND WARM AIR NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND. BRISTOL BAY TO KODIAK ISLAND HAVE WARMED UP
SIGNIFICANTLY WITH PRECIPITATION PREDOMINANTLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN.
HOWEVER...FURTHER NORTH THERE IS STILL ARCTIC AIR IN PLACE AT THE
SURFACE. SO THE WARM AIR IS RIDING OVER TOP OF THIS COLD AIR AND
PRODUCING SOME FAIRLY STEEP INVERSIONS (AS SEEN IN 12Z SOUNDINGS
FROM BETHEL...MCGRATH...AND ANCHORAGE. THE EXTENT OF THE WARM AIR
ALOFT IS INDICATED IN BETHELS OBSERVATIONS WHERE FREEZING RAIN
BEGAN MIXING IN WITH A SURFACE TEMPERATURE OF 18 DEGREES.
AT THE SURFACE THERE IS A 960MB LOW UNDERNEATH THE UPPER CENTER
WITH OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDING EASTWARD JUST SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. A LOW HAS FORMED ALONG THE FRONT SOUTH OF COLD BAY AND
IS ROTATING NORTH-NORTHWEST AROUND THE UPPER CIRCULATION. GALE TO
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE BEING OBSERVED OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVER
THE GULF WATERS EXTENDING WESTWARD TO BRISTOL BAY AND ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BERING SEA.
.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ALL INITIALIZED WELL AND ALL SHOW THE
SAME GENERAL SOLUTION...BUT THERE ARE SOME KEY DIFFERENCES IN LOW
TRACKS. THE TREND WITH THE MAIN LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS IS TO
MAINTAIN A TRACK SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. GFS IS FARTHER
SOUTH THAN UKMET/ECMWF/NAM SO WILL STICK CLOSE TO THE CONSENSUS.
THE SECONDARY LOW THAT HAS FORMED SOUTH OF COLD BAY IS A LITTLE
MORE PROBLEMATIC. ALL MODELS ROTATE THIS NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
EASTERN BERING AND THEN SOUTHWARD AS THE MAIN LOW TRACKS EAST.
HOWEVER THERE ARE TIMING AND PLACEMENT DIFFERENCES. FOR NOW...WILL
TREND TOWARD THE GFS. FOR THE GULF AND SOUTHERN MAINLAND PREFER
THE NAM MODEL FOR THE DETAILS. IT IS THE ONLY MODEL TO DEVELOP A
CLOSED SURFACE LOW AS THE FRONT REACHES THE NORTHERN GULF. WITH
STRONG UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS THIS SEEMS LIKE A SAFE BET. BASED ON
OBSERVATION OF FREEZING RAIN IN BETHEL...MODELS ARE A BIT WEAK AND
A BIT SLOW WITH WARM ADVECTION. THUS WILL TREND TOWARD WARMING
THINGS UP FASTER AND BRINING WARM AIR FARTHER NORTH. BEYOND DAY 3
THERE IS HUGE UNCERTAINTY DUE TO VERY POOR MODEL CONSISTENCY SO
WILL STICK CLOSE TO CURRENT FORECASTS.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL THIS AFTERNOON...DROPPING A LITTLE SNOW ON MOST PLACES.
THE UPPER JET WILL CURVE EASTWARD TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL
TONIGHT...PUSHING THE RIDGE EASTWARD...AND TRANSPORTING A LOT OF
MOISTURE AND WARM AIR OVER SOUTHCENTRAL. THUS EXPECT TRENDS SIMILAR
TO WHAT IS OCCURRING OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA THIS MORNING. IMMEDIATE
COASTAL AREAS WILL QUICKLY CHANGE TO RAIN WHILE INLAND AREAS THAT
ARE MORE ENTRENCHED IN THE ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL SEE A BIT OF FREEZING
RAIN. STRONG EASTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL LIMIT
PRECIPITATION ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE KENAI AND CHUGACH MOUNTAINS.
