Storm Warning 188, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 080001
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-081500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 965 MB LOW NEAR 48N 162W WILL MOVE TO NEAR 57N 152W AND STRENGTHEN
TO 959 MB MON NIGHT THEN MOVE TO NEAR 59N 155W AND WEAKEN TO 970 MB
TUE AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ351-081500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2008

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-081500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2008

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 081220
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST MON DEC 8 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-090300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...A 961 MB LOW NEAR 51N 159W
INTENSIFIES TO 959 MB THIS AFTERNOON NEAR 53N 154W. THIS LOW THEN
WEAKENS TO 969 MB TUE AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES TO 59N 150W AND THEN
MOVES INLAND AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN THROUGH TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ351-090300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 AM AKST MON DEC 8 2008

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT
THIS AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-090300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 AM AKST MON DEC 8 2008

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 090007
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST MON DEC 8 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-091500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 958 MB LOW NEAR 54N 153W WILL WEAKEN TO 970 MB AS IT MOVES TO 
60N 148W TUE AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL THEN DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES
INLAND ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL TUE NIGHT AND WED. 

$$

PKZ351-091500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 PM AKST MON DEC 8 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-091500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 PM AKST MON DEC 8 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 23 TO 27 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE ECMWF AND NAM MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND APPEARS TO BE THE
MOST CONSISTENT MODELS THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE GFS MODELS HAS
BECOME MORE STABLE OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS BUT IS A LITTLE TOO SLOW ON
THE NEXT LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
UPPER AIR...
MOST OF THE UPPER AIR FEATURES OVER ALASKA AND THE BERING SEA
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD. A WEAK UPPER LOW NEAR KODIAK ISLAND
CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND WEAKEN. AN UPPER SHORT-WAVE TROUGH
OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA AND NORTON SOUND IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AND
WILL SPREAD SNOW SHOWERS INTO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND THE KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY THROUGH TONIGHT. A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN
BERING SEA CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST.

AT THE SURFACE...
A WEAK LOW OVER KODIAK ISLAND WITH A WEAK WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING
SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW HAS PRODUCED AREA OF LIGHT RAIN OVER PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND, KENAI PENINSULA AND BRISTOL BAY TODAY. AREAS OF LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA WILL END BY THIS AFTERNOON AS
COOLER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL AND THE GULF...
THE LOW OVER KODIAK ISLAND WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT
AND DISSIPATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL
MOVE NORTH AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT. SCATTERED
RAIN SHOWERS WILL PERSIST OVER THE GULF AND ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST THROUGH MONDAY. THE UPPER SHORT-WAVE TROUGH OVER NORTHWEST
ALASKA WILL MOVE INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THEN WEAKEN
OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND KENAI PENINSULA SUNDAY NIGHT. AREAS
SNOW ASSOCIATED THE THE UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL
INTERIOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. A NEW STORM DEVELOPING OVER THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC WILL MOVE NORTH TO ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTH OF KODIAK
CITY BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. RAIN AND STRONG WINDS WILL MOVE INTO KODIAK
ISLAND AND THE GULF MONDAY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA AND NORTON SOUND WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. AREAS OF SNOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH
SUNDAY. THE UPPER HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL MOVE INTO THE
EASTERN BERING AND NORTHWEST ALASKA SUNDAY AFTERNOON THEN WILL FORM A
CUT-OFF HIGH OVER NORTHERN ALASKA MONDAY. SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY
CLOUDY TO MOSTLY CLEAR MONDAY OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND THE
SOUTHWEST INTERIOR. RAIN, SNOW AND GUSTY EAST WINDS WILL MOVE INTO
THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND BRISTOL BAY MONDAY AS THE NEXT STORM
APPROACHES THE STATE.

BERING SEA...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA SUNDAY THEN DISSIPATED OVER THE CENTRAL BERING
MONDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE LOW SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL MOVE NORTHEAST IN THE NORTHERN GULF
TUESDAY THEN DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES INLAND WEDNESDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 176
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM DEC 08