Gale Warning 877, NWS Anchorage, AK

336 
FZAK51 PAFC 300010
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2008

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-301500-
400 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2008
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 996 MB LOW 170 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA MOVES EAST AND DISSIPATES
TUESDAY NIGHT. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-301500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-301500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-301500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2008

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-301500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KTS. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-301500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-301500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-301500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-301500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NE 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-301500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AKST SUN DEC 28 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODEL INITIALIZATIONS AND FORECAST TRENDS THROUGH

FRI MORNING ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT AND REASONABLE.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...OMEGA BLOCK WITH RIDGE POSITION OVER THE
BERING SEA LIKELY TO HOLD THROUGH THE LATTER PART OF THIS WEAK.
HOWEVER...THE TROUGH AXIS THE GULF AND MAINLAND WILL SHIFT EAST SOME
AS CUT-OFF OVER THE GULF LIFTS NORTH AND EAST. THIS WILL ALLOW THE
NORTHERLY JET OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA TO SHIFT OVER THE MAINLAND
TUE.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.EAST...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE MAINLAND AND LOW PRESSURE
WEAKENS OVER THE GULF. THE NET RESULT WILL BE TO CONTINUE STRONG
PRESSURE GRADIENTS ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH MON AND THE
NORTH GULF THROUGH TUE. UPPER SUPPORT INTENSIFIES AS SHORT WAVE
MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT/TUE INCREASES NORTH/NE WINDS
ACROSS THE REGION. GRADIENTS SHOULD RELAX SOME OVER SOUTHCENTRAL MON
NIGHT AND ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST TUE AFTERNOON THROUGH WED. SO
WILL SEE WINDS FALL BELOW WARNING LEVELS IN ZONE 111 MON NIGHT AND
TUE AFTERNOON ALONG THE NORTH GULF. HOWEVER STRONG WIND HEADLINES
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER THE COPPER RIVER DELTA INTO WED. COLD TEMPS
OVER THE EASTERN MAINLAND COMBINED WITH GAP FLOWS WILL PRODUCE WIND
CHILL ADVISORIES THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON FOR ZONES 141 AND 145.

.WEST...BRISK AND GENERALLY DRY NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
SW MAINLAND THROUGH MON NIGHT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH MON NIGHT AND TUE
AS JET CORE SHIFTS EAST AND RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE MAINLAND. COLD
TEMPS WILL HOLD INLAND THROUGH MID WEEK.

LOCALIZED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE AK PEN WILL CONTINUE INTO
THIS EVENING AS SHORT WAVE MOVING SOUTH ALONG THE EASTERN BERING SEA
APPROACHES THE AK PEN. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE SOME LATER THIS
EVENING AFTER WAVES MOVES SOUTH OF THE AK PEN. STRONG SE TO EAST
WINDS LIKELY TO HOLD OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THROUGH
WED WITH BERING SEA RIDGE AND STRENGTHENING TROUGH SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIANS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...WIND WARNINGS 111 131 AND 135. BLIZZARD WARNING 181.
MARINE...GALE 121 130 132 150 155 165 175 176

FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC DEC 08