BUT THE STRONG DYNAMICS AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN LIGHT
PRECIPITATION DESPITE THE STRONG FLOW. THE SUSITNA VALLEY SHOULD
REMAIN MOSTLY SNOW AND THE USUAL UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE ALASKA RANGE
WILL SEE HEAVIER AMOUNTS...SO HAVE ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
FOR SNOW FOR ZONE 145. UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL SHIFT TO SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST LATE TONIGHT AND AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE WILL PUSH ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW TO
ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY...AS WELL AS THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN. THE REMNANTS OF THE FRONT WILL ALSO PUSH ACROSS THE COPPER
BASIN...SO WILL BE ISSUING A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW FOR
THERE ON THURSDAY. DO THINK FREEZING RAIN WILL BE A MAJOR PROBLEM
ANYWHERE BECAUSE AIR IS SO WARM THAT TEMPERATURES ALONG AND NEAR
THE COAST SHOULD QUICKLY RISE ABOVE FREEZING. WILL NEED TO KEEP A
CLOSE EYE ON INLAND LOCATIONS WHERE FREEZING RAIN COULD MIX IN
WITH SNOW. THERE IS ANOTHER SHOT FOR PRECIPITATION THURSDAY NIGHT
AS A WEAK UPPER WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION AND AGAIN LATE FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM...SO PLAIN OLD RAIN WILL LIKELY
EXTEND FARTHER INLAND.
SOUTHWEST ALASKA...WARM AIR AND PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD NORTHWARD TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...GRADUALLY
CHANGING PRECIPITATION TO RAIN. AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO
SPREAD NORTHWARD...SO WILL CONTINUE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORIES THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. MAY NEED TO EXTEND ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN KUSKOKWIM
WHICH MAY HOLD OUT A LITTLE LONGER BEFORE WARMING TO FREEZING.
UPPER WAVES WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY...MAINTAINING AREAS OF MAINLY RAIN ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE
ALEUTIAN LOW TRACKS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND KODIAK ISLAND
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO COOL
AND THE REMAINING SHOWERS OVER THE REGION WILL SHIFT BACK TOWARD
SNOW. ALTHOUGH THERE IS UNCERTAINTY BEYOND THIS TIM PERIOD WITH
NEXT GULF LOW...IT LOOKS LIKE A VERY GOOD CHANCE SOUTHWEST ALASKA
WILL CONTINUE TO COOL HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK.
BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...A VERY LARGE AREA OF SOLID GALE FORCE WINDS
WILL PERSIST ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA
AND WESTERN TO CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. THE
LOW CURRENTLY SOUTH OF COLD BAY WILL ROTATES TO NEAR THE PRIBILOFS
THURSDAY. THEN AS IT ROTATES SOUTHWARD FRIDAY THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL TIGHTEN EVEN FURTHER JUST WEST OF THIS LOW...RESULTING IN A
SMALL AREA OF STORM FORCE WINDS. WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS THIS LOW TRACKS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND EASTERN BERING WILL REMAIN ON THE WARM SIDE OF
THE SYSTEM WITH PERIODS OF RAIN AND SMALL CRAFT OR LESS WINDS THROUGH
FRIDAY.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE EXTENDED
FORECAST DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK OF A MAJOR LOW TOWARD THE GULF
OF ALASKA. HOWEVER...MODELS ARE MORE CONSISTENT IN DEPICTION OF A
STRONG RIDGE BUILDING FROM THE NORTHERN BERING SEA OVER NORTHERN
ALASKA AND ARCTIC AIR DIVING SOUTHWARD.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...120.
GALE WARNING...125 129 130 140 175 176 179 180 185.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
SEB DEC 08The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 8 days | |
| Dec 3, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 3, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Dec 3, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 66 hr | |
| Dec 3, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Dec 3, 4:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 3, 5:07 PM AKST | Blizzard Warning | AFC | 5 hr | |
| Dec 3, 9:45 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 18 hr | |
| Dec 3, 9:55 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 18 hr | |
| Dec 3, 9:55 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 42 hr | |
| Dec 4, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 4, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 4, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 4 days | |
| Dec 4, 5:25 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 11 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.