Storm Warning 15, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 312128 RRA
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AST THU JAN 31 2008

RETRANSMISSION

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-010300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 969 MB LOW 50N 177E WILL MOVE TO 52N 167E FRIDAY NIGHT AS 979 MB.  
A SERIES OF LOWS WILL DEVELOP JUST NORTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND
ALASKA PENINSULA FRIDAY AND DRIFT SOUTHEAST INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA
FRIDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ411-010300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AST THU JAN 31 2008

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E TO NE WIND 30 TO 50 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT BUILDING TO 10 TO
23 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS S. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E TO NE WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 13 TO 28 FT. HIGHEST WINDS
AND SEAS S. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE TO SE WIND 25 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 28 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-010300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AST THU JAN 31 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 TO 35 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 14 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS SW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 TO 16 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND
SEAS SW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 17 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-010300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AST THU JAN 31 2008

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 8 TO 18 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS
W. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT...BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT S 
OF 54N. SEAS 9 TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-010300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AST THU JAN 31 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 TO 12 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS
SW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY 
N OF 57N. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.   

$$

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 010007
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AST THU JAN 31 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-011500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 973 MB LOW NEAR 51N 176E WILL MOVE TO 52N 166E AT 975 MB FRI
AFTERNOON AND THEN REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH SAT. A SERIES OF
WEAK LOWS WILL FORM NEAR THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA
AND THEN MOVE EAST FRI THROUGH SAT. 

$$

PKZ411-011500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AST THU JAN 31 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-011500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AST THU JAN 31 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-011500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AST THU JAN 31 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-011500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AST THU JAN 31 2008

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 011246
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AST FRI FEB 1 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-020300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 973 MB LOW NEAR 51N 176E WILL MOVE TO 52N 166E AT 975 MB FRI
AFTERNOON AND THEN REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH SAT. A SERIES OF
WEAK LOWS WILL FORM NEAR THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA
AND THEN MOVE EAST FRI THROUGH SAT. 

$$

PKZ411-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AST FRI FEB 1 2008

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 TO 29 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 TO 24 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N OF 56N...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 22 FT. S OF
56N...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...E TO SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AST FRI FEB 1 2008

.TODAY...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 19 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS
W. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AST FRI FEB 1 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N OF 54N...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 19 FT. S OF
54N...SE TO SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N OF 55N...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. S OF 55N...W 
TO SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E TO S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AST FRI FEB 1 2008

.TODAY...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E TO NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.

.SAT...E TO NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 020005
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AST FRI FEB 1 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-021500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 975 MB LOW NEAR 52N 167E WILL MOVE TO 55N 164E AT 990 MB SUN
AFTERNOON. A 986 MB LOW NEAR 52N 163W WILL MOVE TO 53N 147W FRI
NIGHT. A 997 MB LOW NEAR 47N 174W SAT AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 53N 
167W AT 990 MB SUN AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ411-021500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AST FRI FEB 1 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-021500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AST FRI FEB 1 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-021500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AST FRI FEB 1 2008

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. 
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-021500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AST FRI FEB 1 2008

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
400 PM AST WED JAN 30 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...SAME ISSUES AS THE PAST FEW DAYS. MODELS ARE GOOD
IN THE SHORT TERM...NO SO GOOD LATER ON. THE PROBLEM REMAINS THE SAME
WITH THE MODELS UNABLE TO REACH A CONSENSUS ON WHERE THE TRIPLE POINT
LOWS WILL FORM AND THEN WHERE TO MOVE THEM WHEN THEY DO. LOOKING AT
THE OVERALL SITUATION IT LOOKS LIKELY THAT THE LOWS THAT DEVELOP THIS
WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK WILL REMAIN ALONG OR JUST SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIAN ISLANDS AND ALASKA PENINSULA. GFS TAKES THIS APPROACH BUT
THE NEW ECMWF PUSHES THE ENERGY INTO THE BERING SEA. THE JET STREAM
LOCATION DOES NOT SUPPORT THIS PUSH INTO THE BERING SEA AND THE GFS
IS PREFERRED OVERALL. IT IS HAVING SOME DIFFICULTIES AS WELL BUT IT
LOOKS TO BE MORE IN LINE WITH FORECASTING WHERE THE LOWS SHOULD
DEVELOP AND MOVE.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...LOW IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA IS
WEAKENING AND HEADING SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE AREA. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT
WAVE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA HAS HELPED TO MIX THE AIR ENOUGH TO BREAK
UP MOST OF THE FOG THAT WAS OCCURRING YESTERDAY IN THAT AREA. SHORT
WAVE IS NOT STRONG ENOUGH TO BRING ANY PRECIPITATION TO SPEAK OF AS
IT PASSES THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND OVER SOUTH CENTRAL.
A STRONG LOW SOUTH OF ATTU WILL MOVE NORTH OF AMCHITKA THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND THEN REMAIN IN THAT AREA AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
A COLD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS OVER MAINLAND ALASKA AND WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...FOG AND STRATUS IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA SHOULD
DISSIPATE AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS INCREASE AS THE UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE
MOVES IN OVERNIGHT FRO SOUTHWEST ALASKA.
AREAS OF FOG AND STRATUS WILL REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA AREA
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.
THE CENTRAL TO WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA WILL SEE THE EFFECTS
OF THE LARGE LOW MOVING INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL OCCUR AS THE FRONT
MOVES INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND THEN MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION
SHOULD TURN TO RAIN THURSDAY AS THE WARMER PART OF THE SYSTEM MOVES
IN.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN THE LONG TERM FORECASTS
DUE TO THE MODEL INCONSISTENCIES DISCUSSED ABOVE. MAINLAND ALASKA
SHOULD SEE SOME PARTIAL CLEARING DURING THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE
MAJOR STORM SYSTEMS REMAIN ALONG OR SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS ISLANDS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 132 170 179.
         STORM 172 175 176.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 129 141.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

JAN 08